FinalWin Prob.pScore
2416%97
90
784%110
123
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
87.4103105.6
DEN logo DEN
115.0107104.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN90
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)90
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0TORMISS Ajinca 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0TORAjinca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)90
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0DENMISS Forbes 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0TORDavis 3' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bayless 9 AST)90
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:55.0DENForbes 1' Layup (14 PTS)88
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 1:04DENNUGGETS Rebound88
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 1:05DENMISS Koufos 8' Jump Hook Shot88
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 1:17TORBayless Foul Turnover (P4.T23)88
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 1:20DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)88
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 1:26DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 1:28TORMISS Bayless 1' Layup88
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 1:33TORAjinca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)88
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 1:34DENMISS Koufos 16' Jump Shot88
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 1:51DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)88
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 1:55TORKoufos BLOCK (2 BLK)88
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 2:15TORAjinca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)88
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 2:16DENMISS Mozgov 21' Jump Shot88
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 2:28DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)88
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 2:29TORMISS Bayless 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 2:38TORAjinca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 2:39DENMISS Forbes 2' Reverse Layup88
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 2:50TORHarrington STEAL (2 STL)88
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 3:01DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)88
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 3:01DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)88
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 3:01DENSmith Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)88
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 3:01DENNUGGETS Rebound88
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02DENMISS Forbes 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18TORBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T21)88
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24TORMISS Ajinca 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)88
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:53TORAjinca 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bayless 8 AST)88
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)85
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02DENMISS Koufos 7' Jump Hook Shot85
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 4:22TORBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)85
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 4:22TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)84
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27DENMISS Koufos 3' Jump Shot83
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45TORBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)83
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)82
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47DENMozgov Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)81
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 4:52DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)81
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 4:53DENMISS Harrington 21' Step Back Jump Shot81
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 5:20TORJohnson 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Bayless 7 AST)81
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 5:25TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 5:27DENMISS Mozgov 2' Layup79
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 5:40TORAjinca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 5:40TORAjinca 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)79
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 5:42TORMISS Davis 3' Layup77
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 5:59DENSmith 1' Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Harrington 6 AST)77
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 6:04TORHarrington STEAL (1 STL)77
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13DENHarrington 2' Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)77
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 6:35TORAjinca 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bayless 6 AST)77
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 6:47TORAjinca REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 6:48DENMISS Koufos 8' Jump Hook Shot74
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 6:58DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)74
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 6:59TORMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot74
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 7:13DENForbes Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)74
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 7:13DENForbes Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)74
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 7:15TORKoufos BLOCK (1 BLK)74
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 7:15DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)74
