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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 20, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Raptors20%9595
9Thunder80%10693
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.4
39.1
37.3
23
51%
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
4
7-10
70%
5-14
7-14
36%
48%
2-4
50%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.6
35.7
33.1
16
54%
8
1
1
1
0
2
1
7
2-2
100%
7-13
7-14
54%
49%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.5
32.8
30.4
3
20%
3
9
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
49%
0-2
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.1
30.9
24.4
12
64%
6
2
1
1
1
2
2
4
1-1
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 23.9
22.3
17.1
5
43%
6
2
1
0
1
2
2
4
1-2
50%
2-5
3-5
40%
58%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 30.8
22.7
26.7
13
75%
9
0
1
1
0
0
1
8
5-6
83%
4-6
2-3
67%
45%
0-0
-
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24.7
15.5
14.7
2
25%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.6
15.2
16.8
2
20%
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 28.3
14.0
21.2
19
87%
0
1
1
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
4-5
3-7
80%
49%
3-5
60%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.8
11.9
18.8
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
55%
0-0
-
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 22.9
3.6
0
1-1
48%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.8
2.6
0
0-1
51%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 27.3
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 26.2
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.5
38.8
35.3
20
41%
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
7-8
88%
5-15
7-13
33%
53%
1-6
17%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.3
35.6
30.5
22
49%
6
4
0
1
0
4
1
5
8-8
100%
7-17
7-14
41%
49%
0-2
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.5
30.2
29.6
8
44%
7
0
0
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
4-9
5-8
44%
57%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 26.4
26.5
21.7
5
37%
12
4
1
0
0
2
4
8
1-4
25%
2-5
2-4
40%
59%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.9
17.2
21.9
4
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
54%
0-2
0%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.6
34.4
27.5
23
78%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
11-13
85%
3-6
3-5
50%
53%
2-3
67%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.4
25.5
21.2
5
87%
5
2
1
1
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
2-2
2-4
100%
57%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.8
12.4
16.5
0
0%
3
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.9
11.6
13.6
6
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
2-3
67%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.5
7.8
16.9
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
53%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.4
4.4
0
0-1
57%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.2
3.5
0
0-1
45%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.1
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 26.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.