| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
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 MIA | 114.4 | 90 | 78.9 |
Scoring Opportunities
DEN
82
+11
-9
93
MIA
78
+7
-12
85
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
DEN
1.05 52.7%
MIA
1.18 59.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | DEN | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 98 0% | 103 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:04.0 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 96 0.1% | 103 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:04.0 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 96 0.1% | 102 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:13.0 | DEN | Gallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS) | 96 0.3% | 101 99.7% |
| Q4 - 0:13.0 | DEN | Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS) | 95 0.2% | 101 99.8% |
| Q4 - 0:21.0 | MIA | James 9' Running Bank Hook Shot (33 PTS) | 94 0.2% | 101 99.8% |
| Q4 - 0:42.0 | DEN | Chandler 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 94 1.3% | 99 98.7% |
| Q4 - 0:53.0 | MIA | James Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T12) | 92 1.0% | 99 99.0% |
| Q4 - 1:08 | DEN | Smith 20' Jump Shot (27 PTS) | 92 0.7% | 99 99.3% |
| Q4 - 1:14 | DEN | Nuggets Rebound | 90 0.5% | 99 99.5% |
| Q4 - 1:15 | DEN | MISS Chandler 14' Jump Shot | 90 0.3% | 99 99.7% |
| Q4 - 1:27 | DEN | Nuggets Rebound | 90 0.7% | 99 99.3% |
| Q4 - 1:28 | MIA | MISS Bosh 15' Fadeaway Jumper | 90 0.6% | 99 99.4% |
| Q4 - 1:44 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9) | 90 0.6% | 99 99.4% |
| Q4 - 1:45 | DEN | MISS Martin 2' Tip Shot | 90 0.7% | 99 99.3% |
| Q4 - 1:46 | DEN | Martin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 90 1.0% | 99 99.0% |
| Q4 - 1:47 | DEN | MISS Smith 19' Jump Shot | 90 0.7% | 99 99.3% |
| Q4 - 2:08 | DEN | Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 90 1.2% | 99 98.8% |
| Q4 - 2:09 | MIA | MISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot | 90 0.9% | 99 99.1% |
| Q4 - 2:35 | DEN | Smith 21' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS) | 90 0.6% | 99 99.4% |
| Q4 - 2:56 | MIA | Jump Ball Anthony vs. Nene: Tip to Martin | 88 0.7% | 99 99.3% |
| Q4 - 2:56 | MIA | MISS James 20' Jump Shot | 88 0.6% | 99 99.4% |
| Q4 - 3:08 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 88 0.4% | 99 99.6% |
| Q4 - 3:09 | MIA | MISS Wade 5' Running Jump Shot | 88 0.5% | 99 99.5% |
| Q4 - 3:23 | DEN | Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST) | 88 0.4% | 99 99.6% |
| Q4 - 3:36 | DEN | Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 85 0.5% | 99 99.5% |
| Q4 - 3:37 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 3 of 3 | 85 0.4% | 99 99.6% |
| Q4 - 3:37 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 3 (32 PTS) | 85 0.3% | 99 99.7% |
| Q4 - 3:37 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 3 (31 PTS) | 85 0.4% | 98 99.6% |
| Q4 - 4:00 | DEN | Smith 17' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS) | 85 0.6% | 97 99.4% |
| Q4 - 4:14 | MIA | Wade 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (30 PTS) | 83 0.4% | 97 99.6% |
| Q4 - 4:37 | DEN | Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 83 0.5% | 95 99.5% |
| Q4 - 4:37 | DEN | Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 82 0.5% | 95 99.5% |
| Q4 - 4:51 | DEN | Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 81 0.4% | 95 99.6% |
| Q4 - 4:52 | MIA | MISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 | 81 0.4% | 95 99.6% |
| Q4 - 4:52 | MIA | Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 81 0.3% | 95 99.7% |
| Q4 - 5:10 | DEN | Bibby STEAL (1 STL) | 81 0.7% | 94 99.3% |
| Q4 - 5:27 | DEN | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 81 1.0% | 94 99.0% |
| Q4 - 5:28 | MIA | MISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 81 0.9% | 94 99.1% |
| Q4 - 5:46 | DEN | Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 81 0.7% | 94 99.3% |
