FinalWin Prob.pScore
1826%88
72
474%97
78
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
77.49395.4
ORL logo ORL
86.79087.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILORL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL72
0%
78
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)72
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)72
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)72
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.2%
76
99.8%
Q4 - 0:18.0MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q4 - 0:19.0ORLMISS Richardson 21' Jump Shot72
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q4 - 0:43.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)72
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q4 - 0:43.0MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q4 - 0:47.0ORLTurkoglu 22' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)72
5.4%
76
94.6%
Q4 - 1:10MILNelson STEAL (5 STL)72
12.8%
74
87.2%
Q4 - 1:11MILBucks Rebound72
22.4%
74
77.6%
Q4 - 1:11ORLMISS Nelson 18' Pullup Jump Shot72
19.2%
74
80.8%
Q4 - 1:27ORLBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
14.4%
74
85.6%
Q4 - 1:27MILMISS Delfino 3PT Jump Shot72
16.9%
74
83.1%
Q4 - 1:41ORLNelson 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS)72
24.1%
74
75.9%
Q4 - 2:02MILGooden Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)72
33.2%
72
66.8%
Q4 - 2:02MILGooden 3' Driving Layup (17 PTS)71
23.1%
72
76.9%
Q4 - 2:15ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
18.0%
72
82.0%
Q4 - 2:15ORLRichardson Tip Shot (8 PTS)69
18.0%
72
82.0%
Q4 - 2:16ORLMISS Richardson 9' Jump Shot69
32.8%
70
67.2%
Q4 - 2:32ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
22.9%
70
77.1%
Q4 - 2:33MILMISS Jennings 12' Floating Jump Shot69
27.0%
70
73.0%
Q4 - 2:51MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
36.0%
70
64.0%
Q4 - 2:52ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
32.0%
70
68.0%
Q4 - 3:00ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)69
23.8%
70
76.2%
Q4 - 3:01MILMISS Delfino 10' Running Jump Shot69
27.3%
70
72.7%
Q4 - 3:20MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)69
37.0%
70
63.0%
Q4 - 3:20ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot69
32.6%
70
67.4%
Q4 - 3:35MILGooden Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)69
25.5%
70
74.5%
Q4 - 3:53MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
13.9%
70
86.1%
Q4 - 3:54ORLMISS Richardson 21' Jump Shot66
12.5%
70
87.5%
Q4 - 4:13MILGooden 1' Driving Dunk (12 PTS)66
9.5%
70
90.5%
Q4 - 4:27ORLRichardson 5' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)64
6.8%
70
93.2%
Q4 - 4:42ORLMAGIC Rebound64
9.4%
68
90.6%
Q4 - 4:42MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
10.5%
68
89.5%
Q4 - 4:55MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)64
13.6%
68
86.4%
Q4 - 4:56ORLMISS Turkoglu 22' Jump Shot64
12.1%
68
87.9%
Q4 - 5:08ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)64
11.3%
68
88.7%
Q4 - 5:09MILMISS Salmons 17' Jump Shot64
12.4%
68
87.6%
Q4 - 5:26MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
15.3%
68
84.7%
Q4 - 5:27ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 164
14.7%
68
85.3%
Q4 - 5:49MILGooden Illegal Screen Turnover (P1.T17)64
19.9%
66
80.1%
Q4 - 6:01MILBucks Rebound64
26.2%
66
73.8%
Q4 - 6:02MILMISS Jennings 20' Jump Shot64
22.0%
66
78.0%
Q4 - 6:17MILGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
26.2%
66
73.8%
Q4 - 6:18ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
24.3%
66
75.7%
Q4 - 6:39MILDooling Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T16)64
20.4%
66
79.6%
Q4 - 6:42MILDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
26.2%
66
73.8%
Q4 - 6:42ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
24.3%
66
75.7%
Q4 - 6:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)64
20.4%
66
79.6%
Q4 - 6:58MILBass BLOCK (3 BLK)64
22.0%
66
78.0%
Q4 - 7:19ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)64
25.9%
66
74.1%
Q4 - 7:19ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 264
27.8%
65
