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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 23, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Spurs41%101112
7Nuggets59%104115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.7
36.6
28.0
20
53%
4
2
1
1
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
3-6
4-7
50%
49%
4-12
33%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.8
36.3
32.7
19
64%
2
5
0
1
1
1
0
2
3-4
75%
8-12
7-13
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.8
31.8
25.4
9
46%
4
3
1
0
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
51%
1-5
20%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.5
25.0
20.7
13
48%
12
1
0
1
1
0
4
8
5-6
83%
4-11
2-5
36%
49%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26.2
17.2
17.9
4
34%
7
1
1
1
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
52%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.9
25.1
17.7
8
51%
6
2
0
1
2
2
3
3
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
52%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.5
24.1
22.3
25
79%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
3-7
2-5
43%
48%
6-8
75%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31.0
22.9
22.9
7
51%
3
3
2
0
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
1-4
25%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.9
20.9
28.0
7
60%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.8
13.0
0
1-1
50%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22.0
3.8
0
0-1
47%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.8
3.3
0
0-1
48%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.5
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.9
35.2
29.5
8
40%
4
2
0
1
6
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-6
4-8
67%
50%
0-4
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.5
33.4
27.7
8
61%
10
2
3
1
0
0
2
8
4-8
50%
2-3
5-9
67%
59%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 23.4
29.8
32.1
12
43%
5
7
1
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
6-14
4-7
43%
53%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 33.2
28.9
29.5
11
47%
8
0
1
1
1
2
2
6
3-4
75%
4-10
4-8
40%
49%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.6
26.4
28.2
13
62%
7
1
0
1
0
1
0
7
5-8
63%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
2-4
50%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 26.7
32.7
28.8
18
61%
3
8
1
1
0
2
0
3
3-6
50%
3-8
3-7
38%
46%
3-4
75%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.1
28.3
14.5
27
85%
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3
6-9
67%
3-6
1-3
50%
48%
5-6
83%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.5
20.0
26.6
18
84%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
2-3
67%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.7
5.3
15.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
55%
0-0
-
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.1
11.5
0
1-3
49%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 24.7
6.1
0
1-2
49%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.1
5.3
0
1-2
47%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 32.9
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.