| Q4 - 5:46 | DEN | MISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 | 80 0.6% | 94 99.4% |
| Q4 - 5:59 | MIA | Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) | 80 0.7% | 94 99.3% |
| Q4 - 6:18 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 80 1.9% | 91 98.1% |
| Q4 - 6:19 | DEN | MISS Nene 15' Jump Shot | 80 2.1% | 91 97.9% |
| Q4 - 6:45 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS) | 80 2.6% | 91 97.4% |
| Q4 - 6:45 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS) | 80 2.8% | 90 97.2% |
| Q4 - 6:56 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8) | 80 3.5% | 89 96.5% |
| Q4 - 6:57 | DEN | MISS Chandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 80 3.8% | 89 96.2% |
| Q4 - 7:13 | MIA | James 1' Dunk (29 PTS) (Bosh 6 AST) | 80 5.7% | 89 94.3% |
| Q4 - 7:17 | DEN | Wade STEAL (1 STL) | 80 7.2% | 87 92.8% |
| Q4 - 7:25 | DEN | Nuggets Rebound | 80 9.5% | 87 90.5% |
| Q4 - 7:26 | DEN | Anthony BLOCK (4 BLK) | 80 7.8% | 87 92.2% |
| Q4 - 7:40 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS) | 80 9.4% | 87 90.6% |
| Q4 - 7:40 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS) | 80 9.9% | 86 90.1% |
| Q4 - 7:43 | DEN | James STEAL (2 STL) | 80 11.9% | 85 88.1% |
| Q4 - 7:53 | DEN | Chandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 80 15.4% | 85 84.6% |
| Q4 - 7:54 | MIA | MISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 80 14.2% | 85 85.8% |
| Q4 - 8:04 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 80 13.2% | 85 86.8% |
| Q4 - 8:05 | DEN | MISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 80 14.1% | 85 85.9% |
| Q4 - 8:15 | DEN | Nuggets Rebound | 80 16.3% | 85 83.7% |
| Q4 - 8:16 | MIA | MISS Wade 18' Jump Shot | 80 15.3% | 85 84.7% |
| Q4 - 8:32 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 80 13.1% | 85 86.9% |
| Q4 - 8:33 | DEN | Bibby BLOCK (1 BLK) | 80 14.0% | 85 86.0% |
| Q4 - 8:56 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 80 16.2% | 85 83.8% |
| Q4 - 8:56 | MIA | MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 | 80 16.8% | 84 83.2% |
| Q4 - 9:16 | DEN | Gallinari 2' Driving Layup (21 PTS) | 80 17.3% | 84 82.7% |
| Q4 - 9:36 | MIA | Wade 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS) | 78 14.0% | 84 86.0% |
| Q4 - 9:48 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 78 17.3% | 82 82.7% |
| Q4 - 9:49 | MIA | MISS Wade 12' Fadeaway Jumper | 78 19.7% | 82 80.3% |
| Q4 - 10:09 | DEN | Forbes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST) | 78 17.8% | 82 82.2% |
| Q4 - 10:28 | DEN | Nuggets Rebound | 75 12.1% | 82 87.9% |
| Q4 - 10:29 | DEN | Wade BLOCK (3 BLK) | 75 10.5% | 82 89.5% |
| Q4 - 10:32 | MIA | Anthony Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11) | 75 12.1% | 82 87.9% |
| Q4 - 10:49 | DEN | Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST) | 75 9.8% | 82 90.2% |
| Q4 - 11:00 | DEN | Chandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 72 6.5% | 82 93.5% |
| Q4 - 11:01 | MIA | MISS Bosh 9' Turnaround Hook Shot | 72 6.7% | 82 93.3% |
| Q4 - 11:23 | DEN | Gallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 72 5.8% | 82 94.2% |
| Q4 - 11:23 | DEN | MISS Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 | 71 5.7% | 82 94.3% |
| Q4 - 11:38 | MIA | Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bosh 5 AST) | 71 5.8% | 82 94.2% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 71 8.6% | 79 91.4% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 71 8.6% | 79 91.4% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Wade 18' Jump Shot | 71 9.9% | 79 90.1% |
| Q3 - 0:01.0 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 71 9.4% | 79 90.6% |
| Q3 - 0:04.0 | MIA | MISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 71 10.5% | 79 89.5% |
| Q3 - 0:19.0 | DEN | Gallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 71 9.3% | 79 90.7% |
| Q3 - 0:19.0 | DEN | Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 70 9.1% | 79 90.9% |
