FinalWin Prob.pScore
1141%101
112
759%104
115
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
119.19485.8
DEN logo DEN
122.394103.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN112
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASMISS Ginobili 27' 3PT Jump Shot112
0.9%
115
99.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0SASNeal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)112
4.7%
115
95.3%
Q4 - 0:09.0DENMISS Felton Free Throw 2 of 2112
5.5%
115
94.5%
Q4 - 0:09.0DENFelton Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)112
2.7%
115
97.3%
Q4 - 0:11.0DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)112
5.3%
114
94.7%
Q4 - 0:12.0SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot112
8.3%
114
91.7%
Q4 - 0:29.0DENChandler 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)112
22.1%
114
77.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0DENNUGGETS Rebound112
37.1%
112
62.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0DENMISS Lawson 2' Driving Layup112
54.5%
112
45.5%
Q4 - 0:49.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)112
38.8%
112
61.2%
Q4 - 0:51.0SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot112
44.5%
112
55.5%
Q4 - 1:11SASNeal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)112
56.7%
112
43.3%
Q4 - 1:13DENMISS Felton 16' Jump Shot112
51.8%
112
48.2%
Q4 - 1:33SASNeal 2' Layup (25 PTS)112
41.2%
112
58.8%
Q4 - 1:34SASNeal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)110
30.3%
112
69.7%
Q4 - 1:34SASChandler BLOCK (6 BLK)110
22.3%
112
77.7%
Q4 - 1:35SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)110
30.3%
112
69.7%
Q4 - 1:36SASMISS Neal 13' Jump Shot110
22.4%
112
77.6%
Q4 - 1:39SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)110
30.3%
112
69.7%
Q4 - 1:41SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot110
22.7%
112
77.3%
Q4 - 2:04DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)110
32.5%
112
67.5%
Q4 - 2:04DENMartin 1' Tip Shot (11 PTS)110
32.5%
112
67.5%
Q4 - 2:07DENMISS Lawson 10' Running Jump Shot110
51.9%
110
48.1%
Q4 - 2:24SASMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)110
40.0%
110
60.0%
Q4 - 2:24SASMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)109
36.8%
110
63.2%
Q4 - 2:24SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)108
33.1%
110
66.9%
Q4 - 2:25DENMISS Harrington 7' Fadeaway Jumper108
28.4%
110
71.6%
Q4 - 2:46DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)108
19.4%
110
80.6%
Q4 - 2:47SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot108
23.1%
110
76.9%
Q4 - 2:51SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)108
33.1%
110
66.9%
Q4 - 2:53DENMISS Martin 3' Layup108
29.3%
110
70.7%
Q4 - 3:04SASMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)108
21.4%
110
78.6%
Q4 - 3:04SASMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 2107
19.4%
110
80.6%
Q4 - 3:22DENFelton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)107
24.1%
110
75.9%
Q4 - 3:31DENLawson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)107
42.0%
107
58.0%
Q4 - 3:33DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot107
49.0%
107
51.0%
Q4 - 3:43SASParker 4' Finger Roll Layup (19 PTS)107
41.9%
107
58.1%
Q4 - 3:50SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)105
33.6%
107
66.4%
Q4 - 3:53DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)105
25.0%
107
75.0%
Q4 - 3:53DENMISS Martin 3' Tip Shot105
30.8%
107
69.2%
Q4 - 3:58DENMISS Harrington 2' Layup105
30.7%
107
69.3%
Q4 - 4:14SASMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)105
24.7%
107
75.3%
Q4 - 4:14SASMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)104
22.8%
107
77.2%
Q4 - 4:24DENHarrington 27' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Felton 8 AST)103
18.6%
107
81.4%
Q4 - 4:37SASParker 4' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)103
32.6%
104
67.4%
Q4 - 4:56DENFelton 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)101
25.1%
104
74.9%
Q4 - 5:08DENFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)101
34.0%
102
66.0%
Q4 - 5:10SASMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot101
36.6%
102
63.4%
Q4 - 5:29SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)101
42.6%
102
57.4%
Q4 - 5:30DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 2101
41.4%
102
58.6%
Q4 - 5:30DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 2101
