FinalWin Prob.pScore
184%106
123
3016%93
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
133.79287.3
WAS logo WAS
116.39297.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAWAS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA123
100%
107
0%
Q4 - 0:11.0WASCrawford 28' 3PT Jump Shot (39 PTS)123
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAHouse 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)123
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0WASMartin Foul Turnover (P2.T14)120
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)120
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)119
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)118
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0WASMISS Blatche 1' Layup118
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (35 PTS)118
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17WASCrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)116
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 1:21MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 8 AST)116
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 1:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)113
99.7%
104
0.3%
Q4 - 1:40WASMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot113
99.6%
104
0.4%
Q4 - 1:59MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 7 AST)113
99.4%
104
0.6%
Q4 - 2:25WASBlatche 11' Driving Bank Shot (14 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)110
98.6%
104
1.4%
Q4 - 2:41MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)110
98.9%
102
1.1%
Q4 - 2:41MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)109
98.8%
102
1.2%
Q4 - 2:47MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)108
98.6%
102
1.4%
Q4 - 2:48MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot108
97.7%
102
2.3%
Q4 - 3:12WASEvans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Crawford 4 AST)108
98.1%
102
1.9%
Q4 - 3:37MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (31 PTS)108
98.5%
99
1.5%
Q4 - 3:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)106
98.0%
99
2.0%
Q4 - 4:00WASMISS Evans 7' Jump Shot106
97.7%
99
2.3%
Q4 - 4:11WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)106
97.0%
99
3.0%
Q4 - 4:12MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 2106
97.2%
99
2.8%
Q4 - 4:12MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 2106
97.8%
99
2.2%
Q4 - 4:12WASCrawford Free Throw Technical (36 PTS)106
98.0%
99
2.0%
Q4 - 4:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)106
98.6%
98
1.4%
Q4 - 4:16WASMISS Crawford 8' Jump Shot106
98.5%
98
1.5%
Q4 - 4:22MIAWade Layup (33 PTS)106
98.0%
98
2.0%
Q4 - 4:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)104
97.1%
98
2.9%
Q4 - 4:24MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot104
96.2%
98
3.8%
Q4 - 4:39WASEvans 2' Tip Shot (18 PTS)104
97.2%
98
2.8%
Q4 - 4:41WASEvans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)104
98.0%
96
2.0%
Q4 - 4:43WASMISS Blatche 3' Layup104
98.5%
96
1.5%
Q4 - 5:08MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)104
97.2%
96
2.8%
Q4 - 5:08MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2103
97.0%
96
3.0%
Q4 - 5:17WASCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)103
97.2%
96
2.8%
Q4 - 5:17WASCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)103
97.4%
95
2.6%
Q4 - 5:26MIAJames 1' Slam Dunk (29 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)103
98.0%
94
2.0%
Q4 - 5:30WASCrawford Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)101
97.3%
94
2.7%
Q4 - 5:48MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)101
96.1%
94
3.9%
Q4 - 6:15WASJeffers 12' Running Bank Shot (15 PTS) (Blatche 2 AST)98
92.4%
94
7.6%
Q4 - 6:33MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)98
94.1%
92
5.9%
Q4 - 6:33MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)97
93.9%
92
6.1%
Q4 - 6:44MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
92.4%
92
7.6%
Q4 - 6:46WASMISS Martin 21' Jump Shot96
91.6%
92
8.4%
Q4 - 7:02MIAJames 2' Finger Roll Layup (24 PTS)96
89.7%
92
10.3%
