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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 24, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Hornets64%97121
23Jazz36%92117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 25.7
47.5
36.0
14
68%
9
2
4
2
1
1
0
9
1-3
33%
2-4
3-7
50%
47%
3-5
60%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.9
43.9
35.7
24
63%
3
12
0
2
0
1
1
2
8-9
89%
8-13
5-9
62%
52%
0-2
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.6
37.7
36.3
29
52%
3
0
1
1
1
2
2
1
5-6
83%
12-25
7-14
48%
52%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 28.5
29.5
34.3
12
68%
6
3
0
1
1
1
2
4
2-2
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
56%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.0
28.4
26.9
14
83%
2
4
2
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
48%
3-4
75%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.4
30.3
14.6
15
57%
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3
4-5
80%
4-9
2-5
44%
48%
1-2
50%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.3
19.5
4.7
10
69%
8
2
0
0
0
0
5
3
4-5
80%
3-5
0-1
60%
53%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.5
14.3
15.5
3
32%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
3-4
75%
0-3
3-5
0%
53%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.7
9.3
20.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25.1
4.4
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.0
7.6
0
1-1
48%
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 30.7
2.2
0
0-1
48%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.2
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.5
44.7
25.0
13
48%
5
1
1
1
0
2
0
5
5-6
83%
1-6
1-3
17%
45%
2-5
40%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 31.8
41.4
25.5
14
71%
3
8
1
1
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
46%
3-4
75%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 26.1
40.5
31.5
33
70%
11
4
0
1
3
1
5
6
7-8
88%
13-20
6-11
65%
53%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 26.2
36.6
36.2
22
65%
13
2
1
1
1
3
5
8
0-0
-
11-17
9-18
65%
50%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.0
21.5
30.1
11
44%
4
2
0
1
1
0
0
4
1-1
100%
5-8
4-9
63%
47%
0-4
0%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 21.0
36.7
21.8
13
60%
3
5
0
1
3
1
0
3
4-4
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 19.7
16.9
11.4
2
20%
3
0
1
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
50%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.8
15.2
13.2
8
103%
1
1
1
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
2-2
100%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 23.4
11.5
13.2
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
53%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.1
18.4
1
2-5
46%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 35.1
5.2
0
0-1
46%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 24.2
4.5
0
0-1
49%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.8
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.