36.4%
102
63.6%
Q4 - 5:41SASNeal 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)101
34.0%
102
66.0%
Q4 - 5:54SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)98
21.0%
102
79.0%
Q4 - 5:56DENMISS Felton 17' Jump Shot98
19.2%
102
80.8%
Q4 - 6:02DENFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
17.7%
102
82.3%
Q4 - 6:04SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot98
19.2%
102
80.8%
Q4 - 6:29DENHarrington 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Felton 7 AST)98
22.8%
102
77.2%
Q4 - 6:43DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)98
34.7%
99
65.3%
Q4 - 6:47SASMISS Blair 2' Layup98
37.0%
99
63.0%
Q4 - 7:06DENSmith 17' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)98
42.4%
99
57.6%
Q4 - 7:17DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)98
48.7%
97
51.3%
Q4 - 7:19SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot98
51.0%
97
49.0%
Q4 - 7:35DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)98
56.3%
97
43.7%
Q4 - 7:35DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 298
57.9%
96
42.1%
Q4 - 7:35DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)98
55.7%
96
44.3%
Q4 - 7:35SASChandler BLOCK (5 BLK)98
58.0%
96
42.0%
Q4 - 7:48DENFelton 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)98
63.1%
96
36.9%
Q4 - 7:56DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)98
68.8%
94
31.2%
Q4 - 7:58SASMISS McDyess 15' Jump Shot98
70.8%
94
29.2%
Q4 - 8:14SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)98
72.5%
94
27.5%
Q4 - 8:16DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 298
71.8%
94
28.2%
Q4 - 8:16DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 298
68.3%
94
31.7%
Q4 - 8:30DENNUGGETS Rebound98
67.3%
94
32.7%
Q4 - 8:30SASMISS Hill 20' Jump Shot98
68.9%
94
31.1%
Q4 - 8:51DENHarrington 28' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Felton 6 AST)98
72.6%
94
27.4%
Q4 - 9:03DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)98
79.6%
91
20.4%
Q4 - 9:04SASChandler BLOCK (4 BLK)98
80.8%
91
19.2%
Q4 - 9:06SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)98
83.2%
91
16.8%
Q4 - 9:09SASMISS Bonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot98
80.8%
91
19.2%
Q4 - 9:22SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
83.3%
91
16.7%
Q4 - 9:23DENMISS Smith 15' Fadeaway Jumper98
82.2%
91
17.8%
Q4 - 9:34SASSmith STEAL (1 STL)98
79.8%
91
20.2%
Q4 - 9:49DENFelton Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)98
83.3%
91
16.7%
Q4 - 10:08SASBonner 3' Layup (7 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)98
77.9%
91
22.1%
Q4 - 10:31SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)96
73.9%
91
26.1%
Q4 - 10:32DENMISS Felton 18' Jump Shot96
72.5%
91
27.5%
Q4 - 10:50DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
69.3%
91
30.7%
Q4 - 10:51SASMISS Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
70.7%
91
29.3%
Q4 - 11:14SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
72.3%
91
27.7%
Q4 - 11:16DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 296
71.7%
91
28.3%
Q4 - 11:16DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)96
68.9%
91
31.1%
Q4 - 11:35SASNeal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Blair 2 AST)96
72.4%
90
27.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS93
63.0%
90
37.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound93
63.0%
90
37.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Neal 18' Fadeaway Jumper93
59.5%
90
40.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASNeal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)93
61.6%
90
38.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
58.5%
90
41.5%
Q3 - 0:19.0DENFelton Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)93
61.7%
90
38.3%
Q3 - 0:19.0DENFelton Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)93
62.5%
89
37.5%
Q3 - 0:22.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)93
66.8%
88
33.2%
Q3 - 0:25.0SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
68.1%
88
31.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
70.8%
88
29.2%
Q3 - 0:30.0DENMISS Lawson 2' Layup93
69.7%
88
30.3%
Q3 - 0:34.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)93
66.8%
88
33.2%
Q3 - 0:35.0DENMISS Lawson 2' Driving Layup93
69.7%
88
30.3%
Q3 - 0:45.0SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (20 PTS)93