Q4 - 7:30WASCrawford 15' Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)94
87.1%
92
12.9%
Q4 - 7:35WASMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
89.7%
90
10.3%
Q4 - 7:36MIASeraphin BLOCK (1 BLK)94
90.5%
90
9.5%
Q4 - 7:53WASSeraphin Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)94
92.2%
90
7.8%
Q4 - 8:06WASJeffers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)94
89.6%
90
10.4%
Q4 - 8:07MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot94
90.3%
90
9.7%
Q4 - 8:22WASCrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)94
91.7%
90
8.3%
Q4 - 8:32MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P2.T13)94
89.6%
90
10.4%
Q4 - 8:42MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)94
91.7%
90
8.3%
Q4 - 8:43WASMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot94
91.1%
90
8.9%
Q4 - 9:08MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (30 PTS)94
89.1%
90
10.9%
Q4 - 9:28WASCrawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Blatche 1 AST)91
83.5%
90
16.5%
Q4 - 9:33WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)91
89.2%
87
10.8%
Q4 - 9:38WASMISS Blatche 5' Jump Shot91
90.7%
87
9.3%
Q4 - 9:54MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)91
89.2%
87
10.8%
Q4 - 10:06WASJeffers 1' Putback Layup (13 PTS)88
83.5%
87
16.5%
Q4 - 10:08WASJeffers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)88
86.3%
85
13.7%
Q4 - 10:12WASMISS Martin 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
88.1%
85
11.9%
Q4 - 10:18WASSeraphin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)88
86.3%
85
13.7%
Q4 - 10:20MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot88
87.2%
85
12.8%
Q4 - 10:38MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)88
88.8%
85
11.2%
Q4 - 10:39MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
87.2%
85
12.8%
Q4 - 11:05WASCrawford 27' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)88
88.5%
85
11.5%
Q4 - 11:26WASJeffers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
92.2%
82
7.8%
Q4 - 11:27MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot88
92.7%
82
7.3%
Q4 - 11:47MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)88
93.7%
82
6.3%
Q4 - 11:48WASMISS Blatche Free Throw 2 of 288
93.5%
82
6.5%
Q4 - 11:48WASBlatche Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)88
92.6%
82
7.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA88
93.7%
81
6.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound88
94.8%
81
5.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot88
93.7%
81
6.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0WASEvans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)88
94.4%
81
5.6%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)88
96.3%
78
3.7%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 287
96.2%
78
3.8%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
96.3%
78
3.7%
Q3 - 0:42.0WASMISS Crawford 11' Jump Shot87
96.1%
78
3.9%
Q3 - 1:06MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)87
95.3%
78
4.7%
Q3 - 1:26WASCrawford 8' Jump Shot (25 PTS)84
93.1%
78
6.9%
Q3 - 1:43MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (House 2 AST)84
94.4%
76
5.6%
Q3 - 2:15WASEvans 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)81
91.6%
76
8.4%
Q3 - 2:19WASEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
92.9%
74
7.1%
Q3 - 2:20WASMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
93.7%
74
6.3%
Q3 - 2:36WASJeffers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
93.0%
74
7.0%
Q3 - 2:37MIAMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
93.3%
74
6.7%
Q3 - 2:57WASMcGee Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)81
94.1%
74
5.9%
Q3 - 2:57WASMcGee Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)81
94.4%
73
5.6%
Q3 - 3:09MIABibby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)81
95.0%
72
5.0%
Q3 - 3:19WASMcGee Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)81
95.8%
72
4.2%
Q3 - 3:19WASMISS McGee Free Throw 1 of 281
96.1%
71
3.9%
Q3 - 3:24WASJeffers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
95.8%
71
4.2%