| Q3 - 0:31.0 | DEN | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 69 7.6% | 79 92.4% |
| Q3 - 0:32.0 | MIA | MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 7.2% | 79 92.8% |
| Q3 - 0:53.0 | DEN | Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST) | 69 6.4% | 79 93.6% |
| Q3 - 0:58.0 | DEN | Lawson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 66 4.2% | 79 95.8% |
| Q3 - 0:59.0 | MIA | MISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 66 4.0% | 79 96.0% |
| Q3 - 1:08 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 66 3.9% | 79 96.1% |
| Q3 - 1:09 | DEN | MISS Lawson 3PT Jump Shot | 66 4.1% | 79 95.9% |
| Q3 - 1:14 | DEN | Lawson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 66 4.6% | 79 95.4% |
| Q3 - 1:15 | DEN | MISS Lawson 17' Jump Shot | 66 4.1% | 79 95.9% |
| Q3 - 1:31 | MIA | James 1' Driving Dunk (27 PTS) | 66 4.6% | 79 95.4% |
| Q3 - 1:50 | DEN | House STEAL (1 STL) | 66 5.6% | 77 94.4% |
| Q3 - 1:55 | DEN | Lawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 66 6.6% | 77 93.4% |
| Q3 - 1:56 | MIA | MISS James 16' Jump Shot | 66 6.3% | 77 93.7% |
| Q3 - 2:13 | MIA | House Free Throw Technical (1 PTS) | 66 6.0% | 77 94.0% |
| Q3 - 2:26 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 66 7.1% | 76 92.9% |
| Q3 - 2:27 | DEN | MISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 66 7.5% | 76 92.5% |
| Q3 - 2:43 | DEN | Nuggets Rebound | 66 8.4% | 76 91.6% |
| Q3 - 2:43 | DEN | MISS Gallinari 21' Jump Shot | 66 7.5% | 76 92.5% |
| Q3 - 3:05 | MIA | James 2' Reverse Layup (25 PTS) | 66 9.0% | 76 91.0% |
| Q3 - 3:25 | DEN | Gallinari Free Throw Technical (13 PTS) | 66 10.5% | 74 89.5% |
| Q3 - 3:27 | DEN | Smith 5' Jump Shot (15 PTS) | 65 8.9% | 74 91.1% |
| Q3 - 3:33 | MIA | James Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10) | 63 7.6% | 74 92.4% |
| Q3 - 3:42 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 63 6.4% | 74 93.6% |
| Q3 - 3:43 | DEN | MISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 63 6.7% | 74 93.3% |
| Q3 - 3:54 | DEN | Gallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 63 7.6% | 74 92.4% |
| Q3 - 3:55 | MIA | MISS Wade 2' Driving Layup | 63 7.2% | 74 92.8% |
| Q3 - 4:08 | DEN | Gallinari 2' Running Dunk (12 PTS) (Nene 2 AST) | 63 6.6% | 74 93.4% |
| Q3 - 4:11 | DEN | Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 61 5.8% | 74 94.2% |
| Q3 - 4:12 | MIA | MISS James 21' Jump Shot | 61 5.4% | 74 94.6% |
| Q3 - 4:41 | MIA | Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9) | 61 4.7% | 74 95.3% |
| Q3 - 4:42 | DEN | MISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 61 5.0% | 74 95.0% |
| Q3 - 4:53 | MIA | Wade 12' Jump Shot (21 PTS) | 61 5.7% | 74 94.3% |
| Q3 - 5:08 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 61 7.0% | 72 93.0% |
| Q3 - 5:09 | MIA | MISS Wade 17' Jump Shot | 61 7.9% | 72 92.1% |
| Q3 - 5:29 | DEN | Nene 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Martin 1 AST) | 61 7.0% | 72 93.0% |
| Q3 - 5:45 | MIA | Wade Traveling Turnover (P2.T9) | 59 6.0% | 72 94.0% |
| Q3 - 5:56 | DEN | Smith Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 59 5.1% | 72 94.9% |
| Q3 - 5:56 | DEN | MISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 2 | 58 4.9% | 72 95.1% |
| Q3 - 5:58 | MIA | Wade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8) | 58 5.1% | 72 94.9% |
| Q3 - 6:16 | DEN | Martin 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 58 4.7% | 72 95.3% |
| Q3 - 6:28 | DEN | Lawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 56 4.1% | 72 95.9% |
| Q3 - 6:29 | MIA | MISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 56 3.9% | 72 96.1% |
| Q3 - 6:49 | MIA | Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 56 3.4% | 72 96.6% |
| Q3 - 6:50 | DEN | MISS Lawson 2' Driving Layup | 56 3.6% | 72 96.4% |
| Q3 - 7:06 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS) | 56 4.4% | 72 95.6% |
| Q3 - 7:27 | DEN | Lawson 5' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 56 5.8% | 69 94.2% |