66.9%
88
33.1%
Q3 - 0:56.0DENSmith 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS)91
61.8%
88
38.2%
Q3 - 1:05DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
65.7%
86
34.3%
Q3 - 1:06SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
66.9%
86
33.1%
Q3 - 1:32DENHarrington 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)91
69.7%
86
30.3%
Q3 - 1:49SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)91
74.1%
84
25.9%
Q3 - 1:49SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)90
73.3%
84
26.7%
Q3 - 2:14DENLawson 4' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)89
68.2%
84
31.8%
Q3 - 2:20DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
72.3%
82
27.7%
Q3 - 2:21SASMISS Blair 2' Dunk89
73.4%
82
26.6%
Q3 - 2:39DENFelton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)89
75.9%
82
24.1%
Q3 - 2:51SASHill 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)89
82.2%
79
17.8%
Q3 - 3:06DENMartin 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)87
77.9%
79
22.1%
Q3 - 3:20DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
80.8%
77
19.2%
Q3 - 3:21SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
81.7%
77
18.3%
Q3 - 3:30SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
83.6%
77
16.4%
Q3 - 3:32DENMISS Felton Free Throw 2 of 287
83.2%
77
16.8%
Q3 - 3:32DENMISS Felton Free Throw 1 of 287
81.4%
77
18.6%
Q3 - 3:48SASHill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)87
80.8%
77
19.2%
Q3 - 4:05DENHarrington 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Felton 5 AST)84
74.0%
77
26.0%
Q3 - 4:24SASBlair Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)84
76.7%
75
23.3%
Q3 - 4:24SASBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)83
75.7%
75
24.3%
Q3 - 4:47DENMartin 7' Running Bank Hook Shot (7 PTS)82
74.0%
75
26.0%
Q3 - 5:03SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)82
75.3%
73
24.7%
Q3 - 5:03SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)81
74.7%
73
25.3%
Q3 - 5:26DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)80
72.5%
73
27.5%
Q3 - 5:52SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)80
75.4%
71
24.6%
Q3 - 5:52SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)79
74.4%
71
25.6%
Q3 - 6:19DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)78
71.2%
71
28.8%
Q3 - 6:26SASMartin STEAL (1 STL)78
74.1%
69
25.9%
Q3 - 6:46SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
77.4%
69
22.6%
Q3 - 6:48DENMISS Chandler 15' Jump Shot78
76.5%
69
23.5%
Q3 - 7:12SASParker 8' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS)78
72.6%
69
27.4%
Q3 - 7:31SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
69.7%
69
30.3%
Q3 - 7:33DENMISS Martin 5' Jump Hook Shot76
68.6%
69
31.4%
Q3 - 7:43SASMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)76
66.2%
69
33.8%
Q3 - 8:00SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
62.8%
69
37.2%
Q3 - 8:01DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 2 of 274
61.7%
69
38.3%
Q3 - 8:01DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)74
59.0%
69
41.0%
Q3 - 8:04DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)74
62.0%
68
38.0%
Q3 - 8:06SASChandler BLOCK (3 BLK)74
63.1%
68
36.9%
Q3 - 8:21SASSpurs Rebound74
65.7%
68
34.3%
Q3 - 8:22SASMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot74
63.1%
68
36.9%
Q3 - 8:45DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)74
65.7%
68
34.3%
Q3 - 8:45DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)74
66.5%
67
33.5%
Q3 - 8:56SASParker 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)74
68.8%
66
31.2%
Q3 - 9:11SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
64.8%
66
35.2%
Q3 - 9:13SASMISS Splitter 5' Jump Hook Shot72
62.4%
66
37.6%
Q3 - 9:22SASSpurs Rebound72
64.8%
66
35.2%
Q3 - 9:24SASMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot72
62.4%
66
37.6%
Q3 - 9:32SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
64.9%
66
35.1%
Q3 - 9:33DENMISS Gallinari 3' Driving Dunk72
63.8%
66
36.2%
Q3 - 9:39SASNene STEAL (3 STL)72
61.4%
66
38.6%
Q3 - 9:47SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
64.9%
66
35.1%
Q3 - 9:48DENMISS Martin 2' Driving Layup72
63.8%
66
36.2%
Q3 - 9:59DENNUGGETS Rebound72
61.4%
66
38.6%
Q3 - 10:01SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
61.5%
66
38.5%
Q3 - 10:15SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