Q3 - 3:25MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
96.0%
71
4.0%
Q3 - 3:34MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)81
96.5%
71
3.5%
Q3 - 3:35MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot81
96.0%
71
4.0%
Q3 - 3:57WASJeffers Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)81
96.5%
71
3.5%
Q3 - 3:57WASMISS Jeffers Free Throw 1 of 281
96.6%
70
3.4%
Q3 - 4:14MIABosh 2' Layup (19 PTS) (James 6 AST)81
96.3%
70
3.7%
Q3 - 4:37WASJeffers 2' Driving Dunk (10 PTS)79
95.7%
70
4.3%
Q3 - 4:55MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)79
96.3%
68
3.7%
Q3 - 4:55MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)78
96.2%
68
3.8%
Q3 - 4:55MIAJames Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)77
95.7%
68
4.3%
Q3 - 5:07MIAHeat Rebound76
94.6%
68
5.4%
Q3 - 5:07WASMISS Evans 21' Jump Shot76
94.3%
68
5.7%
Q3 - 5:20MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)76
93.5%
68
6.5%
Q3 - 5:36WASCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)73
91.3%
68
8.7%
Q3 - 5:36WASCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)73
91.6%
67
8.4%
Q3 - 5:43WASMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
92.5%
66
7.5%
Q3 - 5:44MIAMISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot73
92.8%
66
7.2%
Q3 - 6:06WASMcGee 1' Layup (9 PTS)73
93.6%
66
6.4%
Q3 - 6:08WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
94.4%
64
5.6%
Q3 - 6:09WASMISS Blatche 1' Layup73
95.1%
64
4.9%
Q3 - 6:16MIABlatche STEAL (3 STL)73
94.4%
64
5.6%
Q3 - 6:35WASCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)73
95.3%
64
4.7%
Q3 - 6:35WASCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)73
95.4%
63
4.6%
Q3 - 6:52MIAJames 1' Dunk (18 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)73
95.9%
62
4.1%
Q3 - 7:05WASEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)71
95.0%
62
5.0%
Q3 - 7:05WASEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)71
95.1%
61
4.9%
Q3 - 7:06MIAEvans STEAL (2 STL)71
95.7%
60
4.3%
Q3 - 7:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
96.3%
60
3.7%
Q3 - 7:10WASMISS McGee 5' Jump Shot71
96.1%
60
3.9%
Q3 - 7:29MIAWade 3' Reverse Layup (24 PTS) (James 5 AST)71
95.7%
60
4.3%
Q3 - 7:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)69
95.0%
60
5.0%
Q3 - 7:36WASMISS Yi 18' Jump Shot69
94.8%
60
5.2%
Q3 - 7:43WASYi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
94.2%
60
5.8%
Q3 - 7:44WASMISS Crawford 21' Jump Shot69
94.8%
60
5.2%
Q3 - 7:47WASCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
94.2%
60
5.8%
Q3 - 7:49MIAEvans BLOCK (1 BLK)69
94.5%
60
5.5%
Q3 - 8:05MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
94.9%
60
5.1%
Q3 - 8:06WASMISS McGee Layup69
94.7%
60
5.3%
Q3 - 8:25MIABosh 1' Dunk (17 PTS) (James 4 AST)69
94.1%
60
5.9%
Q3 - 8:37WASMartin Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9)67
93.3%
60
6.7%
Q3 - 8:50MIAYi STEAL (1 STL)67
92.2%
60
7.8%
Q3 - 8:54MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
93.3%
60
6.7%
Q3 - 8:55WASMISS Martin 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
93.0%
60
7.0%
Q3 - 9:03WASCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
92.2%
60
7.8%
Q3 - 9:05MIAMcGee BLOCK (4 BLK)67
92.5%
60
7.5%
Q3 - 9:24WASCrawford 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS)67
93.2%
60
6.8%
Q3 - 9:28WASCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
94.1%
58
5.9%
Q3 - 9:30MIAMcGee BLOCK (3 BLK)67
94.3%
58
5.7%
Q3 - 9:47WASCrawford 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)67
94.9%
58
5.1%
Q3 - 10:00WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
95.5%
56
4.5%
Q3 - 10:01MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
95.7%
56
4.3%
Q3 - 10:32WASCrawford 6' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS)67
96.1%
56
3.9%
Q3 - 10:55MIABosh 2' Running Layup (15 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)67
96.6%
54
3.4%
Q3 - 11:14WASMcGee 1' Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)65
96.0%
54
4.0%
Q3 - 11:35MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)65
96.5%
52
