FinalWin Prob.pScore
2021%86
90
379%97
85
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
104.78688.2
MIA logo MIA
98.88683.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL90
100%
85
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)90
99.5%
85
0.5%
Q4 - 0:06.0MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)89
99.4%
85
0.6%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 8 AST)88
98.6%
85
1.4%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)88
99.7%
82
0.3%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)87
99.6%
82
0.4%
Q4 - 0:12.0MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
99.1%
82
0.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
98.5%
82
1.5%
Q4 - 0:24.0MILDelfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)86
94.0%
82
6.0%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIABibby Foul Turnover (P6.T16)83
67.0%
82
33.0%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)83
45.8%
82
54.2%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 283
60.7%
82
39.3%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)83
50.2%
82
49.8%
Q4 - 1:18MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)83
59.4%
81
40.6%
Q4 - 1:20MILMISS Delfino 17' Jump Shot83
63.7%
81
36.3%
Q4 - 1:35MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (28 PTS)83
70.6%
81
29.4%
Q4 - 1:46MILMbah a Moute 2' Tip Shot (14 PTS)83
77.2%
79
22.8%
Q4 - 1:47MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)81
67.9%
79
32.1%
Q4 - 1:48MILMISS Bogut 1' Tip Shot81
59.0%
79
41.0%
Q4 - 1:49MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)81
67.5%
79
32.5%
Q4 - 1:50MILMISS Salmons 2' Layup81
58.7%
79
41.3%
Q4 - 2:05MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)81
70.3%
79
29.7%
Q4 - 2:06MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot81
66.1%
79
33.9%
Q4 - 2:27MILDelfino 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bogut 4 AST)81
55.1%
79
44.9%
Q4 - 2:47MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
35.9%
79
64.1%
Q4 - 2:50MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot78
30.9%
79
69.1%
Q4 - 3:07MILJennings Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)78
21.7%
79
78.3%
Q4 - 3:16MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)78
34.4%
79
65.6%
Q4 - 3:16MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)78
36.0%
78
64.0%
Q4 - 3:36MILJennings 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Maggette 3 AST)78
39.0%
77
61.0%
Q4 - 3:53MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
23.5%
77
76.5%
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot75
21.3%
77
78.7%
Q4 - 4:10MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)75
16.7%
77
83.3%
Q4 - 4:12MILMISS Salmons 2' Layup75
18.6%
77
81.4%
Q4 - 4:36MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)75
23.4%
77
76.6%
Q4 - 4:37MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
21.1%
77
78.9%
Q4 - 4:58MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
16.6%
77
83.4%
Q4 - 4:59MILMISS Salmons 12' Jump Shot75
18.5%
77
81.5%
Q4 - 5:21MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
23.8%
77
76.2%
Q4 - 5:23MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Bank Shot75
21.9%
77
78.1%
Q4 - 5:45MILMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)75
17.8%
77
82.2%
Q4 - 5:45MILMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)74
17.1%
77
82.9%
Q4 - 6:00MIAJames 1' Running Dunk (26 PTS)73
13.6%
77
86.4%
Q4 - 6:05MILJames STEAL (2 STL)73
18.0%
75
82.0%
Q4 - 6:18MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 7 AST)73
23.4%
75
76.6%
Q4 - 6:36MILMaggette 4' Running Hook Shot (12 PTS)73
28.9%
73
71.1%
Q4 - 6:48MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
23.4%
73
76.6%
Q4 - 6:50MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
21.7%
73
78.3%
Q4 - 7:00MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)71
18.0%
73
82.0%
Q4 - 7:01MILMISS Salmons 12' Jump Shot71
19.4%
73
80.6%
Q4 - 7:24MIABosh 2' Layup (14 PTS)71
22.9%
73
77.1%
Q4 - 7:56MILDooling 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)71
27.8%
71
72.2%
Q4 - 8:17MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)69
22.6%
71
77.4%
Q4 - 8:17MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)69
23.6%
70
76.4%
Q4 - 8:31MILJames STEAL (1 STL)69
27.6%
69
72.4%
Q4 - 8:34MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
32.9%
69
67.1%
Q4 - 8:35MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup69
31.2%
69
68.8%
Q4 - 8:55MILSalmons 2' Layup (17 PTS)69
27.6%
69
72.4%
Q4 - 8:58MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
