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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 16, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Magic69%9593
22Bucks31%8989
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.3
46.1
37.0
31
69%
21
2
2
1
3
5
7
14
13-24
54%
9-11
7-12
82%
59%
0-1
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 30.1
44.8
34.4
13
50%
3
2
3
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
3-8
38%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 32.0
41.4
33.9
19
54%
4
5
3
1
1
2
0
4
5-6
83%
4-10
2-5
40%
47%
2-5
40%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 29.1
37.6
28.1
10
33%
3
3
0
1
0
2
3
0
0-0
-
5-13
4-8
38%
49%
0-2
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 25.9
27.6
23.3
6
47%
4
4
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-1
0%
3-6
4-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.9
32.1
27.4
7
36%
14
3
2
1
0
0
4
10
2-4
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
49%
1-7
14%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.2
19.8
18.1
5
42%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.5
15.4
14.0
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 30.9
0.1
7.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.7
9.6
0
1-2
48%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.2
6.1
0
1-2
45%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.7
3.8
0
0-1
43%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 20.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 21.5
46.3
28.1
23
52%
3
8
2
1
0
5
2
1
5-5
100%
6-10
3-8
60%
40%
2-10
20%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 31.3
44.8
28.4
22
58%
7
5
1
1
0
3
3
4
0-0
-
8-15
3-7
53%
44%
2-4
50%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.5
44.6
27.3
10
53%
5
4
2
1
0
0
1
4
0-1
0%
5-9
3-6
56%
48%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28.5
20.0
26.3
2
13%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
43%
0-3
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22.3
17.9
17.6
4
50%
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.9
32.1
19.2
10
48%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
1-4
2-3
25%
45%
2-5
40%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 24.0
22.0
14.0
6
52%
8
0
1
0
0
1
2
6
2-4
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 29.6
20.9
10.6
6
50%
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-4
50%
39%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 31.3
9.7
13.2
4
52%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 34.8
6.7
15.2
2
50%
0
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.3
27.7
1
5-9
51%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.2
13.9
0
2-4
46%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 29.5
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 31.6
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.