3.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0WAS63
96.0%
52
4.0%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)63
95.3%
52
4.7%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)62
95.2%
52
4.8%
Q2 - 0:25.0WASMartin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Shakur 1 AST)61
94.6%
52
5.4%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)61
95.9%
49
4.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)60
95.8%
49
4.2%
Q2 - 0:51.0WASBlatche Foul Turnover (P1.T8)59
95.2%
49
4.8%
Q2 - 1:06MIABibby 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)59
94.7%
49
5.3%
Q2 - 1:20MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
93.0%
49
7.0%
Q2 - 1:21WASMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 256
92.9%
49
7.1%
Q2 - 1:21WASMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)56
92.3%
49
7.7%
Q2 - 1:39MIAWade 1' Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (James 3 AST)56
93.2%
48
6.8%
Q2 - 1:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
92.1%
48
7.9%
Q2 - 1:43WASMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
91.9%
48
8.1%
Q2 - 2:00MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)54
91.4%
48
8.6%
Q2 - 2:00MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)53
91.2%
48
8.8%
Q2 - 2:14MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Technical52
90.2%
48
9.8%
Q2 - 2:14WASCrawford 10' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)52
90.2%
48
9.8%
Q2 - 2:28MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)52
91.2%
46
8.8%
Q2 - 2:40WASJeffers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)49
89.0%
46
11.0%
Q2 - 2:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)49
87.6%
46
12.4%
Q2 - 2:51MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)48
87.4%
46
12.6%
Q2 - 3:00MIAHeat Rebound47
86.2%
46
13.8%
Q2 - 3:00WASMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
85.7%
46
14.3%
Q2 - 3:15MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)47
85.0%
46
15.0%
Q2 - 3:15MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)46
84.7%
46
15.3%
Q2 - 3:17WASCrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)45
83.7%
46
16.3%
Q2 - 3:31WASJeffers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
81.5%
46
18.5%
Q2 - 3:32MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup45
82.2%
46
17.8%
Q2 - 3:46WASEvans 14' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)45
83.6%
46
16.4%
Q2 - 3:52WASEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
85.0%
44
15.0%
Q2 - 3:53MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot45
85.5%
44
14.5%
Q2 - 3:56MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
86.7%
44
13.3%
Q2 - 4:00MIAMcGee BLOCK (2 BLK)45
85.5%
44
14.5%
Q2 - 4:16WASBlatche 1' Layup (11 PTS)45
86.8%
44
13.2%
Q2 - 4:20WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
88.1%
42
11.9%
Q2 - 4:21WASMISS Jeffers Free Throw 2 of 245
89.2%
42
10.8%
Q2 - 4:21WASJeffers Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)45
88.5%
42
11.5%
Q2 - 4:25MIABlatche STEAL (2 STL)45
89.3%
41
10.7%
Q2 - 4:43WASCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)45
90.5%
41
9.5%
Q2 - 4:43WASCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)45
90.7%
40
9.3%
Q2 - 5:02MIABosh 3' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)45
91.5%
39
8.5%
Q2 - 5:18WASCrawford Foul Turnover (P1.T5)43
90.5%
39
9.5%
Q2 - 5:30MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)43
89.5%
39
10.5%
Q2 - 5:36WASJeffers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)41
88.3%
39
11.7%
Q2 - 5:54WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
87.0%
39
13.0%
Q2 - 5:55MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 141
87.2%
39
12.8%
Q2 - 6:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
85.6%
39
14.4%
Q2 - 6:01WASMISS Crawford 18' Jump Shot39
85.1%
39
14.9%
Q2 - 6:17MIAWade 3' Layup (12 PTS) (House 1 AST)39
83.9%
39
16.1%
Q2 - 6:33MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
82.6%
39
17.4%
Q2 - 6:34WASMISS Evans 17' Jump Shot37
82.0%
39
18.0%
Q2 - 6:55MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)37