22.6%
69
77.4%
Q4 - 9:00MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup67
21.3%
69
78.7%
Q4 - 9:15MILSalmons 12' Jump Shot (15 PTS)67
18.9%
69
81.1%
Q4 - 9:38MIABosh 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS)65
15.4%
69
84.6%
Q4 - 10:00MILMaggette 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Bogut 3 AST)65
18.9%
67
81.1%
Q4 - 10:15MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
15.7%
67
84.3%
Q4 - 10:16MIAMISS Chalmers 14' Jump Shot63
14.8%
67
85.2%
Q4 - 10:29MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)63
12.9%
67
87.1%
Q4 - 10:31MIAMISS Bosh 7' Hook Shot63
14.8%
67
85.2%
Q4 - 10:48MIAAnthony Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (8 PTS)63
12.8%
67
87.2%
Q4 - 10:48MIAAnthony Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (7 PTS)63
13.7%
66
86.3%
Q4 - 10:54MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
18.9%
65
81.1%
Q4 - 10:56MILMISS Gooden 17' Jump Shot63
20.0%
65
80.0%
Q4 - 11:14MIAAnthony 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS)63
22.5%
65
77.5%
Q4 - 11:18MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)63
26.5%
63
73.5%
Q4 - 11:19MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot63
29.5%
63
70.5%
Q4 - 11:34MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)63
26.5%
63
73.5%
Q4 - 11:36MIAMISS Chalmers 15' Jump Shot63
29.5%
63
70.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL63
26.5%
63
73.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
30.9%
63
69.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
28.9%
63
71.1%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)63
26.4%
63
73.6%
Q3 - 0:27.0MILMISS Jennings 2' Layup63
27.5%
63
72.5%
Q3 - 0:36.0MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
30.2%
63
69.8%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAMISS James 12' Jump Shot63
29.0%
63
71.0%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)63
26.4%
63
73.6%
Q3 - 0:56.0MILMISS Maggette 19' Jump Shot63
27.5%
63
72.5%
Q3 - 1:13MIAHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)63
29.5%
63
70.5%
Q3 - 1:28MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)63
25.9%
63
74.1%
Q3 - 1:30MILMISS Gooden 21' Jump Shot63
27.0%
63
73.0%
Q3 - 1:52MIAHoward 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 6 AST)63
29.5%
63
70.5%
Q3 - 2:13MILGooden 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)63
32.7%
61
67.3%
Q3 - 2:26MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)61
28.7%
61
71.3%
Q3 - 2:49MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
37.1%
58
62.9%
Q3 - 2:50MILMISS Mbah a Moute 11' Jump Shot61
38.4%
58
61.6%
Q3 - 2:59MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)61
41.5%
58
58.5%
Q3 - 3:01MILJames BLOCK (2 BLK)61
36.8%
58
63.2%
Q3 - 3:15MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS)61
39.9%
58
60.1%
Q3 - 3:39MILMiller STEAL (1 STL)61
44.2%
56
55.8%
Q3 - 3:50MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
48.9%
56
51.1%
Q3 - 3:51MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot61
47.5%
56
52.5%
Q3 - 4:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
42.8%
56
57.2%
Q3 - 4:03MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
44.4%
56
55.6%
Q3 - 4:32MIADampier Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)61
48.0%
56
52.0%
Q3 - 4:48MILBogut 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)61
56.0%
53
44.0%
Q3 - 5:00MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)59
52.4%
53
47.6%
Q3 - 5:02MIAMISS Dampier 2' Layup59
48.8%
53
51.2%
Q3 - 5:18MILSalmons 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)59
45.7%
53
54.3%
Q3 - 5:29MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
42.1%
53
57.9%
Q3 - 5:31MIAMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
40.7%
53
59.3%
Q3 - 5:54MILSalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)57
37.6%
53
62.4%
Q3 - 5:54MILSalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)56
37.0%
53
63.0%
Q3 - 5:56MIABibby Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14)55
34.2%
53
65.8%
Q3 - 6:21MILSalmons 2' Reverse Layup (9 PTS)55
29.2%
53
70.8%
Q3 - 6:38MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
26.2%
53
73.8%
Q3 - 6:39MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
25.2%
53
74.8%
Q3 - 6:48MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
23.0%
53
77.0%
Q3 - 6:49MILMISS Salmons 15' Jump Shot53
24.0%
53
76.0%
Q3 - 7:06MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)53
25.4%
53
74.6%
Q3 - 7:30MILMbah a Moute 1' Tip Shot (12 PTS)53
31.6%
50
68.4%
