FinalWin Prob.pScore
660%99
97
1740%96
90
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
111.58784.6
ATL logo ATL
102.38890.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASATL
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS97
100%
90
0%
Q4 - 0:11.0SASSpurs Rebound97
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0ATLMISS Teague 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0ATLHAWKS Rebound97
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)97
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 0:23.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)96
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 0:24.0ATLCrawford 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS)95
99.5%
90
0.5%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)95
99.7%
88
0.3%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)94
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)93
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 0:38.0ATLMISS Johnson 6' Driving Jump Shot93
98.7%
88
1.3%
Q4 - 0:49.0SASHorford STEAL (1 STL)93
97.0%
88
3.0%
Q4 - 1:10ATLHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)93
97.6%
88
2.4%
Q4 - 1:10ATLHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)93
97.9%
87
2.1%
Q4 - 1:10ATLHAWKS Rebound93
98.6%
86
1.4%
Q4 - 1:11SASMISS Ginobili 23' Jump Shot93
98.8%
86
1.2%
Q4 - 1:33SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
98.8%
86
1.2%
Q4 - 1:34ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
98.5%
86
1.5%
Q4 - 1:54SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)93
97.2%
86
2.8%
Q4 - 1:54SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 292
96.9%
86
3.1%
Q4 - 2:15ATLHinrich 3' Running Layup (11 PTS) (Horford 5 AST)92
97.6%
86
2.4%
Q4 - 2:21ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)92
98.3%
84
1.7%
Q4 - 2:22SASMISS Parker 5' Hook Shot92
98.6%
84
1.4%
Q4 - 2:42ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)92
99.1%
84
0.9%
Q4 - 2:42ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)92
99.2%
83
0.8%
Q4 - 2:57SASMcDyess 2' Running Layup (9 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)92
99.0%
82
1.0%
Q4 - 3:15SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)90
98.7%
82
1.3%
Q4 - 3:17SASMISS McDyess Free Throw 2 of 290
97.9%
82
2.1%
Q4 - 3:17SASMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)90
98.3%
82
1.7%
Q4 - 3:31ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)89
96.0%
82
4.0%
Q4 - 3:31ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 289
96.2%
81
3.8%
Q4 - 3:46SASParker 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS)89
96.1%
81
3.9%
Q4 - 4:12ATLJohnson 7' Driving Jump Shot (18 PTS)87
94.8%
81
5.2%
Q4 - 4:33SASParker 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS)87
96.4%
79
3.6%
Q4 - 4:54SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)85
94.9%
79
5.1%
Q4 - 4:56ATLMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
94.3%
79
5.7%
Q4 - 5:19SASMcDyess Foul Turnover (P2.T12)85
90.2%
79
9.8%
Q4 - 5:26SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
93.0%
79
7.0%
Q4 - 5:27ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot85
92.2%
79
7.8%
Q4 - 5:46SASMcDyess 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)85
90.3%
79
9.7%
Q4 - 5:59SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
87.2%
79
12.8%
Q4 - 6:01ATLMISS Johnson 6' Driving Jump Shot83
84.2%
79
15.8%
Q4 - 6:16ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)83
81.0%
79
19.0%
Q4 - 6:17SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot83
82.5%
79
17.5%
Q4 - 6:28SASGinobili Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (18 PTS)83
85.6%
79
14.4%
Q4 - 6:28SASGinobili Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (17 PTS)82
85.1%
79
14.9%
Q4 - 6:48ATLJohnson 19' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)81
76.4%
79
23.6%
Q4 - 7:04SASHill Foul Turnover (P4.T11)81
80.1%
77
19.9%
Q4 - 7:18ATLJohnson 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)81
84.5%
77
15.5%
Q4 - 7:35SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)81
87.6%
75
12.4%
Q4 - 7:35SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)80
87.2%
75
12.8%
Q4 - 7:50ATLHinrich Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS)79
84.5%
75
15.5%
Q4 - 7:50ATLHinrich Free Throw 2 of 3 (8 PTS)79
85.1%
74
14.9%
Q4 - 7:50ATLHinrich Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)79
85.8%
73
14.2%
Q4 - 8:06SASGinobili Driving Layup (14 PTS)79
