FinalWin Prob.pScore
656%96
82
1644%94
85
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
101.28191.3
ATL logo ATL
106.38071.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL82
0%
85
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0ATLCollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)82
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 0:05.0ATLMISS Collins Free Throw 1 of 282
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q4 - 0:05.0ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLMISS Nelson 5' Driving Jump Shot82
6.6%
84
93.4%
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)82
23.5%
84
76.5%
Q4 - 0:15.0ATLMISS Johnson 4' Driving Jump Shot82
17.2%
84
82.8%
Q4 - 0:37.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
11.8%
84
88.2%
Q4 - 0:39.0ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot82
18.9%
84
81.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0ATLJohnson 8' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)82
32.2%
84
67.8%
Q4 - 1:11ORLNelson 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS)82
48.3%
82
51.7%
Q4 - 1:28ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)80
37.0%
82
63.0%
Q4 - 1:29ATLMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
32.8%
82
67.2%
Q4 - 1:51ORLHoward 5' Running Hook Shot (17 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)80
26.3%
82
73.7%
Q4 - 2:03ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
19.3%
82
80.7%
Q4 - 2:04ATLMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot78
16.3%
82
83.7%
Q4 - 2:22ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)78
10.7%
82
89.3%
Q4 - 2:23ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 278
11.7%
82
88.3%
Q4 - 2:23ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 278
14.4%
82
85.6%
Q4 - 2:37ATLCrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)78
19.7%
82
80.3%
Q4 - 2:57ORLHoward 1' Layup (15 PTS)78
13.5%
82
86.5%
Q4 - 2:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)76
10.0%
82
90.0%
Q4 - 2:59ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
7.0%
82
93.0%
Q4 - 3:03ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
10.0%
82
90.0%
Q4 - 3:05ORLMISS Nelson 18' Jump Shot76
6.9%
82
93.1%
Q4 - 3:24ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
9.9%
82
90.1%
Q4 - 3:25ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
8.3%
82
91.7%
Q4 - 3:48ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)76
9.6%
82
90.4%
Q4 - 3:48ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)75
8.5%
82
91.5%
Q4 - 3:49ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)74
6.9%
82
93.1%
Q4 - 3:50ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
6.9%
82
93.1%
Q4 - 3:50ORLMISS Anderson 1' Tip Shot74
5.3%
82
94.7%
Q4 - 3:52ORLMISS Howard 3' Hook Shot74
5.3%
82
94.7%
Q4 - 4:11ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)74
6.7%
82
93.3%
Q4 - 4:11ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)74
7.1%
81
92.9%
Q4 - 4:35ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
9.1%
80
90.9%
Q4 - 4:35ORLAnderson Putback Dunk (13 PTS)74
9.1%
80
90.9%
Q4 - 4:36ORLMISS Howard 4' Hook Shot72
5.0%
80
95.0%
Q4 - 4:50ORLMagic Rebound72
6.5%
80
93.5%
Q4 - 4:50ATLMISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot72
5.7%
80
94.3%
Q4 - 5:04ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)72
6.8%
80
93.2%
Q4 - 5:05ATLMISS Crawford 28' 3PT Jump Shot72
8.6%
80
91.4%
Q4 - 5:28ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
6.7%
80
93.3%
Q4 - 5:30ORLMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
7.4%
80
92.6%
Q4 - 5:48ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)72
9.2%
80
90.8%
Q4 - 6:04ATLHAWKS Rebound72
19.9%
77
80.1%
Q4 - 6:04ORLMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
21.5%
77
78.5%
Q4 - 6:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)72
25.5%
77
74.5%
Q4 - 6:09ORLMISS Arenas 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
21.4%
77
78.6%
Q4 - 6:19ATLWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)72
25.4%
77
74.6%
Q4 - 6:51ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)72
19.6%
77
80.4%
Q4 - 6:52ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
21.2%
77
78.8%
Q4 - 7:08ATLCrawford 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)72
28.0%
77
72.0%
Q4 - 7:19ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
