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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 5, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Spurs60%9997
17Hawks40%9690
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.9
35.1
30.1
26
70%
5
4
1
1
0
2
0
5
6-6
100%
10-15
6-12
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.9
34.4
23.9
17
80%
6
3
1
1
0
0
2
4
5-6
83%
6-8
4-9
75%
51%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.7
30.7
27.6
18
61%
1
4
1
1
1
3
0
1
6-6
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
50%
0-2
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.8
30.4
26.7
5
36%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.6
26.5
20.3
9
57%
6
0
0
1
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
4-7
3-5
57%
49%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.9
33.6
26.4
13
66%
4
1
3
1
1
4
0
4
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
50%
1-2
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31.0
20.8
22.9
2
13%
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-7
1-3
14%
52%
0-1
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.5
15.5
19.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 22.0
13.1
16.4
7
51%
5
0
1
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
3-6
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26.3
13.5
0
2-3
53%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.8
8.8
0
1-1
49%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.8
6.4
0
0-1
51%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.5
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22.0
Da'Sean Butler
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.8
38.5
39.8
12
40%
9
5
1
1
2
1
1
8
0-0
-
6-15
7-13
40%
55%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.8
37.3
36.3
21
42%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
9-18
6-12
50%
49%
0-5
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.3
33.4
29.7
13
71%
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
5-5
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.8
29.1
26.2
8
57%
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.3
11.5
6.2
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.0
31.4
30.1
20
74%
1
2
1
1
0
4
0
1
1-1
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
46%
3-5
60%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.1
27.7
17.7
3
80%
2
1
3
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.8
15.2
13.7
8
59%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 31.2
9.5
3.2
3
80%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 33.0
3.3
2.5
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 26.4
3.1
2.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.2
3.7
0
1-1
44%
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 23.0
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.