Q3 - 7:31MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)51
28.5%
50
71.5%
Q3 - 7:32MILMISS Delfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
26.3%
50
73.7%
Q3 - 7:52MIABibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)51
28.5%
50
71.5%
Q3 - 8:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
34.3%
47
65.7%
Q3 - 8:03MILMISS Jennings 3PT Jump Shot51
35.5%
47
64.5%
Q3 - 8:23MIABibby 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)51
38.1%
47
61.9%
Q3 - 8:32MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
45.2%
44
54.8%
Q3 - 8:35MIAMISS Jones 8' Jump Shot51
48.0%
44
52.0%
Q3 - 8:59MILSalmons 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)51
45.2%
44
54.8%
Q3 - 9:16MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)48
37.1%
44
62.9%
Q3 - 9:29MILDelfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)48
33.7%
44
66.3%
Q3 - 9:56MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)45
27.5%
44
72.5%
Q3 - 9:56MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)45
28.0%
43
72.0%
Q3 - 10:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
29.5%
42
70.5%
Q3 - 10:06MILDampier BLOCK (2 BLK)45
30.4%
42
69.6%
Q3 - 10:26MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)45
32.7%
42
67.3%
Q3 - 10:28MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup45
31.7%
42
68.3%
Q3 - 10:42MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
29.6%
42
70.4%
Q3 - 10:43MILMISS Delfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
30.5%
42
69.5%
Q3 - 11:02MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)45
31.9%
42
68.1%
Q3 - 11:22MILJennings Foul Turnover (P1.T7)45
34.8%
40
65.2%
Q3 - 11:24MIABibby Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)45
38.2%
40
61.8%
Q3 - 11:40MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
34.8%
40
65.2%
Q3 - 11:42MILDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)45
35.9%
40
64.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA45
38.3%
40
61.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound45
34.9%
40
65.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Miller 63' 3PT Jump Shot45
37.2%
40
62.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
34.5%
40
65.5%
Q2 - 0:03.0MILBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)45
35.2%
40
64.8%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIABibby Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)45
36.9%
40
63.1%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
34.5%
40
65.5%
Q2 - 0:27.0MILMISS Salmons 18' Jump Shot45
35.3%
40
64.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0MILBucks Rebound45
36.9%
40
63.1%
Q2 - 0:34.0MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
35.3%
40
64.7%
Q2 - 0:39.0MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
37.0%
40
63.0%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAMISS James 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup45
36.2%
40
63.8%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
34.5%
40
65.5%
Q2 - 0:57.0MILMISS Mbah a Moute 19' Jump Shot45
35.3%
40
64.7%
Q2 - 1:10MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
36.1%
40
63.9%
Q2 - 1:12MIAMISS Bibby 15' Jump Shot45
35.5%
40
64.5%
Q2 - 1:21MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
34.0%
40
66.0%
Q2 - 1:23MILAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)45
34.6%
40
65.4%
Q2 - 1:42MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
36.2%
40
63.8%
Q2 - 1:44MIAMISS Bosh 9' Turnaround Jump Shot45
35.5%
40
64.5%
Q2 - 1:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
34.0%
40
66.0%
Q2 - 2:00MILMISS Bogut 9' Turnaround Hook Shot45
34.7%
40
65.3%
Q2 - 2:19MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
35.8%
40
64.2%
Q2 - 2:21MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot45
34.9%
40
65.1%
Q2 - 2:45MILMaggette 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)45
32.9%
40
67.1%
Q2 - 2:49MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)43
30.2%
40
69.8%
Q2 - 2:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
27.6%
40
72.4%
Q2 - 2:52MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
29.4%
40
70.6%
Q2 - 2:55MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
27.6%
40
72.4%
Q2 - 2:59MILMISS Maggette 15' Jump Shot43
28.4%
40
71.6%
Q2 - 3:07MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
29.7%
40
70.3%
Q2 - 3:09MIAMISS James 15' Floating Jump Shot43
28.7%
40
71.3%
Q2 - 3:26MILMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
26.7%
40
73.3%
Q2 - 3:26MILMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
26.4%
40
73.6%
