FinalWin Prob.pScore
2336%93
96
1764%98
104
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
112.98588.4
ATL logo ATL
120.98682.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL96
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0DETHinrich STEAL (1 STL)96
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)96
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)96
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)96
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0DETMISS Stuckey 19' Fadeaway Jumper96
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)96
0.7%
102
99.3%
Q4 - 0:26.0ATLMISS Crawford Free Throw 1 of 296
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 0:27.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)96
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 0:28.0DETMISS Daye 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
1.0%
101
99.0%
Q4 - 0:36.0ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)96
1.9%
101
98.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 296
2.3%
100
97.7%
Q4 - 0:36.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)96
1.7%
100
98.3%
Q4 - 0:37.0DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 2 of 296
1.9%
100
98.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)96
2.9%
100
97.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0DETDaye REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)95
2.8%
100
97.2%
Q4 - 0:40.0DETHorford BLOCK (2 BLK)95
1.7%
100
98.3%
Q4 - 0:52.0ATLSmith 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Hinrich 6 AST)95
3.8%
100
96.2%
Q4 - 1:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)95
9.6%
98
90.4%
Q4 - 1:16DETMISS Stuckey 20' Jump Shot95
11.5%
98
88.5%
Q4 - 1:34DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)95
18.7%
98
81.3%
Q4 - 1:36ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot95
16.2%
98
83.8%
Q4 - 2:02DETStuckey 22' Jump Shot (22 PTS)95
11.9%
98
88.1%
Q4 - 2:21ATLSmith 10' Driving Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)93
8.9%
98
91.1%
Q4 - 2:41ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)93
11.6%
96
88.4%
Q4 - 2:44ATLMISS Johnson 16' Fadeaway Jumper93
17.9%
96
82.1%
Q4 - 3:09DETGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)93
13.4%
96
86.6%
Q4 - 3:20DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
6.6%
96
93.4%
Q4 - 3:21ATLMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
5.5%
96
94.5%
Q4 - 3:39ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
6.2%
96
93.8%
Q4 - 3:41DETMISS Daye 17' Fadeaway Jumper90
6.9%
96
93.1%
Q4 - 4:04ATLCrawford 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)90
8.7%
96
91.3%
Q4 - 4:25DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)90
11.8%
94
88.2%
Q4 - 4:25DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 289
10.5%
94
89.5%
Q4 - 4:39ATLHorford 2' Running Layup (16 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)89
12.0%
94
88.0%
Q4 - 4:49DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)89
16.3%
92
83.7%
Q4 - 4:53DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)86
8.4%
92
91.6%
Q4 - 4:55ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot86
7.5%
92
92.5%
Q4 - 5:17DETMonroe 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Stuckey 8 AST)86
7.7%
92
92.3%
Q4 - 5:37DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)84
5.7%
92
94.3%
Q4 - 5:38ATLMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot84
5.1%
92
94.9%
Q4 - 6:06DETStuckey 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Monroe 2 AST)84
5.3%
92
94.7%
Q4 - 6:12ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)82
4.0%
92
96.0%
Q4 - 6:24ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
2.9%
92
97.1%
Q4 - 6:25DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
3.2%
92
96.8%
Q4 - 6:46DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
4.0%
92
96.0%
Q4 - 6:48ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
3.6%
92
96.4%
Q4 - 7:05ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)82
3.7%
92
96.3%
Q4 - 7:06DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 2 of 282
3.8%
92
96.2%
Q4 - 7:06DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)82
4.4%
92
95.6%
Q4 - 7:27ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)81
3.7%
92
96.3%
Q4 - 7:30DETHorford STEAL (2 STL)81
6.2%
89
93.8%
Q4 - 7:44ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)81
8.2%
89
91.8%
Q4 - 8:06ATLHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
7.4%
89
92.6%
Q4 - 8:08DETMISS Villanueva 14' Turnaround Jump Shot81