89.2%
72
10.8%
Q4 - 8:19SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
86.5%
72
13.5%
Q4 - 8:22ATLMISS Williams 8' Hook Shot77
85.6%
72
14.4%
Q4 - 8:46SASHill 1' Running Layup (13 PTS)77
83.3%
72
16.7%
Q4 - 8:50ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)75
79.3%
72
20.7%
Q4 - 9:05SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)75
74.0%
72
26.0%
Q4 - 9:05SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)74
73.4%
72
26.6%
Q4 - 9:17ATLThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)73
69.1%
72
30.9%
Q4 - 9:17ATLThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)73
70.8%
71
29.2%
Q4 - 9:17ATLThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
74.0%
70
26.0%
Q4 - 9:20ATLMISS Teague 11' Floating Jump Shot73
77.1%
70
22.9%
Q4 - 9:32SASBlair Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)73
74.0%
70
26.0%
Q4 - 9:32SASMISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 272
72.5%
70
27.5%
Q4 - 9:44ATLWilkins 10' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)72
74.0%
70
26.0%
Q4 - 9:57SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)72
78.4%
68
21.6%
Q4 - 9:57SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)71
77.8%
68
22.2%
Q4 - 10:08ATLWilkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)70
73.3%
68
26.7%
Q4 - 10:08ATLMISS Wilkins Free Throw 1 of 270
74.2%
67
25.8%
Q4 - 10:10ATLWilkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
73.3%
67
26.7%
Q4 - 10:14SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
74.6%
67
25.4%
Q4 - 10:30SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
77.5%
67
22.5%
Q4 - 10:31ATLMISS Crawford 15' Jump Shot70
76.3%
67
23.7%
Q4 - 10:50SASGinobili 6' Driving Jump Shot (10 PTS)70
73.3%
67
26.7%
Q4 - 11:05ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)68
68.2%
67
31.8%
Q4 - 11:05ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)68
68.9%
66
31.1%
Q4 - 11:21ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
72.7%
65
27.3%
Q4 - 11:22SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
76.7%
65
23.3%
Q4 - 11:22SASMISS Blair 1' Tip Shot68
74.0%
65
26.0%
Q4 - 11:24SASMISS Hill 2' Running Layup68
74.0%
65
26.0%
Q4 - 11:30SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
76.7%
65
23.3%
Q4 - 11:31ATLMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot68
75.6%
65
24.4%
Q4 - 11:45SASGinobili 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS)68
72.7%
65
27.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS66
68.2%
65
31.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)66
68.2%
65
31.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
63.4%
65
36.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASMISS Blair 1' Running Dunk66
64.8%
65
35.2%
Q3 - 0:18.0SASSpurs Rebound66
67.7%
65
32.3%
Q3 - 0:19.0ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot66
66.5%
65
33.5%
Q3 - 0:33.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
63.5%
65
36.5%
Q3 - 0:35.0SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot66
64.8%
65
35.2%
Q3 - 0:53.0ATLHorford 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)66
67.7%
65
32.3%
Q3 - 1:07ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
72.0%
63
28.0%
Q3 - 1:09SASHorford BLOCK (2 BLK)66
73.1%
63
26.9%
Q3 - 1:10SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
75.5%
63
24.5%
Q3 - 1:11SASMISS Bonner 19' Jump Shot66
73.1%
63
26.9%
Q3 - 1:34SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
75.5%
63
24.5%
Q3 - 1:36ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
74.5%
63
25.5%
Q3 - 1:58SASHill 2' Running Layup (9 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)66
72.1%
63
27.9%
Q3 - 2:15ATLCrawford 3' Driving Layup (18 PTS)64
67.3%
63
32.7%
Q3 - 2:28SASHill Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)64
71.4%
61
28.6%
Q3 - 2:43SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
75.0%
61
25.0%
Q3 - 2:46ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot64
74.0%
61
26.0%
Q3 - 2:52ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
71.5%
61
28.5%
Q3 - 2:53SASMISS Jefferson 1' Reverse Layup64
72.6%
61
27.4%
Q3 - 2:58ATLCrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)64
75.1%
61
24.9%
Q3 - 3:19SASParker 1' Driving Reverse Layup (18 PTS)64
71.4%
61
28.6%
Q3 - 3:34SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
67.7%
61
32.3%
Q3 - 3:36ATLMISS Johnson 19' Turnaround Jump Shot62
66.5%
61
33.5%