80.6%
39
19.4%
Q2 - 7:10WASJeffers 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)37
83.0%
39
17.0%
Q2 - 7:19WASEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
84.5%
37
15.5%
Q2 - 7:20MIAMISS Bosh 3' Jump Shot37
84.9%
37
15.1%
Q2 - 7:40MIAHeat Rebound37
85.9%
37
14.1%
Q2 - 7:41MIAMISS House 16' Jump Shot37
84.9%
37
15.1%
Q2 - 7:48MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
85.9%
37
14.1%
Q2 - 7:49WASMISS Crawford 4' Jump Shot37
85.5%
37
14.5%
Q2 - 8:00MIAJames Foul Turnover (P2.T6)37
84.4%
37
15.6%
Q2 - 8:05MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
86.1%
37
13.9%
Q2 - 8:07MIAMISS Bosh 8' Jump Shot37
85.2%
37
14.8%
Q2 - 8:22MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
86.1%
37
13.9%
Q2 - 8:23WASMISS Yi 18' Jump Shot37
85.7%
37
14.3%
Q2 - 8:35MIAJeffers STEAL (1 STL)37
84.7%
37
15.3%
Q2 - 8:48MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 237
86.1%
37
13.9%
Q2 - 8:48MIAMagloire Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
86.8%
37
13.2%
Q2 - 8:48WASMISS Ndiaye Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 236
84.8%
37
15.2%
Q2 - 8:48WASMISS Ndiaye Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 236
83.8%
37
16.2%
Q2 - 9:01WASMcGee Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
84.9%
37
15.1%
Q2 - 9:01WASMISS McGee Free Throw 1 of 236
85.3%
36
14.7%
Q2 - 9:04WASJeffers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
84.9%
36
15.1%
Q2 - 9:06MIAMcGee BLOCK (1 BLK)36
85.3%
36
14.7%
Q2 - 9:34WASEvans 11' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)36
86.2%
36
13.8%
Q2 - 9:45WASWIZARDS Rebound36
87.3%
34
12.7%
Q2 - 9:45WASMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot36
88.2%
34
11.8%
Q2 - 10:05MIAIlgauskas 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)36
87.1%
34
12.9%
Q2 - 10:27WASJeffers Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)34
86.0%
34
14.0%
Q2 - 10:31WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
88.2%
31
11.8%
Q2 - 10:32MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
88.6%
31
11.4%
Q2 - 10:51MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
89.3%
31
10.7%
Q2 - 10:52WASMISS Crawford 16' Jump Shot34
89.0%
31
11.0%
Q2 - 11:01MIAJames 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)34
88.0%
31
12.0%
Q2 - 11:21WASJeffers 2' Layup (2 PTS)32
87.0%
31
13.0%
Q2 - 11:23WASJeffers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
88.0%
29
12.0%
Q2 - 11:24WASMISS Jeffers 2' Layup32
88.8%
29
11.2%
Q2 - 11:34WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
88.0%
29
12.0%
Q2 - 11:35MIAMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot32
88.4%
29
11.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA32
89.1%
29
10.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0WASWall Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)32
89.1%
29
10.9%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T4)32
88.2%
29
11.8%
Q1 - 0:10.0WASWall Backcourt Turnover (P1.T2)32
88.9%
29
11.1%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)32
88.1%
29
11.9%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
86.9%
29
13.1%
Q1 - 0:24.0WASMISS Wall 7' Jump Shot30
86.6%
29
13.4%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIABlatche STEAL (1 STL)30
85.9%
29
14.1%
Q1 - 1:05WASWall 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)30
87.0%
29
13.0%
Q1 - 1:10MIASeraphin STEAL (1 STL)30
88.3%
27
11.7%
Q1 - 1:15MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
89.0%
27
11.0%
Q1 - 1:16MIAMISS James 6' Jump Shot30
88.5%
27
11.5%
Q1 - 1:27MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
89.0%
27
11.0%
Q1 - 1:28WASMISS Blatche 2' Layup30
88.8%
27
11.2%
Q1 - 1:47MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)30
88.3%
27
11.7%
Q1 - 2:05WASBlatche 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)28
87.1%
27
12.9%
Q1 - 2:13WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
88.2%
25
11.8%
Q1 - 2:15MIAMISS James 4' Jump Shot28
88.5%
25
11.5%
Q1 - 2:28MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
89.1%
25
10.9%
