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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 30, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Magic56%9682
16Hawks44%9485
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 30.2
42.2
36.1
3
19%
3
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
51%
0-3
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 32.0
39.4
34.4
17
72%
8
5
2
1
0
1
0
8
1-2
50%
5-7
3-6
71%
47%
2-4
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 29.1
37.0
15.6
20
59%
3
5
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
7-13
2-4
54%
49%
2-4
50%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.3
33.0
39.2
17
43%
13
0
3
1
1
2
4
9
9-15
60%
4-13
7-12
31%
60%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 25.9
32.8
27.8
12
60%
4
0
1
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
6-10
4-8
60%
52%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.9
28.9
23.4
13
43%
3
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
49%
3-10
30%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.2
19.8
28.7
0
0%
1
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
46%
0-2
0%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.2
5.6
11.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
0-1
2-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.8
1.4
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.6
13.8
0
1-1
45%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.8
7.2
0
1-1
48%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.0
6.1
0
0-1
45%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 20.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.8
44.9
36.4
11
56%
9
5
0
1
2
3
2
7
3-4
75%
4-8
6-12
50%
55%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.7
44.3
29.4
18
54%
6
2
0
1
0
2
1
5
4-4
100%
7-13
4-9
54%
49%
0-2
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.3
40.3
35.2
26
67%
6
4
2
1
1
1
0
6
3-3
100%
7-14
6-13
50%
50%
3-4
75%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.2
31.0
29.9
5
28%
1
5
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
1-4
25%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.3
17.6
7.7
3
52%
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.0
22.4
31.5
7
44%
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.8
19.8
32.5
10
78%
6
1
0
1
1
2
0
6
1-1
100%
3-5
4-9
60%
49%
1-1
100%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.1
14.7
18.2
5
73%
7
0
1
0
0
1
3
4
1-1
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
47%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.8
2.9
16.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 33.0
2.0
2.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 31.2
0.1
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 26.3
3.6
0
0-1
47%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.2
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.