| Q3 - 7:44 | DEN | Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 54 5.1% | 69 94.9% |
| Q3 - 7:45 | MIA | MISS James 22' Jump Shot | 54 4.8% | 69 95.2% |
| Q3 - 7:51 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 54 4.3% | 69 95.7% |
| Q3 - 7:52 | DEN | MISS Smith 20' Fadeaway Jumper | 54 4.5% | 69 95.5% |
| Q3 - 8:12 | MIA | James 22' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST) | 54 5.3% | 69 94.7% |
| Q3 - 8:28 | DEN | Smith 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 54 6.0% | 67 94.0% |
| Q3 - 8:45 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST) | 52 5.3% | 67 94.7% |
| Q3 - 8:49 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 52 6.0% | 65 94.0% |
| Q3 - 8:50 | DEN | MISS Chandler 2' Driving Layup | 52 6.3% | 65 93.7% |
| Q3 - 9:00 | DEN | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 52 7.0% | 65 93.0% |
| Q3 - 9:01 | MIA | MISS Wade 1' Driving Layup | 52 6.9% | 65 93.1% |
| Q3 - 9:13 | MIA | Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 52 6.3% | 65 93.7% |
| Q3 - 9:14 | DEN | Wade BLOCK (2 BLK) | 52 6.5% | 65 93.5% |
| Q3 - 9:28 | MIA | Bosh 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST) | 52 7.2% | 65 92.8% |
| Q3 - 9:38 | DEN | Chandler Traveling Turnover (P1.T6) | 52 8.2% | 63 91.8% |
| Q3 - 9:41 | DEN | Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 52 9.4% | 63 90.6% |
| Q3 - 9:42 | DEN | MISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 52 8.6% | 63 91.4% |
| Q3 - 9:59 | MIA | Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 52 9.4% | 63 90.6% |
| Q3 - 10:12 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 52 12.5% | 60 87.5% |
| Q3 - 10:13 | DEN | MISS Nene 15' Jump Shot | 52 13.0% | 60 87.0% |
| Q3 - 10:34 | MIA | James 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 52 14.2% | 60 85.8% |
| Q3 - 10:54 | DEN | Lawson 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS) | 52 15.9% | 58 84.1% |
| Q3 - 10:58 | DEN | Lawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 50 14.2% | 58 85.8% |
| Q3 - 10:59 | MIA | MISS James 13' Jump Shot | 50 13.6% | 58 86.4% |
| Q3 - 11:08 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 50 12.8% | 58 87.2% |
| Q3 - 11:09 | DEN | MISS Chandler 18' Jump Shot | 50 13.3% | 58 86.7% |
| Q3 - 11:17 | MIA | Bosh 14' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) | 50 14.5% | 58 85.5% |
| Q3 - 11:39 | DEN | Chandler 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST) | 50 16.1% | 56 83.9% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | DEN | 47 12.8% | 56 87.2% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | DEN | Nuggets Rebound | 47 12.8% | 56 87.2% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | DEN | Wade BLOCK (1 BLK) | 47 11.7% | 56 88.3% |
| Q2 - 0:02.0 | DEN | Lawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 47 13.1% | 56 86.9% |
| Q2 - 0:04.0 | MIA | MISS James 22' Jump Shot | 47 12.7% | 56 87.3% |
| Q2 - 0:26.0 | MIA | Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 47 11.9% | 56 88.1% |
| Q2 - 0:27.0 | DEN | MISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 47 12.3% | 56 87.7% |
| Q2 - 0:37.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS) | 47 13.1% | 56 86.9% |
| Q2 - 0:37.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS) | 47 13.4% | 55 86.6% |
| Q2 - 0:53.0 | DEN | Martin Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 47 15.0% | 54 85.0% |
| Q2 - 0:53.0 | DEN | Martin Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 46 14.4% | 54 85.6% |
| Q2 - 0:59.0 | MIA | Bibby 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 45 13.1% | 54 86.9% |
| Q2 - 1:19 | MIA | Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 45 17.0% | 51 83.0% |
| Q2 - 1:20 | DEN | MISS Lawson 20' Jump Shot | 45 17.4% | 51 82.6% |
| Q2 - 1:25 | DEN | Nuggets Rebound | 45 18.4% | 51 81.6% |
| Q2 - 1:26 | DEN | MISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 45 17.4% | 51 82.6% |