Q2 - 3:26MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
24.8%
40
75.2%
Q2 - 3:27MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup41
24.0%
40
76.0%
Q2 - 3:38MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
22.2%
40
77.8%
Q2 - 3:39MILMISS Maggette 22' Jump Shot41
23.0%
40
77.0%
Q2 - 3:56MIAAnthony 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (James 4 AST)41
24.8%
40
75.2%
Q2 - 4:01MILAnthony STEAL (1 STL)41
26.1%
38
73.9%
Q2 - 4:19MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)41
28.8%
38
71.2%
Q2 - 4:30MILMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
31.1%
36
68.9%
Q2 - 4:30MILMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
30.7%
36
69.3%
Q2 - 4:45MIAJames 11' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)39
28.8%
36
71.2%
Q2 - 5:08MILMaggette 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)39
30.7%
34
69.3%
Q2 - 5:29MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)37
28.3%
34
71.7%
Q2 - 5:34MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
33.3%
31
66.7%
Q2 - 5:35MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 237
35.6%
31
64.4%
Q2 - 5:35MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
33.8%
31
66.2%
Q2 - 5:38MILBosh STEAL (1 STL)37
36.0%
30
64.0%
Q2 - 5:53MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T9)37
38.7%
30
61.3%
Q2 - 6:07MILSalmons 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)37
35.0%
30
65.0%
Q2 - 6:17MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
32.9%
30
67.1%
Q2 - 6:18MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
32.0%
30
68.0%
Q2 - 6:30MIAHEAT Rebound35
30.1%
30
69.9%
Q2 - 6:31MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup35
32.0%
30
68.0%
Q2 - 6:37MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
30.1%
30
69.9%
Q2 - 6:38MILMISS Dooling 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
30.9%
30
69.1%
Q2 - 7:01MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)35
31.8%
30
68.2%
Q2 - 7:01MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)35
32.2%
29
67.8%
Q2 - 7:10MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
34.2%
28
65.8%
Q2 - 7:11MILMISS Salmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
35.0%
28
65.0%
Q2 - 7:24MIAMiller Foul Turnover (P1.T8)35
36.9%
28
63.1%
Q2 - 7:34MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
34.3%
28
65.7%
Q2 - 7:35MILMISS Salmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
35.1%
28
64.9%
Q2 - 7:48MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
37.0%
28
63.0%
Q2 - 7:48MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 235
37.4%
27
62.6%
Q2 - 7:56MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
36.8%
27
63.2%
Q2 - 7:57MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
37.7%
27
62.3%
Q2 - 8:12MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)35
38.4%
27
61.6%
Q2 - 8:27MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
40.9%
25
59.1%
Q2 - 8:29MILMISS Sanders 17' Jump Shot35
41.8%
25
58.2%
Q2 - 8:51MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)35
43.7%
25
56.3%
Q2 - 8:56MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
49.0%
22
51.0%
Q2 - 9:00MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 235
51.4%
22
48.6%
Q2 - 9:00MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
49.5%
22
50.5%
Q2 - 9:13MILSanders 13' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)35
50.1%
21
49.9%
Q2 - 9:32MILDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
47.7%
21
52.3%
Q2 - 9:34MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Reverse Layup33
46.8%
21
53.2%
Q2 - 9:38MILChalmers STEAL (1 STL)33
45.0%
21
55.0%
Q2 - 10:02MIAMiller 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)33
47.1%
21
52.9%
Q2 - 10:25MILDooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)33
49.4%
19
50.6%
Q2 - 10:47MIAAnthony 1' Layup (2 PTS)30
44.6%
19
55.4%
Q2 - 10:49MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
46.9%
17
53.1%
Q2 - 10:51MIAMISS Chalmers 18' Jump Shot30
48.8%
17
51.2%
Q2 - 11:06MILGooden 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Maggette 2 AST)30
46.3%
17
53.7%
Q2 - 11:21MIAChalmers 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
44.0%
17
56.0%
Q2 - 11:43MILDooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Maggette 1 AST)28
46.4%
15
53.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
41.6%
15
58.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound25
39.0%
15
61.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Ilgauskas 33' 3PT Jump Shot25
40.8%
15
59.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)25
