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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 19, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Celtics42%8989
14Hornets58%9185
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 35.7
44.2
28.6
20
68%
4
2
3
1
0
1
2
2
4-4
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
51%
2-4
50%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 34.8
36.2
25.2
12
46%
9
3
0
1
1
1
1
8
0-0
-
6-13
5-9
46%
50%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.4
34.6
28.8
9
39%
4
6
2
1
0
3
0
4
6-6
100%
0-3
3-7
0%
50%
1-6
17%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 25.1
28.9
29.2
9
51%
1
5
1
2
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
4-8
4-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.6
27.1
20.4
0
0%
4
1
1
0
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
49%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 25.2
29.6
26.6
20
73%
8
0
1
1
0
0
0
8
4-6
67%
8-11
4-9
73%
46%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
20.2
25.3
10
71%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
3-7
71%
48%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.6
19.3
17.1
9
83%
1
5
0
1
1
2
1
0
1-1
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
46%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 30.9
13.6
0
1-2
48%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.6
13.6
0
1-2
45%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 27.3
9.5
0
1-1
40%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.3
5.5
0
1-2
41%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 39.0
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 32.4
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 25.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 25.7
45.0
30.3
10
46%
8
4
3
1
0
1
2
6
0-2
0%
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
2-5
40%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.6
44.2
31.0
32
62%
8
0
2
1
2
2
1
7
4-6
67%
14-23
6-12
61%
50%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 28.5
41.9
29.7
10
51%
11
1
0
1
1
2
6
5
2-4
50%
4-8
4-7
50%
55%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.9
38.7
34.4
4
19%
7
15
1
2
0
3
1
6
4-4
100%
0-5
5-9
0%
51%
0-4
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.0
36.8
18.7
23
83%
2
0
2
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
5-8
63%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.6
11.2
28.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
4-8
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.5
9.7
20.5
4
67%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.4
9.3
18.7
2
33%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.0
3.0
10.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.3
0.1
8.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25.0
5.6
0
1-1
45%
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 30.7
2.1
0
0-1
46%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.2
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.