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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 1, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat82%107111
28Timberwolves18%9592
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 26.3
42.9
39.4
27
58%
6
10
3
2
1
3
2
4
5-7
71%
11-19
9-16
58%
56%
0-1
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27.0
36.9
35.4
24
61%
11
1
1
1
0
4
1
10
6-6
100%
9-17
7-13
53%
52%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.2
34.4
37.8
32
69%
5
2
2
2
2
4
2
3
4-5
80%
14-18
9-16
78%
54%
0-3
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.9
30.1
30.7
9
63%
5
7
0
1
0
0
1
4
3-5
60%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
2-4
50%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.7
16.9
14.1
3
80%
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
60%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.5
27.7
26.6
7
117%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
42%
1-1
100%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.9
20.1
14.4
7
44%
3
3
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
1-4
25%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.6
15.0
13.0
1
35%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.1
12.8
5.8
1
27%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.1
2.3
10.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.8
1.1
7.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.9
3.9
0
0-1
48%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.8
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.9
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 22.6
35.6
21.5
18
55%
7
3
0
0
1
0
3
4
8-10
80%
5-11
3-6
45%
48%
0-1
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.1
35.0
26.1
14
59%
3
9
3
1
0
6
0
3
1-2
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
48%
3-5
60%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.2
28.6
29.9
13
59%
1
1
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
5-8
6-13
63%
47%
1-3
33%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.7
21.4
21.5
6
29%
2
0
2
1
1
2
0
2
2-3
67%
2-6
2-5
33%
44%
0-3
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.8
9.5
27.2
2
25%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
48%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 24.3
28.7
15.8
22
85%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
46%
4-5
80%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.3
26.4
22.0
5
42%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
43%
1-2
50%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
21.2
24.9
5
83%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 21.7
14.4
21.1
4
29%
4
1
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-7
4-9
29%
46%
0-0
-
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.1
13.0
20.3
3
31%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 25.2
3.4
15.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.3
3.0
5.8
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 25.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.