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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 3, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Cavaliers17%99107
13Knicks83%111123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 22.6
34.9
30.9
23
59%
8
0
1
1
0
3
1
7
3-6
50%
10-17
6-13
59%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 35.8
28.6
28.3
11
62%
4
5
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-2
0%
4-6
2-5
67%
45%
1-2
50%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 23.8
28.3
22.7
11
83%
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
4
6-6
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 32.0
25.6
22.9
22
74%
1
6
2
1
0
4
0
1
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
45%
5-8
63%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.5
19.6
27.9
4
106%
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-1
3-5
100%
56%
0-0
-
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 22.2
28.4
8.9
9
51%
9
0
0
0
1
5
3
6
1-4
25%
4-7
2-3
57%
48%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.1
26.3
23.0
9
50%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
42%
1-5
20%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.0
21.4
25.4
10
38%
2
8
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
5-12
5-10
42%
47%
0-1
0%
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.2
13.1
24.7
3
50%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
47%
1-3
33%
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 21.8
11.7
16.5
5
64%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-2
2-4
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.8
1.0
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Manny Harris
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.5
1.0
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.5
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.8
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.4
38.9
33.5
28
55%
7
0
1
1
2
2
2
5
10-12
83%
9-20
9-16
45%
56%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.8
34.7
36.8
25
57%
5
3
2
1
1
1
1
4
9-9
100%
8-14
8-15
57%
51%
0-4
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 34.5
32.8
31.7
23
79%
1
7
2
1
0
2
0
1
6-6
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
48%
3-7
43%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.4
19.8
14.9
9
85%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
3-3
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
49%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.8
19.3
21.7
2
17%
2
2
3
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
58%
0-2
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 29.4
25.8
17.9
0
0%
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.0
24.9
25.4
11
55%
3
6
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
51%
3-6
50%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 35.8
19.0
14.0
4
50%
3
4
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.5
13.3
9.5
13
103%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
3-3
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
59%
2-3
67%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.1
11.6
21.5
8
100%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
2-2
100%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 28.2
17.7
0
2-3
59%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.6
5.3
0
0-1
47%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.7
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.6
Andy Rautins
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.