33.4%
75
66.6%
Q4 - 7:21ATLMISS Williams 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot72
38.2%
75
61.8%
Q4 - 7:48ORLAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)72
33.3%
75
66.7%
Q4 - 8:10ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)69
24.8%
75
75.2%
Q4 - 8:32ORLAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Arenas 3 AST)69
35.6%
72
64.4%
Q4 - 8:46ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
24.6%
72
75.4%
Q4 - 8:47ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 266
24.0%
72
76.0%
Q4 - 8:47ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)66
20.9%
72
79.1%
Q4 - 8:59ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
24.7%
71
75.3%
Q4 - 9:02ORLWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)66
28.2%
71
71.8%
Q4 - 9:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
31.6%
71
68.4%
Q4 - 9:17ATLMISS Pachulia 8' Turnaround Jump Shot66
30.1%
71
69.9%
Q4 - 9:36ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
26.7%
71
73.3%
Q4 - 9:38ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot66
30.0%
71
70.0%
Q4 - 9:47ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
26.7%
71
73.3%
Q4 - 9:49ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
28.1%
71
71.9%
Q4 - 10:09ATLPachulia Dunk (4 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)66
32.9%
71
67.1%
Q4 - 10:22ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
38.0%
69
62.0%
Q4 - 10:25ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
41.8%
69
58.2%
Q4 - 10:31ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
38.0%
69
62.0%
Q4 - 10:34ORLMISS Richardson 2' Driving Layup66
39.6%
69
60.4%
Q4 - 10:40ATLHorford Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)66
43.5%
69
56.5%
Q4 - 11:04ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)66
38.9%
69
61.1%
Q4 - 11:04ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)65
37.1%
69
62.9%
Q4 - 11:09ORLArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
33.9%
69
66.1%
Q4 - 11:12ATLMISS Smith 6' Turnaround Hook Shot64
32.4%
69
67.6%
Q4 - 11:36ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)64
29.2%
69
70.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL61
21.1%
69
78.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLPachulia 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)61
21.1%
69
78.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
24.9%
67
75.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
29.1%
67
70.9%
Q3 - 0:21.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)61
26.4%
67
73.6%
Q3 - 0:23.0ORLHorford BLOCK (2 BLK)61
27.6%
67
72.4%
Q3 - 0:47.0ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
30.2%
67
69.8%
Q3 - 0:49.0ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot61
29.0%
67
71.0%
Q3 - 1:11ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
27.4%
67
72.6%
Q3 - 1:12ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot61
28.5%
67
71.5%
Q3 - 1:16ATLPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)61
31.1%
67
68.9%
Q3 - 1:19ORLPachulia STEAL (1 STL)61
27.4%
67
72.6%
Q3 - 1:40ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
31.1%
67
68.9%
Q3 - 1:40ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
31.9%
66
68.1%
Q3 - 2:04ORLBass 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)61
36.6%
65
63.4%
Q3 - 2:30ATLHorford 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)59
32.2%
65
67.8%
Q3 - 2:46ORLNelson 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)59
36.5%
63
63.5%
Q3 - 3:08ATLSmith 27' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)57
33.8%
63
66.2%
Q3 - 3:29ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
42.0%
60
58.0%
Q3 - 3:30ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
43.4%
60
56.6%
Q3 - 3:59ATLHinrich 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)57
46.6%
60
53.4%
Q3 - 4:07ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
55.1%
57
44.9%
Q3 - 4:08ORLMISS Turkoglu 22' Jump Shot57
56.7%
57
43.3%
Q3 - 4:19ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)57
60.2%
57
39.8%
Q3 - 4:20ATLMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
58.7%
57
41.3%
Q3 - 4:43ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)57
55.2%
57
44.8%
Q3 - 5:05ATLJohnson 11' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)55
51.3%
57
48.7%