7.9%
89
92.1%
Q4 - 8:31ATLHinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)81
9.2%
89
90.8%
Q4 - 8:37ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
14.6%
86
85.4%
Q4 - 8:40DETHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)81
15.6%
86
84.4%
Q4 - 8:53ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)81
18.1%
86
81.9%
Q4 - 8:53ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)81
18.7%
85
81.3%
Q4 - 9:05DETWilcox Foul Turnover (P2.T9)81
23.3%
84
76.7%
Q4 - 9:23DETPistons Rebound81
27.7%
84
72.3%
Q4 - 9:23ATLMISS Pachulia 2' Driving Layup81
26.3%
84
73.7%
Q4 - 9:40DETDaye Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)81
23.2%
84
76.8%
Q4 - 9:40DETDaye Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)80
22.4%
84
77.6%
Q4 - 9:42DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)79
19.1%
84
80.9%
Q4 - 9:43DETMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
16.7%
84
83.3%
Q4 - 9:48DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
19.1%
84
80.9%
Q4 - 9:50ATLMISS Hinrich 11' Jump Shot79
18.0%
84
82.0%
Q4 - 10:12DETWilcox 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Stuckey 7 AST)79
16.5%
84
83.5%
Q4 - 10:31ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)77
13.6%
84
86.4%
Q4 - 10:31ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)77
14.2%
83
85.8%
Q4 - 10:31ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
16.4%
82
83.6%
Q4 - 10:32ATLMISS Pachulia 2' Driving Layup77
18.7%
82
81.3%
Q4 - 10:49ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
16.4%
82
83.6%
Q4 - 10:50DETMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
17.4%
82
82.6%
Q4 - 11:02DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
20.4%
82
79.6%
Q4 - 11:03DETMISS Stuckey 1' Driving Reverse Layup77
18.1%
82
81.9%
Q4 - 11:23ATLHinrich 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)77
20.4%
82
79.6%
Q4 - 11:44DETVillanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stuckey 6 AST)77
28.3%
79
71.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET74
20.4%
79
79.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound74
20.4%
79
79.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Stuckey 50' 3PT Jump Shot74
18.1%
79
81.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)74
20.9%
79
79.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0ATLMISS Crawford 9' Jump Shot74
19.9%
79
80.1%
Q3 - 0:27.0DETWilcox 3' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Stuckey 5 AST)74
17.9%
79
82.1%
Q3 - 0:39.0ATLPachulia 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T9)72
14.9%
79
85.1%
Q3 - 0:55.0DETStuckey 1' Putback Layup (15 PTS)72
12.6%
79
87.4%
Q3 - 0:55.0DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
10.4%
79
89.6%
Q3 - 0:58.0DETMISS Stuckey 1' Driving Layup70
9.2%
79
90.8%
Q3 - 1:14ATLWilliams Dunk (13 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)70
10.9%
79
89.1%
Q3 - 1:25ATLWilliams Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)70
13.1%
77
86.9%
Q3 - 1:26DETWilcox 1' Running Layup (14 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)70
15.5%
76
84.5%
Q3 - 1:34DETStuckey Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)68
12.9%
76
87.1%
Q3 - 1:43ATLCrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)67
10.8%
76
89.2%
Q3 - 1:53DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)67
9.2%
76
90.8%
Q3 - 2:07ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)64
6.9%
76
93.1%
Q3 - 2:07ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)64
7.1%
75
92.9%
Q3 - 2:26ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
8.2%
74
91.8%
Q3 - 2:27DETMISS Stuckey 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
8.6%
74
91.4%
Q3 - 2:52ATLHorford 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T7)64
9.6%
74
90.4%
Q3 - 3:00DETCrawford STEAL (1 STL)64
8.1%
74
91.9%
Q3 - 3:12ATLJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)64
10.3%
74
89.7%
Q3 - 3:36DETWilcox 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (12 PTS)64
8.6%
74
91.4%
Q3 - 3:59ATLSmith 13' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) (Horford 6 AST)62
7.3%
74
92.7%
Q3 - 4:26DETStuckey 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)62
8.9%
72
91.1%
Q3 - 4:32DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
7.8%
72
92.2%
Q3 - 4:33ATLMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
7.3%
72
92.7%
Q3 - 4:57DETStuckey 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)60
6.4%
72
93.6%
Q3 - 5:08ATLHinrich 1' Driving Reverse Layup (9 PTS)58
6.0%
72