Q3 - 4:01SASParker 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)62
63.1%
61
36.9%
Q3 - 4:22ATLCrawford 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)60
59.7%
61
40.3%
Q3 - 4:43SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
67.2%
58
32.8%
Q3 - 4:43SASBonner 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)60
67.2%
58
32.8%
Q3 - 4:45SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot58
60.5%
58
39.5%
Q3 - 4:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
63.9%
58
36.1%
Q3 - 4:54ATLMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot58
62.4%
58
37.6%
Q3 - 5:01ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
58.9%
58
41.1%
Q3 - 5:02SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
60.2%
58
39.8%
Q3 - 5:15ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)58
63.3%
58
36.7%
Q3 - 5:28SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)58
66.7%
56
33.3%
Q3 - 5:28SASSpurs Rebound58
70.7%
56
29.3%
Q3 - 5:28SASHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)58
68.0%
56
32.0%
Q3 - 5:55ATLJohnson 12' Driving Jump Shot (10 PTS)58
70.8%
56
29.2%
Q3 - 6:11SASParker 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)58
73.6%
54
26.4%
Q3 - 6:33ATLWilliams Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)56
70.7%
54
29.3%
Q3 - 6:53SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)56
66.9%
54
33.1%
Q3 - 7:07ATLJohnson 9' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)54
63.2%
54
36.8%
Q3 - 7:29SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)54
66.6%
52
33.4%
Q3 - 7:29SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)53
65.9%
52
34.1%
Q3 - 7:40ATLHinrich Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)52
63.3%
52
36.7%
Q3 - 7:44SASPachulia STEAL (3 STL)52
59.4%
52
40.6%
Q3 - 7:54SASSpurs Rebound52
63.3%
52
36.7%
Q3 - 7:54ATLMISS Horford 7' Running Jump Shot52
62.1%
52
37.9%
Q3 - 8:16SASMcDyess Foul Turnover (P1.T7)52
59.5%
52
40.5%
Q3 - 8:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
63.3%
52
36.7%
Q3 - 8:23ATLMISS Horford 21' Jump Shot52
62.2%
52
37.8%
Q3 - 8:36SASParker 5' Driving Jump Shot (10 PTS)52
59.5%
52
40.5%
Q3 - 9:01SASSpurs Rebound50
56.2%
52
43.8%
Q3 - 9:02ATLMISS Horford 1' Driving Reverse Layup50
55.1%
52
44.9%
Q3 - 9:25SASJefferson 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)50
52.5%
52
47.5%
Q3 - 9:41ATLHinrich 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)48
48.8%
52
51.2%
Q3 - 9:56SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)48
52.4%
50
47.6%
Q3 - 9:56SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 247
51.7%
50
48.3%
Q3 - 9:58SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
52.5%
50
47.5%
Q3 - 10:01SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot47
50.7%
50
49.3%
Q3 - 10:18ATLHinrich 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)47
53.2%
50
46.8%
Q3 - 10:40SASGinobili 18' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)47
56.6%
48
43.4%
Q3 - 10:59SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
53.1%
48
46.9%
Q3 - 11:01ATLMISS Johnson 20' Fadeaway Jumper45
52.8%
48
47.2%
Q3 - 11:20SASJefferson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)45
50.2%
48
49.8%
Q3 - 11:38ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)43
46.9%
48
53.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS43
50.1%
46
49.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
53.8%
46
46.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Johnson 3' Driving Jump Shot43
53.1%
46
46.9%
Q2 - 0:10.0SASDuncan Running Layup (14 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)43
51.3%
46
48.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
47.2%
46
52.8%
Q2 - 0:31.0ATLMISS Horford 21' Jump Shot41
46.4%
46
53.6%
Q2 - 0:49.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)41
44.6%
46
55.4%
Q2 - 0:49.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)40
43.7%
46
56.3%
Q2 - 1:07ATLWilliams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)39
41.3%
46
58.7%
Q2 - 1:14ATLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
39.0%
46
61.0%
Q2 - 1:15SASMISS Hill 6' Jump Shot39
39.7%
46
60.3%
Q2 - 1:35ATLHorford 1' Driving Dunk (10 PTS)39
41.3%
46
58.7%
Q2 - 1:54SASParker 3' Layup (8 PTS)39
45.3%
44
54.7%
Q2 - 2:16ATLHinrich 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)37
42.3%
44
57.7%
Q2 - 2:29ATLHAWKS Rebound37
45.3%
42
54.7%
Q2 - 2:30SASMISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
46.3%
42
53.7%
