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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 30, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Trail Blazers55%9491
17Hornets45%9295
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 25.7
39.4
37.6
24
58%
15
2
1
1
0
0
5
10
2-4
50%
11-18
7-14
61%
50%
0-1
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.7
38.1
36.4
14
62%
10
3
0
1
1
2
2
8
3-3
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
49%
1-3
33%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.0
37.3
33.4
19
69%
3
5
0
1
0
2
2
1
3-4
75%
8-12
5-10
67%
47%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 24.5
32.9
29.2
7
50%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
48%
1-2
50%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 22.3
22.5
28.3
2
13%
1
0
0
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-5
3-5
0%
53%
0-2
0%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 26.0
21.0
20.9
7
41%
3
4
0
1
1
1
0
3
1-1
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
44%
0-3
0%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 26.7
20.9
19.4
5
36%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 37.0
17.3
20.1
0
0%
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.6
10.6
5.4
13
130%
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
45%
3-3
100%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 25.7
3.9
0
0-1
49%
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.1
2.0
0
0-1
44%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.8
1.9
0
0-0
47%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 21.8
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.9
45.2
35.5
11
34%
7
12
4
2
0
1
0
7
3-3
100%
4-13
5-9
31%
52%
0-2
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 28.5
40.0
29.9
15
64%
10
0
1
1
3
2
4
6
3-6
50%
6-9
4-7
67%
56%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.5
38.7
29.6
21
54%
6
0
1
1
1
1
4
2
7-10
70%
7-15
5-10
47%
53%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 25.7
28.6
32.7
8
51%
3
2
0
1
2
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
0-3
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.0
25.6
23.1
16
102%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
4-5
80%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.4
25.4
19.8
8
45%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
0-3
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.7
22.8
19.9
12
61%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
3-6
3-5
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25.1
8.2
5.4
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
47%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.3
3.5
14.9
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
Patrick Ewing
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.9
1.6
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.1
0.5
9.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 30.8
5.3
0
1-1
49%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.4
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.6
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.