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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 1, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bucks47%9388
21Pacers53%9489
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 21.5
37.2
38.6
20
51%
7
3
2
1
0
3
3
4
2-4
50%
6-12
5-12
50%
42%
2-6
33%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.6
34.0
30.6
10
59%
7
2
1
1
0
0
3
4
0-1
0%
5-8
4-7
63%
49%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.3
33.1
35.5
16
67%
6
0
1
1
2
1
1
5
2-2
100%
7-11
6-12
64%
52%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 31.3
29.3
35.8
8
37%
3
3
1
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
4-10
50%
45%
0-4
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28.6
19.0
37.0
0
0%
2
1
2
2
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
44%
0-4
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 29.5
28.2
16.7
8
31%
10
1
0
0
1
0
2
8
2-4
50%
3-9
3-7
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.9
23.3
13.2
9
64%
0
4
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
3-5
60%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 31.4
22.3
3.8
13
75%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
4-6
67%
3-5
1-1
60%
50%
1-1
100%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 34.8
7.4
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 31.6
5.6
12.9
4
52%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22.4
0.6
15.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
47%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.2
4.5
0
1-1
47%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.9
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.6
36.9
26.3
11
58%
3
7
1
1
1
3
0
3
1-1
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
49%
0-1
0%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 27.9
33.1
30.1
17
54%
5
3
1
1
0
2
2
3
6-6
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
47%
1-3
33%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 24.3
31.8
29.2
15
54%
11
0
0
1
4
4
1
10
1-2
50%
7-13
5-10
54%
49%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 25.4
30.6
23.8
11
45%
7
0
0
1
0
1
4
3
3-5
60%
4-10
4-9
40%
46%
0-0
-
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.9
23.5
20.9
6
43%
5
0
0
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.7
24.5
26.6
12
75%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
2-4
50%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 24.1
17.4
24.2
4
34%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
57%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 34.2
16.3
15.0
4
50%
6
1
0
0
0
0
4
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 30.5
14.9
16.4
2
25%
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-2
0%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.5
11.1
19.9
7
55%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-3
33%
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.3
9.9
0
1-3
49%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 34.2
3.8
0
0-0
47%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.7
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 28.0
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 20.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.