Q2 - 2:49SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
48.5%
42
51.5%
Q2 - 2:51ATLMISS Johnson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot37
47.5%
42
52.5%
Q2 - 3:10SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)37
46.0%
42
54.0%
Q2 - 3:10SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)36
45.2%
42
54.8%
Q2 - 3:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
43.4%
42
56.6%
Q2 - 3:25SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot35
40.9%
42
59.1%
Q2 - 3:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
43.4%
42
56.6%
Q2 - 3:46ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot35
42.3%
42
57.7%
Q2 - 4:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
40.6%
42
59.4%
Q2 - 4:07SASDuncan 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)35
40.6%
42
59.4%
Q2 - 4:08SASMISS Ginobili 14' Jump Shot33
35.8%
42
64.2%
Q2 - 4:16SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
37.9%
42
62.1%
Q2 - 4:22ATLMISS Johnson 2' Layup33
37.0%
42
63.0%
Q2 - 4:40SASGinobili 20' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)33
34.8%
42
65.2%
Q2 - 4:57ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)31
32.4%
42
67.6%
Q2 - 5:08ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
36.0%
40
64.0%
Q2 - 5:09SASMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot31
36.8%
40
63.2%
Q2 - 5:33ATLCrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)31
38.6%
40
61.4%
Q2 - 5:58SASMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)31
44.4%
37
55.6%
Q2 - 6:07SASSpurs Rebound29
42.3%
37
57.7%
Q2 - 6:07SASMISS Neal 21' Jump Shot29
40.1%
37
59.9%
Q2 - 6:13ATLCrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)29
42.3%
37
57.7%
Q2 - 6:29SASHill 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)29
39.1%
37
60.9%
Q2 - 6:46ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)26
34.2%
37
65.8%
Q2 - 7:00SASWilkins STEAL (1 STL)26
36.4%
35
63.6%
Q2 - 7:22ATLPachulia 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)26
40.2%
35
59.8%
Q2 - 7:36SASBlair 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)26
42.8%
33
57.2%
Q2 - 7:44SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
40.2%
33
59.8%
Q2 - 7:46ATLMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
39.3%
33
60.7%
Q2 - 7:59ATLCrawford Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)24
37.4%
33
62.6%
Q2 - 8:09ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
41.1%
32
58.9%
Q2 - 8:13SASMISS Bonner 7' Driving Jump Shot24
41.9%
32
58.1%
Q2 - 8:35ATLTeague 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Wilkins 1 AST)24
43.7%
32
56.3%
Q2 - 8:40SASPachulia STEAL (2 STL)24
46.3%
30
53.7%
Q2 - 8:54ATLWilliams 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)24
49.0%
30
51.0%
Q2 - 8:59ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
51.7%
28
48.3%
Q2 - 9:02SASMISS Hill 10' Driving Jump Shot24
52.8%
28
47.2%
Q2 - 9:13ATLCrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)24
54.7%
28
45.3%
Q2 - 9:29SASHill 4' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
52.0%
28
48.0%
Q2 - 9:43ATLCrawford 1' Running Layup (9 PTS)22
49.5%
28
50.5%
Q2 - 9:48SASCrawford STEAL (1 STL)22
52.0%
26
48.0%
Q2 - 10:05ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)22
54.6%
26
45.4%
Q2 - 10:18SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
56.9%
24
43.1%
Q2 - 10:30SASSpurs Rebound20
54.7%
24
45.3%
Q2 - 10:30SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
52.7%
24
47.3%
Q2 - 10:51ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
54.7%
24
45.3%
Q2 - 10:51ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
55.1%
23
44.9%
Q2 - 11:00SASBlair 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)20
56.9%
22
43.1%
Q2 - 11:01SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
54.6%
22
45.4%
Q2 - 11:03SASMISS Blair 3' Layup18
52.8%
22
47.2%
Q2 - 11:19SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
54.6%
22
45.4%
Q2 - 11:20ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 218
54.2%
22
45.8%
Q2 - 11:20ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
52.7%
22
47.3%
Q2 - 11:38SASBlair 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)18
54.4%
21
45.6%
Q2 - 11:45SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
52.1%
21
47.9%
Q2 - 11:47ATLMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot16
51.3%
21
48.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS16
49.4%
21
50.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound16
