FinalWin Prob.pScore
1127%98
119
173%106
125
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
122.797104.6
MIA logo MIA
128.99790.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA119
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUMartin 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (29 PTS)119
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)117
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)117
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAHEAT Rebound117
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0HOUMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot117
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)117
0.3%
123
99.7%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)117
0.4%
122
99.6%
Q4 - 0:18.0HOUScola 2' Driving Layup (28 PTS)117
0.7%
121
99.3%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)115
0.6%
121
99.4%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2115
0.7%
120
99.3%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)115
0.6%
120
99.4%
Q4 - 0:29.0HOUMISS Lowry 8' Running Jump Shot115
0.9%
120
99.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (30 PTS)115
1.6%
120
98.4%
Q4 - 0:51.0HOULowry 2' Tip Shot (25 PTS)115
5.8%
118
94.2%
Q4 - 0:52.0HOULowry REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)113
3.2%
118
96.8%
Q4 - 0:53.0HOUMISS Lowry 2' Driving Layup113
2.0%
118
98.0%
Q4 - 0:57.0HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)113
3.5%
118
96.5%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAMISS James 12' Jump Shot113
3.0%
118
97.0%
Q4 - 1:24HOUBudinger 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Martin 5 AST)113
3.0%
118
97.0%
Q4 - 1:39MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T10)110
1.4%
118
98.6%
Q4 - 1:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)110
0.9%
118
99.1%
Q4 - 1:55HOUMISS Scola 8' Turnaround Hook Shot110
1.1%
118
98.9%
Q4 - 2:12MIAWade 5' Running Bank Shot (28 PTS)110
1.7%
118
98.3%
Q4 - 2:35HOUScola 4' Finger Roll Layup (26 PTS)110
2.3%
116
97.7%
Q4 - 2:48HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)108
1.7%
116
98.3%
Q4 - 2:49MIAMISS Wade 32' 3PT Jump Shot108
1.4%
116
98.6%
Q4 - 3:16HOUScola 7' Turnaround Bank Shot (24 PTS)108
1.2%
116
98.8%
Q4 - 3:35MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (31 PTS)106
1.7%
116
98.3%
Q4 - 3:55MIAHEAT Rebound106
2.3%
114
97.7%
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup106
3.0%
114
97.0%
Q4 - 4:01MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)106
2.3%
114
97.7%
Q4 - 4:02HOUMISS Scola 17' Jump Shot106
2.6%
114
97.4%
Q4 - 4:03HOURockets Rebound106
3.4%
114
96.6%
Q4 - 4:03HOUBibby BLOCK (1 BLK)106
2.6%
114
97.4%
Q4 - 4:21MIABibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 7 AST)106
3.3%
114
96.7%
Q4 - 4:47HOUMartin 14' Jump Shot (27 PTS)106
6.6%
111
93.4%
Q4 - 5:06MIAJames 12' Jump Shot (29 PTS)104
6.3%
111
93.7%
Q4 - 5:30HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)104
8.4%
109
91.6%
Q4 - 5:30HOUMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 2103
8.1%
109
91.9%
Q4 - 5:36HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)103
8.5%
109
91.5%
Q4 - 5:39MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
7.7%
109
92.3%
Q4 - 5:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)103
6.1%
109
93.9%
Q4 - 5:52HOUMISS Martin 10' Fadeaway Jumper103
6.7%
109
93.3%
Q4 - 6:03HOULowry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)103
9.7%
109
90.3%
Q4 - 6:05HOUWade BLOCK (2 BLK)103
7.9%
109
92.1%
Q4 - 6:08MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)103
9.7%
109
90.3%
Q4 - 6:20HOUMartin Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)103
7.2%
109
92.8%
Q4 - 6:28HOURockets Rebound103
9.6%
109
90.4%
Q4 - 6:29HOUWade BLOCK (1 BLK)103
7.8%
109
92.2%
Q4 - 6:46MIAWade 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (26 PTS)103
9.6%
109
90.4%
Q4 - 6:57HOULowry Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T9)103
12.4%
107
87.6%
Q4 - 7:11MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)103
16.9%
107
83.1%
Q4 - 7:36HOUPatterson 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS)103
25.9%
104
74.1%
Q4 - 7:37HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)101
21.2%
104
78.8%
Q4 - 7:38HOUMISS Scola 9' Jump Shot101
17.9%
104
82.1%
Q4 - 7:52MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)101
21.2%
104
78.8%
Q4 - 7:52MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)101
22.0%
103
78.0%
Q4 - 7:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:8 Def:4)101
25.9%
102
74.1%