Q1 - 2:29WASMISS Crawford 3PT Jump Shot28
88.8%
25
11.2%
Q1 - 2:37WASSeraphin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
88.2%
25
11.8%
Q1 - 2:38WASMISS Blatche 16' Jump Shot28
88.8%
25
11.2%
Q1 - 2:52WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
88.2%
25
11.8%
Q1 - 2:53MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 228
88.4%
25
11.6%
Q1 - 2:53MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)28
89.0%
25
11.0%
Q1 - 3:09WASBlatche 1' Layup (7 PTS)27
88.5%
25
11.5%
Q1 - 3:23MIAWade 2' Dunk (10 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)27
89.3%
23
10.7%
Q1 - 3:42WASBlatche 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wall 4 AST)25
88.4%
23
11.6%
Q1 - 3:58MIAWade 2' Layup (8 PTS)25
89.3%
21
10.7%
Q1 - 4:15WASMcGee 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)23
88.6%
21
11.4%
Q1 - 4:18WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
89.4%
19
10.6%
Q1 - 4:19WASMISS Blatche 5' Jump Shot23
90.0%
19
10.0%
Q1 - 4:43MIABosh 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)23
89.4%
19
10.6%
Q1 - 4:52MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
88.6%
19
11.4%
Q1 - 4:53WASMISS Blatche 2' Layup21
88.3%
19
11.7%
Q1 - 5:05WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
87.4%
19
12.6%
Q1 - 5:07MIAMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot21
87.7%
19
12.3%
Q1 - 5:28WASCrawford 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS)21
88.4%
19
11.6%
Q1 - 5:51MIAWade 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)21
89.2%
17
10.8%
Q1 - 6:08WASBlatche 12' Fadeaway Jumper (3 PTS)19
88.5%
17
11.5%
Q1 - 6:31MIADampier 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)19
89.3%
15
10.7%
Q1 - 6:39MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
88.5%
15
11.5%
Q1 - 6:42WASMISS McGee 1' Layup17
88.2%
15
11.8%
Q1 - 6:54MIAJames 5' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS)17
87.5%
15
12.5%
Q1 - 7:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
86.9%
15
13.1%
Q1 - 7:08WASMISS Blatche Free Throw 2 of 215
86.8%
15
13.2%
Q1 - 7:08WASBlatche Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
86.2%
15
13.8%
Q1 - 7:08WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
86.9%
14
13.1%
Q1 - 7:09WASMISS Blatche 8' Jump Shot15
87.5%
14
12.5%
Q1 - 7:15WASCrawford Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)15
86.9%
14
13.1%
Q1 - 7:25MIABibby 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)15
87.8%
13
12.2%
Q1 - 7:43WASCrawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wall 3 AST)12
86.0%
13
14.0%
Q1 - 7:51MIAEvans STEAL (1 STL)12
87.8%
10
12.2%
Q1 - 7:58MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
88.7%
10
11.3%
Q1 - 8:00WASMISS Evans 1' Layup12
88.4%
10
11.6%
Q1 - 8:03WASEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
88.2%
10
11.8%
Q1 - 8:04WASMISS Crawford 18' Jump Shot12
88.7%
10
11.3%
Q1 - 8:25MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
88.1%
10
11.9%
Q1 - 8:25MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
88.0%
10
12.0%
Q1 - 8:33MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
87.2%
10
12.8%
Q1 - 8:34WASMISS Yi 20' Jump Shot10
87.0%
10
13.0%
Q1 - 8:50MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
86.3%
10
13.7%
Q1 - 8:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
86.1%
10
13.9%
Q1 - 9:02WASCrawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)8
85.8%
10
14.2%
Q1 - 9:31MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
87.6%
7
12.4%
Q1 - 9:43MIAHeat Rebound6
86.7%
7
13.3%
Q1 - 9:44WASMISS Wall 18' Jump Shot6
86.4%
7
13.6%
Q1 - 10:00MIAWade 2' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)6
85.8%
7
14.2%
Q1 - 10:09WASMcGee Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
85.1%
7
14.9%
Q1 - 10:13WASYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
84.0%
7
16.0%
Q1 - 10:14MIAMISS Bosh 4' Jump Shot4
84.4%
7
15.6%
Q1 - 10:34WASEvans 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wall 2 AST)4
85.1%
7
14.9%
Q1 - 10:47MIAJames Dunk (2 PTS)4
85.9%
5
14.1%
Q1 - 10:50MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
