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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 27, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Kings28%95114
1476ers72%103111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 23.8
49.1
36.2
32
66%
7
4
1
1
0
1
3
4
6-7
86%
7-15
5-11
47%
47%
4-6
67%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.9
41.4
29.9
13
56%
19
1
1
1
0
5
2
17
5-6
83%
4-9
5-10
44%
50%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.7
35.3
35.8
11
70%
7
5
2
1
0
2
0
7
2-2
100%
3-6
5-9
50%
52%
1-1
100%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 20.6
32.0
28.3
12
33%
7
6
0
1
0
3
2
5
2-3
67%
5-17
5-12
29%
45%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 29.2
30.6
27.1
11
56%
3
1
2
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
49%
1-4
25%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.7
25.8
23.5
15
65%
11
2
0
0
1
3
3
8
5-8
63%
5-8
3-7
63%
48%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 21.5
23.2
15.3
10
47%
1
1
2
1
1
3
0
1
5-6
83%
1-7
3-6
14%
46%
1-1
100%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 23.1
22.5
16.9
8
68%
2
0
2
0
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
2-3
67%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 25.4
4.2
7.0
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Pooh Jeter
G · 5'11" 175 · 27.3
0.9
10.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.8
9.5
0
1-2
46%
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.3
6.0
0
1-2
48%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.2
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.2
44.4
33.3
16
43%
3
5
4
1
1
2
1
2
4-10
40%
6-12
4-8
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 22.9
42.7
24.7
16
61%
15
4
1
0
1
2
4
11
4-5
80%
6-10
4-8
60%
52%
0-1
0%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 20.8
40.3
33.7
28
66%
9
7
0
2
1
2
4
5
5-5
100%
10-18
5-9
56%
50%
1-1
100%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 32.0
39.2
34.1
15
59%
3
2
2
1
5
0
0
3
5-6
83%
5-10
6-12
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.6
39.1
32.5
22
89%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
5-5
2-3
100%
49%
3-6
50%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 22.4
20.3
10.3
5
75%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.8
18.4
26.0
4
17%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
2-11
6-11
18%
55%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.4
13.9
23.3
5
19%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-3
67%
0-8
4-7
0%
49%
1-4
25%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 35.1
4.4
6.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 31.3
2.3
9.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 23.6
4.2
0
1-2
52%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.1
1.5
0
0-0
48%
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.5
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 33.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.