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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 1, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Spurs42%102114
11Rockets58%104119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.9
41.9
29.0
31
66%
3
6
2
1
0
3
2
1
1-1
100%
15-20
6-12
75%
52%
0-3
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.7
38.5
28.7
23
56%
7
6
3
1
0
2
1
6
7-8
88%
5-11
3-7
45%
49%
2-6
33%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.9
36.4
25.1
23
59%
13
2
1
1
1
3
4
9
5-8
63%
9-16
5-9
56%
50%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.8
25.5
30.9
5
63%
1
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
1-1
100%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.6
25.0
21.5
5
43%
7
0
0
1
1
1
1
6
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.9
31.4
27.3
5
53%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31.0
25.1
22.4
0
0%
5
1
0
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-5
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.5
21.1
21.4
10
71%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
2-4
50%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.9
15.7
16.8
8
57%
2
0
0
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
4-7
3-5
57%
52%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26.2
3.8
14.7
4
63%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-5
40%
1-1
2-4
100%
53%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22.0
0.6
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.8
7.8
0
0-1
50%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.8
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.5
Da'Sean Butler
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 25.0
45.3
33.4
14
50%
6
5
0
1
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
2-6
33%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 28.2
42.4
31.7
33
63%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
13-14
93%
4-10
5-10
40%
47%
4-10
40%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.9
41.5
27.2
21
50%
14
6
1
1
0
6
3
11
7-7
100%
7-18
6-12
39%
51%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 27.8
38.4
33.7
10
42%
12
3
3
1
1
0
4
8
0-0
-
5-12
4-8
42%
52%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 22.9
33.6
33.7
12
51%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
4-7
4-8
57%
50%
1-4
25%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.5
30.1
22.6
12
77%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
3-4
2-5
75%
48%
1-2
50%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.0
23.4
20.4
12
60%
4
1
0
0
1
0
3
1
0-0
-
6-10
3-6
60%
53%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.9
7.7
14.3
5
63%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
48%
1-1
100%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.7
2.5
10.7
0
0%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 35.0
4.1
0
0-1
48%
Mike Harris
F · 6'6" 242 · 27.8
3.3
0
0-1
46%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.7
2.8
0
0-1
45%
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 30.5
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 24.1
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.