FinalWin Prob.pScore
172%102
100
2328%94
94
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
117.68588.4
DET logo DET
109.38682.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA100
100%
94
0%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)100
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)99
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 0:11.0DETHamilton Driving Layup (27 PTS)98
99.5%
94
0.5%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)98
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 297
99.6%
92
0.4%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)97
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 0:22.0DETMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.6%
92
0.4%
Q4 - 0:27.0DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)97
98.8%
92
1.2%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 297
98.9%
92
1.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)97
99.4%
92
0.6%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)96
98.8%
92
1.2%
Q4 - 0:30.0DETMISS Monroe 1' Layup96
98.4%
92
1.6%
Q4 - 0:31.0DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)96
97.0%
92
3.0%
Q4 - 0:32.0DETMISS Stuckey 7' Jump Shot96
98.4%
92
1.6%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIABosh Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T12)96
95.5%
92
4.5%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 296
97.4%
92
2.6%
Q4 - 1:01MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)96
97.1%
92
2.9%
Q4 - 1:03DETMISS Prince 16' Fadeaway Jumper96
96.3%
92
3.7%
Q4 - 1:25DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
92.8%
92
7.2%
Q4 - 1:27MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot96
93.8%
92
6.2%
Q4 - 1:46DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)96
94.7%
92
5.3%
Q4 - 1:46DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)96
95.0%
91
5.0%
Q4 - 2:08MIAWade 21' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS)96
96.4%
90
3.6%
Q4 - 2:25DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)94
95.1%
90
4.9%
Q4 - 2:25DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 294
95.4%
89
4.6%
Q4 - 2:32DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
94.1%
89
5.9%
Q4 - 2:35MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
95.2%
89
4.8%
Q4 - 2:57DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)94
96.1%
89
3.9%
Q4 - 2:57DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)94
96.3%
88
3.7%
Q4 - 3:15MIAMonroe STEAL (2 STL)94
97.3%
87
2.7%
Q4 - 3:34DETMonroe 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Prince 5 AST)94
97.1%
87
2.9%
Q4 - 3:52MIAJames Dunk (19 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)94
98.0%
85
2.0%
Q4 - 3:57MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)92
97.3%
85
2.7%
Q4 - 3:58DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
96.9%
85
3.1%
Q4 - 4:14MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)92
96.0%
85
4.0%
Q4 - 4:14MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)91
95.8%
85
4.2%
Q4 - 4:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)90
94.5%
85
5.5%
Q4 - 4:33DETMISS Monroe Layup90
93.7%
85
6.3%
Q4 - 4:38DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
91.8%
85
8.2%
Q4 - 4:39DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot90
93.8%
85
6.2%
Q4 - 4:54DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
91.8%
85
8.2%
Q4 - 4:55MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
92.8%
85
7.2%
Q4 - 5:22DETStuckey 1' Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)90
92.9%
85
7.1%
Q4 - 5:37DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
94.7%
83
5.3%
Q4 - 5:38MIAMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
95.3%
83
4.7%
Q4 - 5:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)90
96.3%
83
3.7%
Q4 - 5:45DETMISS Hamilton 8' Jump Shot90
95.9%
83
4.1%
Q4 - 6:09MIAMiller 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 7 AST)90
93.8%
83
6.2%
Q4 - 6:21DETMcGrady 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)88
92.0%
83
8.0%
Q4 - 6:43MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)88
93.9%
81
6.1%
Q4 - 6:43MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)87
93.6%
81
6.4%
Q4 - 6:43MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)86
92.0%
81
8.0%
Q4 - 6:44DETMISS Gordon 20' Jump Shot86
91.3%
81
8.7%
Q4 - 7:04MIABosh 1' Layup (18 PTS) (James 6 AST)86
88.7%
81
11.3%
Q4 - 7:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)84
85.9%
81
14.1%
Q4 - 7:20DETMISS Maxiell Reverse Layup84
84.7%
81