Q4 - 7:53MIAMISS Bosh 9' Jump Shot101
30.1%
102
69.9%
Q4 - 8:04MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)101
26.3%
102
73.7%
Q4 - 8:06MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot101
29.8%
102
70.2%
Q4 - 8:30HOUScola 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (22 PTS)101
26.2%
102
73.8%
Q4 - 8:55MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)99
21.4%
102
78.6%
Q4 - 9:14HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)99
26.4%
100
73.6%
Q4 - 9:14HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)98
25.5%
100
74.5%
Q4 - 9:22MIAJones Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS)97
21.9%
100
78.1%
Q4 - 9:22MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)97
22.5%
99
77.5%
Q4 - 9:22MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)97
23.0%
98
77.0%
Q4 - 9:36HOULowry 9' Jump Shot (21 PTS)97
31.4%
97
68.6%
Q4 - 9:44HOURockets Rebound95
26.3%
97
73.7%
Q4 - 9:45HOUAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)95
23.3%
97
76.7%
Q4 - 9:59MIABosh 1' Layup (24 PTS)95
26.3%
97
73.7%
Q4 - 10:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)95
31.4%
95
68.6%
Q4 - 10:01MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot95
34.3%
95
65.7%
Q4 - 10:18HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)95
30.9%
95
69.1%
Q4 - 10:18HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)94
29.9%
95
70.1%
Q4 - 10:40MIABosh Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)93
26.3%
95
73.7%
Q4 - 10:54MIABosh REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)93
22.1%
95
77.9%
Q4 - 10:55HOUMISS Hayes 2' Driving Layup93
23.3%
95
76.7%
Q4 - 11:09MIABosh 1' Layup (22 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)93
26.2%
95
73.8%
Q4 - 11:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)93
30.6%
93
69.4%
Q4 - 11:27HOUMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
32.0%
93
68.0%
Q4 - 11:41HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)93
35.3%
93
64.7%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
33.9%
93
66.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA93
30.6%
93
69.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound93
30.6%
93
69.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 35' 3PT Jump Shot93
33.9%
93
66.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)93
30.5%
93
69.5%
Q3 - 0:05.0HOUMISS Budinger 12' Jump Shot93
31.7%
93
68.3%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAJames 2' Driving Dunk (27 PTS)93
34.6%
93
65.4%
Q3 - 0:45.0HOUPatterson Foul Turnover (P2.T8)93
39.9%
91
60.1%
Q3 - 0:57.0HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)93
44.5%
91
55.5%
Q3 - 0:58.0HOUMISS Lowry 21' Jump Shot93
41.3%
91
58.7%
Q3 - 1:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)93
43.3%
91
56.7%
Q3 - 1:14MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 293
44.4%
90
55.6%
Q3 - 1:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)93
43.8%
90
56.2%
Q3 - 1:24HOUMISS Budinger 4' Jump Shot93
45.1%
90
54.9%
Q3 - 1:40MIABibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 6 AST)93
48.3%
90
51.7%
Q3 - 1:48MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
58.6%
87
41.4%
Q3 - 1:49HOUMISS Budinger 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
59.9%
87
40.1%
Q3 - 2:04MIAJames 9' Driving Jump Shot (25 PTS)93
60.5%
87
39.5%
Q3 - 2:30HOUScola 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Lowry 9 AST)93
65.2%
85
34.8%
Q3 - 2:45MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (James 5 AST)91
60.7%
85
39.3%
Q3 - 3:12HOUScola 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Lowry 8 AST)91
62.9%
83
37.1%
Q3 - 3:17MIABosh 3' Tip Shot (20 PTS)89
58.8%
83
41.2%
Q3 - 3:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)89
62.9%
81
37.1%
Q3 - 3:19MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot89
66.0%
81
34.0%
Q3 - 3:41HOUMartin 9' Jump Bank Shot (24 PTS)89
63.0%
81
37.0%
Q3 - 3:47HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
58.9%
81
41.1%
Q3 - 3:48MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot87
57.5%
81
42.5%
Q3 - 3:55MIABosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)87
54.3%
81
45.7%
Q3 - 3:56HOUJones BLOCK (1 BLK)87
55.7%
81
44.3%
Q3 - 4:01HOULowry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)87
57.9%
81
42.1%
Q3 - 4:02MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
56.4%
81
43.6%
Q3 - 4:11MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)87
52.8%
81
47.2%
Q3 - 4:12HOUMISS Martin 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
54.4%
81
45.6%