| Q2 - 1:45 | MIA | James 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST) | 45 18.4% | 51 81.6% |
| Q2 - 2:00 | DEN | Gallinari Foul Turnover (P1.T5) | 45 21.0% | 49 79.0% |
| Q2 - 2:14 | MIA | James 9' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS) | 45 23.0% | 49 77.0% |
| Q2 - 2:46 | DEN | Lawson 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 45 25.2% | 47 74.8% |
| Q2 - 2:47 | MIA | Dampier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7) | 42 20.8% | 47 79.2% |
| Q2 - 2:49 | DEN | Lawson 12' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 42 18.7% | 47 81.3% |
| Q2 - 2:58 | DEN | Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 40 16.9% | 47 83.1% |
| Q2 - 2:59 | MIA | MISS Wade 18' Jump Shot | 40 16.3% | 47 83.7% |
| Q2 - 3:25 | DEN | Smith 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 40 15.2% | 47 84.8% |
| Q2 - 3:36 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 38 13.9% | 47 86.1% |
| Q2 - 3:36 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 38 14.2% | 46 85.8% |
| Q2 - 3:50 | DEN | Gallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 38 15.2% | 45 84.8% |
| Q2 - 3:50 | DEN | Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 37 15.0% | 45 85.0% |
| Q2 - 3:50 | DEN | Gallinari Free Throw Technical (8 PTS) | 36 13.9% | 45 86.1% |
| Q2 - 3:54 | DEN | Gallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 35 12.5% | 45 87.5% |
| Q2 - 3:55 | MIA | MISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 35 12.0% | 45 88.0% |
| Q2 - 4:19 | DEN | Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 35 11.2% | 45 88.8% |
| Q2 - 4:19 | DEN | MISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 | 34 10.9% | 45 89.1% |
| Q2 - 4:36 | MIA | Wade 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 34 11.3% | 45 88.7% |
| Q2 - 4:51 | DEN | James STEAL (1 STL) | 34 12.4% | 43 87.6% |
| Q2 - 5:08 | MIA | Anthony 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST) | 34 14.1% | 43 85.9% |
| Q2 - 5:14 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 34 15.6% | 41 84.4% |
| Q2 - 5:15 | MIA | MISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 34 16.7% | 41 83.3% |
| Q2 - 5:24 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 34 15.6% | 41 84.4% |
| Q2 - 5:25 | DEN | MISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 34 16.1% | 41 83.9% |
| Q2 - 5:36 | MIA | Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 34 17.2% | 41 82.8% |
| Q2 - 5:52 | DEN | Nuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3) | 34 20.9% | 38 79.1% |
| Q2 - 6:26 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 34 23.2% | 38 76.8% |
| Q2 - 6:26 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 34 23.6% | 37 76.4% |
| Q2 - 6:39 | DEN | Forbes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 34 22.9% | 37 77.1% |
| Q2 - 6:52 | MIA | James 6' Jump Shot (15 PTS) | 34 25.3% | 37 74.7% |
| Q2 - 7:20 | DEN | Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Forbes 2 AST) | 34 27.1% | 35 72.9% |
| Q2 - 7:34 | DEN | Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 31 23.0% | 35 77.0% |
| Q2 - 7:35 | MIA | MISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 31 22.4% | 35 77.6% |
| Q2 - 7:57 | DEN | Gallinari 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Forbes 1 AST) | 31 21.0% | 35 79.0% |
| Q2 - 8:01 | DEN | Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 29 19.5% | 35 80.5% |
| Q2 - 8:02 | MIA | MISS Bosh 7' Hook Shot | 29 19.0% | 35 81.0% |
| Q2 - 8:23 | DEN | Chandler 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 29 17.8% | 35 82.2% |
| Q2 - 8:40 | MIA | Anthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6) | 27 16.3% | 35 83.7% |
| Q2 - 8:54 | DEN | Miller STEAL (1 STL) | 27 14.9% | 35 85.1% |
| Q2 - 8:58 | MIA | Bosh Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5) | 27 16.3% | 35 83.7% |
| Q2 - 9:17 | DEN | Chandler 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 27 15.1% | 35 84.9% |
| Q2 - 9:34 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 25 13.8% | 35 86.2% |
