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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 23, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Kings32%9097
17Bucks68%9690
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.7
43.3
31.9
25
60%
6
6
1
1
0
1
0
6
9-11
82%
8-13
4-8
62%
51%
0-3
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 23.8
42.3
33.5
27
60%
6
4
0
1
1
4
4
2
7-8
88%
7-16
5-10
44%
46%
2-3
67%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.9
41.1
31.1
11
51%
12
3
1
1
2
1
5
7
1-2
50%
5-10
5-10
50%
50%
0-0
-
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 20.6
28.1
26.4
13
55%
9
3
1
1
1
4
3
6
1-2
50%
6-11
5-10
55%
44%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 29.2
22.5
25.7
2
14%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
48%
0-2
0%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 23.1
26.7
10.0
6
38%
2
0
2
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.7
16.5
23.4
5
43%
8
1
0
0
0
1
4
4
1-2
50%
2-5
3-7
40%
48%
0-0
-
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 25.4
10.0
7.4
5
64%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
0-0
-
Pooh Jeter
G · 5'11" 175 · 27.3
9.6
15.5
3
38%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.7
17.4
1
1-3
46%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 21.5
11.7
1
2-4
46%
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.3
10.7
0
1-3
47%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.2
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28.6
46.9
34.1
30
72%
2
1
4
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
7-11
2-5
64%
46%
5-9
56%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.3
38.7
30.8
15
56%
9
4
0
1
1
4
3
6
1-1
100%
7-13
5-10
54%
54%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 21.5
32.9
36.7
6
38%
4
6
0
1
2
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
4-10
50%
44%
0-3
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 31.3
32.5
35.1
8
28%
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
2-10
5-10
20%
47%
1-4
25%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.5
29.3
35.7
11
71%
4
2
0
1
0
1
2
2
3-4
75%
4-6
4-8
67%
51%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.9
19.0
16.9
2
17%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22.3
15.4
12.4
10
71%
4
1
2
0
3
0
1
3
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
50%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 34.8
12.8
8.1
4
29%
0
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-7
1-3
29%
48%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 24.0
12.5
11.5
4
106%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 29.5
10.2
0
2-4
49%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 31.4
6.6
0
1-2
52%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.2
6.0
0
1-2
49%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 31.6
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.