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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 20, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Trail Blazers31%9280
2Lakers69%9884
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 22.3
38.6
27.0
25
74%
4
3
2
1
1
2
0
4
1-2
50%
6-7
2-5
86%
52%
4-9
44%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 25.7
36.4
36.3
18
49%
6
3
1
1
1
2
4
2
2-3
67%
8-17
7-15
47%
49%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.7
33.4
34.5
9
51%
8
1
2
1
0
2
3
5
1-2
50%
4-6
4-8
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.0
26.9
31.0
7
24%
5
5
1
1
1
2
1
4
1-2
50%
3-14
4-9
21%
46%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 24.4
19.4
32.7
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 26.0
27.5
21.0
10
46%
5
3
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
2-7
29%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 37.0
26.0
18.3
3
52%
11
4
0
1
1
1
5
6
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
0-0
-
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 26.7
25.3
19.6
8
31%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
47%
0-5
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.6
6.4
10.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 32.3
2.9
0
0-0
37%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 25.7
2.9
0
0-1
47%
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.1
2.3
0
0-1
44%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 23.2
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.7
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 30.7
44.5
32.9
14
43%
13
3
0
1
2
1
5
8
2-3
67%
6-15
7-12
40%
55%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.4
41.6
27.9
16
73%
11
6
2
1
0
3
3
8
0-0
-
8-11
4-8
73%
55%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.3
36.4
29.6
10
51%
2
4
1
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
46%
0-3
0%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 32.6
32.7
29.4
22
53%
4
3
1
1
1
3
0
4
2-2
100%
7-13
7-13
54%
50%
2-7
29%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 36.6
24.3
28.0
8
58%
0
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
0-1
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 25.3
21.5
18.7
7
41%
1
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 31.1
17.6
18.3
0
0%
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 31.0
17.4
16.0
7
51%
3
1
3
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
56%
1-3
33%
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 22.9
3.5
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35.6
0.7
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 23.4
31.7
0
5-9
58%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.0
4.0
0
0-1
46%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.4
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 37.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.