38.1%
15
61.9%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)25
40.1%
15
59.9%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
38.2%
15
61.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0MILMISS Gooden 19' Jump Shot25
38.8%
15
61.2%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAHoward 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)25
40.2%
15
59.8%
Q1 - 1:12MILMbah a Moute 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)25
41.9%
13
58.1%
Q1 - 1:21MILDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
39.0%
13
61.0%
Q1 - 1:22MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
38.5%
13
61.5%
Q1 - 1:28MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
37.4%
13
62.6%
Q1 - 1:30MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot23
38.5%
13
61.5%
Q1 - 1:51MILGooden Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)23
37.4%
13
62.6%
Q1 - 2:12MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
32.4%
13
67.6%
Q1 - 2:12MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
32.9%
12
67.1%
Q1 - 2:34MILMbah a Moute 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)20
34.7%
11
65.3%
Q1 - 2:45MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)18
32.4%
11
67.6%
Q1 - 2:56MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
30.6%
11
69.4%
Q1 - 2:58MILMISS Delfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
31.2%
11
68.8%
Q1 - 3:17MIABibby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)18
32.0%
11
68.0%
Q1 - 3:30MILGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
30.0%
11
70.0%
Q1 - 3:30MILGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
29.6%
11
70.4%
Q1 - 3:46MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)16
28.2%
11
71.8%
Q1 - 4:12MILJennings 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
30.8%
8
69.2%
Q1 - 4:17MIABibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)14
29.1%
8
70.9%
Q1 - 4:42MILMbah a Moute 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)14
27.2%
8
72.8%
Q1 - 5:00MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)12
25.6%
8
74.4%
Q1 - 5:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
23.5%
8
76.5%
Q1 - 5:03MIAMISS James 2' Layup12
24.7%
8
75.3%
Q1 - 5:21MILSalmons Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
23.5%
8
76.5%
Q1 - 5:30MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
25.3%
8
74.7%
Q1 - 5:32MIAMISS Bosh 9' Turnaround Hook Shot12
24.7%
8
75.3%
Q1 - 5:50MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)12
23.5%
8
76.5%
Q1 - 5:50MILBucks Rebound12
25.3%
8
74.7%
Q1 - 5:51MILMISS Bogut 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
24.1%
8
75.9%
Q1 - 6:11MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
24.7%
8
75.3%
Q1 - 6:13MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup12
24.2%
8
75.8%
Q1 - 6:21MILSalmons 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
23.1%
8
76.9%
Q1 - 6:29MILBucks Rebound10
21.7%
8
78.3%
Q1 - 6:30MILJames BLOCK (1 BLK)10
20.7%
8
79.3%
Q1 - 6:33MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
21.7%
8
78.3%
Q1 - 6:50MILMbah a Moute 7' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)10
20.3%
8
79.7%
Q1 - 7:04MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
18.7%
8
81.3%
Q1 - 7:06MIAMISS Dampier 1' Dunk8
18.3%
8
81.7%
Q1 - 7:29MILJennings 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)8
17.4%
8
82.6%
Q1 - 7:40MILBucks Rebound6
16.4%
8
83.6%
Q1 - 7:41MILMISS Delfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
15.6%
8
84.4%
Q1 - 8:04MIADampier 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)6
16.1%
8
83.9%
Q1 - 8:18MILMbah a Moute 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
17.2%
6
82.8%
Q1 - 8:37MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
16.1%
6
83.9%
Q1 - 8:38MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
15.8%
6
84.2%
Q1 - 9:00MIAHEAT Rebound4
15.1%
6
84.9%
Q1 - 9:01MILMISS Mbah a Moute 1' Tip Shot4
15.4%
6
84.6%
Q1 - 9:02MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
16.1%
6
83.9%
Q1 - 9:03MILMISS Delfino 7' Jump Shot4
15.4%
6
84.6%
Q1 - 9:20MIABosh 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)4
16.1%
6
83.9%
Q1 - 9:37MILBogut 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)4
17.1%
4
82.9%
Q1 - 9:59MIADampier 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
16.1%
4
83.9%
Q1 - 10:00MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
17.1%
2
82.9%
Q1 - 10:01MIAMISS Dampier 2' Layup2
17.8%
2
82.2%
Q1 - 10:24MILBogut 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
