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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 31, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Celtics42%93107
9Spurs58%9697
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 35.7
41.3
34.3
13
48%
0
3
1
1
1
4
0
0
6-6
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
51%
1-4
25%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 25.1
41.2
29.2
22
53%
5
14
0
2
0
0
2
3
0-2
0%
11-19
4-8
58%
50%
0-1
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.5
36.7
34.4
21
58%
11
7
1
1
1
2
3
8
4-5
80%
7-11
4-8
64%
50%
1-5
20%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 34.9
28.0
28.7
20
78%
9
0
0
1
1
3
0
9
2-2
100%
9-12
5-10
75%
51%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.7
10.1
21.5
0
0%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
49%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 25.2
32.2
30.8
16
67%
8
1
1
1
0
0
1
7
0-0
-
8-12
5-11
67%
46%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
17.0
23.2
8
57%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.7
15.6
20.5
2
33%
3
3
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 32.5
11.2
5.4
5
102%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 27.4
4.3
5.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 25.7
2.4
2.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.7
8.0
0
1-1
45%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 39.1
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.3
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 30.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.8
35.6
28.3
14
64%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
4-8
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.9
34.6
24.1
23
62%
4
8
2
1
0
2
0
4
5-6
83%
9-15
5-10
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.7
33.3
26.4
9
35%
3
6
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
1-6
17%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.9
33.1
19.6
20
70%
13
3
1
0
2
5
2
11
4-5
80%
8-11
4-7
73%
50%
0-1
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.6
27.0
16.8
6
38%
5
1
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
49%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.9
22.8
30.9
6
55%
1
2
1
1
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
3-7
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31.0
21.0
23.2
8
44%
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
2-6
33%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.5
17.6
24.0
8
33%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
47%
0-4
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.9
10.7
20.5
3
39%
4
0
1
1
1
0
2
2
1-2
50%
1-3
3-7
33%
52%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26.2
4.2
22.2
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
51%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.8
11.6
0
1-1
50%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22.0
8.1
0
0-1
46%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.5
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.8
Da'Sean Butler
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.