64.0%
66
36.0%
Q3 - 10:17DENMISS Chandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
62.9%
66
37.1%
Q3 - 10:23DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
60.5%
66
39.5%
Q3 - 10:24SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
61.6%
66
38.4%
Q3 - 10:36SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
64.0%
66
36.0%
Q3 - 10:38DENMISS Lawson 12' Jump Shot72
62.9%
66
37.1%
Q3 - 10:51SASJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)72
60.5%
66
39.5%
Q3 - 11:13DENMartin 15' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)69
53.2%
66
46.8%
Q3 - 11:22DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
56.4%
64
43.6%
Q3 - 11:24SASMISS Ginobili 6' Running Hook Shot69
57.5%
64
42.5%
Q3 - 11:35SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
60.0%
64
40.0%
Q3 - 11:36DENMISS Chandler 27' 3PT Jump Shot69
58.9%
64
41.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN69
56.5%
64
43.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)69
56.3%
64
43.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot69
57.1%
64
42.9%
Q2 - 0:27.0DENFelton 13' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)69
58.9%
64
41.1%
Q2 - 0:34.0SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)69
62.7%
62
37.3%
Q2 - 0:51.0DENChandler 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)66
55.7%
62
44.3%
Q2 - 1:04SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)66
59.2%
60
40.8%
Q2 - 1:24DENNene Dunk (4 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)63
51.9%
60
48.1%
Q2 - 1:38SASNeal 6' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)63
56.0%
58
44.0%
Q2 - 1:57DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)61
51.9%
58
48.1%
Q2 - 1:57DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 261
53.1%
57
46.9%
Q2 - 2:09SASGinobili 5' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)61
51.8%
57
48.2%
Q2 - 2:27DENChandler 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)59
48.7%
57
51.3%
Q2 - 2:31DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
51.9%
55
48.1%
Q2 - 2:32DENMISS Chandler 3PT Jump Shot59
54.1%
55
45.9%
Q2 - 2:44DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
51.9%
55
48.1%
Q2 - 2:46SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot59
52.9%
55
47.1%
Q2 - 2:57SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
55.1%
55
44.9%
Q2 - 2:58DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
54.1%
55
45.9%
Q2 - 3:15DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
51.3%
55
48.7%
Q2 - 3:16SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 159
51.8%
55
48.2%
Q2 - 3:30DENFelton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)57
48.7%
55
51.3%
Q2 - 3:41SASJefferson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)57
54.4%
52
45.6%
Q2 - 4:06DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)55
51.0%
52
49.0%
Q2 - 4:06DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)55
51.7%
51
48.3%
Q2 - 4:09SASNene STEAL (2 STL)55
53.8%
50
46.2%
Q2 - 4:26DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)55
57.1%
50
42.9%
Q2 - 4:28DENFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
62.6%
47
37.4%
Q2 - 4:30SASChandler BLOCK (2 BLK)55
63.6%
47
36.4%
Q2 - 4:50DENGallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)55
65.7%
47
34.3%
Q2 - 4:59DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
70.7%
44
29.3%
Q2 - 5:01SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot55
70.9%
44
29.1%
Q2 - 5:23SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
72.6%
44
27.4%
Q2 - 5:24DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
71.8%
44
28.2%
Q2 - 5:33SASFelton STEAL (1 STL)55
70.2%
44
29.8%
Q2 - 5:35DENFelton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)55
72.6%
44
27.4%
Q2 - 5:37DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
70.2%
44
29.8%
Q2 - 5:38SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
70.9%
44
29.1%
Q2 - 6:02DENSmith 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Felton 3 AST)55
71.7%
44
28.3%
Q2 - 6:19SASNeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)55
73.6%
42
26.4%
Q2 - 6:42DENGallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Felton 2 AST)52
69.4%
42
30.6%
Q2 - 7:00SASNeal 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)52
73.7%
39
26.3%
Q2 - 7:16SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