94.0%
Q3 - 5:19ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
6.9%
70
93.1%
Q3 - 5:21DETSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)58
7.2%
70
92.8%
Q3 - 5:33ATLWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)58
8.2%
70
91.8%
Q3 - 5:39ATLHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
10.9%
67
89.1%
Q3 - 5:44DETMISS Hamilton 11' Jump Shot58
11.4%
67
88.6%
Q3 - 6:00ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)58
12.8%
67
87.2%
Q3 - 6:00ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)58
13.2%
66
86.8%
Q3 - 6:10ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
15.1%
65
84.9%
Q3 - 6:12DETMISS Hamilton 17' Turnaround Jump Shot58
15.8%
65
84.2%
Q3 - 6:23DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
17.5%
65
82.5%
Q3 - 6:24ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot58
16.7%
65
83.3%
Q3 - 6:36ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
15.1%
65
84.9%
Q3 - 6:38DETMISS Prince 15' Fadeaway Jumper58
15.8%
65
84.2%
Q3 - 7:01ATLJohnson 4' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)58
17.8%
65
82.2%
Q3 - 7:06DETSmith STEAL (2 STL)58
20.1%
63
79.9%
Q3 - 7:28ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hinrich 5 AST)58
22.8%
63
77.2%
Q3 - 7:48DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)58
25.4%
61
74.6%
Q3 - 7:48DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)57
25.1%
61
74.9%
Q3 - 7:55DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
22.8%
61
77.2%
Q3 - 7:59ATLMISS Johnson 10' Running Jump Shot56
21.9%
61
78.1%
Q3 - 8:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
20.2%
61
79.8%
Q3 - 8:18DETMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot56
21.0%
61
79.0%
Q3 - 8:40ATLWilliams 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Horford 5 AST)56
22.9%
61
77.1%
Q3 - 8:59DETMonroe 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (9 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)56
25.5%
59
74.5%
Q3 - 9:10DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
22.9%
59
77.1%
Q3 - 9:12ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
22.1%
59
77.9%
Q3 - 9:21ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
20.4%
59
79.6%
Q3 - 9:22DETMISS Prince 21' Jump Shot54
21.1%
59
78.9%
Q3 - 9:47DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
22.9%
59
77.1%
Q3 - 9:47ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 254
22.6%
59
77.4%
Q3 - 9:47ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 254
20.8%
59
79.2%
Q3 - 10:15DETPrince 4' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)54
20.6%
59
79.4%
Q3 - 10:22ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)52
18.4%
59
81.6%
Q3 - 10:44DETMonroe 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)52
16.3%
59
83.7%
Q3 - 10:50DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
14.5%
59
85.5%
Q3 - 10:52DETMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot50
13.3%
59
86.7%
Q3 - 11:14ATLWilliams 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)50
14.9%
59
85.1%
Q3 - 11:18DETSmith STEAL (1 STL)50
16.6%
57
83.4%
Q3 - 11:37ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)50
18.8%
57
81.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET50
20.8%
55
79.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
23.3%
55
76.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot50
22.5%
55
77.5%
Q2 - 0:16.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
21.6%
55
78.4%
Q2 - 0:19.0DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot50
22.1%
55
77.9%
Q2 - 0:22.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
23.4%
55
76.6%
Q2 - 0:24.0ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
22.8%
55
77.2%
Q2 - 0:43.0DETStuckey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Prince 5 AST)50
21.5%
55
78.5%
Q2 - 1:00DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
17.0%
55
83.0%
Q2 - 1:02ATLMISS Johnson 17' Fadeaway Jumper47
16.8%
55
83.2%
Q2 - 1:14ATLMISS Crawford Free Throw Technical47
15.9%
55
84.1%
Q2 - 1:17DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
15.9%
55
84.1%
Q2 - 1:17DETMonroe 2' Putback Layup (5 PTS)47
15.9%
55
84.1%
Q2 - 1:18DETMISS McGrady 7' Driving Jump Shot45
13.0%
55
87.0%
Q2 - 1:46ATLSmith 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)45
13.8%
55
86.2%
Q2 - 1:53DETJohnson STEAL (1 STL)45
15.9%
53
84.1%
Q2 - 2:10ATLCrawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)45
17.7%
53
82.3%
Q2 - 2:14ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
21.6%
50
78.4%
Q2 - 2:15ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot45
