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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 17, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Grizzlies39%10199
11Knicks61%105120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.4
33.1
31.2
16
62%
4
6
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
48%
2-3
67%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.7
29.9
32.8
14
59%
6
1
1
1
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
6-11
7-13
55%
50%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.1
26.1
26.9
7
55%
6
1
0
1
2
0
1
5
1-3
33%
3-5
4-8
60%
55%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 25.8
24.5
25.1
11
80%
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-5
4-7
60%
50%
1-1
100%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 29.2
22.9
26.2
14
58%
4
1
3
2
0
1
2
2
6-7
86%
4-8
4-8
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.0
27.6
20.3
15
55%
7
4
1
1
0
3
0
7
5-6
83%
5-11
4-8
45%
51%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.5
25.5
24.5
11
63%
5
3
0
1
0
0
2
3
4-4
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
1-4
25%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.4
23.1
21.3
2
14%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
3-5
17%
48%
0-1
0%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 24.2
12.6
11.1
2
33%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.1
12.5
6.0
7
61%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.7
2.3
7.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-1
0%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 25.8
4.5
0
1-1
51%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20.0
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.6
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.3
37.3
33.0
16
58%
9
3
0
1
0
1
2
7
4-4
100%
6-12
9-17
50%
53%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.8
33.6
33.9
28
66%
3
2
0
1
0
2
2
1
5-5
100%
7-12
7-15
58%
48%
3-7
43%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 29.3
31.1
22.0
5
75%
6
2
2
1
1
0
2
4
1-3
33%
2-2
2-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 34.5
29.1
30.5
18
77%
0
8
2
1
0
1
0
0
6-6
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
2-4
50%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.7
26.0
28.2
8
40%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
57%
2-4
50%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.0
31.0
28.4
29
104%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
49%
9-12
75%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.1
19.5
28.7
9
48%
6
1
1
1
0
2
0
6
1-1
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
2-5
40%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.5
18.9
12.6
6
75%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
2-4
50%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 28.2
13.4
12.5
1
57%
2
3
0
0
2
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
56%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 35.8
6.8
0
0-1
47%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.4
6.0
0
0-1
56%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.4
5.1
0
1-1
46%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.5
Andy Rautins
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.4
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.