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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 20, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Jazz30%99108
11Rockets70%106110
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 26.1
39.0
9.7
35
75%
10
4
1
0
3
1
3
7
9-12
75%
10-15
2-4
67%
53%
2-3
67%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 26.2
37.9
36.9
17
34%
19
4
0
1
1
2
9
10
3-5
60%
7-23
10-19
30%
51%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.0
33.1
30.6
19
56%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
6-11
5-10
55%
48%
2-5
40%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.1
29.9
27.3
12
36%
5
3
0
1
0
4
0
5
2-4
50%
2-11
3-7
18%
46%
2-4
50%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.1
20.6
29.8
10
63%
4
3
1
1
1
1
4
0
1-2
50%
3-6
4-8
50%
51%
1-1
100%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.5
29.2
28.1
2
25%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 19.7
19.0
19.9
8
44%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
4-9
3-5
44%
51%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 31.8
18.1
21.6
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 21.0
13.2
13.6
5
83%
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 23.4
15.0
1
2-4
54%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 24.2
7.2
0
1-2
50%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.7
7.0
0
1-1
43%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.8
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 35.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 25.0
43.6
36.9
28
80%
11
10
3
1
0
1
3
8
7-8
88%
6-10
3-7
60%
49%
3-4
75%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 28.1
41.7
33.0
34
66%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
18-18
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
48%
2-8
25%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 27.8
36.0
33.3
7
29%
5
4
0
1
2
1
2
3
1-2
50%
3-11
4-8
27%
54%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.9
20.4
17.6
4
32%
8
0
1
0
3
2
2
6
2-3
67%
1-5
4-8
20%
52%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 22.8
9.3
31.5
7
72%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
52%
1-1
100%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.5
40.1
24.9
8
34%
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
4-6
67%
2-6
3-6
33%
50%
0-3
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.0
27.6
30.2
14
64%
13
0
0
1
1
2
4
9
0-0
-
7-11
5-9
64%
55%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.6
12.1
16.3
2
17%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
0-5
3-5
0%
52%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.9
9.2
11.8
6
60%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
2-3
67%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 34.9
9.9
0
1-2
49%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
2.8
0
0-1
44%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.6
1.9
0
0-1
46%
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 30.5
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.