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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 27, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Spurs51%99104
15Grizzlies49%98111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.8
36.4
27.9
13
57%
3
2
1
0
0
1
1
2
2-3
67%
1-4
2-3
25%
50%
3-6
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.9
34.8
33.6
20
45%
3
6
0
1
0
5
1
2
3-5
60%
7-18
7-13
39%
52%
1-2
50%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.6
26.1
22.8
6
36%
5
0
2
1
2
0
3
2
0-1
0%
3-8
3-6
38%
49%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26.2
20.3
19.4
7
55%
5
0
0
1
2
0
2
3
1-3
33%
3-5
2-5
60%
52%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.7
19.3
31.6
2
33%
1
2
1
2
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
4-8
100%
49%
0-2
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.9
32.0
26.1
30
87%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
11-12
92%
8-9
2-5
89%
48%
1-3
33%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31.0
28.4
20.7
7
44%
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.5
21.2
22.3
11
92%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
3-4
75%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.9
20.5
21.5
8
80%
6
2
2
1
1
2
3
3
0-0
-
4-5
4-7
80%
52%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.8
0.6
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22.0
0.5
2.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.8
2.2
0
0-0
45%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.9
Da'Sean Butler
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.2
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.2
37.1
26.7
11
48%
8
4
1
1
4
1
0
8
1-1
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.5
33.8
35.5
12
54%
3
4
1
2
2
3
1
2
4-7
57%
4-7
5-10
57%
47%
0-1
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.7
31.9
31.8
23
64%
11
3
0
1
0
0
5
6
7-9
78%
8-14
6-12
57%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 29.2
31.3
28.7
23
91%
4
2
5
2
1
1
0
4
5-6
83%
9-9
4-9
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 25.8
11.9
21.1
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
49%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.5
27.2
20.1
10
83%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
2-4
50%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.4
26.7
23.7
17
72%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
4-6
67%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.0
16.2
20.2
8
50%
7
1
0
1
0
2
4
3
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.7
8.7
2.5
1
13%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-3
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.2
7.2
12.0
4
45%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 24.2
5.5
10.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 25.9
2.3
4.1
2
114%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.6
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20.0
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.