17.0%
2
83.0%
Q1 - 10:25MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
16.1%
2
83.9%
Q1 - 10:26MILMISS Mbah a Moute 3' Driving Layup0
15.4%
2
84.6%
Q1 - 10:40MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.1%
2
83.9%
Q1 - 10:41MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
15.8%
2
84.2%
Q1 - 10:49MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.0%
2
85.0%
Q1 - 10:50MILMISS Mbah a Moute 3PT Jump Shot0
15.4%
2
84.6%
Q1 - 11:12MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)0
15.8%
2
84.2%
Q1 - 11:22MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.8%
0
83.2%
Q1 - 11:24MILMISS Bogut 6' Running Hook Shot0
17.0%
0
83.0%
Q1 - 11:44MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
17.7%
0
82.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Dampier vs. Bogut: Tip to James0
16.8%
0
83.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.03 51.7%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
18
30
60%
MIA
12
24
50%
Midrange
MIL
9
26
35%
MIA
10
27
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
MIA
8
12.0
23
35%
52%
Free Throws
MIL
15
15
100%
MIA
17
21
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Salmons1750%8.5 / 17
L. Mbah a Moute1450%7.0 / 14
C. Maggette1470%7.0 / 10
K. Dooling10100%5.0 / 5
B. Jennings945%4.5 / 10
C. Delfino950%4.5 / 9
D. Gooden956%4.5 / 8
A. Bogut643%3.0 / 7
L. Sanders250%1.0 / 2
M. Redd0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2958%14.5 / 25
C. Bosh1847%9.0 / 19
J. Anthony8133%4.0 / 3
M. Miller857%4.0 / 7
M. Bibby675%3.0 / 4
J. Jones542%2.5 / 6
E. Dampier542%2.5 / 6
J. Howard4100%2.0 / 2
M. Chalmers211%1.0 / 9
Z. Ilgauskas0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
77
+10
-9
87
MIA
70
+15
-16
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.03 51.7%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.9
111.4
MIL 104.7
MIA 98.8 +5.8
Pace
89.6
91.3
MIL 88.2 +4.3
MIA 83.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.6
16.2
MIL 16.3 +0.8
MIA 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.7%
52.4%
MIL 49.3% +3.4%
MIA 45.9%
TO %
13.9%
14.4%
MIL 11.8% +4.3%
MIA 16.1%
ORB %
24.8%
25.2%
MIL 16.2%
MIA 27.3% +11.1%
FTrt
28.7
36.3
MIL 19.7
MIA 28.4 +8.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.9%
54.1%
MIL 47.1% +0.4%
MIA 46.7%
STL %
8.3%
7.3%
MIL 12.8% +5.8%
MIA 7.0%
BLK %
7.9%
8.5%
MIL 7.8%
MIA 10.7% +2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.5%
55.7%
MIL 51.7% +1.7%
MIA 50.0%
Rim FG%
53.9%
64.7%
MIL 60.0% +10.0%
MIA 50.0%
Mid FG%
39.0%
42.2%
MIL 34.6%
MIA 37.0% +2.4%
3P %
34.2%
37.0%
MIL 35.0% +0.2%
MIA 34.8%
FT %
75.7%
76.9%
MIL 100.0% +19.0%
MIA 81.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
31.6%
MIL 39.5% +7.0%
MIA 32.4%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
44.9%
MIL 34.2% +2.3%
MIA 36.5%
3P Att. %
21.6%
23.5%
MIL 26.3%
MIA 31.1% +4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions8686
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points9085
Rebounds3843
Assists1614
Steals116
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)9 (2)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (4)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)31 (1)
Field Goals34-7630-74
At-the-Rim FG18-3012-24
Midrange FG9-2610-27
2-Point FG27-5622-51
3-Point FG7-208-23
Free Throws15-1517-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 210 · 31
38.5
17
50%
5
1
0
0
3
0
0
5
2-2
100%
6-13
46%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 230 · 25
37.5
14
50%
12
0
3
0
0
2
4
8
0-0
-
7-13
54%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 260 · 26
35.9
6
43%
10
4
3
4
0
2
2
8
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 170 · 22
32.4
9
45%
2
4
2
0
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
1-4
25%
F · 6'6" 230 · 29
28.3
9
50%
2
1
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
3-7
43%
F · 6'6" 225 · 31
19.8
14
70%
4
3
0
0
1
3
0
4
6-6
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 250 · 30
18.4
9
56%
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
1
3-3
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 31
17.4
10
100%
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
G · 6'6" 215 · 32
7.7
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22
4.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 5'5" 133 · 35
G · 6'7" 210 · 24
#7 · F · 6'9" 235 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'7" 255 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
52%
38
16
11
4
9
0
6
32
15-15
100%
27-56
48%
7-20
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.