72.2%
Q4 - 7:33MILJennings 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Salmons 2 AST)64
25.5%
65
74.5%
Q4 - 7:59ORLHoward 3' Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)61
16.6%
65
83.4%
Q4 - 8:12MILHoward STEAL (3 STL)61
21.2%
63
78.8%
Q4 - 8:26ORLBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)61
25.7%
63
74.3%
Q4 - 8:26ORLMISS Bass Free Throw 1 of 261
26.5%
62
73.5%
Q4 - 8:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)61
25.8%
62
74.2%
Q4 - 8:34MILMISS Maggette 22' Jump Shot61
27.3%
62
72.7%
Q4 - 8:46ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T21)61
31.0%
62
69.0%
Q4 - 8:54ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
25.8%
62
74.2%
Q4 - 8:54MILMISS Gooden 18' Jump Shot61
27.3%
62
72.7%
Q4 - 9:06MILDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
30.8%
62
69.2%
Q4 - 9:07ORLMISS Bass Free Throw 2 of 261
30.1%
62
69.9%
Q4 - 9:07ORLBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)61
26.6%
62
73.4%
Q4 - 9:23MILJennings 3' Driving Layup (5 PTS)61
30.9%
61
69.1%
Q4 - 9:31MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
25.9%
61
74.1%
Q4 - 9:31ORLMISS Duhon 3' Jump Shot59
24.6%
61
75.4%
Q4 - 9:45MILMaggette 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gooden 4 AST)59
21.6%
61
78.4%
Q4 - 9:53MILBucks Rebound57
17.8%
61
82.2%
Q4 - 9:53MILMISS Jennings 3' Layup57
15.5%
61
84.5%
Q4 - 9:57ORLBass Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T20)57
17.8%
61
82.2%
Q4 - 10:16MILArenas STEAL (1 STL)57
15.0%
61
85.0%
Q4 - 10:22ORLDuhon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T19)57
18.1%
61
81.9%
Q4 - 10:32MILMaggette 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Gooden 3 AST)57
15.0%
61
85.0%
Q4 - 10:49ORLRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)55
12.3%
61
87.7%
Q4 - 10:49ORLMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 255
12.9%
60
87.1%
Q4 - 11:04ORLMAGIC Rebound55
12.8%
60
87.2%
Q4 - 11:05MILMISS Delfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
13.6%
60
86.4%
Q4 - 11:23ORLAnderson Foul Turnover (P2.T18)55
15.4%
60
84.6%
Q4 - 11:30ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
12.8%
60
87.2%
Q4 - 11:33MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 1' Layup55
13.5%
60
86.5%
Q4 - 11:48ORLArenas Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)55
15.4%
60
84.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL55
21.9%
57
78.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILGooden Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)55
22.2%
57
77.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILGooden Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)54
21.6%
57
78.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 353
20.9%
57
79.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0ORLArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)53
18.6%
57
81.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0ORLMISS Arenas Free Throw 1 of 253
19.1%
56
80.9%
Q3 - 0:25.0ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
18.8%
56
81.2%
Q3 - 0:26.0MILMISS Gooden 9' Jump Hook Shot53
19.7%
56
80.3%
Q3 - 0:41.0MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
21.9%
56
78.1%
Q3 - 0:43.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 10' Fadeaway Jumper53
20.9%
56
79.1%
Q3 - 0:56.0MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)53
18.8%
56
81.2%
Q3 - 1:17ORLHoward 4' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)50
13.4%
56
86.6%
Q3 - 1:36MILGooden 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Delfino 3 AST)50
16.0%
54
84.0%
Q3 - 1:43MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
13.3%
54
86.7%
Q3 - 1:46ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)48
11.4%
54
88.6%
Q3 - 1:46ORLMISS Howard 1' Tip Shot48
12.7%
54
87.3%
Q3 - 1:47ORLMISS Duhon 4' Running Jump Shot48
12.7%
54
87.3%
Q3 - 2:04ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)48
11.6%
54
88.4%
Q3 - 2:05MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
12.2%
54
87.8%
Q3 - 2:21ORLTurkoglu 2' Layup (10 PTS)48
13.6%
54
86.4%