Q3 - 4:18MIABibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)87
58.0%
81
42.0%
Q3 - 4:30HOUMartin Free Throw 3 of 3 (22 PTS)87
52.9%
81
47.1%
Q3 - 4:30HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 3 (21 PTS)86
52.4%
81
47.6%
Q3 - 4:30HOUMartin Free Throw 1 of 3 (20 PTS)85
51.9%
81
48.1%
Q3 - 4:36HOULowry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)84
44.9%
81
55.1%
Q3 - 4:37MIAMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot84
43.4%
81
56.6%
Q3 - 4:51HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)84
39.9%
81
60.1%
Q3 - 4:51HOUMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)83
39.5%
81
60.5%
Q3 - 4:58HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
36.5%
81
63.5%
Q3 - 4:59MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot82
35.0%
81
65.0%
Q3 - 5:20HOUMartin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Lowry 7 AST)82
31.3%
81
68.7%
Q3 - 5:35MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)79
24.9%
81
75.1%
Q3 - 5:35MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)79
25.6%
80
74.4%
Q3 - 5:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
27.8%
79
72.2%
Q3 - 5:43HOUMISS Scola 18' Jump Shot79
29.0%
79
71.0%
Q3 - 5:59HOUMartin Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)79
31.8%
79
68.2%
Q3 - 6:19MIAJames 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (21 PTS)78
27.7%
79
72.3%
Q3 - 6:46HOULowry 6' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)78
30.8%
77
69.2%
Q3 - 7:03MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)76
27.1%
77
72.9%
Q3 - 7:17HOUScola 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Martin 4 AST)76
24.0%
77
76.0%
Q3 - 7:28HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
21.4%
77
78.6%
Q3 - 7:29MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
20.6%
77
79.4%
Q3 - 7:52HOUHayes 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)74
18.8%
77
81.2%
Q3 - 8:02HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
16.8%
77
83.2%
Q3 - 8:03MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot72
16.1%
77
83.9%
Q3 - 8:26HOUBudinger 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)72
14.6%
77
85.4%
Q3 - 8:31HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
13.0%
77
87.0%
Q3 - 8:32MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot70
12.4%
77
87.6%
Q3 - 8:49MIAHEAT Rebound70
11.2%
77
88.8%
Q3 - 8:50MIAMISS Bosh 14' Fadeaway Jumper70
12.4%
77
87.6%
Q3 - 9:00MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
11.2%
77
88.8%
Q3 - 9:01HOUMISS Scola 18' Jump Shot70
11.8%
77
88.2%
Q3 - 9:19MIAMiller 7' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)70
13.0%
77
87.0%
Q3 - 9:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)70
14.7%
75
85.3%
Q3 - 9:28HOUMISS Budinger 2' Layup70
15.3%
75
84.7%
Q3 - 9:40MIAJames Driving Dunk (19 PTS)70
16.7%
75
83.3%
Q3 - 9:47HOUBudinger Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)70
18.8%
73
81.2%
Q3 - 9:58MIAMiller 2' Layup (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)70
21.2%
73
78.8%
Q3 - 10:03MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
23.4%
71
76.6%
Q3 - 10:04HOUMISS Budinger 3' Layup70
24.2%
71
75.8%
Q3 - 10:17HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
26.1%
71
73.9%
Q3 - 10:18MIAMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 270
25.7%
71
74.3%
Q3 - 10:18MIAMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 270
24.0%
71
76.0%
Q3 - 10:29HOUScola 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)70
23.4%
71
76.6%
Q3 - 10:43HOURockets Rebound68
21.0%
71
79.0%
Q3 - 10:45MIAMISS James 5' Jump Shot68
20.3%
71
79.7%
Q3 - 10:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
18.7%
71
81.3%
Q3 - 10:52HOUMISS Martin 16' Running Jump Shot68
19.4%
71
80.6%
Q3 - 10:59HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
21.0%
71
79.0%
Q3 - 11:00MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot68
20.3%
71
79.7%
Q3 - 11:15HOUHayes 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T6)68
18.6%
71
81.4%
Q3 - 11:29HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
21.0%
71
79.0%
Q3 - 11:30MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot68
20.2%
71
79.8%
Q3 - 11:49HOUDampier STEAL (1 STL)68
18.6%
71
81.4%
Q3 - 11:52HOULowry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
21.0%
71
79.0%
Q3 - 11:53HOUMISS Budinger 20' Jump Shot68
19.3%
71
80.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU68
21.0%
71
79.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound68
21.0%
71
79.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Lowry 55' 3PT Jump Shot68