52.1%
21
47.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 28' 3PT Jump Shot16
50.2%
21
49.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0ATLCrawford Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)16
52.0%
21
48.0%
Q1 - 0:06.0SASTeague STEAL (1 STL)16
50.1%
21
49.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
52.0%
21
48.0%
Q1 - 0:27.0ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot16
51.4%
21
48.6%
Q1 - 0:46.0SASHill 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)16
50.0%
21
50.0%
Q1 - 0:57.0ATLCrawford 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)14
47.1%
21
52.9%
Q1 - 1:10ATLHAWKS Rebound14
50.8%
19
49.2%
Q1 - 1:10SASMISS Bonner 7' Jump Shot14
51.3%
19
48.7%
Q1 - 1:31ATLCrawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)14
52.5%
19
47.5%
Q1 - 1:45SASPachulia STEAL (1 STL)14
57.8%
16
42.2%
Q1 - 1:53SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
59.4%
16
40.6%
Q1 - 1:55ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
58.9%
16
41.1%
Q1 - 2:20ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
57.8%
16
42.2%
Q1 - 2:21SASMISS Bonner 9' Running Hook Shot14
58.4%
16
41.6%
Q1 - 2:46ATLCrawford 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)14
59.8%
16
40.2%
Q1 - 2:57ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
62.3%
14
37.7%
Q1 - 2:58SASMISS Neal 7' Running Hook Shot14
62.9%
14
37.1%
Q1 - 3:06SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
64.6%
14
35.4%
Q1 - 3:09ATLMISS Horford 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot14
63.9%
14
36.1%
Q1 - 3:26ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
62.4%
14
37.6%
Q1 - 3:29SASMISS Bonner 5' Driving Jump Shot14
63.0%
14
37.0%
Q1 - 3:43ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
64.5%
14
35.5%
Q1 - 3:43ATLHorford Putback Layup (6 PTS)14
64.5%
14
35.5%
Q1 - 3:45ATLMISS Johnson 17' Fadeaway Jumper14
68.0%
12
32.0%
Q1 - 3:53ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
66.5%
12
33.5%
Q1 - 3:55SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot14
67.2%
12
32.8%
Q1 - 4:08ATLJohnson 21' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)14
68.6%
12
31.4%
Q1 - 4:27SASDuncan 8' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)14
70.3%
10
29.7%
Q1 - 4:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
68.6%
10
31.4%
Q1 - 4:52ATLMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot12
68.0%
10
32.0%
Q1 - 5:10ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
66.1%
10
33.9%
Q1 - 5:11SASMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot12
66.7%
10
33.3%
Q1 - 5:33ATLJohnson Backcourt Turnover (P1.T2)12
68.2%
10
31.8%
Q1 - 6:00SASDuncan 11' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)12
66.1%
10
33.9%
Q1 - 6:26ATLJohnson 7' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
64.4%
10
35.6%
Q1 - 6:46SASParker 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)10
66.2%
8
33.8%
Q1 - 7:02ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)8
64.5%
8
35.5%
Q1 - 7:24SASMcDyess 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)8
66.2%
6
33.8%
Q1 - 7:43ATLJohnson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
64.5%
6
35.5%
Q1 - 7:48ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
66.2%
4
33.8%
Q1 - 7:51ATLMISS Hinrich 14' Fadeaway Jumper6
67.6%
4
32.4%
Q1 - 8:10SASParker 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
66.5%
4
33.5%
Q1 - 8:28SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
64.7%
4
35.3%
Q1 - 8:30ATLMISS Hinrich 17' Jump Shot4
64.1%
4
35.9%
Q1 - 8:35ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
62.9%
4
37.1%
Q1 - 8:36SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
64.7%
4
35.3%
Q1 - 8:36SASMISS McDyess 1' Tip Shot4
63.4%
4
36.6%
Q1 - 8:38SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Shot4
63.4%
4
36.6%
Q1 - 8:54SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
64.7%
4
35.3%
Q1 - 8:56ATLMISS Johnson 7' Turnaround Jump Shot4
64.1%
4
35.9%
Q1 - 9:09SASParker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)4
63.3%
4
36.7%
Q1 - 9:24ATLWilliams 3' Running Layup (2 PTS)4
65.0%
4
35.0%
Q1 - 9:29ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
66.8%
2
33.2%
Q1 - 9:31SASMISS Ginobili 4' Driving Jump Shot4
67.3%
2
32.7%
Q1 - 9:45SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
68.4%
2
31.6%
Q1 - 9:46ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
67.9%
2
32.1%