Q3 - 2:26ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)48
16.0%
52
84.0%
Q3 - 2:27ORLMISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
17.8%
52
82.2%
Q3 - 2:44MILJennings Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)48
16.0%
52
84.0%
Q3 - 3:00ORLAnderson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T17)48
18.6%
52
81.4%
Q3 - 3:22MILSalmons 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS)48
16.0%
52
84.0%
Q3 - 3:38ORLAnderson 2' Driving Dunk (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)46
13.8%
52
86.2%
Q3 - 3:58MILSalmons Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T12)46
16.0%
50
84.0%
Q3 - 4:11ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)46
18.9%
50
81.1%
Q3 - 4:11ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)46
19.3%
49
80.7%
Q3 - 4:30MILDelfino 6' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)46
21.2%
48
78.8%
Q3 - 4:34MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)44
18.9%
48
81.1%
Q3 - 4:35MILTurkoglu BLOCK (1 BLK)44
16.8%
48
83.2%
Q3 - 4:47MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
18.9%
48
81.1%
Q3 - 4:50ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
15.9%
48
84.1%
Q3 - 4:50ORLMISS Anderson 2' Tip Shot44
18.0%
48
82.0%
Q3 - 4:52ORLMISS Nelson 12' Floating Jump Shot44
18.0%
48
82.0%
Q3 - 5:17ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)44
16.1%
48
83.9%
Q3 - 5:18MILMISS Salmons Free Throw 2 of 244
16.4%
48
83.6%
Q3 - 5:18MILSalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)44
18.1%
48
81.9%
Q3 - 5:29MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
16.4%
48
83.6%
Q3 - 5:31ORLMISS Nelson 13' Floating Jump Shot43
15.6%
48
84.4%
Q3 - 5:40ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
13.9%
48
86.1%
Q3 - 5:42MILMISS Jennings 27' 3PT Jump Shot43
14.6%
48
85.4%
Q3 - 6:25ORLNelson 20' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)43
16.4%
48
83.6%
Q3 - 6:37MILSalmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Delfino 2 AST)43
18.5%
46
81.5%
Q3 - 6:53ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P3.T16)40
14.3%
46
85.7%
Q3 - 7:11MILDelfino Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)40
12.5%
46
87.5%
Q3 - 7:12MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
14.3%
46
85.7%
Q3 - 7:12MILBass BLOCK (2 BLK)40
13.0%
46
87.0%
Q3 - 7:30MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
14.3%
46
85.7%
Q3 - 7:31ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
13.7%
46
86.3%
Q3 - 7:53MILDelfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)40
12.5%
46
87.5%
Q3 - 8:06ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)37
9.7%
46
90.3%
Q3 - 8:20ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
8.4%
46
91.6%
Q3 - 8:21MILMISS Jennings 27' 3PT Jump Shot37
8.8%
46
91.2%
Q3 - 8:30ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)37
9.7%
46
90.3%
Q3 - 8:48ORLMAGIC Rebound37
8.4%
46
91.6%
Q3 - 8:48MILMISS Delfino 27' 3PT Jump Shot37
8.7%
46
91.3%
Q3 - 9:02ORLNelson Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P3.T13)37
9.8%
46
90.2%
Q3 - 9:13MILHoward STEAL (2 STL)37
8.5%
46
91.5%
Q3 - 9:25MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
9.8%
46
90.2%
Q3 - 9:26ORLMISS Richardson 36' 3PT Jump Shot37
9.4%
46
90.6%
Q3 - 9:53MILBogut 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)37
8.5%
46
91.5%
Q3 - 10:10ORLHoward 14' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)35
7.6%
46
92.4%
Q3 - 10:33MILDelfino 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
8.7%
44
91.3%
Q3 - 10:58ORLBass 1' Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)33
7.6%
44
92.4%
Q3 - 11:04MILHoward STEAL (1 STL)33
8.9%
42
91.1%
Q3 - 11:23ORLTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)33
10.1%
42
89.9%
Q3 - 11:39ORLMAGIC Rebound33
8.9%
42
91.1%
Q3 - 11:39ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
9.7%
42
90.3%
Q3 - 11:46ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
8.9%
42
91.1%
Q3 - 11:48MILMISS Salmons 16' Jump Shot33
9.2%
42
90.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL33
10.1%
42
89.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)33
