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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 30, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Rockets38%10097
1476ers62%104108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 22.9
43.2
30.0
15
44%
9
4
2
1
1
1
2
7
6-7
86%
3-11
3-7
27%
49%
1-3
33%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 27.8
39.1
31.9
8
45%
8
7
0
1
0
1
3
5
2-2
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 25.0
35.1
33.7
19
64%
3
3
3
1
2
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-6
3-7
17%
47%
5-8
63%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 28.2
33.5
32.1
18
59%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
5-5
100%
5-9
5-10
56%
46%
1-4
25%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.9
28.8
27.1
17
52%
6
3
0
1
0
4
3
3
1-1
100%
8-16
6-12
50%
50%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.0
21.4
20.2
8
58%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.5
18.4
25.6
2
20%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.9
12.9
15.3
8
75%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.7
5.9
13.4
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Harris
F · 6'6" 242 · 27.8
0.9
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.7
0.9
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 35.0
4.9
0
0-1
47%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.8
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 24.1
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 20.8
37.3
34.9
24
80%
2
12
0
1
0
5
0
2
7-7
100%
7-9
5-10
78%
50%
1-3
33%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.2
36.6
35.9
9
51%
8
10
1
2
0
4
3
5
2-2
100%
2-6
5-9
33%
51%
1-2
50%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.6
35.3
31.8
12
64%
4
1
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-1
0%
3-5
2-3
60%
49%
2-4
50%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 22.9
34.0
27.3
12
50%
7
1
0
0
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
6-12
5-9
50%
52%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 32.1
28.2
35.2
8
57%
4
1
1
1
3
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
6-12
57%
51%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.8
33.3
22.8
22
58%
9
0
1
1
0
0
2
7
0-0
-
11-19
5-10
58%
54%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.4
21.7
22.2
15
58%
4
5
2
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
5-9
4-7
56%
48%
1-3
33%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 31.3
13.5
5.1
6
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 22.4
11.7
0
2-3
47%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 23.7
5.3
0
1-2
52%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 35.1
4.5
0
1-1
48%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.2
1.5
0
0-0
48%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 33.1
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.