15.3%
Q4 - 7:42MIAHeat Rebound84
81.8%
81
18.2%
Q4 - 7:42MIAJones Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)84
81.8%
81
18.2%
Q4 - 7:42MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 383
81.3%
81
18.7%
Q4 - 7:42MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)83
84.7%
81
15.3%
Q4 - 7:56DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)82
77.6%
81
22.4%
Q4 - 8:04DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
72.7%
81
27.3%
Q4 - 8:06MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup82
74.1%
81
25.9%
Q4 - 8:37DETStuckey Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)82
77.4%
81
22.6%
Q4 - 8:44DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
72.6%
81
27.4%
Q4 - 8:45MIAMISS House 12' Running Jump Shot82
74.1%
81
25.9%
Q4 - 9:07MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
77.1%
81
22.9%
Q4 - 9:08DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot82
75.8%
81
24.2%
Q4 - 9:23MIAJames Driving Layup (17 PTS)82
72.7%
81
27.3%
Q4 - 9:45MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
67.6%
81
32.4%
Q4 - 9:46DETMISS Villanueva 15' Hook Shot80
66.0%
81
34.0%
Q4 - 10:08MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)80
62.7%
81
37.3%
Q4 - 10:18MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
51.7%
81
48.3%
Q4 - 10:19DETMISS Daye 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
49.9%
81
50.1%
Q4 - 10:32DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
45.9%
81
54.1%
Q4 - 10:34MIAMISS James 6' Jump Shot77
47.7%
81
52.3%
Q4 - 10:47MIAHouse Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)77
51.6%
81
48.4%
Q4 - 11:08MIAHouse Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)76
47.4%
81
52.6%
Q4 - 11:18MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
42.1%
81
57.9%
Q4 - 11:19DETMISS Stuckey 16' Pullup Jump Shot75
40.5%
81
59.5%
Q4 - 11:43MIAJames 3' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)75
36.9%
81
63.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET73
31.9%
81
68.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 4 AST)73
29.9%
81
70.1%
Q3 - 0:23.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)70
21.6%
81
78.4%
Q3 - 0:23.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)70
22.1%
80
77.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0DETHamilton Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)70
25.6%
79
74.4%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAMcGrady STEAL (2 STL)70
29.7%
78
70.3%
Q3 - 0:53.0DETStuckey Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)70
33.7%
78
66.3%
Q3 - 1:08MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)70
31.5%
78
68.5%
Q3 - 1:43DETHamilton 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Stuckey 6 AST)70
35.3%
78
64.7%
Q3 - 1:49DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)70
45.2%
75
54.8%
Q3 - 1:50MIAMISS James Tip Shot70
46.6%
75
53.4%
Q3 - 1:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)70
49.7%
75
50.3%
Q3 - 1:54MIAMISS James 2' Layup70
46.6%
75
53.4%
Q3 - 2:11DETHamilton 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Stuckey 5 AST)70
51.3%
75
48.7%
Q3 - 2:30MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)70
60.6%
72
39.4%
Q3 - 2:30MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)69
59.7%
72
40.3%
Q3 - 2:35MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
55.9%
72
44.1%
Q3 - 2:36DETMISS Prince 15' Fadeaway Jumper68
54.5%
72
45.5%
Q3 - 3:01MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS)68
53.3%
72
46.7%
Q3 - 3:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)66
49.0%
72
51.0%
Q3 - 3:09DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot66
47.5%
72
52.5%
Q3 - 3:18DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)66
44.2%
72
55.8%
Q3 - 3:19MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot66
45.7%
72
54.3%
Q3 - 3:41DETMonroe Layup (12 PTS) (Wilcox 2 AST)66
48.8%
72
51.2%
Q3 - 4:00MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS)66
53.1%
70
46.9%
Q3 - 4:15DETMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)64
50.0%
70
50.0%
Q3 - 4:35DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)64
44.9%
70
55.1%
Q3 - 4:37MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 264
45.5%
70
54.5%
Q3 - 4:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)64
48.3%
70
51.7%
Q3 - 4:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)63
45.6%
70
54.4%
Q3 - 4:42MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
42.1%
70
57.9%
Q3 - 4:58DETHamilton 11' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Monroe 2 AST)63