8.8%
42
91.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Duhon 3PT Jump Shot33
9.7%
42
90.3%
Q2 - 0:11.0MILRichardson STEAL (3 STL)33
9.4%
42
90.6%
Q2 - 0:16.0ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)33
10.3%
42
89.7%
Q2 - 0:28.0MILNelson STEAL (4 STL)33
9.4%
42
90.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
10.3%
42
89.7%
Q2 - 0:32.0ORLMISS Nelson 13' Floating Jump Shot33
10.0%
42
90.0%
Q2 - 0:51.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
9.3%
42
90.7%
Q2 - 0:54.0MILMISS Salmons 14' Pullup Jump Shot33
9.6%
42
90.4%
Q2 - 1:14ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)33
10.4%
42
89.6%
Q2 - 1:14ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 233
10.8%
41
89.2%
Q2 - 1:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)33
10.7%
41
89.3%
Q2 - 1:27MILMISS Mbah a Moute 9' Fadeaway Jumper33
11.0%
41
89.0%
Q2 - 1:41ORLHoward Lane Violation Turnover (P1.T10)33
11.7%
41
88.3%
Q2 - 1:41ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)33
10.8%
41
89.2%
Q2 - 1:48ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)33
12.0%
40
88.0%
Q2 - 1:48MILMISS Mbah a Moute 2' Driving Reverse Layup33
12.3%
40
87.7%
Q2 - 1:58MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
13.1%
40
86.9%
Q2 - 1:58ORLMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot33
12.7%
40
87.3%
Q2 - 2:05ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
11.9%
40
88.1%
Q2 - 2:07MILMISS Salmons 20' Fadeaway Jumper33
12.3%
40
87.7%
Q2 - 2:23ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)33
13.3%
40
86.7%
Q2 - 2:23ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 233
13.9%
39
86.1%
Q2 - 2:23ORLMAGIC Rebound33
13.3%
39
86.7%
Q2 - 2:23ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
14.4%
39
85.6%
Q2 - 2:48MILJennings Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)33
13.3%
39
86.7%
Q2 - 2:48MILJennings 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
11.9%
39
88.1%
Q2 - 2:54MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
10.7%
39
89.3%
Q2 - 2:55ORLMISS Richardson 4' Driving Jump Shot30
10.3%
39
89.7%
Q2 - 3:01MILRichardson STEAL (2 STL)30
9.5%
39
90.5%
Q2 - 3:17ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
10.8%
39
89.2%
Q2 - 3:17ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 230
11.3%
38
88.7%
Q2 - 3:37MILSalmons 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)30
10.6%
38
89.4%
Q2 - 4:02MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
8.7%
38
91.3%
Q2 - 4:02ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
8.4%
38
91.6%
Q2 - 4:21ORLDuhon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
7.7%
38
92.3%
Q2 - 4:22ORLMISS Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot27
8.4%
38
91.6%
Q2 - 4:48MILGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
7.7%
38
92.3%
Q2 - 4:48MILGooden 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)27
7.7%
38
92.3%
Q2 - 4:52MILMISS Delfino 2' Layup25
6.4%
38
93.6%
Q2 - 4:57ORLBass Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)25
7.0%
38
93.0%
Q2 - 5:00ORLBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
6.1%
38
93.9%
Q2 - 5:01ORLMISS Turkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot25
6.9%
38
93.1%
Q2 - 5:18MILRichardson STEAL (1 STL)25
6.4%
38
93.6%
Q2 - 5:41ORLBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)25
7.1%
38
92.9%
Q2 - 5:41ORLBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)25
7.2%
37
92.8%
Q2 - 5:42ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
7.9%
36
92.1%
Q2 - 5:44ORLMISS Nelson 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot25
8.5%
36
91.5%
Q2 - 5:58ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
7.9%
36
92.1%
Q2 - 5:59MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
8.2%
36
91.8%
Q2 - 6:22ORLNelson 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)25
9.2%
36
90.8%
Q2 - 6:32ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
10.1%
34
89.9%
Q2 - 6:33MILMISS Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
10.4%
34
89.6%
Q2 - 6:52ORLBass Illegal Assist Turnover (P3.T8)25