68.4%
39
31.6%
Q2 - 7:18DENMISS Gallinari 1' Layup49
67.7%
39
32.3%
Q2 - 7:23DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
65.9%
39
34.1%
Q2 - 7:24DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
67.7%
39
32.3%
Q2 - 7:40SASNeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)49
65.9%
39
34.1%
Q2 - 7:40SASMISS Neal Free Throw 1 of 248
65.4%
39
34.6%
Q2 - 7:42SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
66.0%
39
34.0%
Q2 - 7:43SASMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot48
64.2%
39
35.8%
Q2 - 8:10DENHarrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)48
65.1%
39
34.9%
Q2 - 8:26SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)48
69.7%
36
30.3%
Q2 - 8:40DENLawson 3' Layup (6 PTS)46
67.5%
36
32.5%
Q2 - 8:43DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
69.8%
34
30.2%
Q2 - 8:44DENMISS Lawson 3' Layup46
71.4%
34
28.6%
Q2 - 9:05SASNeal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bonner 3 AST)46
68.8%
34
31.2%
Q2 - 9:21DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
64.2%
34
35.8%
Q2 - 9:21DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
64.8%
33
35.2%
Q2 - 9:23SASLawson STEAL (1 STL)43
66.5%
32
33.5%
Q2 - 9:43DENLawson 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)43
68.9%
32
31.1%
Q2 - 9:48DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
71.0%
30
29.0%
Q2 - 9:49SASAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)43
71.7%
30
28.3%
Q2 - 10:00SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
73.2%
30
26.8%
Q2 - 10:01DENMISS Harrington 5' Fadeaway Jumper43
71.9%
30
28.1%
Q2 - 10:16SASBlair 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)43
70.3%
30
29.7%
Q2 - 10:30DENSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)41
68.4%
30
31.6%
Q2 - 10:35DENNUGGETS Rebound41
72.4%
27
27.6%
Q2 - 10:36DENMISS Felton 2' Driving Layup41
74.0%
27
26.0%
Q2 - 10:45SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)41
72.4%
27
27.6%
Q2 - 10:45SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)40
72.1%
27
27.9%
Q2 - 10:49DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)39
70.5%
27
29.5%
Q2 - 11:04SASNeal 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)39
67.6%
27
32.4%
Q2 - 11:13DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)37
65.5%
27
34.5%
Q2 - 11:26SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)37
63.1%
27
36.9%
Q2 - 11:41DENHarrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)34
58.5%
27
41.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN34
63.1%
24
36.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound34
63.1%
24
36.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENMISS Felton 36' 3PT Jump Shot34
63.7%
24
36.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASBlair 2' Putback Layup (4 PTS)34
62.4%
24
37.6%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
59.6%
24
40.4%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASMISS Neal 4' Jump Shot32
58.4%
24
41.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)32
59.7%
24
40.3%
Q1 - 0:28.0DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)32
60.3%
23
39.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0SASHarrington STEAL (1 STL)32
62.5%
22
37.5%
Q1 - 0:47.0DENSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)32
64.4%
22
35.6%
Q1 - 0:53.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
69.1%
19
30.9%
Q1 - 0:54.0DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 232
70.6%
19
29.4%
Q1 - 0:54.0DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
69.2%
19
30.8%
Q1 - 1:15SASNeal 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bonner 2 AST)32
70.3%
18
29.7%
Q1 - 1:36SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
65.7%
18
34.3%
Q1 - 1:38DENMISS Felton 16' Jump Shot29
65.2%
18
34.8%
Q1 - 1:53SASBlair 1' Putback Dunk (2 PTS)29
64.1%
18
35.9%
Q1 - 1:54SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
61.3%
18
38.7%
Q1 - 1:56SASMISS Hill 1' Layup27
60.2%
18
39.8%
Q1 - 2:03SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
61.1%
18
38.9%
Q1 - 2:04DENMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot27
60.5%
18
39.5%
Q1 - 2:11DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
59.1%
18
40.9%
Q1 - 2:12SASMISS Bonner 9' Floating Jump Shot27
59.7%
18
40.3%
Q1 - 2:28DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