19.3%
71
80.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)68
20.7%
71
79.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)68
21.2%
70
78.8%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
23.6%
69
76.4%
Q2 - 0:07.0HOUMISS Martin 20' Jump Shot68
24.1%
69
75.9%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)68
25.5%
69
74.5%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
31.5%
66
68.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0HOUMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
32.2%
66
67.8%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)68
33.8%
66
66.2%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)68
34.3%
65
65.7%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)68
37.5%
64
62.5%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
39.2%
64
60.8%
Q2 - 1:07HOUBudinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lowry 6 AST)68
37.0%
64
63.0%
Q2 - 1:22MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)65
30.5%
64
69.5%
Q2 - 1:47HOUScola 2' Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)65
34.1%
62
65.9%
Q2 - 2:02MIABosh 2' Dunk (16 PTS)63
30.5%
62
69.5%
Q2 - 2:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)63
33.1%
60
66.9%
Q2 - 2:04MIAMISS Bosh 2' Dunk63
35.2%
60
64.8%
Q2 - 2:21HOUBudinger 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)63
33.1%
60
66.9%
Q2 - 2:37MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)61
30.5%
60
69.5%
Q2 - 2:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)61
31.0%
59
69.0%
Q2 - 2:47HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)61
33.2%
58
66.8%
Q2 - 2:47HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)60
32.6%
58
67.4%
Q2 - 2:47HOUMartin Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)59
30.5%
58
69.5%
Q2 - 2:54MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)58
27.8%
58
72.2%
Q2 - 2:54MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 258
28.4%
57
71.6%
Q2 - 3:06HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)58
27.2%
57
72.8%
Q2 - 3:06HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)57
26.7%
57
73.3%
Q2 - 3:07MIAIlgauskas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)56
25.2%
57
74.8%
Q2 - 3:26HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
22.6%
57
77.4%
Q2 - 3:26HOUMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)55
22.4%
57
77.6%
Q2 - 3:44MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)54
20.9%
57
79.1%
Q2 - 3:55HOUMartin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)54
22.6%
55
77.4%
Q2 - 4:02HOUDragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
18.6%
55
81.4%
Q2 - 4:03MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup51
18.0%
55
82.0%
Q2 - 4:10MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
16.7%
55
83.3%
Q2 - 4:11HOUMISS Martin 21' Jump Shot51
17.3%
55
82.7%
Q2 - 4:22MIAWade 1' Putback Dunk (14 PTS)51
18.6%
55
81.4%
Q2 - 4:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)51
20.3%
53
79.7%
Q2 - 4:24MIAMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot51
21.9%
53
78.1%
Q2 - 4:37HOUHill 4' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
20.3%
53
79.7%
Q2 - 4:41HOUHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
18.6%
53
81.4%
Q2 - 4:42HOUMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
17.3%
53
82.7%
Q2 - 4:55MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T4)49
18.6%
53
81.4%
Q2 - 4:57MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
16.7%
53
83.3%
Q2 - 4:58HOUMISS Scola 20' Jump Shot49
17.3%
53
82.7%
Q2 - 5:18MIABibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 2 AST)49
18.6%
53
81.4%
Q2 - 5:37HOUMartin 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)49
22.4%
50
77.6%
Q2 - 6:04MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Layup (13 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)47
20.7%
50
79.3%
Q2 - 6:14HOUDragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)47
22.3%
48
77.7%
Q2 - 6:23HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
18.9%
48
81.1%
Q2 - 6:24MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
18.3%
48
81.7%
Q2 - 6:38HOUHill 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)44
16.9%
48
83.1%
Q2 - 6:56MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)42
15.6%
48
84.4%
Q2 - 7:01MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
16.9%
46
83.1%
Q2 - 7:02HOUHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)42
17.4%
46
82.6%
Q2 - 7:12HOUHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
18.6%
46
81.4%
Q2 - 7:13MIAMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