11.3%
34
88.7%
Q2 - 7:06MILMbah a Moute 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)25
10.2%
34
89.8%
Q2 - 7:26ORLAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)23
9.3%
34
90.7%
Q2 - 7:26ORLMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 223
9.4%
33
90.6%
Q2 - 7:26ORLMAGIC Rebound23
9.2%
33
90.8%
Q2 - 7:26MILMISS Mbah a Moute 19' Jump Shot23
9.5%
33
90.5%
Q2 - 7:38MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
10.3%
33
89.7%
Q2 - 7:38ORLMISS Arenas 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
9.9%
33
90.1%
Q2 - 7:57MILDooling 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)23
9.2%
33
90.8%
Q2 - 8:09ORLBass Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)20
7.8%
33
92.2%
Q2 - 8:22ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
7.0%
33
93.0%
Q2 - 8:22MILMISS Redd 3PT Jump Shot20
7.3%
33
92.7%
Q2 - 8:42ORLBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)20
7.8%
33
92.2%
Q2 - 8:42ORLMISS Bass Free Throw 1 of 220
7.9%
32
92.1%
Q2 - 8:46MILNelson STEAL (3 STL)20
7.8%
32
92.2%
Q2 - 8:54MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
8.6%
32
91.4%
Q2 - 8:55MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot20
8.0%
32
92.0%
Q2 - 9:17ORLBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
8.8%
32
91.2%
Q2 - 9:17ORLBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
8.9%
31
91.1%
Q2 - 9:21ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
9.6%
30
90.4%
Q2 - 9:22MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot20
9.9%
30
90.1%
Q2 - 9:32MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
10.6%
30
89.4%
Q2 - 9:35ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
10.3%
30
89.7%
Q2 - 9:43MILNelson STEAL (2 STL)20
9.6%
30
90.4%
Q2 - 9:50MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
10.6%
30
89.4%
Q2 - 9:51ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
10.3%
30
89.7%
Q2 - 10:17MILRedd 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
9.8%
30
90.2%
Q2 - 10:33MILBucks Rebound18
9.0%
30
91.0%
Q2 - 10:33MILMISS Maggette 10' Fadeaway Jumper18
8.3%
30
91.7%
Q2 - 10:47ORLArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
9.0%
30
91.0%
Q2 - 10:47ORLArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
9.1%
29
90.9%
Q2 - 11:01MILDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)18
10.0%
28
90.0%
Q2 - 11:01MILDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)17
9.8%
28
90.2%
Q2 - 11:15ORLBass 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)16
9.1%
28
90.9%
Q2 - 11:40MILDooling 22' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)16
9.9%
26
90.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL14
9.1%
26
90.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
9.1%
26
90.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
8.9%
26
91.1%
Q1 - 0:06.0ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
8.6%
26
91.4%
Q1 - 0:07.0MILMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
8.7%
26
91.3%
Q1 - 0:30.0MILGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
9.2%
26
90.8%
Q1 - 0:31.0ORLMISS Howard 3' Layup14
9.0%
26
91.0%
Q1 - 0:47.0MILGooden 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)14
8.5%
26
91.5%
Q1 - 1:03ORLHoward Layup (5 PTS)12
7.9%
26
92.1%
Q1 - 1:05ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)12
8.8%
24
91.2%
Q1 - 1:06ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
9.2%
24
90.8%
Q1 - 1:28MILBoykins 8' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
8.8%
24
91.2%
Q1 - 1:48ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)10
7.9%
24
92.1%
Q1 - 1:56ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
9.6%
21
90.4%
Q1 - 1:56MILMISS Gooden 18' Jump Shot10
9.8%
21
90.2%
Q1 - 2:14ORLTurkoglu 16' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)10
10.5%
21
89.5%
Q1 - 2:24MILDooling 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Maggette 1 AST)10
11.5%
19
88.5%
Q1 - 2:41ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)7
9.6%
19
90.4%
Q1 - 2:41ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 27
9.8%
18
90.2%