| Q2 - 9:34 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 25 14.0% | 34 86.0% |
| Q2 - 9:39 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 15.0% | 33 85.0% |
| Q2 - 9:40 | DEN | Anthony BLOCK (3 BLK) | 25 15.5% | 33 84.5% |
| Q2 - 9:56 | DEN | Chandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 16.5% | 33 83.5% |
| Q2 - 9:57 | MIA | MISS Jones 22' Jump Shot | 25 16.0% | 33 84.0% |
| Q2 - 10:10 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 25 15.2% | 33 84.8% |
| Q2 - 10:11 | DEN | Miller BLOCK (1 BLK) | 25 15.6% | 33 84.4% |
| Q2 - 10:22 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 25 16.7% | 33 83.3% |
| Q2 - 10:22 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 25 16.9% | 32 83.1% |
| Q2 - 10:34 | DEN | Gallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 25 18.0% | 31 82.0% |
| Q2 - 10:34 | DEN | Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 24 17.9% | 31 82.1% |
| Q2 - 10:43 | MIA | Bibby 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST) | 23 16.7% | 31 83.3% |
| Q2 - 11:00 | DEN | Lawson 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 23 18.0% | 29 82.0% |
| Q2 - 11:05 | DEN | Lawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 21 16.9% | 29 83.1% |
| Q2 - 11:06 | DEN | MISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 21 15.8% | 29 84.2% |
| Q2 - 11:16 | DEN | Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 21 16.9% | 29 83.1% |
| Q2 - 11:17 | MIA | MISS Bosh 9' Turnaround Jump Shot | 21 16.4% | 29 83.6% |
| Q2 - 11:35 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 21 15.4% | 29 84.6% |
| Q2 - 11:36 | DEN | Anthony BLOCK (2 BLK) | 21 15.8% | 29 84.2% |
| Q2 - 11:44 | DEN | Nuggets Rebound | 21 16.8% | 29 83.2% |
| Q2 - 11:45 | DEN | Anthony BLOCK (1 BLK) | 21 15.8% | 29 84.2% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 21 16.8% | 29 83.2% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 21 15.4% | 29 84.6% |
| Q1 - 0:02.0 | DEN | MISS Chandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 21 16.1% | 29 83.9% |
| Q1 - 0:20.0 | MIA | James 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 21 16.8% | 29 83.2% |
| Q1 - 0:43.0 | DEN | Chandler 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST) | 21 18.5% | 27 81.5% |
| Q1 - 0:52.0 | DEN | Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 18 15.5% | 27 84.5% |
| Q1 - 0:53.0 | MIA | MISS James 19' Jump Shot | 18 15.2% | 27 84.8% |
| Q1 - 1:12 | DEN | Lawson 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS) | 18 14.8% | 27 85.2% |
| Q1 - 1:30 | DEN | Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 16 13.3% | 27 86.7% |
| Q1 - 1:31 | MIA | MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 16 13.1% | 27 86.9% |
| Q1 - 1:54 | DEN | Martin Dunk (2 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST) | 16 12.5% | 27 87.5% |
| Q1 - 2:05 | DEN | Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 14 11.7% | 27 88.3% |
| Q1 - 2:06 | MIA | MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 14 11.4% | 27 88.6% |
| Q1 - 2:20 | MIA | Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 14 10.8% | 27 89.2% |
| Q1 - 2:21 | DEN | MISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 | 14 10.9% | 27 89.1% |
| Q1 - 2:21 | DEN | MISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 | 14 11.5% | 27 88.5% |
| Q1 - 2:33 | MIA | James 16' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS) | 14 11.7% | 27 88.3% |
| Q1 - 2:51 | DEN | Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST) | 14 12.8% | 25 87.2% |
| Q1 - 3:00 | MIA | James Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4) | 11 10.7% | 25 89.3% |
| Q1 - 3:26 | DEN | Smith 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 11 10.0% | 25 90.0% |
| Q1 - 3:47 | MIA | James 1' Driving Dunk (9 PTS) | 9 9.3% | 25 90.7% |
| Q1 - 3:59 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 9 10.0% | 23 90.0% |
| Q1 - 4:00 | DEN | MISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 9 10.3% | 23 89.7% |
