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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 27, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Rockets27%98119
1Heat73%106125
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 25.0
44.0
37.4
25
58%
7
9
1
1
0
2
4
3
8-8
100%
7-13
3-7
54%
46%
1-5
20%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.9
39.3
24.7
28
59%
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
13-23
5-10
57%
49%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 22.8
36.7
22.4
16
53%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-9
2-5
22%
49%
4-6
67%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 28.1
35.8
35.8
29
60%
5
5
1
1
0
2
0
5
11-12
92%
6-13
5-11
46%
45%
2-6
33%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 27.8
32.3
34.8
6
75%
7
1
1
1
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
3-4
4-9
75%
51%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.5
19.9
34.5
3
50%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
4-8
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.0
12.0
25.6
2
50%
4
0
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.7
11.5
9.1
6
80%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-4
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.9
8.6
14.7
4
52%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 35.0
5.1
0
0-1
46%
Mike Harris
F · 6'6" 242 · 27.8
3.3
0
0-1
42%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.7
3.0
0
0-1
42%
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 30.5
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 26.2
40.5
37.8
33
66%
10
7
0
1
0
2
1
9
7-9
78%
13-20
8-15
65%
56%
0-1
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27.0
38.3
35.8
31
61%
12
3
0
1
0
1
8
4
9-10
90%
11-21
6-12
52%
52%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.2
37.1
37.3
30
51%
11
5
0
2
2
3
4
7
9-10
90%
9-20
9-16
45%
54%
1-5
20%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.9
34.6
26.2
14
100%
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
4-5
80%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.7
11.5
16.2
4
67%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
60%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.5
23.6
16.5
5
58%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
3-3
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
0-2
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.1
23.3
21.5
4
41%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-2
0%
2-2
1-2
100%
52%
0-2
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.6
15.3
12.3
2
100%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.8
6.7
15.0
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.9
5.8
14.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.1
3.4
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.8
7.8
0
1-1
48%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.9
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.8
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.