Q1 - 2:52MILMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
9.7%
18
90.3%
Q1 - 2:52MILMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
9.6%
18
90.4%
Q1 - 3:04MILGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
9.0%
18
91.0%
Q1 - 3:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)5
8.2%
18
91.8%
Q1 - 3:07ORLMISS Howard 1' Tip Shot5
8.7%
18
91.3%
Q1 - 3:08ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
8.7%
18
91.3%
Q1 - 3:31MILMaggette 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)5
8.2%
18
91.8%
Q1 - 3:47ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)3
7.6%
18
92.4%
Q1 - 4:00MILSanders Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
7.0%
18
93.0%
Q1 - 4:00MILMISS Sanders Free Throw 1 of 22
6.7%
18
93.3%
Q1 - 4:15ORLTurkoglu 19' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)2
7.0%
18
93.0%
Q1 - 4:33ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)2
7.6%
16
92.4%
Q1 - 4:34MILMISS Gooden 18' Jump Shot2
7.8%
16
92.2%
Q1 - 4:47ORLRichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)2
8.3%
16
91.7%
Q1 - 4:53MILTurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)2
7.6%
16
92.4%
Q1 - 5:00ORLBass Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)2
8.3%
16
91.7%
Q1 - 5:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)2
7.9%
16
92.1%
Q1 - 5:15MILMISS Gooden 20' Jump Shot2
8.1%
16
91.9%
Q1 - 5:38ORLNelson 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)2
8.6%
16
91.4%
Q1 - 5:54ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
9.2%
14
90.8%
Q1 - 5:54MILMISS Sanders 18' Jump Shot2
9.5%
14
90.5%
Q1 - 6:05MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.1%
14
89.9%
Q1 - 6:05ORLMISS Howard 7' Jump Hook Shot2
9.9%
14
90.1%
Q1 - 6:31MILGooden 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
9.4%
14
90.6%
Q1 - 6:46ORLRichardson 2' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)0
8.7%
14
91.3%
Q1 - 6:53MILNelson STEAL (1 STL)0
9.4%
12
90.6%
Q1 - 7:01MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.3%
12
89.7%
Q1 - 7:02ORLMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot0
10.0%
12
90.0%
Q1 - 7:11ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)0
9.5%
12
90.5%
Q1 - 7:11MILMISS Bogut 2' Hook Shot0
9.7%
12
90.3%
Q1 - 7:27ORLRichardson 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)0
10.3%
12
89.7%
Q1 - 7:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)0
11.0%
10
89.0%
Q1 - 7:43MILMISS Jennings 20' Jump Shot0
11.2%
10
88.8%
Q1 - 8:00ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)0
11.8%
10
88.2%
Q1 - 8:18ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
13.6%
7
86.4%
Q1 - 8:19MILMISS Salmons 11' Jump Shot0
13.9%
7
86.1%
Q1 - 8:37ORLNelson Foul Turnover (P1.T3)0
14.5%
7
85.5%
Q1 - 8:47ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.6%
7
86.4%
Q1 - 8:47MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 20
13.7%
7
86.3%
Q1 - 8:47MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 20
14.2%
7
85.8%
Q1 - 9:01ORLRichardson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)0
14.8%
7
85.2%
Q1 - 9:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)0
13.9%
7
86.1%
Q1 - 9:08MILMISS Delfino 17' Jump Shot0
14.1%
7
85.9%
Q1 - 9:19MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.8%
7
85.2%
Q1 - 9:20ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
14.5%
7
85.5%
Q1 - 9:25ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
13.8%
7
86.2%
Q1 - 9:25MILMISS Mbah a Moute 16' Jump Shot0
14.1%
7
85.9%
Q1 - 9:40ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
14.7%
7
85.3%
Q1 - 9:44ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
13.8%
7
86.2%
Q1 - 9:47MILBass BLOCK (1 BLK)0
14.1%
7
85.9%
Q1 - 10:09ORLNelson 15' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)0
15.1%
7
84.9%
Q1 - 10:21ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.9%
5
84.1%
Q1 - 10:21MILMISS Salmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
16.2%
5
83.8%
Q1 - 10:42ORLBass 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
17.0%
5
83.0%
Q1 - 10:59ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
17.9%
3