45.6%
70
54.4%
Q3 - 5:16DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
50.1%
68
49.9%
Q3 - 5:17MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot63
51.5%
68
48.5%
Q3 - 5:33DETPrince 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)63
54.7%
68
45.3%
Q3 - 5:39DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
62.4%
65
37.6%
Q3 - 5:40MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Bank Shot63
63.7%
65
36.3%
Q3 - 6:03DETMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)63
67.7%
65
32.3%
Q3 - 6:21MIABosh 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)63
63.6%
65
36.4%
Q3 - 6:39DETMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)61
60.1%
65
39.9%
Q3 - 6:39DETMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 261
61.0%
64
39.0%
Q3 - 6:49MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T8)61
59.7%
64
40.3%
Q3 - 6:51MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
63.9%
64
36.1%
Q3 - 6:53DETMISS Prince 1' Layup61
62.6%
64
37.4%
Q3 - 7:20MIAWade Driving Layup (17 PTS)61
60.5%
64
39.5%
Q3 - 7:32DETPISTONS Rebound59
57.0%
64
43.0%
Q3 - 7:32DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)59
57.0%
64
43.0%
Q3 - 7:32DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 259
57.9%
63
42.1%
Q3 - 7:51MIABibby 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)59
56.8%
63
43.2%
Q3 - 8:17DETWilcox 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)57
53.9%
63
46.1%
Q3 - 8:25MIAPrince STEAL (1 STL)57
57.4%
61
42.6%
Q3 - 8:44DETWilcox 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)57
61.2%
61
38.8%
Q3 - 9:07MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)57
58.2%
61
41.8%
Q3 - 9:07MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)56
57.6%
61
42.4%
Q3 - 9:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
54.6%
61
45.4%
Q3 - 9:23DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 2 of 255
54.1%
61
45.9%
Q3 - 9:23DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)55
52.2%
61
47.8%
Q3 - 9:42MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)55
54.5%
60
45.5%
Q3 - 9:42MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)54
53.9%
60
46.1%
Q3 - 9:54DETWilcox 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)53
50.9%
60
49.1%
Q3 - 9:55DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
54.5%
58
45.5%
Q3 - 9:56DETMISS Monroe 1' Reverse Layup53
57.1%
58
42.9%
Q3 - 10:00DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)53
54.5%
58
45.5%
Q3 - 10:02DETMISS Hamilton 15' Running Jump Shot53
58.4%
58
41.6%
Q3 - 10:13DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
55.9%
58
44.1%
Q3 - 10:16MIAMISS James 1' Finger Roll Layup53
57.0%
58
43.0%
Q3 - 10:31DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)53
59.4%
58
40.6%
Q3 - 10:31DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 253
59.9%
57
40.1%
Q3 - 10:44DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)53
59.3%
57
40.7%
Q3 - 10:46MIAMISS Bosh 14' Fadeaway Jumper53
60.3%
57
39.7%
Q3 - 11:10DETWilcox 4' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)53
63.8%
57
36.2%
Q3 - 11:29DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)53
66.7%
55
33.3%
Q3 - 11:30MIAMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
67.7%
55
32.3%
Q3 - 11:40MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
69.9%
55
30.1%
Q3 - 11:41DETMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot53
68.9%
55
31.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET53
66.7%
55
33.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIABibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)53
66.7%
55
33.3%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAHeat Rebound50
60.9%
55
39.1%
Q2 - 0:24.0DETMISS Stuckey Layup50
60.2%
55
39.8%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)50
58.4%
55
41.6%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)49
57.7%
55
42.3%
Q2 - 1:09DETStuckey 1' Layup (4 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)48
55.3%
55
44.7%
Q2 - 1:31MIAJames Dunk (11 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)48
59.3%
53
40.7%
Q2 - 1:46DETMonroe Layup (9 PTS)46
55.2%
53
44.8%
Q2 - 1:47DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)46
59.3%
51
40.7%
Q2 - 1:48DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot46
60.8%
51
39.2%
Q2 - 2:12MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)46
59.4%
51
40.6%
Q2 - 2:12MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)45
58.7%
51
41.3%
Q2 - 2:12DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)44