85.1%
5
14.9%
Q1 - 10:51MIAMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
84.4%
5
15.6%
Q1 - 11:09WASEvans 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wall 1 AST)2
85.5%
5
14.5%
Q1 - 11:23MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
87.1%
2
12.9%
Q1 - 11:23MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
87.0%
2
13.0%
Q1 - 11:41WASMcGee 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
86.2%
2
13.8%
Q1 - 12:00WASJump Ball McGee vs. Dampier: Tip to Evans0
87.1%
0
12.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.37 68.3%
WAS
1.18 58.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
26
36
72%
WAS
14
27
52%
Midrange
MIA
5
16
31%
WAS
15
34
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
19
53%
79%
WAS
9
13.5
16
56%
84%
Free Throws
MIA
31
39
79%
WAS
22
31
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3580%17.5 / 22
D. Wade3375%16.5 / 22
C. Bosh2665%13.0 / 20
J. Jones12100%6.0 / 6
M. Bibby643%3.0 / 7
E. House650%3.0 / 6
E. Dampier2100%1.0 / 1
Z. Ilgauskas250%1.0 / 2
J. Magloire1-0.0 / 0
J. Howard0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Crawford3970%19.5 / 28
M. Evans2170%10.5 / 15
O. Jeffers1583%7.5 / 9
A. Blatche1444%7.0 / 16
J. McGee1260%6.0 / 10
C. Martin440%2.0 / 5
J. Wall233%1.0 / 3
J. Yi0-0.0 / 3
H. Ndiaye0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+10
-13
89
WAS
78
+13
-14
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.37 68.3%
WAS
1.18 58.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
102.2
MIA 133.7 +17.4
WAS 116.3
Pace
91.3
94.0
MIA 87.3
WAS 97.2 +9.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.3
MIA 16.5
WAS 14.8 +1.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
47.1%
MIA 64.8% +9.6%
WAS 55.2%
TO %
14.4%
15.5%
MIA 12.9% +0.5%
WAS 13.4%
ORB %
25.2%
28.0%
MIA 25.8%
WAS 30.8% +5.0%
FTrt
36.3
29.0
MIA 54.9 +14.6
WAS 40.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
52.2%
MIA 68.3% +28.8%
WAS 39.5%
STL %
7.3%
8.5%
MIA 7.6%
WAS 8.7% +1.1%
BLK %
8.5%
9.6%
MIA 11.5%
WAS 11.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
50.0%
MIA 68.3% +9.5%
WAS 58.8%
Rim FG%
64.7%
57.5%
MIA 72.2% +20.3%
WAS 51.9%
Mid FG%
42.2%
38.3%
MIA 31.3%
WAS 44.1% +12.8%
3P %
37.0%
33.2%
MIA 52.6%
WAS 56.3% +3.7%
FT %
76.9%
74.5%
MIA 79.5% +8.5%
WAS 71.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
35.7%
MIA 50.7% +15.6%
WAS 35.1%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
47.1%
MIA 22.5% +21.6%
WAS 44.2%
3P Att. %
23.5%
17.2%
MIA 26.8% +6.0%
WAS 20.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIAWAS
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes25.322.7
Points123107
Rebounds3535
Assists2815
Steals78
Blocks76
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (3)23 (0)
Field Goals41-7138-77
At-the-Rim FG26-3614-27
Midrange FG5-1615-34
2-Point FG31-5229-61
3-Point FG10-199-16
Free Throws31-3922-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
43.8
35
80%
8
8
5
0
5
3
1
7
10-13
77%
11-13
85%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
41.3
26
65%
8
4
0
1
0
1
2
6
10-11
91%
8-15
53%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
39.0
33
75%
3
9
0
2
2
3
1
2
10-12
83%
10-14
71%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 195 · 33
27.6
6
43%
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-6
33%
C · 6'11" 265 · 36
15.5
2
100%
2
1
0
2
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
31.7
12
100%
2
2
1
1
0
3
1
1
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
4-5
80%
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
24.1
6
50%
5
2
1
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-4
0%
2-2
100%
C · 6'9" 245 · 29
11.1
0
0%
4
0
0
1
1
3
2
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
3.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
1.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 33
0.8
1
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · G · 6'2" 190 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
123
68%
35
28
7
7
13
0
8
27
31-39
79%
31-52
60%
10-19
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.