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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 1, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Nuggets66%10599
22Kings34%10090
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.5
33.5
28.4
12
52%
12
6
1
1
0
1
3
9
4-6
67%
4-9
5-8
44%
60%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.6
30.0
31.9
9
35%
4
3
0
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
3-10
3-5
30%
49%
1-3
33%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 33.3
30.0
14.8
14
64%
4
0
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
7-11
2-4
64%
50%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 23.4
27.9
30.7
8
40%
4
4
2
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-10
4-8
40%
55%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.5
25.5
19.2
11
53%
5
4
0
0
0
0
0
5
1-1
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
54%
0-2
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 26.8
29.1
30.5
17
71%
4
2
1
1
0
5
0
4
7-9
78%
2-3
3-7
67%
47%
2-5
40%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.6
19.9
28.6
10
57%
3
1
3
1
0
3
1
2
3-4
75%
2-4
3-7
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.9
18.0
29.0
4
106%
5
1
0
1
2
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-1
4-7
100%
51%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.1
11.7
20.9
2
33%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.7
11.6
17.2
10
71%
3
0
0
0
3
0
1
2
0-0
-
5-7
2-3
71%
58%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 24.7
2.9
3.6
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.1
8.2
0
1-2
50%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 32.9
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 23.8
39.1
37.3
11
34%
7
5
1
1
1
2
2
5
3-5
60%
4-8
5-11
50%
48%
0-6
0%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 21.5
36.4
24.0
13
45%
5
4
1
1
0
3
0
5
5-8
63%
4-10
4-9
40%
47%
0-1
0%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 20.6
34.1
29.3
10
28%
8
5
2
1
1
4
4
4
4-6
67%
3-15
6-12
20%
46%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.9
30.6
20.4
10
63%
12
0
1
0
1
2
2
10
0-0
-
5-8
3-7
63%
51%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 29.2
26.4
20.3
17
67%
1
2
2
1
1
2
1
0
3-4
75%
4-5
2-4
80%
50%
2-6
33%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.7
32.5
36.7
11
45%
3
3
3
1
0
1
2
1
5-5
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
53%
0-5
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.7
19.1
29.7
11
63%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-4
25%
5-7
4-8
71%
50%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 23.1
9.6
16.4
4
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 25.4
8.7
6.4
2
100%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.8
3.5
11.5
1
17%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Pooh Jeter
G · 5'11" 175 · 27.3
5.8
0
1-2
45%
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.3
4.4
0
1-1
49%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.8
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.