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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 19, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1776ers23%91101
4Trail Blazers77%100110
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.6
37.6
33.9
17
94%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-4
2-3
100%
45%
3-5
60%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 20.8
36.8
30.3
7
32%
2
10
3
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-9
4-8
22%
47%
1-2
50%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 32.0
35.5
29.8
10
42%
9
3
2
1
1
2
6
3
2-2
100%
4-11
5-10
36%
49%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 22.9
20.1
25.0
2
17%
7
1
0
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-5
4-7
20%
49%
0-1
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 22.4
17.1
18.6
6
50%
3
1
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-6
50%
45%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.4
30.8
22.3
24
57%
1
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
8-9
89%
5-10
3-7
50%
46%
2-7
29%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.7
27.0
20.6
19
86%
6
2
2
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
8-10
4-8
80%
52%
1-1
100%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 31.3
22.1
5.5
10
73%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
3-5
0-1
60%
45%
1-1
100%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 35.1
13.0
9.6
6
77%
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.1
0.2
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 23.6
8.2
0
2-3
49%
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.4
6.9
0
1-2
48%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.1
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 33.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.7
40.8
31.5
25
81%
6
8
4
1
0
2
0
6
7-8
88%
6-7
4-7
86%
49%
2-5
40%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 25.7
40.5
34.2
18
63%
7
5
1
1
0
1
5
2
2-3
67%
8-13
8-15
62%
51%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 24.4
37.9
30.1
28
84%
6
0
1
1
0
2
0
6
4-4
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
6-9
67%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.0
37.9
27.2
9
46%
6
7
0
1
0
3
2
4
1-2
50%
4-9
4-8
44%
49%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 22.3
28.9
25.8
16
68%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
55%
2-5
40%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 26.7
17.4
20.5
6
52%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
4-4
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 26.0
16.1
24.3
5
64%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 37.0
14.7
20.6
1
13%
5
2
0
1
1
0
1
4
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.6
5.8
13.3
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 25.7
3.6
0
0-1
51%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 32.3
3.5
0
0-0
40%
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.1
2.8
0
0-1
47%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 23.2
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.7
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.