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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 5, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Clippers30%9482
12Grizzlies70%10181
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 22.1
39.6
35.6
15
43%
14
2
3
1
0
6
3
11
3-6
50%
6-15
7-15
40%
50%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 28.3
32.9
27.4
16
60%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
45%
3-6
50%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.9
32.4
27.2
14
58%
7
3
2
0
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
7-12
6-12
58%
48%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.3
28.1
36.8
11
40%
6
0
0
1
1
2
0
6
1-2
50%
5-12
5-11
42%
49%
0-1
0%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 30.8
21.3
15.5
8
57%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-4
1-2
100%
51%
0-3
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 27.5
29.3
21.7
9
38%
4
4
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-8
2-4
25%
44%
1-3
33%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 21.3
21.4
16.9
3
85%
1
2
1
1
0
5
1
0
3-4
75%
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.7
20.6
25.6
3
32%
8
0
0
0
1
0
1
7
3-6
50%
0-2
3-5
0%
64%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.5
11.1
16.7
3
34%
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
1-1
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 27.4
3.4
16.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
55%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 30.3
5.8
0
1-1
42%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.6
3.7
0
1-1
52%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 28.6
Willie Warren
G · 6'4" 203 · 21.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.2
41.3
29.5
14
55%
15
2
4
1
3
1
5
10
2-4
50%
6-11
5-8
55%
56%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.5
39.3
34.2
20
56%
5
4
4
2
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
8-13
5-9
62%
49%
0-3
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 29.2
36.8
30.0
8
31%
3
1
1
2
2
4
1
2
0-0
-
4-12
5-10
33%
54%
0-1
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.7
36.1
31.9
14
42%
7
2
0
1
0
2
0
7
2-4
50%
6-15
7-13
40%
52%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 25.8
22.4
22.3
13
79%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
3-5
60%
5-6
3-6
83%
51%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.6
25.6
20.2
4
40%
7
1
1
1
1
0
4
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
0-2
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.0
14.3
18.3
0
0%
2
1
2
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-7
4-8
0%
52%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.4
11.2
21.2
3
16%
1
0
2
1
0
2
1
0
1-1
100%
1-7
3-5
14%
49%
0-2
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.7
5.7
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 24.2
3.0
9.7
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
1-1
100%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.2
2.6
9.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
53%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 25.9
1.7
4.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
54%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20.1
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.6
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.