Q3 - 5:26ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)55
55.0%
55
45.0%
Q3 - 5:45ATLHinrich 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)52
47.1%
55
52.9%
Q3 - 6:03ORLBass 1' Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)52
51.4%
53
48.6%
Q3 - 6:13ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)50
47.8%
53
52.2%
Q3 - 6:14ATLMISS Hinrich 16' Jump Shot50
46.4%
53
53.6%
Q3 - 6:29ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)50
43.4%
53
56.6%
Q3 - 6:30ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 250
43.9%
53
56.1%
Q3 - 6:30ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 250
46.0%
53
54.0%
Q3 - 6:42ORLMagic Rebound50
47.7%
53
52.3%
Q3 - 6:42ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
44.7%
53
55.3%
Q3 - 7:09ATLJohnson 19' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) (Hinrich 5 AST)50
47.8%
53
52.2%
Q3 - 7:23ORLNelson 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)50
51.5%
51
48.5%
Q3 - 7:45ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
47.9%
51
52.1%
Q3 - 7:46ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot48
46.6%
51
53.4%
Q3 - 8:07ATLHAWKS Rebound48
44.2%
51
55.8%
Q3 - 8:07ORLMISS Bass 17' Jump Shot48
45.4%
51
54.6%
Q3 - 8:26ATLSmith 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Horford 5 AST)48
48.1%
51
51.9%
Q3 - 8:44ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
55.4%
48
44.6%
Q3 - 8:45ORLMISS Howard 4' Hook Shot48
56.6%
48
43.4%
Q3 - 9:05ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)48
59.2%
48
40.8%
Q3 - 9:08ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
55.6%
48
44.4%
Q3 - 9:11ORLSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)48
56.7%
48
43.3%
Q3 - 9:29ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
59.3%
48
40.7%
Q3 - 9:32ATLMISS Horford 10' Hook Shot48
58.1%
48
41.9%
Q3 - 9:54ORLNelson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)48
55.6%
48
44.4%
Q3 - 10:20ATLHinrich Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)46
52.4%
48
47.6%
Q3 - 10:41ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)46
48.7%
48
51.3%
Q3 - 11:04ATLJohnson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)43
42.6%
48
57.4%
Q3 - 11:15ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
45.8%
46
54.2%
Q3 - 11:16ORLMISS Howard 9' Hook Shot43
46.9%
46
53.1%
Q3 - 11:34ORLMagic Rebound43
49.4%
46
50.6%
Q3 - 11:36ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot43
48.3%
46
51.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL43
45.7%
46
54.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
45.7%
46
54.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
46.8%
46
53.2%
Q2 - 0:12.0ATLSmith 20' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)43
49.4%
46
50.6%
Q2 - 0:37.0ORLBass 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)43
53.4%
44
46.6%
Q2 - 0:39.0ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
49.4%
44
50.6%
Q2 - 0:40.0ORLMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot41
47.6%
44
52.4%
Q2 - 0:55.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
49.4%
44
50.6%
Q2 - 0:57.0ATLMISS Williams 1' Driving Layup41
48.6%
44
51.4%
Q2 - 1:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
47.3%
44
52.7%
Q2 - 1:16ORLMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot41
48.1%
44
51.9%
Q2 - 1:30ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)41
49.7%
44
50.3%
Q2 - 1:30ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)41
50.6%
43
49.4%
Q2 - 1:40ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
53.8%
42
46.2%
Q2 - 1:41ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
54.5%
42
45.5%
Q2 - 2:04ATLSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)41
56.7%
42
43.3%
Q2 - 2:28ORLNelson 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS)41
62.7%
39
37.3%
Q2 - 2:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
59.7%
39
40.3%
Q2 - 2:38ATLMISS Horford 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot39
58.8%
39
41.2%
Q2 - 3:05ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)39
56.7%
39
43.3%
Q2 - 3:16ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
51.1%
39
48.9%
Q2 - 3:17ATLMISS Hinrich 20' Jump Shot36
50.0%
39
50.0%
Q2 - 3:32ATLThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
47.4%
39
52.6%
Q2 - 3:33ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 236
47.9%
39
52.1%