| Q1 - 4:14 | MIA | James 2' Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 9 11.0% | 23 89.0% |
| Q1 - 4:24 | MIA | Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 9 11.8% | 21 88.2% |
| Q1 - 4:25 | DEN | MISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 2 | 9 12.0% | 21 88.0% |
| Q1 - 4:25 | DEN | Lawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 9 12.6% | 21 87.4% |
| Q1 - 4:31 | MIA | James 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 8 11.9% | 21 88.1% |
| Q1 - 4:47 | DEN | Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nene 1 AST) | 8 13.8% | 18 86.2% |
| Q1 - 5:02 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 5 12.4% | 18 87.6% |
| Q1 - 5:02 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 5 12.6% | 17 87.4% |
| Q1 - 5:06 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 5 13.2% | 16 86.8% |
| Q1 - 5:07 | DEN | MISS Nene 19' Jump Shot | 5 13.5% | 16 86.5% |
| Q1 - 5:24 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 5 14.3% | 16 85.7% |
| Q1 - 5:24 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 5 14.5% | 15 85.5% |
| Q1 - 5:41 | DEN | Nene 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST) | 5 15.3% | 14 84.7% |
| Q1 - 6:06 | MIA | Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) | 3 14.4% | 14 85.6% |
| Q1 - 6:25 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 3 15.4% | 12 84.6% |
| Q1 - 6:26 | DEN | MISS Afflalo 4' Running Jump Shot | 3 15.8% | 12 84.2% |
| Q1 - 6:32 | DEN | Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 3 16.6% | 12 83.4% |
| Q1 - 6:33 | MIA | MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 3 16.2% | 12 83.8% |
| Q1 - 6:40 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 3 15.4% | 12 84.6% |
| Q1 - 6:41 | DEN | MISS Afflalo 2' Driving Layup | 3 15.8% | 12 84.2% |
| Q1 - 6:46 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3) | 3 16.6% | 12 83.4% |
| Q1 - 7:01 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 3 15.5% | 12 84.5% |
| Q1 - 7:02 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 9' Floating Jump Shot | 3 16.4% | 12 83.6% |
| Q1 - 7:23 | DEN | Nene 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 3 15.5% | 12 84.5% |
| Q1 - 7:38 | MIA | James 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 1 14.6% | 12 85.4% |
| Q1 - 7:48 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 1 15.5% | 10 84.5% |
| Q1 - 7:49 | DEN | MISS Nene 3' Hook Shot | 1 15.9% | 10 84.1% |
| Q1 - 8:07 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 1 16.7% | 10 83.3% |
| Q1 - 8:17 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 1 15.6% | 10 84.4% |
| Q1 - 8:18 | DEN | MISS Afflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 | 1 15.8% | 10 84.2% |
| Q1 - 8:18 | DEN | Afflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 1 16.6% | 10 83.4% |
| Q1 - 8:29 | MIA | Bosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 0 15.6% | 10 84.4% |
| Q1 - 8:39 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 14.6% | 10 85.4% |
| Q1 - 8:40 | DEN | Dampier BLOCK (2 BLK) | 0 14.9% | 10 85.1% |
| Q1 - 9:01 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Dunk (6 PTS) | 0 16.1% | 10 83.9% |
| Q1 - 9:18 | MIA | Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 0 17.1% | 8 82.9% |
| Q1 - 9:19 | DEN | MISS Martin 17' Jump Shot | 0 17.4% | 8 82.6% |
| Q1 - 9:43 | MIA | Wade 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 0 18.2% | 8 81.8% |
| Q1 - 10:04 | MIA | Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 0 19.6% | 6 80.4% |
| Q1 - 10:05 | DEN | MISS Chandler 1' Driving Layup | 0 20.1% | 6 79.9% |
| Q1 - 10:10 | DEN | Afflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 21.0% | 6 79.0% |
| Q1 - 10:11 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 0 20.6% | 6 79.4% |
| Q1 - 10:29 | MIA | Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 0 19.6% | 6 80.4% |
| Q1 - 10:30 | DEN | MISS Chandler 9' Turnaround Jump Shot | 0 20.0% | 6 80.0% |
