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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 23, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Warriors29%101112
13Rockets71%109131
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 25.3
42.5
32.6
34
75%
5
6
3
1
1
1
1
4
3-4
75%
11-15
3-6
73%
48%
3-6
50%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.4
35.3
33.9
15
51%
5
5
1
2
0
3
0
5
4-4
100%
4-10
6-12
40%
49%
1-3
33%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.9
35.0
30.2
19
49%
9
4
0
1
0
2
2
7
1-1
100%
9-19
6-11
47%
52%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 23.8
33.8
26.4
9
57%
5
0
0
1
2
1
2
3
1-2
50%
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.0
30.0
27.0
16
50%
6
6
1
1
0
4
3
3
0-0
-
5-13
4-7
38%
50%
2-3
67%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.5
17.1
16.4
5
42%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
51%
1-2
50%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.3
15.8
10.7
9
63%
7
0
0
0
1
1
3
4
1-5
20%
4-5
1-3
80%
49%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 26.2
13.1
16.5
3
52%
3
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.3
8.8
18.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
7.7
16.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 25.1
0.9
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.0
3.2
0
0-0
41%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.6
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.5
41.9
30.4
25
78%
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-8
4-7
63%
50%
5-8
63%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 28.1
39.1
35.5
34
72%
3
2
2
1
0
2
1
2
6-6
100%
8-14
5-11
57%
49%
4-7
57%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 25.0
38.9
38.5
13
45%
4
12
1
2
0
2
0
4
6-8
75%
2-2
4-8
100%
50%
1-9
11%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 27.8
38.2
33.7
13
46%
14
11
2
1
0
2
5
9
3-7
43%
5-11
5-8
45%
54%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.9
31.5
19.1
20
54%
10
4
0
0
1
1
4
6
6-6
100%
7-16
4-8
44%
53%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.0
23.8
28.4
8
45%
9
2
0
1
2
0
3
6
2-2
100%
3-8
5-9
38%
56%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.9
18.8
11.0
14
92%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
4-6
67%
2-3
1-3
67%
49%
2-2
100%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.7
3.0
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.7
2.5
14.6
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Harris
F · 6'6" 242 · 27.8
2.2
5.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 34.9
6.9
0
1-1
50%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
2.7
0
0-1
45%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 24.1
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 30.5
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.