Q1 - 10:13SASParker 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
66.5%
2
33.5%
Q1 - 10:25SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
65.1%
2
34.9%
Q1 - 10:27ATLMISS Hinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
64.5%
2
35.5%
Q1 - 10:35ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
63.2%
2
36.8%
Q1 - 10:36SASMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot2
63.8%
2
36.2%
Q1 - 10:57ATLHorford 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)2
65.1%
2
34.9%
Q1 - 11:17SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
66.5%
0
33.5%
Q1 - 11:33ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
64.9%
0
35.1%
Q1 - 11:44ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
63.5%
0
36.5%
Q1 - 11:46SASMISS Ginobili 15' Jump Shot0
63.9%
0
36.1%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Horford vs. Duncan: Tip to Parker0
64.9%
0
35.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.07 53.3%
ATL
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
20
30
67%
ATL
11
14
79%
Midrange
SAS
16
36
44%
ATL
21
45
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
1
1.5
8
13%
19%
ATL
3
4.5
13
23%
35%
Free Throws
SAS
22
26
85%
ATL
17
20
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2668%13.0 / 19
M. Ginobili1864%9.0 / 14
T. Duncan1777%8.5 / 11
G. Hill1365%6.5 / 10
A. McDyess956%4.5 / 8
D. Blair750%3.5 / 7
R. Jefferson536%2.5 / 7
M. Bonner213%1.0 / 8
G. Neal0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2142%10.5 / 25
J. Crawford2077%10.0 / 13
K. Hinrich1372%6.5 / 9
A. Horford1240%6.0 / 15
M. Williams857%4.0 / 7
J. Teague857%4.0 / 7
Z. Pachulia375%1.5 / 2
D. Wilkins375%1.5 / 2
E. Thomas2100%1.0 / 1
J. Collins0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
75
+13
-12
88
ATL
77
+4
-11
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.07 53.3%
ATL
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.5
105.9
SAS 111.5 +9.2
ATL 102.3
Pace
92.7
89.5
SAS 84.6
ATL 90.5 +5.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.4
SAS 17.0
ATL 15.9 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
50.1%
SAS 50.7%
ATL 50.7%
TO %
13.8%
14.2%
SAS 13.2%
ATL 12.0% +1.2%
ORB %
25.0%
23.5%
SAS 29.0% +19.9%
ATL 9.1%
FTrt
29.9
26.9
SAS 35.1 +7.3
ATL 27.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.3%
60.7%
SAS 37.8%
ATL 48.6% +10.8%
STL %
7.9%
6.8%
SAS 8.0%
ATL 8.0%
BLK %
6.7%
6.6%
SAS 3.4% +0.4%
ATL 3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
52.8%
SAS 53.3%
ATL 55.6% +2.3%
Rim FG%
60.3%
60.0%
SAS 66.7%
ATL 78.6% +11.9%
Mid FG%
41.6%
42.5%
SAS 44.4%
ATL 46.7% +2.3%
3P %
39.7%
35.2%
SAS 12.5%
ATL 23.1% +10.6%
FT %
76.7%
78.0%
SAS 84.6%
ATL 85.0% +0.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.3%
30.4%
SAS 40.5% +21.1%
ATL 19.4%
Mid Att. %
39.7%
47.4%
SAS 48.6% +13.9%
ATL 62.5%
3P Att. %
26.1%
22.2%
SAS 10.8%
ATL 18.1% +7.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsSASATL
Possessions8788
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points9790
Rebounds3925
Assists1417
Steals77
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)3 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (4)22 (3)
Field Goals37-7435-72
At-the-Rim FG20-3011-14
Midrange FG16-3621-45
2-Point FG36-6632-59
3-Point FG1-83-13
Free Throws22-2617-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 29
35.1
26
68%
5
4
1
0
2
2
0
5
6-6
100%
10-15
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 250 · 35
34.4
17
77%
6
3
1
0
0
0
2
4
5-6
83%
6-8
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 34
30.7
18
64%
1
4
1
1
3
3
0
1
6-6
100%
6-10
60%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 233 · 31
30.4
5
36%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 37
26.5
9
56%
6
0
0
0
2
3
1
5
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 25
33.6
13
65%
4
1
3
1
4
3
0
4
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
1-2
50%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31
20.8
2
13%
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-7
14%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 27
15.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 22
13.1
7
50%
5
0
1
0
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24
F · 6'10" 225 · 28
#11 · G · 6'2" 175 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#44 · F · 6'7" 230 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
53%
39
14
7
2
12
0
9
30
22-26
85%
36-66
55%
1-8
13%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.