61.1%
18
38.9%
Q1 - 2:28DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
61.6%
17
38.4%
Q1 - 2:38SASBonner Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
63.5%
16
36.5%
Q1 - 2:38SASBonner Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
63.1%
16
36.9%
Q1 - 2:54DENSmith 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
61.1%
16
38.9%
Q1 - 3:13SASParker 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)25
62.9%
14
37.1%
Q1 - 3:28DENMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)23
60.9%
14
39.1%
Q1 - 3:40SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)23
58.6%
14
41.4%
Q1 - 3:40SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)22
58.2%
14
41.8%
Q1 - 4:02SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
55.7%
14
44.3%
Q1 - 4:03DENMISS Nene 16' Jump Shot21
55.0%
14
45.0%
Q1 - 4:15SASMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)21
53.3%
14
46.7%
Q1 - 4:23SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
51.3%
14
48.7%
Q1 - 4:25DENMISS Martin 4' Jump Hook Shot19
50.6%
14
49.4%
Q1 - 4:47SASParker 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)19
48.9%
14
51.1%
Q1 - 4:53SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
46.9%
14
53.1%
Q1 - 4:54SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
45.2%
14
54.8%
Q1 - 5:17DENGallinari 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)17
46.5%
14
53.5%
Q1 - 5:19DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
48.3%
12
51.7%
Q1 - 5:21SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
49.1%
12
50.9%
Q1 - 5:35SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
50.7%
12
49.3%
Q1 - 5:36DENMISS Chandler 18' Jump Shot17
50.0%
12
50.0%
Q1 - 5:52SASMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)17
48.4%
12
51.6%
Q1 - 6:13DENLawson 2' Layup (2 PTS)15
46.0%
12
54.0%
Q1 - 6:18SASNene STEAL (1 STL)15
48.0%
10
52.0%
Q1 - 6:30DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
50.2%
10
49.8%
Q1 - 6:30DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
50.4%
9
49.6%
Q1 - 6:33DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
52.2%
8
47.8%
Q1 - 6:34SASMartin BLOCK (1 BLK)15
52.9%
8
47.1%
Q1 - 6:35SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
54.4%
8
45.6%
Q1 - 6:36SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
54.4%
8
45.6%
Q1 - 6:36SASMISS McDyess 2' Layup15
52.9%
8
47.1%
Q1 - 6:39SASMISS Splitter 4' Jump Hook Shot15
52.9%
8
47.1%
Q1 - 6:51SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
54.4%
8
45.6%
Q1 - 6:53DENMISS Lawson 3' Jump Shot15
53.7%
8
46.3%
Q1 - 7:00DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
52.2%
8
47.8%
Q1 - 7:01SASChandler BLOCK (1 BLK)15
52.2%
8
47.8%
Q1 - 7:20DENGallinari Foul Turnover (P1.T2)15
53.8%
8
46.2%
Q1 - 7:27DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
51.6%
8
48.4%
Q1 - 7:29SASMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot15
52.3%
8
47.7%
Q1 - 7:39DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
53.8%
8
46.2%
Q1 - 7:39DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
54.5%
7
45.5%
Q1 - 7:49SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)15
55.7%
6
44.3%
Q1 - 7:49SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)14
55.4%
6
44.6%
Q1 - 8:11DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
53.3%
6
46.7%
Q1 - 8:11DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 213
53.5%
5
46.5%
Q1 - 8:15DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
53.4%
5
46.6%
Q1 - 8:16SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
54.0%
5
46.0%
Q1 - 8:26DENNene 3' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)13
55.3%
5
44.7%
Q1 - 8:48SASMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)13
57.3%
3
42.7%
Q1 - 8:57DENMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
55.3%
3
44.7%
Q1 - 9:09SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
52.8%
3
47.2%
Q1 - 9:25SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
49.0%
3
51.0%
Q1 - 9:26DENMISS Lawson 21' Jump Shot8
48.5%
3
51.5%
Q1 - 9:36DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
47.2%
3
52.8%
Q1 - 9:37SASMISS Jefferson 20' Jump Shot8
47.7%
3
52.3%
Q1 - 9:46SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
49.0%
3
51.0%
Q1 - 9:47DENMISS Martin 1' Driving Layup8
48.5%
3
51.5%
Q1 - 10:07SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)8
46.4%
3
53.6%
