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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 26, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Knicks62%103106
27Bobcats38%99114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.8
40.8
35.0
36
63%
4
1
1
1
2
3
1
3
7-8
88%
10-15
7-14
67%
48%
3-10
30%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.4
38.5
36.1
14
44%
6
3
0
1
4
2
3
3
6-7
86%
4-13
10-18
31%
53%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 34.5
35.1
31.3
14
43%
1
10
0
1
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
5-10
2-6
50%
45%
1-6
17%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.1
24.1
23.5
7
38%
4
0
0
1
2
0
1
3
3-3
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
0-3
0%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.0
14.8
29.1
5
31%
4
2
0
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
49%
1-3
33%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.7
33.6
25.2
16
60%
6
0
0
1
0
1
1
5
9-12
75%
2-5
2-4
40%
56%
1-3
33%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.4
24.6
7.9
10
105%
9
1
1
0
1
0
2
7
4-4
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 35.8
11.3
10.3
2
50%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.5
7.1
3.3
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
56%
0-2
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 29.3
5.3
11.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.5
4.8
10.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.5
3.5
0
0-1
51%
Andy Rautins
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.4
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.7
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 28.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.9
38.3
26.7
20
60%
8
5
0
1
0
0
3
5
5-6
83%
6-13
3-6
46%
55%
1-1
100%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 23.4
34.1
33.8
13
38%
4
9
1
1
0
1
2
2
5-5
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
48%
0-5
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 29.0
33.5
33.0
11
53%
7
1
0
1
2
0
0
7
1-3
33%
5-9
4-8
56%
52%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.3
31.8
28.5
13
58%
4
1
0
1
3
0
1
3
5-5
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
48%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.0
29.3
31.2
19
56%
7
3
2
1
1
2
1
6
1-2
50%
3-7
5-10
43%
47%
4-9
44%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.9
18.7
20.7
10
63%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 30.6
16.2
13.7
10
56%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
45%
0-1
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 25.5
13.9
18.8
13
77%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
6-8
3-7
75%
49%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.6
13.5
20.8
1
27%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
4-7
-
53%
0-1
0%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.4
10.7
15.7
4
50%
6
2
0
0
0
0
5
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.6
10.0
0
2-4
49%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 24.9
2.4
0
0-0
46%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 29.1
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.7
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 31.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.