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 7:16TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 7:17TORMISS Barbosa 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 7:40TOREvans REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)74
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 7:40DENMISS Mozgov Free Throw 2 of 274
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 7:40DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)74
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 7:42DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 7:43TOREvans REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)74
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 7:43TORMISS Evans 3' Putback Layup74
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 7:46TORMISS Barbosa 2' Layup74
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 8:10DENMozgov 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Harrington 5 AST)74
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 8:28TORMozgov STEAL (1 STL)74
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 8:43DENForbes Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)74
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 8:43DENForbes Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)74
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 8:50DENNUGGETS Rebound74
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:50TORMISS Bayless 20' Jump Shot74
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 9:06DENForbes 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Harrington 4 AST)74
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 9:10DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)74
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 9:11TORMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot74
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 9:19TORRaptors Rebound74
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 9:19TORMISS Barbosa 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup74
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 9:35DENMozgov 3' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)74
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 10:00TORAjinca Foul Turnover (P3.T18)74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 10:23DENLawson 2' Layup (23 PTS) (Smith 8 AST)74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 10:28TORAndersen STEAL (1 STL)74
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 10:37DENLawson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)74
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 10:57TORBarbosa Layup (5 PTS) (Bayless 5 AST)74
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:00TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:01DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot72
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:04DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)72
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:06DENMISS Andersen 2' Layup72
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:29DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:31TORMISS Weems Free Throw 2 of 272
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:31TORMISS Weems Free Throw 1 of 272
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:32TORAjinca REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:34DENMISS Lawson 10' Running Jump Shot72
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:41DENLawson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)72
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:42TORAndersen BLOCK (5 BLK)72
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN72
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound72
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENMISS Harrington 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)72
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENMISS Gallinari 2' Driving Layup72
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q3 - 0:17.0TORAjinca Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T16)72
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q3 - 0:32.0DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)72
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q3 - 0:32.0DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 272
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 0:32.0DENNUGGETS Rebound72
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0TORMISS Barbosa 2' Driving Layup72
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 0:41.0TORBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 0:42.0DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 1:04TORAjinca 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Weems 2 AST)72
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 1:21DENMartin 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Smith 7 AST)69
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 1:24DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 1:26TORAndersen BLOCK (4 BLK)69
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 1:32TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 1:33DENMISS Martin 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup69
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 1:41DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 1:42TORMISS Barbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 2:02TORAjinca REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 2:03DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 2:24TORAjinca Traveling Turnover (P1.T15)69
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 2:34DENGallinari Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)69
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 2:48DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 2:49TORMISS Ajinca 20' Jump Shot69
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 3:01DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)69
