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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 17, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Cavaliers8%8770
4Trail Blazers92%106111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 23.8
27.1
23.5
2
17%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
0-5
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 22.5
27.0
29.5
5
51%
7
0
0
1
0
0
3
4
1-2
50%
2-4
5-11
50%
47%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.9
21.5
26.1
14
66%
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
0
6-6
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
45%
0-0
-
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 35.7
21.2
28.5
4
33%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
0-3
0%
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 22.2
19.8
26.0
7
33%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
5-6
83%
1-8
4-9
13%
47%
0-0
-
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 21.7
24.9
20.8
3
28%
5
1
1
1
0
2
0
5
1-1
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.0
23.1
24.9
12
67%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
7-9
78%
1-2
2-4
50%
40%
1-3
33%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.4
21.4
14.4
5
53%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
3-4
75%
1-3
2-3
33%
54%
0-0
-
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.2
20.4
18.8
5
50%
3
1
1
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Manny Harris
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.5
19.1
15.6
10
83%
2
3
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-5
1-3
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 31.9
14.5
9.8
3
38%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.8
6.7
0
1-2
49%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.5
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.6
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.6
33.1
31.7
17
59%
6
6
2
1
2
0
1
5
1-1
100%
8-10
4-7
80%
51%
0-4
0%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 22.3
32.7
21.2
14
54%
4
5
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
57%
2-5
40%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 24.4
31.0
30.5
14
64%
7
4
0
1
0
2
0
7
0-2
0%
1-3
3-6
33%
53%
4-7
57%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 25.7
28.6
39.4
20
88%
11
0
0
1
0
2
5
6
2-3
67%
9-10
10-18
90%
54%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.0
26.1
28.9
6
77%
1
6
0
1
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
5-9
67%
51%
0-0
-
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 25.9
27.1
22.5
13
70%
4
5
3
1
0
0
3
1
3-3
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 37.0
18.6
22.9
6
43%
9
2
1
1
0
0
3
6
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.6
17.6
9.7
11
61%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
51%
3-6
50%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 26.6
14.1
25.1
2
33%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
52%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 32.3
3.7
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 25.7
3.7
2.6
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
56%
0-0
-
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.1
3.7
1.5
6
60%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
0-0
60%
51%
0-0
-
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 23.1
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.7
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.