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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 26, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Nets25%8987
17Hawks75%9898
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 27.0
35.8
29.3
13
54%
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-8
2-6
63%
43%
1-4
25%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.5
34.2
31.7
25
56%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
3-3
100%
11-17
3-6
65%
47%
0-4
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 23.0
30.8
33.2
6
33%
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-9
7-15
33%
49%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.3
28.9
33.2
5
36%
4
8
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
44%
1-3
33%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.1
26.2
33.8
12
75%
5
0
0
1
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
6-8
5-10
75%
49%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.5
22.4
22.7
5
43%
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 25.2
21.9
13.2
12
67%
8
3
0
0
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
6-9
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.0
19.6
6.2
5
43%
2
7
2
0
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
9.6
5.3
2
50%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.1
6.5
3.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.5
4.1
8.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.5
12.6
0
1-3
46%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.9
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 24.9
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.8
41.7
33.3
23
62%
12
2
1
1
2
4
2
10
5-6
83%
9-16
6-10
56%
57%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.3
36.5
33.8
22
71%
4
1
2
1
0
5
0
4
6-8
75%
8-10
6-12
80%
53%
0-2
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.2
36.2
30.1
11
50%
7
4
1
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
48%
1-4
25%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.8
29.1
26.7
9
48%
4
3
1
1
0
1
3
1
1-1
100%
4-9
4-7
44%
51%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.7
21.5
35.9
12
72%
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-3
33%
4-5
6-11
80%
51%
1-2
50%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.0
39.0
27.8
18
48%
2
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
5-9
2-5
56%
49%
2-9
22%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.1
17.9
17.7
3
80%
7
1
2
0
1
0
2
5
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.8
11.8
12.2
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 31.2
6.4
9.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 26.3
5.4
0
0-1
50%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.3
4.8
0
0-1
45%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 33.0
3.6
0
0-1
52%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.2
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.