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q3 - 3:01DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 269
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q3 - 3:09DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q3 - 3:10TORMISS DeRozan 21' Jump Shot69
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q3 - 3:23DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)69
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q3 - 3:35TORDeRozan 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bayless 4 AST)69
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q3 - 3:54DENNene 2' Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)67
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q3 - 3:59DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)67
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q3 - 4:00TORMISS Weems 15' Jump Shot67
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q3 - 4:10TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q3 - 4:11DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q3 - 4:21DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)67
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q3 - 4:22TORMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot67
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q3 - 4:39DENNene 3' Layup (15 PTS) (Martin 4 AST)67
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q3 - 4:53TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)67
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q3 - 4:53TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)66
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q3 - 5:07DENNene 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)65
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q3 - 5:18TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)65
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q3 - 5:18TORRaptors Rebound65
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q3 - 5:19TORMISS DeRozan 21' Jump Shot65
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q3 - 5:41TOREvans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q3 - 5:42DENMISS Martin 1' Driving Layup65
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q3 - 5:55TORBargnani 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Weems 1 AST)65
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q3 - 6:10DENLawson 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS)63
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q3 - 6:20DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q3 - 6:22TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot63
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q3 - 6:46DENChandler 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)63
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q3 - 6:53DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q3 - 6:56TORMISS DeRozan 17' Fadeaway Jumper63
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q3 - 7:07DENNene Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T11)63
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q3 - 7:19TORDeRozan 23' Jump Shot (10 PTS)63
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q3 - 7:43DENNene Foul Turnover (P4.T10)61
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q3 - 7:51TORDeRozan 15' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)61
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q3 - 8:05TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q3 - 8:07DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 2 of 259
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q3 - 8:07DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q3 - 8:12DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q3 - 8:14TORMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q3 - 8:25DENGallinari Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)59
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q3 - 8:33TORJohnson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)59
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q3 - 8:39TOREvans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)57
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q3 - 8:41DENMISS Chandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q3 - 8:51TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)57
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q3 - 9:03DENMartin 5' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)57
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q3 - 9:19TORDeRozan 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)57
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q3 - 9:30DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)55
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q3 - 9:30DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)55
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q3 - 9:48TORBargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)55
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 9:56DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)52
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 9:59TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)52
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q3 - 10:21DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 10:21DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)49
0.5%
75
99.5%
Q3 - 10:31TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)49
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 10:37TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q3 - 10:39DENMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot46
0.4%
74
99.6%
Q3 - 11:00TORDeRozan 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)46
0.4%
74
99.6%
Q3 - 11:22DENNene 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)44
0.4%
74
99.6%
Q3 - 11:27TORMartin STEAL (2 STL)44
0.4%
72
99.6%
Q3 - 11:44TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
0.5%
72
99.5%
Q3 - 11:46DENMISS Martin 1' Alley Oop Dunk44