18.1%
46
81.9%
Q2 - 7:16MIAHEAT Rebound42
16.9%
46
83.1%
Q2 - 7:17MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
18.1%
46
81.9%
Q2 - 7:26HOUHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)42
16.9%
46
83.1%
Q2 - 7:26HOUHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)41
16.6%
46
83.4%
Q2 - 7:53MIAWade 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)40
15.5%
46
84.5%
Q2 - 7:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)40
16.9%
44
83.1%
Q2 - 7:55MIAMISS House 13' Jump Shot40
18.1%
44
81.9%
Q2 - 8:03MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
17.0%
44
83.0%
Q2 - 8:04HOUMISS Lowry 2' Driving Layup40
17.5%
44
82.5%
Q2 - 8:16MIAIlgauskas 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)40
18.7%
44
81.3%
Q2 - 8:19MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
20.3%
42
79.7%
Q2 - 8:20MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Layup40
21.6%
42
78.4%
Q2 - 8:34MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
20.3%
42
79.7%
Q2 - 8:35HOUMISS Lee 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
20.8%
42
79.2%
Q2 - 8:48MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)40
22.1%
42
77.9%
Q2 - 8:56HOUDragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)40
20.3%
42
79.7%
Q2 - 8:56HOUMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 239
19.8%
42
80.2%
Q2 - 8:59HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
20.3%
42
79.7%
Q2 - 9:00MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup39
19.8%
42
80.2%
Q2 - 9:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)39
18.5%
42
81.5%
Q2 - 9:06HOUMISS Patterson 4' Jump Shot39
19.1%
42
80.9%
Q2 - 9:07HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
20.2%
42
79.8%
Q2 - 9:09HOUMISS Dragic 20' Jump Shot39
19.1%
42
80.9%
Q2 - 9:17HOULowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
20.2%
42
79.8%
Q2 - 9:18MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot39
19.7%
42
80.3%
Q2 - 9:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
18.6%
42
81.4%
Q2 - 9:25HOUMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
19.1%
42
80.9%
Q2 - 9:41MIABosh 1' Layup (12 PTS)39
20.3%
42
79.7%
Q2 - 9:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)39
21.9%
40
78.1%
Q2 - 9:43MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup39
23.2%
40
76.8%
Q2 - 10:01HOUPatterson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)39
21.9%
40
78.1%
Q2 - 10:19HOURockets Rebound39
23.9%
40
76.1%
Q2 - 10:20MIAMISS Bosh 1' Tip Shot39
23.3%
40
76.7%
Q2 - 10:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
21.9%
40
78.1%
Q2 - 10:22MIAMISS House 1' Driving Layup39
23.3%
40
76.7%
Q2 - 10:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
21.9%
40
78.1%
Q2 - 10:37HOUMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 239
22.2%
40
77.8%
Q2 - 10:37HOUMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 239
23.3%
40
76.7%
Q2 - 10:46HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
23.9%
40
76.1%
Q2 - 10:47MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
23.3%
40
76.7%
Q2 - 11:01HOULowry 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)39
22.0%
40
78.0%
Q2 - 11:24MIABosh 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS)37
20.4%
40
79.6%
Q2 - 11:38HOULee Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)37
22.0%
38
78.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA37
23.9%
38
76.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOULowry 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)37
22.0%
38
78.0%
Q1 - 0:15.0MIAMiller Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P1.T2)35
20.1%
38
79.9%
Q1 - 0:37.0HOULee 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)35
18.8%
38
81.2%
Q1 - 0:38.0HOULowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
15.8%
38
84.2%
Q1 - 0:41.0HOUMISS Scola 3' Driving Layup32
15.1%
38
84.9%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAJames 4' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)32
15.8%
38
84.2%
Q1 - 1:11MIAHEAT Rebound32
17.5%
36
82.5%
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 232
18.4%
36
81.6%
Q1 - 1:12MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)32
17.4%
36
82.6%
Q1 - 1:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
18.9%
35
81.1%
Q1 - 1:13HOUMISS Scola 8' Turnaround Hook Shot32
19.3%
35
80.7%
Q1 - 1:27MIABibby 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)32
20.0%
35
80.0%
Q1 - 1:48HOULowry 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)32
22.0%
33
78.0%
Q1 - 1:59MIAJames 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)30
