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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 29, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat88%10690
29Cavaliers12%91102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 26.2
43.3
37.7
27
53%
10
12
0
2
0
3
0
10
6-10
60%
9-16
9-15
56%
57%
1-5
20%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.2
43.2
36.4
24
51%
4
6
3
2
2
3
3
1
6-8
75%
6-16
9-16
38%
55%
2-4
50%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.9
42.5
28.9
23
97%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
7-11
64%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27.0
32.7
35.8
10
34%
4
4
0
1
1
1
3
1
0-2
0%
5-14
7-13
36%
53%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.7
12.0
14.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
62%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.5
33.0
19.3
2
17%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-5
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.6
11.5
14.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
55%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.1
9.4
4.0
4
100%
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.8
6.9
11.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.9
5.5
11.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.1
21.9
0
1-2
54%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.9
5.6
0
0-1
49%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.8
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.9
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.5
36.4
23.8
13
70%
3
2
2
0
3
2
2
1
7-12
58%
3-4
2-4
75%
54%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 22.6
32.7
29.6
21
60%
12
1
0
1
1
5
2
10
9-10
90%
6-13
6-12
46%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 35.8
29.4
25.5
20
97%
7
2
0
1
0
0
0
7
2-3
67%
3-5
2-4
60%
43%
4-4
100%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 32.0
24.2
18.2
10
50%
0
7
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
2-6
33%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 23.8
17.3
25.5
6
100%
4
1
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-3
2-5
100%
45%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.1
26.4
25.4
5
50%
5
5
0
1
2
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
41%
1-3
33%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.0
26.3
24.5
11
58%
6
6
0
1
0
3
0
6
5-8
63%
3-6
4-9
50%
46%
0-0
-
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.2
23.8
18.2
9
64%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
1-2
50%
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 21.8
20.4
16.1
7
51%
3
0
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-2
0%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.8
3.1
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 22.2
20.6
0
3-7
46%
Manny Harris
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.5
8.0
0
1-2
42%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.5
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.7
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.