0.5%
72
99.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR44
0.4%
72
99.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENGallinari 1' Layup (6 PTS)44
0.5%
72
99.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
0.6%
70
99.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
0.6%
70
99.4%
Q2 - 0:20.0TORWeems Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)44
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q2 - 0:20.0TORWeems Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)43
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q2 - 0:30.0DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)42
0.6%
70
99.4%
Q2 - 0:33.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)42
0.8%
67
99.2%
Q2 - 0:34.0DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
0.8%
67
99.2%
Q2 - 0:42.0TORChandler STEAL (1 STL)42
0.8%
67
99.2%
Q2 - 0:48.0TORAjinca REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
0.8%
67
99.2%
Q2 - 0:50.0DENMISS Lawson 18' Jump Shot42
0.8%
67
99.2%
Q2 - 1:04TORWeems 8' Running Bank Shot (6 PTS)42
0.8%
67
99.2%
Q2 - 1:28DENMartin Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)40
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q2 - 1:40TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)40
0.8%
65
99.2%
Q2 - 1:50DENChandler 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)37
0.6%
65
99.4%
Q2 - 2:07TORCalderon 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)37
0.7%
63
99.3%
Q2 - 2:15DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)35
0.7%
63
99.3%
Q2 - 2:15DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 235
0.7%
62
99.3%
Q2 - 2:15DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
0.7%
62
99.3%
Q2 - 2:15DENMISS Chandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
0.7%
62
99.3%
Q2 - 2:22DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)35
0.7%
62
99.3%
Q2 - 2:25TORMISS Weems 3' Layup35
0.7%
62
99.3%
Q2 - 2:36TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
0.7%
62
99.3%
Q2 - 2:37DENMISS Nene 2' Finger Roll Layup35
0.7%
62
99.3%
Q2 - 2:43TORNene STEAL (1 STL)35
0.7%
62
99.3%
Q2 - 2:47TORRaptors Rebound35
0.7%
62
99.3%
Q2 - 2:48TORMartin BLOCK (1 BLK)35
0.7%
62
99.3%
Q2 - 3:07DENForbes 9' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)35
0.8%
62
99.2%
Q2 - 3:22TORJohnson 2' Layup (4 PTS)35
0.9%
60
99.1%
Q2 - 3:35TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
0.8%
60
99.2%
Q2 - 3:37DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
0.8%
60
99.2%
Q2 - 3:54TORJohnson 2' Alley Oop Layup (7 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)33
0.7%
60
99.3%
Q2 - 4:14DENHarrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)31
0.7%
60
99.3%
Q2 - 4:22DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
0.8%
57
99.2%
Q2 - 4:23TORMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot31
0.9%
57
99.1%
Q2 - 4:43DENChandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)31
0.9%
57
99.1%
Q2 - 4:59DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
1.2%
54
98.8%
Q2 - 5:01TORMISS Calderon 16' Jump Shot31
1.3%
54
98.7%
Q2 - 5:20TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
1.4%
54
98.6%
Q2 - 5:21DENMISS Chandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
1.4%
54
98.6%
Q2 - 5:31TORSmith STEAL (1 STL)31
1.2%
54
98.8%
Q2 - 5:39TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
1.4%
54
98.6%
Q2 - 5:40DENMISS Forbes 20' Jump Shot31
1.3%
54
98.7%
Q2 - 5:56TORJohnson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)31
1.2%
54
98.8%
Q2 - 6:08TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
1.2%
54
98.8%
Q2 - 6:10DENMISS Forbes Free Throw 1 of 129
1.2%
54
98.8%
Q2 - 6:19DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)29
1.4%
52
98.6%
Q2 - 6:21TORMISS Barbosa 6' Running Jump Shot29
1.4%
52
98.6%
Q2 - 6:36DENForbes 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)29
1.5%
52
98.5%
Q2 - 6:43DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
1.7%
50
98.3%
Q2 - 6:44TORMISS DeRozan 17' Jump Shot29
1.8%
50
98.2%
Q2 - 6:54DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)29
1.9%
50
98.1%
Q2 - 6:58DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
2.4%
47
97.6%
Q2 - 6:59TORAndersen BLOCK (3 BLK)29
2.4%
47
97.6%
Q2 - 7:21DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)29
2.7%
47
97.3%
Q2 - 7:34TORBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
3.4%
44
96.6%
Q2 - 7:34TORMISS Bayless Free Throw 1 of 228
3.3%
44
96.7%
Q2 - 7:38TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
3.4%
44
96.6%
Q2 - 7:39DENMISS Chandler 27' 3PT Jump Shot28
3.3%
44
96.7%
Q2 - 7:58TORBargnani 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)28
3.0%
44
97.0%
Q2 - 8:15DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
2.9%
44
97.1%
Q2 - 8:15DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 226
2.9%
43
97.1%
Q2 - 8:33DENNUGGETS Rebound26
2.8%
43
97.2%
Q2 - 8:33TORMISS Barbosa 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
2.9%
43
97.1%
Q2 - 8:50DENHarrington 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)26
3.2%
43
96.8%
Q2 - 8:57DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)26
3.5%
41
96.5%
Q2 - 8:58DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
3.5%
41
96.5%
Q2 - 8:58DENMISS Harrington 2' Tip Shot26
3.8%
41
96.2%
Q2 - 9:00DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
3.5%
41
96.5%
Q2 - 9:00DENMISS Harrington 2' Tip Shot26
3.8%
41
96.2%
Q2 - 9:01DENMISS Andersen 2' Reverse Layup26
3.9%
41
96.1%
Q2 - 9:20DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
3.6%
41
96.4%
Q2 - 9:21TORMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 226
3.7%
41
96.3%
Q2 - 9:21TORDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
3.8%
41
96.2%
Q2 - 9:36DENAndersen 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)25
3.6%
41
96.4%
Q2 - 9:49TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)25
3.3%
41
96.7%
Q2 - 10:02TORRaptors Rebound25
3.8%
41
96.2%
Q2 - 10:03TORAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)25