20.0%
33
80.0%
Q1 - 2:13HOUBudinger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)30
22.0%
31
78.0%
Q1 - 2:24MIAAnthony 2' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
18.8%
31
81.2%
Q1 - 2:25MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
20.4%
29
79.6%
Q1 - 2:26MIAMISS Wade 2' Tip Shot27
21.4%
29
78.6%
Q1 - 2:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
20.4%
29
79.6%
Q1 - 2:28MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Bank Shot27
21.4%
29
78.6%
Q1 - 2:35HOUMartin Foul Turnover (P1.T2)27
20.4%
29
79.6%
Q1 - 2:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)27
21.8%
29
78.2%
Q1 - 2:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)27
22.1%
28
77.9%
Q1 - 3:01HOUBudinger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)27
23.2%
27
76.8%
Q1 - 3:12MIAJames 2' Layup (6 PTS)24
20.2%
27
79.8%
Q1 - 3:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
21.7%
25
78.3%
Q1 - 3:14MIAMISS Wade 12' Running Jump Shot24
22.8%
25
77.2%
Q1 - 3:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
21.7%
25
78.3%
Q1 - 3:23HOUMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
22.2%
25
77.8%
Q1 - 3:36HOURockets Rebound24
23.3%
25
76.7%
Q1 - 3:37HOUMISS Martin 11' Jump Shot24
22.2%
25
77.8%
Q1 - 3:48HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
23.4%
25
76.6%
Q1 - 3:49MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot24
22.8%
25
77.2%
Q1 - 4:02HOUMartin Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)24
21.2%
25
78.8%
Q1 - 4:16MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)21
18.6%
25
81.4%
Q1 - 4:29HOULowry 8' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)21
19.8%
23
80.2%
Q1 - 4:44MIABibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)19
18.6%
23
81.4%
Q1 - 4:58MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
21.3%
20
78.7%
Q1 - 4:59HOUMISS Scola 6' Turnaround Jump Shot19
21.8%
20
78.2%
Q1 - 5:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
22.9%
20
77.1%
Q1 - 5:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
23.3%
19
76.7%
Q1 - 5:29HOULowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Budinger 2 AST)19
24.3%
18
75.7%
Q1 - 5:42HOURockets Rebound16
21.4%
18
78.6%
Q1 - 5:43HOUMISS Scola 19' Jump Shot16
20.3%
18
79.7%
Q1 - 5:56MIAWade 2' Layup (2 PTS)16
21.4%
18
78.6%
Q1 - 5:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
22.7%
16
77.3%
Q1 - 5:58MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot16
23.9%
16
76.1%
Q1 - 6:16HOUMartin 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
22.5%
16
77.5%
Q1 - 6:28MIADampier 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)14
21.2%
16
78.8%
Q1 - 6:45HOUScola 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)14
22.6%
14
77.4%
Q1 - 6:52HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
21.2%
14
78.8%
Q1 - 6:53HOUMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
20.2%
14
79.8%
Q1 - 7:08HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
21.0%
14
79.0%
Q1 - 7:09MIAMISS Dampier 2' Tip Shot12
20.6%
14
79.4%
Q1 - 7:10MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
19.6%
14
80.4%
Q1 - 7:11MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup12
20.6%
14
79.4%
Q1 - 7:24HOUScola 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)12
19.6%
14
80.4%
Q1 - 7:42MIAJames 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
18.5%
14
81.5%
Q1 - 7:51MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
19.6%
12
80.4%
Q1 - 7:52HOUMISS Martin 10' Jump Shot10
20.0%
12
80.0%
Q1 - 8:10MIABosh 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)10
20.7%
12
79.3%
Q1 - 8:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
22.1%
10
77.9%
Q1 - 8:22HOUMISS Budinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
22.5%
10
77.5%
Q1 - 8:37MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)10
23.5%
10
76.5%
Q1 - 8:56HOUScola 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)10
26.5%
7
73.5%
Q1 - 9:14MIAJames 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)8
24.8%
7
75.2%
Q1 - 9:19MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
26.3%
5
73.7%
Q1 - 9:20MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot8
27.3%
5
72.7%
Q1 - 9:34HOUHayes 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)8
26.3%
5
73.7%
Q1 - 9:50HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
24.8%
5
75.2%
Q1 - 9:51MIAMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
24.4%
5
75.6%
Q1 - 10:01HOUHayes Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)6
23.1%
5
76.9%
