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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 3, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Mavericks34%9496
3Trail Blazers66%100104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 32.8
35.3
33.8
16
53%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
6-7
86%
5-11
7-14
45%
51%
0-1
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 32.9
28.2
28.1
19
80%
5
1
0
1
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
7-10
5-10
70%
52%
1-1
100%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 38.0
27.2
29.1
0
0%
2
4
3
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-5
0%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.1
24.6
13.7
18
65%
0
4
0
0
0
2
0
0
4-4
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
52%
2-4
50%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 31.3
23.4
10.3
5
53%
11
1
0
0
1
1
3
8
1-4
25%
2-3
1-2
67%
55%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.5
25.9
29.8
4
31%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
0-3
4-8
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 24.4
19.2
9.3
7
75%
5
2
1
0
0
0
1
4
3-6
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.8
16.9
25.2
12
60%
0
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
48%
2-4
50%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 30.0
12.9
10.1
5
63%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
1-3
33%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.9
12.0
4.5
3
75%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
39%
1-2
50%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 33.8
10.1
19.9
3
150%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
1-1
100%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 25.1
4.3
8.1
4
106%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 28.5
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 31.1
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.7
36.6
37.1
19
81%
8
3
3
1
0
3
0
8
2-4
50%
7-8
4-9
88%
50%
1-2
50%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 25.7
35.0
38.0
18
53%
8
2
0
1
0
0
3
5
0-0
-
9-17
8-16
53%
51%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 24.5
28.8
26.8
16
76%
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
8-8
100%
4-5
3-5
80%
49%
0-2
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.0
26.8
32.6
10
51%
3
1
1
1
0
4
0
3
2-2
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 37.0
24.0
21.2
4
67%
7
1
1
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
46%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 22.3
34.8
28.7
15
67%
3
4
2
1
0
0
0
3
3-5
60%
3-4
3-5
75%
55%
2-5
40%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 26.7
25.3
18.2
9
46%
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-7
3-5
29%
49%
1-2
50%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 26.0
20.9
22.7
11
71%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
1-3
33%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 25.7
5.9
3.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.6
0.8
5.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.8
0.8
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.1
2.0
0
0-1
46%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 23.2
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.