3.5%
41
96.5%
Q2 - 10:16DENHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)25
3.7%
41
96.3%
Q2 - 10:32TOREvans Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T7)25
4.5%
38
95.5%
Q2 - 10:32TOREvans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)25
5.0%
38
95.0%
Q2 - 10:32TORMISS Bayless 2' Layup25
4.7%
38
95.3%
Q2 - 10:39TOREvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
5.0%
38
95.0%
Q2 - 10:41DENMISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot25
4.9%
38
95.1%
Q2 - 10:45DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)25
4.5%
38
95.5%
Q2 - 10:47TORMISS Weems 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
4.7%
38
95.3%
Q2 - 11:15DENSmith 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
5.1%
38
94.9%
Q2 - 11:27TORBarbosa 12' Running Bank Shot (3 PTS)25
5.6%
36
94.4%
Q2 - 11:43TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
5.1%
36
94.9%
Q2 - 11:45DENMISS Gallinari 22' Jump Shot23
5.0%
36
95.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN23
4.6%
36
95.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound23
4.6%
36
95.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Smith 37' 3PT Jump Shot23
5.0%
36
95.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
4.8%
36
95.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0TORMISS Evans 3' Layup23
4.9%
36
95.1%
Q1 - 0:27.0DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)23
5.2%
36
94.8%
Q1 - 0:32.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
6.3%
33
93.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0TORAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)23
6.5%
33
93.5%
Q1 - 0:37.0TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
6.8%
33
93.2%
Q1 - 0:38.0DENMISS Smith 1' Layup23
6.6%
33
93.4%
Q1 - 0:41.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
6.3%
33
93.7%
Q1 - 0:42.0DENMISS Martin 1' Layup23
6.6%
33
93.4%
Q1 - 0:44.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
6.3%
33
93.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0DENMISS Martin 1' Layup23
6.6%
33
93.4%
Q1 - 0:48.0TORMartin STEAL (1 STL)23
6.3%
33
93.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)23
6.8%
33
93.2%
Q1 - 0:50.0DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)23
6.9%
32
93.1%
Q1 - 0:56.0TORWeems 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)23
7.6%
31
92.4%
Q1 - 1:02TOREvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
6.9%
31
93.1%
Q1 - 1:04TORMISS Barbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
6.6%
31
93.4%
Q1 - 1:18DENAndersen 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)21
6.9%
31
93.1%
Q1 - 1:39TOREvans Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)21
7.7%
29
92.3%
Q1 - 1:40TOREvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
8.2%
29
91.8%
Q1 - 1:41TORMISS Weems 21' Jump Shot21
7.8%
29
92.2%
Q1 - 1:50TORBarbosa Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)21
8.2%
29
91.8%
Q1 - 1:59DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)20
7.5%
29
92.5%
Q1 - 1:59DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)20
7.6%
28
92.4%
Q1 - 2:22TORWeems 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)20
8.5%
27
91.5%
Q1 - 2:41DENLawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)18
7.7%
27
92.3%
Q1 - 2:59TORCalderon 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)18
9.2%
24
90.8%
Q1 - 3:18DENGallinari 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
8.4%
24
91.6%
Q1 - 3:21DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
9.1%
22
90.9%
Q1 - 3:23TORGallinari BLOCK (1 BLK)16
9.3%
22
90.7%
Q1 - 3:34TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
9.9%
22
90.1%
Q1 - 3:36DENMISS Nene 1' Layup16
9.6%
22
90.4%
Q1 - 3:45TOREvans Inbound Turnover (P1.T4)16
9.1%
22
90.9%
Q1 - 3:47DENLawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)16
9.9%
22
90.1%
Q1 - 3:52DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
11.6%
19
88.4%
Q1 - 3:53DENMISS Martin 1' Layup16
12.3%
19
87.7%
Q1 - 3:57DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
11.6%
19
88.4%
Q1 - 3:58TORMISS Bargnani 20' Jump Shot16
11.9%
19
88.1%
Q1 - 4:16TOREvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
12.3%
19
87.7%
Q1 - 4:18DENMISS Chandler 3' Reverse Layup16
12.0%
19
88.0%
Q1 - 4:23DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
11.3%
19
88.7%
Q1 - 4:24DENMISS Chandler 3PT Jump Shot16
12.0%
19
88.0%
Q1 - 4:43TORDeRozan 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)16
11.3%
19
88.7%
Q1 - 4:54DENNene Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)14
10.5%
19
89.5%
Q1 - 5:07TORBargnani Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)14
9.8%
19
90.2%
Q1 - 5:13DENChandler 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)14
10.7%
19
89.3%
Q1 - 5:19DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
11.4%
17
88.6%
Q1 - 5:20TORMISS DeRozan 18' Jump Shot14
11.7%
17
88.3%
Q1 - 5:42DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
12.4%
17
87.6%
Q1 - 5:42DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
12.5%
16
87.5%
Q1 - 5:48DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
13.2%
15
86.8%
Q1 - 5:49TORNene BLOCK (1 BLK)14
13.6%
15
86.4%
Q1 - 5:59DENNene Foul Turnover (P2.T6)14
14.4%
15
85.6%
Q1 - 6:05DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
13.0%
15
87.0%
Q1 - 6:06TORMISS DeRozan 17' Jump Shot14
13.3%
15
86.7%
Q1 - 6:24DENLawson 23' Jump Shot (7 PTS)14
14.1%
15
85.9%
Q1 - 6:36DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
15.1%
13
84.9%
Q1 - 6:37TORMISS Bargnani 13' Jump Shot14
15.4%
13
84.6%
Q1 - 6:43DENNene Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)14
16.3%
13
83.7%
Q1 - 6:53DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
15.1%
13
84.9%
Q1 - 6:55TORMISS Calderon 16' Jump Shot14
15.4%
13
84.6%
Q1 - 7:07DENGallinari Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)14
15.9%
13
84.1%
Q1 - 7:13TORBargnani 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
14.7%
13
85.3%
Q1 - 7:31DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)12