Q1 - 10:03MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
24.7%
5
75.3%
Q1 - 10:24HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
23.2%
5
76.8%
Q1 - 10:24HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
22.9%
5
77.1%
Q1 - 10:40MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)4
22.1%
5
77.9%
Q1 - 10:52HOUHayes 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)4
24.5%
2
75.5%
Q1 - 11:04MIADampier 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
22.8%
2
77.2%
Q1 - 11:20HOUScola 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Budinger 1 AST)2
24.1%
0
75.9%
Q1 - 11:36HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.8%
0
77.2%
Q1 - 11:37MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot0
22.5%
0
77.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Dampier vs. Scola: Tip to Bosh0
21.7%
0
78.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.17 58.3%
MIA
1.14 56.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
14
27
52%
MIA
28
42
67%
Midrange
HOU
20
41
49%
MIA
13
33
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
9
13.5
21
43%
64%
MIA
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
Free Throws
HOU
24
28
86%
MIA
28
34
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Martin2963%14.5 / 23
L. Scola2858%14.0 / 24
K. Lowry2557%12.5 / 22
C. Budinger1653%8.0 / 15
C. Hayes675%3.0 / 4
J. Hill675%3.0 / 4
G. Dragic450%2.0 / 4
C. Lee350%1.5 / 3
P. Patterson250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3366%16.5 / 25
C. Bosh3162%15.5 / 25
D. Wade3050%15.0 / 30
M. Bibby14100%7.0 / 7
J. Jones563%2.5 / 4
E. Dampier467%2.0 / 3
M. Miller440%2.0 / 5
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
Z. Ilgauskas2100%1.0 / 1
E. House0-0.0 / 5
J. Howard0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
87
+15
-10
102
MIA
87
+22
-10
109
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.17 58.3%
MIA
1.14 56.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
111.4
HOU 122.7
MIA 128.9 +6.2
Pace
94.2
91.3
HOU 104.6 +14.2
MIA 90.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
16.2
HOU 13.8 +2.2
MIA 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.3%
52.4%
HOU 53.4% +0.7%
MIA 52.7%
TO %
13.4%
14.4%
HOU 9.0%
MIA 8.5% +0.5%
ORB %
27.5%
25.2%
HOU 22.5%
MIA 41.5% +19.0%
FTrt
29.9
36.3
HOU 31.5
MIA 37.0 +5.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.7%
54.1%
HOU 48.8% +14.0%
MIA 34.8%
STL %
7.4%
7.3%
HOU 4.1% +3.1%
MIA 1.0%
BLK %
6.5%
8.5%
HOU 2.7%
MIA 8.8% +6.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.6%
55.7%
HOU 58.3% +1.5%
MIA 56.8%
Rim FG%
58.5%
64.7%
HOU 51.9%
MIA 66.7% +14.8%
Mid FG%
39.6%
42.2%
HOU 48.8% +9.4%
MIA 39.4%
3P %
36.7%
37.0%
HOU 42.9% +13.5%
MIA 29.4%
FT %
80.1%
76.9%
HOU 85.7% +3.3%
MIA 82.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
31.6%
HOU 30.3%
MIA 45.7% +15.3%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
44.9%
HOU 46.1%
MIA 35.9% +10.2%
3P Att. %
26.4%
23.5%
HOU 23.6% +5.1%
MIA 18.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsHOUMIA
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes22.325.8
Points119125
Rebounds3348
Assists2116
Steals41
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (6)17 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (2)31 (1)
Field Goals43-8946-92
At-the-Rim FG14-2728-42
Midrange FG20-4113-33
2-Point FG34-6841-75
3-Point FG9-215-17
Free Throws24-2828-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 196 · 25
44.0
25
57%
7
9
1
0
2
5
4
3
8-8
100%
7-13
54%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 241 · 31
39.3
28
58%
5
1
0
0
0
6
0
5
2-2
100%
13-23
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 209 · 23
36.7
16
53%
2
2
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-9
22%
4-6
67%
G · 6'7" 199 · 28
35.8
29
63%
5
5
1
0
2
3
0
5
11-12
92%
6-13
46%
2-6
33%
C · 6'6" 240 · 28
32.3
6
75%
7
1
1
1
2
2
2
5
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 200 · 25
19.9
3
50%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 230 · 22
12.0
2
50%
4
0
0
0
2
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24
11.5
6
75%
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
2-4
50%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 25
8.6
4
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 35
F · 6'6" 242 · 28
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
#11 · C · 7'6" 310 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · C · 7'3" 263 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
119
58%
33
21
4
2
10
0
9
24
24-28
86%
34-68
50%
9-21
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.