Q2 - 3:33ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 236
49.5%
39
50.5%
Q2 - 3:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
51.1%
39
48.9%
Q2 - 3:33ORLMISS Howard 3' Layup36
48.5%
39
51.5%
Q2 - 3:49ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
51.1%
39
48.9%
Q2 - 3:52ATLMISS Smith 9' Hook Shot36
49.9%
39
50.1%
Q2 - 4:12ORLBass Foul Turnover (P2.T5)36
47.8%
39
52.2%
Q2 - 4:17ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)36
51.1%
39
48.9%
Q2 - 4:23ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
47.8%
39
52.2%
Q2 - 4:24ORLMISS Bass 18' Jump Shot36
48.8%
39
51.2%
Q2 - 4:43ATLSmith Dunk (10 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)36
51.1%
39
48.9%
Q2 - 4:48ORLSmith STEAL (2 STL)36
53.8%
37
46.2%
Q2 - 4:50ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
57.1%
37
42.9%
Q2 - 4:52ATLMISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot36
56.1%
37
43.9%
Q2 - 5:15ORLHinrich STEAL (1 STL)36
54.3%
37
45.7%
Q2 - 5:36ATLSmith Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)36
57.2%
37
42.8%
Q2 - 5:48ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
60.1%
35
39.9%
Q2 - 5:49ORLMISS Clark 5' Running Hook Shot36
60.9%
35
39.1%
Q2 - 6:01ORLClark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
62.8%
35
37.2%
Q2 - 6:02ATLMISS Collins 16' Jump Shot36
61.8%
35
38.2%
Q2 - 6:23ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
59.7%
35
40.3%
Q2 - 6:26ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
60.6%
35
39.4%
Q2 - 6:30ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
62.8%
35
37.2%
Q2 - 6:32ATLMISS Hinrich 6' Floating Jump Shot36
61.9%
35
38.1%
Q2 - 6:53ORLHoward 6' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Arenas 2 AST)36
59.7%
35
40.3%
Q2 - 7:19ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)34
57.4%
35
42.6%
Q2 - 7:31ATLHAWKS Rebound34
59.9%
33
40.1%
Q2 - 7:33ATLMISS Crawford 18' Jump Shot34
61.9%
33
38.1%
Q2 - 7:40ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
59.9%
33
40.1%
Q2 - 7:42ORLHinrich BLOCK (1 BLK)34
60.8%
33
39.2%
Q2 - 7:57ATLJohnson 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS)34
62.7%
33
37.3%
Q2 - 8:05ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
65.0%
31
35.0%
Q2 - 8:06ORLCollins BLOCK (1 BLK)34
65.8%
31
34.2%
Q2 - 8:35ATLHorford 2' Putback Layup (4 PTS)34
67.6%
31
32.4%
Q2 - 8:36ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
69.8%
29
30.2%
Q2 - 8:38ATLMISS Horford 11' Hook Shot34
71.4%
29
28.6%
Q2 - 9:02ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
69.4%
29
30.6%
Q2 - 9:03ORLMISS Clark Free Throw 2 of 234
69.7%
29
30.3%
Q2 - 9:03ORLMISS Clark Free Throw 1 of 234
71.0%
29
29.0%
Q2 - 9:03ORLClark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
71.7%
29
28.3%
Q2 - 9:04ORLMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot34
70.1%
29
29.9%
Q2 - 9:16ATLHorford Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)34
71.7%
29
28.3%
Q2 - 9:22ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
69.4%
29
30.6%
Q2 - 9:24ORLMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
70.1%
29
29.9%
Q2 - 9:47ATLHorford Illegal Screen Turnover (P1.T5)34
71.7%
29
28.3%
Q2 - 9:52ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
69.4%
29
30.6%
Q2 - 9:52ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)33
68.7%
29
31.3%
Q2 - 10:01ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
66.9%
29
33.1%
Q2 - 10:02ATLMISS Crawford 18' Jump Shot32
66.2%
29
33.8%
Q2 - 10:14ORLRichardson Alley Oop Layup (3 PTS) (Arenas 1 AST)32
64.4%
29
35.6%
Q2 - 10:19ATLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)30
62.3%
29
37.7%
Q2 - 10:34ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)30
59.6%
29
40.4%
Q2 - 10:56ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
54.8%
29
45.2%
Q2 - 10:57ATLMISS Teague 9' Floating Jump Shot27
54.0%
29
46.0%
Q2 - 11:16ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
52.1%
29
47.9%
Q2 - 11:16ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
51.2%
29
48.8%
Q2 - 11:38ATLCrawford 20' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
49.7%
29
50.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL25
52.0%
27
48.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound25
54.7%
27
45.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Anderson 55' 3PT Jump Shot25
52.9%
27