13.8%
13
86.2%
Q1 - 7:36TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)12
15.8%
10
84.2%
Q1 - 7:48DENNene 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)9
13.8%
10
86.2%
Q1 - 8:04TORCalderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)9
14.5%
8
85.5%
Q1 - 8:11DENChandler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)6
12.6%
8
87.4%
Q1 - 8:13DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
11.8%
8
88.2%
Q1 - 8:14TORMISS Calderon 2' Driving Layup6
12.0%
8
88.0%
Q1 - 8:29DENNene 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)6
12.6%
8
87.4%
Q1 - 8:38DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
13.5%
6
86.5%
Q1 - 8:39TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
13.8%
6
86.2%
Q1 - 8:47TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
14.5%
6
85.5%
Q1 - 8:48DENMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot6
14.2%
6
85.8%
Q1 - 9:01TORBargnani 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
13.4%
6
86.6%
Q1 - 9:23DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
12.6%
6
87.4%
Q1 - 9:48TORJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T2)4
13.4%
4
86.6%
Q1 - 10:03DENMartin 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)4
14.3%
4
85.7%
Q1 - 10:18TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
15.0%
2
85.0%
Q1 - 10:22DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
16.2%
2
83.8%
Q1 - 10:43TORJohnson 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)4
15.1%
2
84.9%
Q1 - 10:45TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
14.3%
2
85.7%
Q1 - 10:46TORMISS DeRozan 9' Running Jump Shot2
13.6%
2
86.4%
Q1 - 11:08DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
13.8%
2
86.2%
Q1 - 11:08DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
14.0%
1
86.0%
Q1 - 11:25TORCalderon 1' Layup (2 PTS)2
14.7%
0
85.3%
Q1 - 11:30DENMartin Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
13.8%
0
86.2%
Q1 - 11:40DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.1%
0
86.9%
Q1 - 11:42TORMISS Bargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
13.3%
0
86.7%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Bargnani: Tip to Johnson0
13.8%
0
86.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.93 46.4%
DEN
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
13
30
43%
DEN
29
47
62%
Midrange
TOR
16
39
41%
DEN
7
20
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
DEN
7
10.5
23
30%
46%
Free Throws
TOR
14
18
78%
DEN
30
37
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Bargnani2071%10.0 / 14
D. DeRozan1450%7.0 / 14
A. Ajinca1179%5.5 / 7
J. Calderon956%4.5 / 8
J. Johnson850%4.0 / 8
S. Weems840%4.0 / 10
A. Johnson7117%3.5 / 3
J. Bayless528%2.5 / 9
L. Barbosa523%2.5 / 11
E. Davis325%1.5 / 6
R. Evans0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Lawson2388%11.5 / 13
Nene1882%9.0 / 11
A. Harrington1563%7.5 / 12
G. Forbes1464%7.0 / 11
J. Smith1350%6.5 / 13
W. Chandler1255%6.0 / 11
K. Martin1142%5.5 / 13
D. Gallinari964%4.5 / 7
T. Mozgov550%2.5 / 5
C. Andersen338%1.5 / 4
K. Koufos0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
82
+12
-21
94
DEN
91
+17
-16
108
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.93 46.4%
DEN
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
112.7
TOR 87.4 +27.6
DEN 115.0
Pace
93.1
95.2
TOR 105.6 +1.3
DEN 104.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
14.3
TOR 13.6 +0.2
DEN 13.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
52.6%
TOR 43.7%
DEN 51.7% +8.0%
TO %
15.0%
14.5%
TOR 19.5%
DEN 13.1% +6.4%
ORB %
28.3%
23.8%
TOR 17.0%
DEN 28.3% +11.3%
FTrt
29.3
36.7
TOR 20.7
DEN 41.1 +20.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.1%
57.6%
TOR 57.1%
DEN 72.1% +15.0%
STL %
7.6%
7.7%
TOR 7.8%
DEN 8.4% +0.6%
BLK %
6.7%
6.8%
TOR 7.5%
DEN 14.5% +7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
56.3%
TOR 46.4%
DEN 56.9% +10.5%
Rim FG%
58.9%
58.5%
TOR 43.3%
DEN 61.7% +18.4%
Mid FG%
41.2%
40.0%
TOR 41.0% +6.0%
DEN 35.0%
3P %
31.6%
38.8%
TOR 33.3% +2.9%
DEN 30.4%
FT %
75.5%
76.6%
TOR 77.8%
DEN 81.1% +3.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.1%
42.5%
TOR 34.5%
DEN 52.2% +17.7%
Mid Att. %
44.7%
31.8%
TOR 44.8%
DEN 22.2% +22.6%
3P Att. %
16.2%
25.8%
TOR 20.7%
DEN 25.6% +4.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsTORDEN
Possessions103107
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points90123
Rebounds4152
Assists2031
Steals89
Blocks510
Turnovers (Team)21 (2)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (0)39 (3)
Field Goals35-8743-90
At-the-Rim FG13-3029-47
Midrange FG16-397-20
2-Point FG29-6936-67
3-Point FG6-187-23
Free Throws14-1830-37
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'0" 245 · 25
28.8
20
71%
3
0
1
1
1
4
0
3
2-2
100%
6-9
67%
2-5
40%
F · 6'8" 240 · 24
23.7
8
50%
6
0
2
0
3
3
1
5
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 29
23.1
9
56%
1
7
2
0
5
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
43%
1-1
100%
G · 6'6" 220 · 22
19.8
14
50%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 24
10.1
7
117%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 25
25.2
8
40%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-4
50%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 23
24.9
5
28%
1
9
0
0
4
4
0
1
5-6
83%
0-5
0%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22
21.7
3
25%
5
0
0
2
1
1
1
4
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 31
19.8
0
0%
9
0
1
0
3
2
4
5
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 194 · 28
17.0
5
23%
1
0
0
0
1
5
0
1
1-1
100%
2-7
29%
0-4
0%
C · 7'2" 248 · 23
15.7
11
79%
9
0
1
2
3
3
1
8
0-0
-
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
F · 6'8" 225 · 24
10.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#9 · · 6'8" 268 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#50 · C · 7'1" 252 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · F · 6'8" 234 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
46%
41
20
8
5
21
0
8
33
14-18
78%
29-69
42%
6-18
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.