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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 23, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Raptors24%99106
10Suns76%109114
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.4
38.6
33.8
27
55%
4
3
0
0
0
2
2
2
6-6
100%
9-19
6-13
47%
49%
1-3
33%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.6
34.5
28.4
19
46%
8
4
3
1
0
1
0
8
1-1
100%
9-19
6-12
47%
51%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.5
32.6
27.9
6
50%
4
13
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
0-1
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.1
23.2
25.2
8
67%
6
1
0
1
2
1
1
5
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 23.9
20.1
16.3
6
50%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-4
50%
59%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.8
22.7
18.1
7
52%
9
1
1
0
0
0
5
4
1-4
25%
3-5
2-4
60%
56%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 28.3
22.3
17.7
14
64%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
50%
2-6
33%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24.7
16.1
18.6
12
60%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
6-9
3-6
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.6
15.4
19.2
7
37%
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
3-9
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 30.8
14.6
22.8
0
0%
6
0
0
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 22.9
8.0
0
1-3
50%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.8
5.8
0
1-1
52%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 27.3
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 26.2
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 27.8
40.0
35.0
14
55%
7
3
2
1
0
2
0
7
4-4
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
2-6
33%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 37.1
21.6
33.2
16
63%
3
8
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
5-9
4-7
56%
55%
1-2
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 34.2
20.1
27.6
13
55%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-5
4-7
20%
49%
3-6
50%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 23.0
14.9
11.0
8
57%
6
0
0
0
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
55%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 38.5
6.3
31.5
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
4-7
-
52%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.7
41.7
25.2
13
50%
6
1
0
1
1
1
1
5
1-2
50%
3-7
2-5
43%
53%
2-5
40%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 26.2
33.6
11.1
25
70%
4
8
3
0
0
3
1
3
3-4
75%
5-9
1-3
56%
46%
4-7
57%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.1
33.1
34.8
15
70%
8
2
0
1
5
1
2
6
3-4
75%
6-9
6-11
67%
58%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 27.8
9.6
6.5
4
67%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
59%
0-0
-
Zabian Dowdell
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.5
8.7
7.7
2
33%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 28.7
8.0
12.1
4
34%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
53%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 29.1
2.4
11.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-2
0%
Gani Lawal
F · 6'9" 234 · 22.4
Garret Siler
C · 6'11" 305 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.