47.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)25
54.4%
27
45.6%
Q1 - 0:19.0ORLBass 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)25
59.6%
24
40.4%
Q1 - 0:42.0ATLCrawford Foul Turnover (P2.T3)23
56.8%
24
43.2%
Q1 - 0:47.0ORLSmith STEAL (1 STL)23
54.8%
24
45.2%
Q1 - 0:56.0ATLCrawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)23
56.8%
24
43.2%
Q1 - 1:12ORLTurkoglu 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)23
62.1%
21
37.9%
Q1 - 1:27ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)21
59.2%
21
40.8%
Q1 - 1:47ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
64.3%
18
35.7%
Q1 - 1:48ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 121
64.5%
18
35.5%
Q1 - 1:52ATLCrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)19
61.5%
18
38.5%
Q1 - 2:09ORLBass 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)19
59.7%
18
40.3%
Q1 - 2:34ATLWilliams 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)17
57.2%
18
42.8%
Q1 - 2:53ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
59.7%
16
40.3%
Q1 - 2:54ORLMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot17
60.3%
16
39.7%
Q1 - 3:12ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
62.0%
16
38.0%
Q1 - 3:14ORLMISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot17
60.4%
16
39.6%
Q1 - 3:29ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)17
62.0%
16
38.0%
Q1 - 3:29ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
62.3%
15
37.7%
Q1 - 3:45ORLAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)17
64.0%
14
36.0%
Q1 - 4:02ATLJohnson 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)14
59.8%
14
40.2%
Q1 - 4:14ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
61.7%
12
38.3%
Q1 - 4:15ORLMISS Richardson 20' Jump Shot14
62.4%
12
37.6%
Q1 - 4:28ATLSmith 9' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)14
64.0%
12
36.0%
Q1 - 4:42ORLNelson 14' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)14
65.8%
10
34.2%
Q1 - 5:00ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
64.0%
10
36.0%
Q1 - 5:02ATLMISS Smith 22' Fadeaway Jumper12
62.9%
10
37.1%
Q1 - 5:26ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
61.3%
10
38.7%
Q1 - 5:27ORLMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot12
62.0%
10
38.0%
Q1 - 5:43ATLHorford 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)12
63.6%
10
36.4%
Q1 - 6:07ORLBass 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)12
65.3%
8
34.7%
Q1 - 6:24ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
63.4%
8
36.6%
Q1 - 6:25ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot10
62.8%
8
37.2%
Q1 - 6:45ORLTurkoglu 21' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)10
61.4%
8
38.6%
Q1 - 7:02ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
59.6%
8
40.4%
Q1 - 7:03ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
58.9%
8
41.1%
Q1 - 7:30ORLAnderson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)8
57.4%
8
42.6%
Q1 - 7:54ATLSmith 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)6
55.6%
8
44.4%
Q1 - 8:06ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T1)6
57.8%
6
42.2%
Q1 - 8:20ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)6
59.7%
6
40.3%
Q1 - 8:33ORLNelson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)6
61.6%
4
38.4%
Q1 - 8:48ATLJohnson 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)3
57.7%
4
42.3%
Q1 - 8:52ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
59.7%
2
40.3%
Q1 - 8:55ORLHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)3
60.3%
2
39.7%
Q1 - 9:11ATLCollins 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)3
61.8%
2
38.2%
Q1 - 9:13ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
63.6%
0
36.4%
Q1 - 9:15ATLMISS Hinrich 19' Jump Shot3
64.8%
0
35.2%
Q1 - 9:37ORLTurkoglu 3' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)3
63.6%
0
36.4%
Q1 - 9:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
61.8%
0
38.2%
Q1 - 9:43ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup1
61.2%
0
38.8%
Q1 - 10:00ORLRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
60.0%
0
40.0%
Q1 - 10:00ORLMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 20
59.6%
0
40.4%
Q1 - 10:04ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
60.0%
0
40.0%
Q1 - 10:06ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot0
59.4%
0
40.6%
