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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 16, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Suns34%9595
13Hornets66%100100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 34.1
35.4
28.4
21
81%
4
3
2
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
3-7
75%
46%
5-9
56%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 37.1
34.6
14.4
8
45%
1
10
0
0
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
52%
0-3
0%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 38.4
30.9
25.4
15
50%
5
4
1
1
1
3
2
3
2-2
100%
5-12
3-6
42%
49%
1-2
50%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 28.7
16.9
25.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-4
4-8
0%
50%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 23.0
12.1
15.3
1
20%
3
0
1
0
2
2
0
3
1-1
100%
0-2
3-5
0%
52%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.1
35.6
30.2
10
56%
8
2
0
1
1
1
3
5
2-2
100%
4-8
5-9
50%
54%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.7
33.5
23.0
25
75%
8
2
0
1
0
1
2
6
4-6
67%
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
5-8
63%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 27.7
16.5
16.7
4
67%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
56%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 26.2
13.6
21.3
6
43%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-6
0%
43%
2-6
33%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 29.1
10.8
17.1
5
31%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
1-6
17%
Zabian Dowdell
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.5
17.0
1
2-6
42%
Garret Siler
C · 6'11" 305 · 24.4
2.5
0
0-1
48%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 27.8
Gani Lawal
F · 6'9" 234 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 25.7
40.1
24.6
8
33%
5
2
1
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
4-10
2-5
40%
48%
0-2
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 28.5
38.0
25.0
16
75%
11
0
0
0
1
3
3
8
4-6
67%
6-8
3-6
75%
57%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.9
36.2
34.3
26
68%
5
9
3
2
0
1
0
5
6-7
86%
7-12
5-9
58%
52%
2-4
50%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.5
30.9
32.2
16
68%
9
4
0
1
0
3
1
8
4-4
100%
6-10
7-13
60%
52%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.0
8.9
25.7
3
75%
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
48%
1-2
50%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.6
34.7
25.5
11
40%
2
3
0
1
1
2
0
2
4-6
67%
2-5
4-7
40%
51%
1-6
17%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.5
17.1
23.4
8
57%
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
4-7
4-7
57%
53%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.0
12.3
9.0
8
67%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
50%
2-3
67%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.4
12.1
23.6
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
4-7
0%
49%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.3
9.7
6.3
4
50%
7
1
0
0
1
0
3
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
54%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25.0
8.4
0
1-2
48%
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 30.7
2.2
0
0-1
50%
Jerel McNeal
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.8
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.2
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.