23.2%
50
76.8%
Q2 - 2:29ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
21.6%
50
78.4%
Q2 - 2:30ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
23.2%
50
76.8%
Q2 - 2:47DETPrince 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)45
21.6%
50
78.4%
Q2 - 3:09ATLCrawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)43
19.9%
50
80.1%
Q2 - 3:31DETMcGrady 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)43
23.8%
47
76.2%
Q2 - 3:54DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
22.0%
47
78.0%
Q2 - 3:55ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 241
21.6%
47
78.4%
Q2 - 3:55ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)41
20.2%
47
79.8%
Q2 - 4:09DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
21.7%
46
78.3%
Q2 - 4:09DETWilcox 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)41
21.7%
46
78.3%
Q2 - 4:10DETMISS Wilcox Layup39
18.5%
46
81.5%
Q2 - 4:23ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)39
19.9%
46
80.1%
Q2 - 4:41DETWilcox 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)39
17.9%
46
82.1%
Q2 - 5:02ATLWilkins 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)37
16.6%
46
83.4%
Q2 - 5:21DETStuckey 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)37
18.3%
44
81.7%
Q2 - 5:35DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
16.5%
44
83.5%
Q2 - 5:37ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 235
16.3%
44
83.7%
Q2 - 5:37ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
15.2%
44
84.8%
Q2 - 5:42DETPachulia STEAL (1 STL)35
16.5%
43
83.5%
Q2 - 5:56ATLHorford 13' Hook Shot (6 PTS)35
18.2%
43
81.8%
Q2 - 6:12DETWilcox 9' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Daye 1 AST)35
20.3%
41
79.7%
Q2 - 6:27ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)33
18.8%
41
81.2%
Q2 - 6:27ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 233
19.2%
40
80.8%
Q2 - 6:28ATLHAWKS Rebound33
18.5%
40
81.5%
Q2 - 6:28ATLMISS Pachulia 4' Driving Jump Shot33
19.9%
40
80.1%
Q2 - 6:54DETDaye 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)33
18.5%
40
81.5%
Q2 - 7:16ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)30
15.7%
40
84.3%
Q2 - 7:33DETWilcox 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)30
18.7%
37
81.3%
Q2 - 7:46ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
17.2%
37
82.8%
Q2 - 7:46ATLHorford 1' Putback Dunk (4 PTS)28
17.2%
37
82.8%
Q2 - 7:48ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot28
20.0%
35
80.0%
Q2 - 7:51ATLWilkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
18.7%
35
81.3%
Q2 - 7:52ATLMISS Wilkins 1' Layup28
20.0%
35
80.0%
Q2 - 7:56ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
18.7%
35
81.3%
Q2 - 7:59DETMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
19.3%
35
80.7%
Q2 - 8:10ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)28
20.9%
35
79.1%
Q2 - 8:29ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
24.6%
32
75.4%
Q2 - 8:30DETMISS Villanueva Free Throw 2 of 228
24.8%
32
75.2%
Q2 - 8:30DETVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
26.2%
32
73.8%
Q2 - 8:52ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
24.6%
32
75.4%
Q2 - 8:52ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
25.1%
31
74.9%
Q2 - 8:52ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
26.6%
30
73.4%
Q2 - 8:52ATLMISS Johnson 1' Layup27
28.1%
30
71.9%
Q2 - 9:04DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)27
26.6%
30
73.4%
Q2 - 9:07DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
22.8%
30
77.2%
Q2 - 9:09ATLMISS Hinrich 19' Jump Shot24
22.2%
30
77.8%
Q2 - 9:24DETWilcox 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)24
21.0%
30
79.0%
Q2 - 9:37ATLJohnson 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)22
19.3%
30
80.7%
Q2 - 9:57DETVillanueva 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)22
21.0%
28
79.0%
Q2 - 10:18ATLJohnson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)20
19.6%
28
80.4%
Q2 - 10:38DETGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)20
21.1%
26
78.9%
Q2 - 11:02ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)17
18.2%
26
81.8%
Q2 - 11:07ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
21.3%
23
78.7%
Q2 - 11:09DETMISS Stuckey 20' Jump Shot17
21.8%
23
78.2%
Q2 - 11:33ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
23.1%
23
76.9%
Q2 - 11:33ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
23.5%
22
76.5%
Q2 - 11:44ATLHAWKS Rebound17
24.8%
21
75.2%
Q2 - 11:44ATLMISS Johnson 2' Putback Layup17
26.2%
21
73.8%