Q1 - 10:18ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
58.0%
0
42.0%
Q1 - 10:20ORLMISS Howard 14' Jump Bank Shot0
58.6%
0
41.4%
Q1 - 10:32ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
60.0%
0
40.0%
Q1 - 10:33ATLMISS Hinrich 3PT Jump Shot0
59.4%
0
40.6%
Q1 - 10:50ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
58.0%
0
42.0%
Q1 - 10:51ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot0
58.6%
0
41.4%
Q1 - 11:17ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
59.8%
0
40.2%
Q1 - 11:26ATLHAWKS Rebound0
58.3%
0
41.7%
Q1 - 11:26ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot0
59.3%
0
40.7%
Q1 - 11:42ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
58.3%
0
41.7%
Q1 - 11:44ORLMISS Bass 16' Jump Shot0
58.7%
0
41.3%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Howard: Tip to Nelson0
59.8%
0
40.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.92 46.1%
ATL
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
13
25
52%
ATL
13
16
81%
Midrange
ORL
12
29
41%
ATL
14
39
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
7
10.5
23
30%
46%
ATL
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
Free Throws
ORL
11
21
52%
ATL
13
15
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Nelson2059%10.0 / 17
H. Turkoglu1777%8.5 / 11
D. Howard1743%8.5 / 20
R. Anderson1343%6.5 / 15
B. Bass1260%6.0 / 10
J. Richardson319%1.5 / 8
G. Arenas0-0.0 / 2
E. Clark0-0.0 / 2
M. Allen0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2668%13.0 / 19
J. Johnson1853%9.0 / 17
A. Horford1155%5.5 / 10
M. Williams10100%5.0 / 5
J. Crawford744%3.5 / 8
K. Hinrich528%2.5 / 9
Z. Pachulia563%2.5 / 4
J. Collins350%1.5 / 3
J. Teague0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
75
+13
-6
88
ATL
67
+9
-13
76
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.92 46.1%
ATL
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
105.9
ORL 101.2
ATL 106.3 +5.0
Pace
91.2
89.5
ORL 91.3 +19.4
ATL 71.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.4
ORL 15.8 +4.2
ATL 20.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.1%
50.1%
ORL 46.1%
ATL 51.4% +5.3%
TO %
15.7%
14.2%
ORL 6.5% +8.0%
ATL 14.5%
ORB %
26.1%
23.5%
ORL 22.2% +1.6%
ATL 20.6%
FTrt
32.8
26.9
ORL 27.3 +5.9
ATL 21.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.3%
60.7%
ORL 62.5%
ATL 63.6% +1.1%
STL %
7.3%
6.8%
ORL 11.1% +6.1%
ATL 5.0%
BLK %
7.5%
6.6%
ORL 1.8%
ATL 11.1% +9.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.8%
52.8%
ORL 46.1%
ATL 55.2% +9.1%
Rim FG%
61.7%
60.0%
ORL 52.0%
ATL 81.3% +29.3%
Mid FG%
40.4%
42.5%
ORL 41.4% +5.5%
ATL 35.9%
3P %
36.6%
35.2%
ORL 30.4%
ATL 40.0% +9.6%
FT %
69.2%
78.0%
ORL 52.4%
ATL 86.7% +34.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.6%
30.4%
ORL 32.5% +9.6%
ATL 22.9%
Mid Att. %
34.5%
47.4%
ORL 37.7% +18.1%
ATL 55.7%
3P Att. %
32.8%
22.2%
ORL 29.9% +8.4%
ATL 21.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.63 and 2.63.
Game TotalsORLATL
Possessions8180
Possession Minutes21.326.7
Points8285
Rebounds3742
Assists2021
Steals94
Blocks16
Turnovers (Team)6 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)35 (2)
Field Goals32-7733-70
At-the-Rim FG13-2513-16
Midrange FG12-2914-39
2-Point FG25-5427-55
3-Point FG7-236-15
Free Throws11-2113-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 225 · 30
42.2
3
19%
3
4
0
0
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-3
0%
F · 6'10" 220 · 32
39.4
17
77%
8
5
2
0
1
1
0
8
1-2
50%
5-7
71%
2-4
50%
G · 6'0" 190 · 29
37.0
20
59%
3
5
1
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
7-13
54%
2-4
50%
C · 6'11" 265 · 25
33.0
17
43%
13
0
3
1
2
5
4
9
9-15
60%
4-13
31%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 250 · 26
32.8
12
60%
4
0
1
0
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
6-10
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 23
28.9
13
43%
3
3
0
0
0
4
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
3-10
30%
G · 6'4" 215 · 29
19.8
0
0%
1
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 234 · 23
5.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 33
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 29
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27
F · 6'6" 228 · 31
#21 · C · 6'10" 275 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
82
46%
37
20
9
1
6
0
10
27
11-21
52%
25-54
46%
7-23
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.