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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 3, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat78%103108
25Nets22%9394
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 26.3
38.7
39.5
31
72%
11
7
3
2
0
7
2
9
5-8
63%
13-16
9-15
81%
56%
0-2
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27.0
36.9
35.0
16
66%
7
2
0
1
1
2
1
6
4-7
57%
6-9
7-13
67%
52%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.7
27.7
15.0
10
58%
14
0
0
0
2
1
2
12
4-6
67%
3-6
1-2
50%
61%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.2
27.1
35.9
18
61%
3
5
0
2
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
6-11
8-15
55%
54%
1-2
50%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.9
26.6
29.7
5
50%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
1-3
33%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.5
24.2
26.4
10
102%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
43%
3-4
75%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.1
21.4
11.1
4
33%
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
52%
0-3
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.8
20.0
5.4
11
56%
4
1
1
0
1
2
2
2
1-2
50%
5-9
1-1
56%
50%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.9
17.4
8.7
3
24%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-3
33%
1-4
0-1
25%
51%
0-1
0%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.9
16.4
1
1-3
44%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.6
14.0
0
1-1
53%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.1
8.5
0
1-2
47%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.9
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.1
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.8
41.4
29.1
18
49%
3
12
1
1
0
4
0
3
2-3
67%
8-13
3-7
62%
48%
0-4
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 23.0
40.6
28.0
16
48%
3
3
1
0
0
2
2
1
6-8
75%
5-13
6-13
38%
49%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 27.1
38.4
23.4
12
43%
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
6
1-2
50%
1-6
2-4
17%
43%
3-7
43%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.5
23.0
28.1
7
35%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
47%
1-5
20%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.5
3.5
15.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
51%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.5
34.7
23.2
17
58%
9
0
3
0
0
0
3
6
5-6
83%
6-10
2-5
60%
44%
0-2
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.3
20.6
23.2
13
55%
0
1
2
1
0
2
0
0
4-4
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
3-7
43%
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.8
19.9
9.0
2
33%
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.2
8.7
9.6
4
52%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-2
0%
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 25.2
8.5
15.6
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.0
0.8
11.9
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
13.0
0
1-3
46%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25.0
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.