Q2 - 11:45ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
24.8%
21
75.2%
Q2 - 11:46ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot17
26.2%
21
73.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL17
24.8%
21
75.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
24.8%
21
75.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0DETMISS Stuckey 17' Jump Shot17
25.5%
21
74.5%
Q1 - 0:18.0ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)17
26.6%
21
73.4%
Q1 - 0:23.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
25.1%
21
74.9%
Q1 - 0:24.0DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
25.5%
21
74.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
26.6%
21
73.4%
Q1 - 0:37.0ATLMISS Smith 3' Driving Jump Shot17
26.1%
21
73.9%
Q1 - 0:48.0DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P1.T3)17
25.1%
21
74.9%
Q1 - 0:57.0ATLJohnson 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
26.6%
21
73.4%
Q1 - 1:06DETHorford STEAL (1 STL)17
29.1%
19
70.9%
Q1 - 1:27ATLSmith 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)17
30.5%
19
69.5%
Q1 - 1:42DETPrince 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
33.1%
17
66.9%
Q1 - 1:50DETPistons Rebound15
30.5%
17
69.5%
Q1 - 1:50DETCrawford BLOCK (1 BLK)15
29.5%
17
70.5%
Q1 - 1:56DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
30.5%
17
69.5%
Q1 - 1:57ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
30.1%
17
69.9%
Q1 - 2:10DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
29.1%
17
70.9%
Q1 - 2:10DETWallace Tip Shot (2 PTS)15
29.1%
17
70.9%
Q1 - 2:14DETMISS Prince 2' Reverse Layup13
25.9%
17
74.1%
Q1 - 2:34DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
27.0%
17
73.0%
Q1 - 2:35ATLMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
26.5%
17
73.5%
Q1 - 2:44ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
25.4%
17
74.6%
Q1 - 2:46DETMISS McGrady 5' Driving Jump Shot13
25.9%
17
74.1%
Q1 - 3:01DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
27.1%
17
72.9%
Q1 - 3:03ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot13
26.6%
17
73.4%
Q1 - 3:21DETWallace Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)13
25.3%
17
74.7%
Q1 - 3:44ATLJohnson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
27.1%
17
72.9%
Q1 - 3:59DETHamilton 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)13
28.9%
15
71.1%
Q1 - 4:19ATLHinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)11
27.0%
15
73.0%
Q1 - 4:31ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
30.5%
12
69.5%
Q1 - 4:32DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot11
31.1%
12
68.9%
Q1 - 5:02ATLSmith 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)11
32.5%
12
67.5%
Q1 - 5:24ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
34.2%
10
65.8%
Q1 - 5:25DETMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
34.8%
10
65.2%
Q1 - 5:48ATLHinrich 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)11
36.4%
10
63.6%
Q1 - 6:04DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)11
37.8%
8
62.2%
Q1 - 6:08DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
34.1%
8
65.9%
Q1 - 6:09ATLMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot8
33.5%
8
66.5%
Q1 - 6:25DETPrince 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)8
32.1%
8
67.9%
Q1 - 6:32DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
30.4%
8
69.6%
Q1 - 6:34DETHinrich BLOCK (1 BLK)6
29.2%
8
70.8%
Q1 - 6:54ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)6
30.4%
8
69.6%
Q1 - 7:19DETHamilton 3' Running Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)6
28.5%
8
71.5%
Q1 - 7:37ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)4
27.0%
8
73.0%
Q1 - 7:56ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
28.5%
6
71.5%
Q1 - 7:57DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
29.1%
6
70.9%
Q1 - 8:25ATLWilliams 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)4
30.1%
6
69.9%
Q1 - 8:38ATLHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
31.9%
4
68.1%
Q1 - 8:39DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot4
32.4%
4
67.6%
Q1 - 8:55ATLHinrich 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
33.6%
4
66.4%
Q1 - 9:11DETPrince 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)4
35.4%
2
64.6%
Q1 - 9:20DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
33.6%
2
66.4%
Q1 - 9:21ATLMISS Williams 1' Running Layup2
33.1%
2
66.9%
Q1 - 9:26ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
32.0%
2
68.0%
Q1 - 9:28DETMISS McGrady 17' Fadeaway Jumper2
32.5%
2
67.5%