56.4%
51
43.6%
Q2 - 2:14MIAMaxiell STEAL (1 STL)44
53.1%
51
46.9%
Q2 - 2:33MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
56.4%
51
43.6%
Q2 - 2:35MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
54.1%
51
45.9%
Q2 - 2:57DETPrince 7' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)44
56.3%
51
43.7%
Q2 - 3:15MIAJames 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS)44
60.3%
49
39.7%
Q2 - 3:41DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)42
57.8%
49
42.2%
Q2 - 3:58MIAJames 1' Layup (7 PTS)42
60.2%
47
39.8%
Q2 - 4:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
57.7%
47
42.3%
Q2 - 4:01MIAMISS Magloire 2' Layup40
56.2%
47
43.8%
Q2 - 4:20DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)40
58.4%
47
41.6%
Q2 - 4:34DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
63.8%
44
36.2%
Q2 - 4:37MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Bank Shot40
64.8%
44
35.2%
Q2 - 4:56MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
66.9%
44
33.1%
Q2 - 4:57DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
65.9%
44
34.1%
Q2 - 5:22MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)40
64.7%
44
35.3%
Q2 - 5:24DETMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)37
59.2%
44
40.8%
Q2 - 5:33DETPISTONS Rebound37
56.3%
44
43.7%
Q2 - 5:34DETMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot37
58.3%
44
41.7%
Q2 - 5:50DETHamilton Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)37
56.2%
44
43.8%
Q2 - 6:16MIAWade 1' Reverse Dunk (13 PTS) (House 2 AST)37
59.4%
43
40.6%
Q2 - 6:20DETDaye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)35
57.1%
43
42.9%
Q2 - 6:42MIAWade 8' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)35
53.8%
43
46.2%
Q2 - 7:04DETMaxiell 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)33
52.5%
43
47.5%
Q2 - 7:13MIAHouse 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)33
55.1%
41
44.9%
Q2 - 7:33DETDaye Driving Layup (2 PTS)31
52.5%
41
47.5%
Q2 - 7:46DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
55.0%
39
45.0%
Q2 - 7:47MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
55.9%
39
44.1%
Q2 - 8:04DETVillanueva Alley Oop Layup (7 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)31
59.0%
39
41.0%
Q2 - 8:25MIAWade 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)31
61.4%
37
38.6%
Q2 - 8:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
58.9%
37
41.1%
Q2 - 8:29MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot29
57.0%
37
43.0%
Q2 - 8:49DETGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)29
58.9%
37
41.1%
Q2 - 9:00MIAMiller Foul Turnover (P1.T5)29
56.2%
37
43.8%
Q2 - 9:08DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)29
59.6%
37
40.4%
Q2 - 9:30MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)29
64.4%
34
35.6%
Q2 - 9:43DETVillanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)26
59.5%
34
40.5%
Q2 - 10:01MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)26
64.2%
31
35.8%
Q2 - 10:01MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
63.8%
31
36.2%
Q2 - 10:16DETVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
62.1%
31
37.9%
Q2 - 10:16DETVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
62.5%
30
37.5%
Q2 - 10:19MIAMonroe STEAL (1 STL)24
64.2%
29
35.8%
Q2 - 10:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
66.8%
29
33.2%
Q2 - 10:28MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
65.0%
29
35.0%
Q2 - 10:46DETMonroe Layup (7 PTS) (Daye 2 AST)24
66.8%
29
33.2%
Q2 - 10:50DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
68.8%
27
31.2%
Q2 - 10:51MIADaye BLOCK (1 BLK)24
69.5%
27
30.5%
Q2 - 11:01MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
71.0%
27
29.0%
Q2 - 11:03DETMISS Monroe Layup24
70.3%
27
29.7%
Q2 - 11:04DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
68.8%
27
31.2%
Q2 - 11:06DETMISS Villanueva 1' Layup24
70.3%
27
29.7%
Q2 - 11:22MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (House 1 AST)24
68.8%
27
31.2%
Q2 - 11:41MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
64.4%
27
35.6%
Q2 - 11:42DETMISS Villanueva 7' Turnaround Jump Shot21
63.7%
27
36.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET21
61.9%
27
38.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound21
61.9%
27
38.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Stuckey 31' 3PT Jump Shot21
63.7%
27
36.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
62.8%
27
37.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
63.3%
27
36.7%
