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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 22, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Bulls51%93114
17Hawks49%9281
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.9
34.0
36.7
27
77%
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
3
6-6
100%
9-12
5-9
75%
49%
1-3
33%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.5
28.8
31.6
30
70%
4
10
0
1
0
1
2
2
2-3
67%
5-12
6-12
42%
49%
6-8
75%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 26.1
24.9
26.6
8
67%
7
3
0
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
4-6
3-7
67%
52%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 30.9
23.3
18.7
6
150%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
2-2
100%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 29.3
22.8
27.0
6
34%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-2
0%
3-8
6-11
38%
53%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.7
21.1
21.1
9
70%
8
1
0
0
2
2
3
5
1-1
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
48%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.9
19.2
15.8
8
40%
3
6
2
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
46%
0-2
0%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.0
17.8
18.4
0
0%
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.7
17.1
18.3
7
77%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
5-8
63%
1-1
2-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 30.0
16.9
19.4
9
65%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 38.5
10.1
15.2
4
100%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 31.8
4.1
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 31.4
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 28.3
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.7
32.0
34.6
13
55%
5
3
0
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
6-11
5-11
55%
48%
0-0
-
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.8
28.8
35.1
14
89%
3
2
0
1
2
2
1
2
2-2
100%
6-7
6-11
86%
54%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.2
28.0
27.9
0
0%
0
5
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.3
27.5
33.4
14
51%
2
0
2
1
1
0
0
2
2-4
50%
6-12
6-11
50%
50%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.8
22.6
26.7
9
46%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
3-8
3-7
38%
48%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.0
26.2
27.4
2
25%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.8
19.0
13.6
20
93%
2
2
0
1
2
1
0
2
4-4
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
4-4
100%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 31.2
16.2
11.1
0
0%
3
1
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.1
15.1
19.0
5
44%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
5-6
83%
0-3
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 26.3
12.8
3.6
4
52%
4
0
2
0
2
2
1
3
1-2
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.2
8.2
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.3
3.6
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 23.0
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 33.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.