Q1 - 10:26SASSpurs Rebound5
43.1%
3
56.9%
Q1 - 10:27DENMISS Chandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
42.5%
3
57.5%
Q1 - 10:46SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
41.1%
3
58.9%
Q1 - 10:56DENChandler 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)2
37.9%
3
62.1%
Q1 - 11:19SASSplitter 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
39.2%
1
60.8%
Q1 - 11:41DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
37.6%
1
62.4%
Q1 - 11:41DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 20
37.7%
0
62.3%
Q1 - 11:52DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.7%
0
62.3%
Q1 - 11:53SASMISS Ginobili 2' Driving Layup0
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Splitter: Tip to Ginobili0
39.1%
0
60.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.11 55.4%
DEN
1.16 58.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
15
28
54%
DEN
12
28
43%
Midrange
SAS
10
28
36%
DEN
15
28
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
13
19.5
32
41%
61%
DEN
12
18.0
21
57%
86%
Free Throws
SAS
23
26
88%
DEN
25
39
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Neal2578%12.5 / 16
M. Ginobili2053%10.0 / 19
T. Parker1968%9.5 / 14
A. McDyess1346%6.5 / 14
R. Jefferson945%4.5 / 10
D. Blair850%4.0 / 8
M. Bonner750%3.5 / 7
G. Hill758%3.5 / 6
T. Splitter433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Harrington2784%13.5 / 16
R. Felton1860%9.0 / 15
J. Smith1882%9.0 / 11
D. Gallinari1359%6.5 / 11
T. Lawson1243%6.0 / 14
K. Martin1146%5.5 / 12
W. Chandler840%4.0 / 10
Nene857%4.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
86
+15
-8
101
DEN
87
+11
-7
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.11 55.4%
DEN
1.16 58.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.5
112.7
SAS 119.1
DEN 122.3 +3.2
Pace
92.7
95.2
SAS 85.8
DEN 103.9 +18.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
14.3
SAS 16.8
DEN 13.9 +2.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
52.6%
SAS 50.6%
DEN 58.4% +7.8%
TO %
13.8%
14.5%
SAS 7.4%
DEN 6.9% +0.5%
ORB %
25.0%
23.8%
SAS 26.1% +6.6%
DEN 19.5%
FTrt
29.9
36.7
SAS 29.5
DEN 50.6 +21.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.3%
57.6%
SAS 50.0%
DEN 56.4% +6.4%
STL %
7.9%
7.7%
SAS 5.3%
DEN 8.5% +3.2%
BLK %
6.7%
6.8%
SAS 10.7%
DEN 14.3% +3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
56.3%
SAS 55.4%
DEN 58.1% +2.7%
Rim FG%
60.3%
58.5%
SAS 53.6% +10.7%
DEN 42.9%
Mid FG%
41.6%
40.0%
SAS 35.7%
DEN 53.6% +17.9%
3P %
39.7%
38.8%
SAS 40.6%
DEN 57.1% +16.5%
FT %
76.7%
76.6%
SAS 88.5% +24.4%
DEN 64.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.3%
42.5%
SAS 31.8%
DEN 36.4% +4.5%
Mid Att. %
39.7%
31.8%
SAS 31.8% +4.5%
DEN 36.4%
3P Att. %
26.1%
25.8%
SAS 36.4% +9.1%
DEN 27.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsSASDEN
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes26.321.7
Points112115
Rebounds4542
Assists1922
Steals58
Blocks68
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)7 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)34 (2)
Field Goals38-8839-77
At-the-Rim FG15-2812-28
Midrange FG10-2815-28
2-Point FG25-5627-56
3-Point FG13-3212-21
Free Throws23-2625-39
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 205 · 34
36.6
20
53%
4
2
1
1
2
3
0
4
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
4-12
33%
G · 6'2" 185 · 29
36.3
19
68%
2
5
0
1
1
2
0
2
3-4
75%
8-12
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 233 · 31
31.8
9
45%
4
3
1
0
1
0
1
3
4-4
100%
1-3
33%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 245 · 37
25.0
13
46%
12
1
0
1
0
6
4
8
5-6
83%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 245 · 26
17.2
4
33%
7
1
1
0
1
4
2
5
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 22
25.1
8
50%
6
2
0
2
2
2
3
3
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 26
24.1
25
78%
5
0
0
0
1
3
2
3
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
6-8
75%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31
22.9
7
50%
3
3
2
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 188 · 25
20.9
7
58%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 225 · 28
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24
#11 · G · 6'2" 175 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
55%
45
19
5
6
8
0
12
33
23-26
88%
25-56
45%
13-32
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.