Q1 - 0:27.0DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Daye 1 AST)21
64.5%
27
35.5%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T3)21
67.1%
25
32.9%
Q1 - 0:58.0DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)21
68.9%
25
31.1%
Q1 - 0:58.0DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)21
69.6%
24
30.4%
Q1 - 1:19MIAMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)21
71.8%
23
28.2%
Q1 - 1:26MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
67.3%
23
32.7%
Q1 - 1:27DETMISS Daye 1' Layup18
66.8%
23
33.2%
Q1 - 1:32DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
65.7%
23
34.3%
Q1 - 1:35DETMISS Stuckey 1' Layup18
66.8%
23
33.2%
Q1 - 1:40DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
65.7%
23
34.3%
Q1 - 1:41MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot18
66.2%
23
33.8%
Q1 - 1:54DETStuckey 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
67.2%
23
32.8%
Q1 - 2:14DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
69.9%
21
30.1%
Q1 - 2:15MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 218
70.2%
21
29.8%
Q1 - 2:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)18
71.4%
21
28.6%
Q1 - 2:22MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
69.7%
21
30.3%
Q1 - 2:23DETMISS Prince 27' 3PT Jump Shot17
69.2%
21
30.8%
Q1 - 2:35DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
67.9%
21
32.1%
Q1 - 2:38MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
68.5%
21
31.5%
Q1 - 3:05DETPrince 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)17
70.4%
21
29.6%
Q1 - 3:20MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)17
72.2%
19
27.8%
Q1 - 3:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
71.8%
19
28.2%
Q1 - 3:22DETMonroe Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)15
70.4%
19
29.6%
Q1 - 3:25DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
68.3%
19
31.7%
Q1 - 3:26DETMISS Daye 20' Jump Shot15
69.8%
19
30.2%
Q1 - 3:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
68.3%
19
31.7%
Q1 - 3:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
67.9%
19
32.1%
Q1 - 3:47DETMonroe Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)13
66.4%
19
33.6%
Q1 - 4:12MIAWade 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)13
64.9%
19
35.1%
Q1 - 4:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
63.0%
19
37.0%
Q1 - 4:14MIAMISS Wade 6' Running Jump Shot11
61.4%
19
38.6%
Q1 - 4:27DETMcGrady Layup (4 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)11
63.0%
19
37.0%
Q1 - 4:47DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
64.8%
17
35.2%
Q1 - 4:49MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot11
65.5%
17
34.5%
Q1 - 5:01DETMonroe 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Wilcox 1 AST)11
67.1%
17
32.9%
Q1 - 5:12DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
68.8%
15
31.2%
Q1 - 5:15MIAMISS Dampier 1' Reverse Layup11
69.4%
15
30.6%
Q1 - 5:26DETMcGrady 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)11
70.8%
15
29.2%
Q1 - 5:50MIABosh Dunk (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)11
72.4%
13
27.6%
Q1 - 6:08DETWilcox 1' Layup (4 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)9
71.1%
13
28.9%
Q1 - 6:17DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
72.7%
11
27.3%
Q1 - 6:18MIAMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot9
73.3%
11
26.7%
Q1 - 6:44DETWilcox 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)9
74.4%
11
25.6%
Q1 - 7:09DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
76.2%
9
23.8%
Q1 - 7:10MIAMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 29
76.4%
9
23.6%
Q1 - 7:10MIADampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
77.1%
9
22.9%
Q1 - 7:10MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
76.3%
9
23.7%
Q1 - 7:12MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot8
75.2%
9
24.8%
Q1 - 7:27DETPrince Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)8
76.3%
9
23.7%
Q1 - 7:32MIAMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)8
77.6%
7
22.4%
Q1 - 7:58DETHamilton 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)8
79.1%
7
20.9%
Q1 - 8:12MIADampier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)8
80.7%
5
19.3%
Q1 - 8:28DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)8
81.9%
5
18.1%
Q1 - 8:28DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 28
82.2%
4
17.8%
Q1 - 8:47DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
81.9%
4
18.1%
Q1 - 8:48MIAMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
82.2%
4
17.8%
Q1 - 9:01MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
