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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 30, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Mavericks65%103106
20Clippers35%98100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 32.8
37.0
33.7
24
54%
6
3
1
1
0
4
0
6
5-7
71%
8-16
7-14
50%
52%
1-3
33%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 38.0
29.4
31.0
5
31%
0
10
1
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
1-4
25%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 32.9
27.6
30.1
10
56%
9
1
0
1
1
0
2
7
0-0
-
5-9
6-11
56%
53%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 28.5
25.0
29.8
6
34%
3
0
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-4
0%
3-7
4-7
43%
62%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.1
13.0
16.7
8
50%
2
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
54%
0-2
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.5
32.1
29.3
6
25%
2
7
3
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-9
4-8
22%
50%
0-2
0%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 33.8
21.5
20.5
11
69%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
45%
3-4
75%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.8
21.0
20.6
22
89%
2
6
2
0
0
1
0
2
8-10
80%
4-5
3-6
80%
49%
2-3
67%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 31.3
20.3
10.7
6
69%
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
4
0-3
0%
3-3
1-2
100%
56%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.9
6.6
4.3
6
150%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
2-2
100%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 30.0
3.8
5.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-1
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 24.4
2.8
8.2
2
100%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
56%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.5
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 25.1
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 31.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.3
45.1
34.3
15
35%
2
5
0
1
0
1
2
0
7-8
88%
4-12
5-10
33%
50%
0-6
0%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 22.0
37.0
36.1
25
71%
17
3
3
1
0
3
2
15
5-8
63%
10-13
8-15
77%
51%
0-1
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 28.3
30.8
31.3
19
64%
3
5
0
1
0
4
1
2
9-9
100%
2-3
4-8
67%
46%
2-8
25%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.9
25.9
29.4
12
60%
8
1
1
0
0
2
1
7
0-0
-
6-10
6-13
60%
49%
0-0
-
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 28.6
12.5
14.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 27.5
28.6
26.5
12
67%
0
4
1
1
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
2-4
50%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.7
22.7
20.9
9
92%
8
1
0
0
1
2
3
5
1-2
50%
4-4
2-4
100%
65%
0-0
-
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 30.8
14.6
6.2
3
150%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
1-1
100%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 27.4
11.1
10.7
5
66%
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
3-4
75%
1-2
2-3
50%
56%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.5
10.1
16.6
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-2
0%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 21.3
1.7
14.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.5
3.0
0
0-1
52%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 30.3
Willie Warren
G · 6'4" 203 · 21.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.