82.1%
Q1 - 11:00ORLMISS Richardson 15' Jump Shot0
18.8%
3
81.2%
Q1 - 11:09ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.0%
3
82.0%
Q1 - 11:10MILMISS Bogut 9' Jump Hook Shot0
18.3%
3
81.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.86 42.9%
ORL
0.92 45.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
12
19
63%
ORL
12
20
60%
Midrange
MIL
9
36
25%
ORL
12
26
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
6
9.0
20
30%
45%
ORL
2
3.0
21
10%
14%
Free Throws
MIL
12
17
71%
ORL
24
36
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Gooden1864%9.0 / 14
K. Dooling10100%5.0 / 5
J. Salmons945%4.5 / 10
B. Jennings827%4.0 / 15
C. Maggette867%4.0 / 6
C. Delfino732%3.5 / 11
C. Douglas-Roberts350%1.5 / 3
L. Mbah a Moute217%1.0 / 6
A. Bogut220%1.0 / 5
E. Boykins2100%1.0 / 1
M. Redd225%1.0 / 4
L. Sanders125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard1856%9.0 / 16
J. Nelson1753%8.5 / 16
B. Bass1381%6.5 / 8
H. Turkoglu1246%6.0 / 13
J. Richardson829%4.0 / 14
G. Arenas660%3.0 / 5
R. Anderson330%1.5 / 5
Q. Richardson117%0.5 / 3
C. Duhon0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
75
+8
-18
83
ORL
69
+13
-21
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.86 42.9%
ORL
0.92 45.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.9
108.1
MIL 77.4
ORL 86.7 +9.2
Pace
89.6
91.2
MIL 95.4 +7.6
ORL 87.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.6
15.6
MIL 15.1 +1.3
ORL 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.7%
52.1%
MIL 40.0%
ORL 40.3% +0.3%
TO %
13.9%
15.7%
MIL 17.9% +2.3%
ORL 20.2%
ORB %
24.8%
26.1%
MIL 9.5%
ORL 27.5% +18.0%
FTrt
28.7
32.8
MIL 22.7
ORL 53.7 +31.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.9%
55.3%
MIL 51.9% +5.7%
ORL 46.2%
STL %
8.3%
7.3%
MIL 9.7%
ORL 14.4% +4.7%
BLK %
7.9%
7.5%
MIL 4.3%
ORL 9.1% +4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.5%
53.8%
MIL 42.9%
ORL 45.9% +3.0%
Rim FG%
53.9%
61.7%
MIL 63.2% +3.2%
ORL 60.0%
Mid FG%
39.0%
40.4%
MIL 25.0%
ORL 46.2% +21.2%
3P %
34.2%
36.6%
MIL 30.0% +20.5%
ORL 9.5%
FT %
75.7%
69.2%
MIL 70.6% +3.9%
ORL 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
32.6%
MIL 25.3%
ORL 29.9% +4.5%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
34.5%
MIL 48.0%
ORL 38.8% +9.2%
3P Att. %
21.6%
32.8%
MIL 26.7%
ORL 31.3% +4.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.63 and 2.63.
Game TotalsMILORL
Possessions9390
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points7278
Rebounds3349
Assists1412
Steals913
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)21 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (4)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)38 (4)
Field Goals27-7526-67
At-the-Rim FG12-1912-20
Midrange FG9-3612-26
2-Point FG21-5524-46
3-Point FG6-202-21
Free Throws12-1724-36
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 170 · 22
36.8
8
27%
3
1
1
0
5
3
0
3
1-1
100%
2-8
25%
1-7
14%
F · 6'6" 230 · 29
33.8
7
32%
4
3
1
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
1-5
20%
G · 6'6" 210 · 31
32.3
9
45%
8
3
2
0
2
2
0
8
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
2-3
67%
F · 6'8" 230 · 25
28.4
2
17%
2
0
2
1
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 260 · 26
27.5
2
20%
6
1
0
0
1
5
1
5
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 250 · 30
25.7
18
64%
4
4
1
1
1
3
1
3
4-5
80%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 31
17.3
10
100%
2
0
1
0
5
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
F · 6'6" 225 · 31
15.7
8
67%
3
1
0
0
1
5
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 5'5" 133 · 35
7.7
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22
6.9
1
25%
0
0
1
0
0
3
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 32
4.2
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 210 · 24
3.9
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
#40 · F · 6'7" 255 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · F · 6'9" 235 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
72
43%
33
14
9
2
18
0
4
29
12-17
71%
21-55
38%
6-20
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.