83.2%
4
16.8%
Q1 - 9:02DETMISS Hamilton 8' Running Jump Shot8
82.8%
4
17.2%
Q1 - 9:23MIABosh Layup (4 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)8
82.1%
4
17.9%
Q1 - 9:48DETHamilton 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)6
80.9%
4
19.1%
Q1 - 10:07MIAJames Dunk (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)6
81.7%
2
18.3%
Q1 - 10:22DETPrince Layup (2 PTS)4
80.8%
2
19.2%
Q1 - 10:28DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
81.8%
0
18.2%
Q1 - 10:30MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot4
82.1%
0
17.9%
Q1 - 10:36MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
83.0%
0
17.0%
Q1 - 10:38DETMISS Wilcox 14' Fadeaway Jumper4
82.6%
0
17.4%
Q1 - 11:07MIADampier Dunk (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)4
81.8%
0
18.2%
Q1 - 11:15MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
80.7%
0
19.3%
Q1 - 11:17DETMISS Monroe 1' Layup2
80.4%
0
19.6%
Q1 - 11:43MIABosh 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
79.7%
0
20.3%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wilcox vs. Dampier: Tip to Wade0
78.5%
0
21.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.2%
DET
1.11 55.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
25
72%
DET
19
30
63%
Midrange
MIA
7
20
35%
DET
12
28
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
DET
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
Free Throws
MIA
32
39
82%
DET
20
26
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2463%12.0 / 19
C. Bosh2368%11.5 / 17
L. James1956%9.5 / 17
M. Miller1372%6.5 / 9
J. Jones964%4.5 / 7
M. Bibby550%2.5 / 5
E. House467%2.0 / 3
E. Dampier350%1.5 / 3
J. Magloire0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton2775%13.5 / 18
G. Monroe1454%7.0 / 13
T. Prince1346%6.5 / 14
C. Wilcox1083%5.0 / 6
R. Stuckey945%4.5 / 10
T. McGrady750%3.5 / 7
C. Villanueva758%3.5 / 6
J. Maxiell583%2.5 / 3
A. Daye225%1.0 / 4
B. Gordon0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
74
+9
-11
83
DET
74
+11
-12
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.2%
DET
1.11 55.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
107.5
MIA 117.6 +8.3
DET 109.3
Pace
91.3
89.3
MIA 88.4 +5.5
DET 82.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.6
MIA 16.3 +1.1
DET 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
49.5%
MIA 53.1% +1.0%
DET 52.1%
TO %
14.4%
13.5%
MIA 12.9%
DET 12.7% +0.2%
ORB %
25.2%
27.4%
MIA 21.6%
DET 23.5% +1.9%
FTrt
36.3
27.9
MIA 60.9 +24.3
DET 36.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
56.6%
MIA 64.5%
DET 80.0% +15.5%
STL %
7.3%
8.0%
MIA 7.1% +0.1%
DET 7.0%
BLK %
8.5%
6.6%
MIA 1.7%
DET 2.2% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
51.9%
MIA 60.2% +4.9%
DET 55.3%
Rim FG%
64.7%
59.2%
MIA 72.0% +8.7%
DET 63.3%
Mid FG%
42.2%
38.8%
MIA 35.0%
DET 42.9% +7.9%
3P %
37.0%
37.6%
MIA 31.6% +0.8%
DET 30.8%
FT %
76.9%
73.7%
MIA 82.1% +5.2%
DET 76.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
36.3%
MIA 39.1%
DET 42.3% +3.2%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
44.8%
MIA 31.3% +8.2%
DET 39.4%
3P Att. %
23.5%
18.9%
MIA 29.7% +11.4%
DET 18.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions8586
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points10094
Rebounds3437
Assists2028
Steals66
Blocks11
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (1)29 (0)
Field Goals31-6435-71
At-the-Rim FG18-2519-30
Midrange FG7-2012-28
2-Point FG25-4531-58
3-Point FG6-194-13
Free Throws32-3920-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
42.1
19
56%
8
7
0
0
3
3
3
5
3-4
75%
8-13
62%
0-3
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
39.2
24
63%
4
4
3
0
0
3
2
2
10-12
83%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
38.8
23
68%
7
2
0
0
2
2
2
5
11-12
92%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 33
25.6
5
50%
4
4
0
0
0
5
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 265 · 36
16.1
3
50%
3
0
0
1
3
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
26.6
13
72%
2
0
0
0
2
3
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
18.5
9
64%
4
0
2
0
0
1
0
4
3-5
60%
0-0
-
2-5
40%
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
15.4
4
67%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 33
11.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 29
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · C · 7'3" 260 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
60%
34
20
6
1
11
0
8
26
32-39
82%
25-45
56%
6-19
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.