| Q1 - 10:53 | MIA | Wade 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 0 21.0% | 6 79.0% |
| Q1 - 11:01 | MIA | Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 0 22.3% | 4 77.7% |
| Q1 - 11:02 | DEN | MISS Chandler 19' Jump Shot | 0 22.6% | 4 77.4% |
| Q1 - 11:21 | MIA | Chalmers 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST) | 0 23.4% | 4 76.6% |
| Q1 - 11:24 | MIA | Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 24.7% | 2 75.3% |
| Q1 - 11:25 | DEN | Dampier BLOCK (1 BLK) | 0 25.0% | 2 75.0% |
| Q1 - 11:39 | MIA | Bosh 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 0 25.9% | 2 74.1% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball Dampier vs. Nene: Tip to James | 0 27.3% | 0 72.7% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
DEN
1.05 52.7%
MIA
1.18 59.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
12
27
44%
MIA
8
11
73%
Midrange
DEN
12
27
44%
MIA
22
40
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
10
15.0
24
42%
63%
MIA
6
9.0
20
30%
45%
Free Throws
DEN
20
28
71%
MIA
25
29
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Nuggets| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Smith | 27 | 68% | 13.5 / 20 | |
| D. Gallinari | 23 | 68% | 11.5 / 17 | |
| T. Lawson | 16 | 50% | 8.0 / 16 | |
| W. Chandler | 12 | 40% | 6.0 / 15 | |
| Nene | 10 | 42% | 5.0 / 12 | |
| K. Martin | 6 | 50% | 3.0 / 6 | |
| G. Forbes | 3 | 75% | 1.5 / 2 | |
| A. Afflalo | 1 | 17% | 0.5 / 3 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. James | 33 | 63% | 16.5 / 26 | |
| D. Wade | 32 | 62% | 16.0 / 26 | |
| C. Bosh | 18 | 64% | 9.0 / 14 | |
| M. Bibby | 14 | 78% | 7.0 / 9 | |
| J. Anthony | 3 | 75% | 1.5 / 2 | |
| M. Chalmers | 2 | 33% | 1.0 / 3 | |
| E. House | 1 | - | 0.0 / 0 | |
| E. Dampier | 0 | - | 0.0 / 0 | |
| M. Miller | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 | |
| J. Jones | 0 | - | 0.0 / 3 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
DEN
82
+11
-9
93
MIA
78
+7
-12
85
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
DEN
1.05 52.7%
MIA
1.18 59.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 112.7 111.4 | DEN 107.7 MIA 114.4 +6.8 |
| Pace | 95.2 91.3 | DEN 105.9 +27.1 MIA 78.9 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 14.3 16.2 | DEN 13.6 +4.7 MIA 18.3 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 52.6% 52.4% | DEN 50.0% MIA 54.9% +4.9% |
| TO % | 14.5% 14.4% | DEN 10.0% +2.5% MIA 12.5% |
| ORB % | 23.8% 25.2% | DEN 10.5% MIA 12.9% +2.4% |
| FTrt | 36.7 36.3 | DEN 35.9 MIA 40.8 +4.9 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 57.6% 54.1% | DEN 41.2% MIA 41.7% +0.5% |
| STL % | 7.7% 7.3% | DEN 8.8% +2.1% MIA 6.7% |
| BLK % | 6.8% 8.5% | DEN 3.9% MIA 20.4% +16.5% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 56.3% 55.7% | DEN 52.7% MIA 59.2% +6.5% |
| Rim FG% | 58.5% 64.7% | DEN 44.4% MIA 72.7% +28.3% |
| Mid FG% | 40.0% 42.2% | DEN 44.4% MIA 55.0% +10.6% |
| 3P % | 38.8% 37.0% | DEN 41.7% +11.7% MIA 30.0% |
| FT % | 76.6% 76.9% | DEN 71.4% MIA 86.2% +14.8% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 42.5% 31.6% | DEN 34.6% +19.1% MIA 15.5% |
| Mid Att. % | 31.8% 44.9% | DEN 34.6% +21.7% MIA 56.3% |
| 3P Att. % | 25.8% 23.5% | DEN 30.8% +2.6% MIA 28.2% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
| Game Totals | DEN | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 91 | 90 |
| Possession Minutes | 20.6 | 27.4 |
| Points | 98 | 103 |
| Rebounds | 31 | 38 |
| Assists | 14 | 15 |
| Steals | 8 | 6 |
| Blocks | 2 | 11 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 9 (1) | 12 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 4 (7) | 4 (3) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 27 (3) | 34 (2) |
| Field Goals | 34-78 | 36-71 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 12-27 | 8-11 |
| Midrange FG | 12-27 | 22-40 |
| 2-Point FG | 24-54 | 30-51 |
| 3-Point FG | 10-24 | 6-20 |
| Free Throws | 20-28 | 25-29 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.