Q1 - 9:45DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
33.6%
2
66.4%
Q1 - 9:47ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot2
33.1%
2
66.9%
Q1 - 10:11DETMcGrady 18' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)2
31.8%
2
68.2%
Q1 - 10:30ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
30.5%
2
69.5%
Q1 - 10:43ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.7%
2
71.3%
Q1 - 10:45DETMISS Wallace 2' Reverse Layup0
29.3%
2
70.7%
Q1 - 11:12ATLHorford 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)0
30.2%
2
69.8%
Q1 - 11:36ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.7%
0
68.3%
Q1 - 11:37DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot0
32.1%
0
67.9%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Wallace: Tip to Monroe0
33.1%
0
66.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.12 55.8%
ATL
1.20 59.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
21
30
70%
ATL
11
19
58%
Midrange
DET
13
33
39%
ATL
19
36
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
ATL
7
10.5
15
47%
70%
Free Throws
DET
13
17
76%
ATL
23
31
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Stuckey2261%11.0 / 18
C. Wilcox1890%9.0 / 10
G. Monroe1785%8.5 / 10
T. Prince1038%5.0 / 13
R. Hamilton630%3.0 / 10
B. Gordon675%3.0 / 4
C. Villanueva660%3.0 / 5
A. Daye563%2.5 / 4
T. McGrady425%2.0 / 8
B. Wallace250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Horford1860%9.0 / 15
J. Johnson1757%8.5 / 15
J. Smith1761%8.5 / 14
K. Hinrich1568%7.5 / 11
M. Williams1381%6.5 / 8
Z. Pachulia1372%6.5 / 9
J. Crawford950%4.5 / 9
D. Wilkins250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
74
+11
-11
85
ATL
77
+10
-9
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.12 55.8%
ATL
1.20 59.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
105.9
DET 112.9
ATL 120.9 +8.0
Pace
89.3
89.5
DET 88.4 +5.7
ATL 82.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.6
16.4
DET 16.3 +1.1
ATL 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.5%
50.1%
DET 53.2%
ATL 57.9% +4.7%
TO %
13.5%
14.2%
DET 11.4% +0.2%
ATL 11.6%
ORB %
27.4%
23.5%
DET 22.5%
ATL 24.2% +1.7%
FTrt
27.9
26.9
DET 21.8
ATL 44.3 +22.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.6%
60.7%
DET 59.0%
ATL 67.6% +8.6%
STL %
8.0%
6.8%
DET 5.9%
ATL 9.3% +3.4%
BLK %
6.6%
6.6%
DET 5.5%
ATL 7.9% +2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.9%
52.8%
DET 55.8%
ATL 59.8% +4.0%
Rim FG%
59.2%
60.0%
DET 70.0% +12.1%
ATL 57.9%
Mid FG%
38.8%
42.5%
DET 39.4%
ATL 52.8% +13.4%
3P %
37.6%
35.2%
DET 33.3%
ATL 46.7% +13.4%
FT %
73.7%
78.0%
DET 76.5% +2.3%
ATL 74.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.3%
30.4%
DET 38.5% +11.3%
ATL 27.1%
Mid Att. %
44.8%
47.4%
DET 42.3% +9.1%
ATL 51.4%
3P Att. %
18.9%
22.2%
DET 19.2%
ATL 21.4% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETATL
Possessions8586
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points96104
Rebounds3439
Assists2325
Steals58
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)9 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (1)31 (0)
Field Goals39-7837-70
At-the-Rim FG21-3011-19
Midrange FG13-3319-36
2-Point FG34-6330-55
3-Point FG5-157-15
Free Throws13-1723-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 212 · 31
37.1
10
38%
3
5
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
5-12
42%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 265 · 21
37.0
17
85%
10
2
3
0
2
0
1
9
5-8
63%
6-7
86%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 225 · 32
26.2
4
25%
6
4
1
0
2
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 193 · 33
24.1
6
30%
1
2
0
0
1
2
1
0
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
0-2
0%
C · 6'9" 240 · 37
16.6
2
50%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 25
31.4
22
61%
2
8
1
0
2
2
1
1
3-3
100%
8-15
53%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 205 · 28
19.9
6
75%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-4
50%
F · 6'11" 220 · 23
18.4
5
63%
2
1
0
0
0
4
2
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29
18.4
18
90%
4
0
0
2
2
5
2
2
0-0
-
9-10
90%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 232 · 27
10.9
6
60%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'0" 185 · 28
F · 6'7" 260 · 28
#35 · F · 6'8" 240 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · F · 6'10" 231 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#23 · G · 6'5" 213 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
56%
34
23
5
3
11
0
9
25
13-17
76%
34-63
54%
5-15
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.