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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 21, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Warriors18%9696
5Spurs82%108111
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 23.8
37.9
21.6
15
50%
7
1
1
0
2
2
4
3
1-2
50%
7-14
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.4
31.0
36.2
10
38%
3
4
1
2
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-8
6-13
25%
47%
2-5
40%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.9
30.8
31.0
13
61%
9
3
2
1
1
2
5
4
5-6
83%
4-8
6-11
50%
50%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 25.3
29.8
35.0
14
43%
6
3
0
1
0
0
1
5
3-5
60%
4-9
3-7
44%
46%
1-5
20%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.0
19.9
30.9
8
47%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
27.1
11.4
5
50%
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
1-4
25%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.5
22.6
13.5
7
70%
8
0
0
0
0
1
0
8
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
49%
1-3
33%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 26.1
22.4
13.7
14
59%
4
3
2
0
0
5
1
3
2-2
100%
6-11
1-3
55%
45%
0-0
-
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.3
18.4
18.6
10
73%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
45%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.3
14.9
0
2-4
47%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.0
3.4
0
0-0
40%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 25.1
3.0
0
0-1
45%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.0
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.8
33.5
33.1
17
51%
2
15
0
1
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
7-15
7-13
47%
55%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.6
31.3
26.1
28
68%
3
3
3
1
0
3
0
3
6-6
100%
5-9
4-7
56%
52%
4-9
44%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.7
29.5
23.2
12
62%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
6-6
100%
3-3
1-3
100%
53%
0-4
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.5
20.6
21.1
4
50%
9
1
0
1
1
0
2
7
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.9
4.2
29.4
4
100%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
6-11
100%
53%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.9
27.5
28.8
8
74%
0
2
1
1
1
3
0
0
1-1
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
52%
1-2
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26.2
26.6
12.1
10
56%
14
2
3
0
0
1
4
10
0-2
0%
5-8
2-3
63%
56%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31.0
26.5
20.7
6
33%
5
4
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
2-9
22%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.5
20.1
24.1
7
35%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
52%
1-4
25%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.8
18.1
9.6
13
108%
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
51%
3-4
75%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.7
1.0
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22.0
1.0
4.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.5
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.