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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 22, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Suns28%96137
2Lakers72%104139
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 27.8
57.0
30.4
32
63%
14
1
0
1
0
4
2
12
5-5
100%
6-10
2-5
60%
46%
5-13
38%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 37.1
49.3
30.7
19
63%
5
20
0
1
0
6
1
4
0-0
-
2-8
3-6
25%
52%
5-7
71%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 38.5
44.1
30.8
11
62%
10
1
1
1
0
1
1
9
1-2
50%
2-5
4-8
40%
48%
2-3
67%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 34.1
40.2
26.2
17
36%
3
5
1
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
5-10
3-7
50%
46%
2-13
15%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 23.0
9.9
12.4
4
50%
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.1
53.1
32.4
24
65%
16
1
0
1
2
0
3
13
6-8
75%
9-15
5-10
60%
54%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.7
29.5
27.2
2
100%
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 26.2
13.7
10.6
15
76%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
5-7
1-3
71%
42%
1-2
50%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 29.1
12.6
12.4
11
75%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
2-3
67%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 28.7
5.5
16.7
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Zabian Dowdell
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.5
10.4
0
2-4
43%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 27.8
8.1
0
1-2
56%
Garret Siler
C · 6'11" 305 · 24.4
Gani Lawal
F · 6'9" 234 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.4
55.2
33.5
29
63%
16
5
0
1
1
0
5
11
2-2
100%
12-18
5-9
67%
56%
1-4
25%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 30.7
52.4
37.3
24
43%
13
3
2
1
2
0
6
7
6-6
100%
9-25
8-14
36%
55%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.4
48.5
31.9
18
60%
5
2
3
1
1
1
1
4
1-2
50%
4-9
3-6
44%
47%
3-5
60%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 32.6
48.0
30.5
42
59%
12
9
1
1
0
3
2
10
9-11
82%
12-26
7-14
46%
51%
3-5
60%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 36.6
46.0
26.0
2
13%
3
2
4
1
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-5
2-4
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 31.0
20.1
16.6
13
72%
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
5-6
1-3
83%
55%
1-3
33%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 25.3
17.2
20.0
2
26%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-3
3-6
0%
49%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 31.1
17.0
17.8
6
75%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
2-4
50%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.0
10.6
4.0
3
30%
1
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
1-4
25%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 23.4
19.6
0
3-6
58%
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 22.9
3.2
0
1-1
53%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35.7
1.8
0
0-1
44%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 37.9
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.