FinalWin Prob.pScore
1028%92
96
172%99
85
ORTG#PossPace
OKC logo OKC
106.79087.7
MIA logo MIA
92.49294.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventOKCMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA96
100%
85
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0OKCThunder Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)96
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)96
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)96
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0OKCMISS Westbrook Free Throw 1 of 295
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIABibby 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (James 3 AST)95
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)95
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)94
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0OKCMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:24OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)93
99.8%
82
0.2%
Q4 - 1:25MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.7%
82
0.3%
Q4 - 1:35OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)93
99.5%
82
0.5%
Q4 - 1:35OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)92
99.4%
82
0.6%
Q4 - 1:41OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)91
99.0%
82
1.0%
Q4 - 1:42MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup91
98.7%
82
1.3%
Q4 - 1:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)91
97.9%
82
2.1%
Q4 - 1:51OKCMISS Ibaka 3' Layup91
98.2%
82
1.8%
Q4 - 1:52OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)91
98.8%
82
1.2%
Q4 - 1:53OKCMISS Durant 19' Jump Shot91
98.2%
82
1.8%
Q4 - 2:18MIAMiller 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)91
99.0%
82
1.0%
Q4 - 2:42OKCDurant 19' Jump Shot (29 PTS)91
99.3%
80
0.7%
Q4 - 2:57MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)89
98.2%
80
1.8%
Q4 - 2:57MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)89
98.3%
79
1.7%
Q4 - 3:11OKCDurant Free Throw Technical (27 PTS)89
98.8%
78
1.2%
Q4 - 3:11OKCMISS Durant Free Throw Technical88
98.1%
78
1.9%
Q4 - 3:11OKCHarden 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Durant 6 AST)88
98.1%
78
1.9%
Q4 - 3:17OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
95.8%
78
4.2%
Q4 - 3:18MIAMISS Wade 3' Running Layup85
95.1%
78
4.9%
Q4 - 3:22OKCBibby STEAL (1 STL)85
93.0%
78
7.0%
Q4 - 3:43MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)85
92.0%
78
8.0%
Q4 - 3:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)85
92.5%
77
7.5%
Q4 - 3:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)85
94.2%
76
5.8%
Q4 - 3:47OKCBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)85
94.9%
76
5.1%
Q4 - 3:48OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
96.1%
76
3.9%
Q4 - 3:49OKCMISS Westbrook 20' Jump Shot85
94.9%
76
5.1%
Q4 - 4:03MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)85
96.3%
76
3.7%
Q4 - 4:03MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)85
96.5%
75
3.5%
Q4 - 4:11OKCDurant Foul Turnover (P1.T12)85
97.4%
74
2.6%
Q4 - 4:24OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
98.3%
74
1.7%
Q4 - 4:25MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 285
98.2%
74
1.8%
Q4 - 4:25MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)85
97.7%
74
2.3%
Q4 - 4:37OKCThunder Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)85
98.3%
73
1.7%
Q4 - 5:01MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)85
97.7%
73
2.3%
Q4 - 5:18OKCWestbrook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)85
96.8%
73
3.2%
Q4 - 5:44MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (19 PTS)82
94.1%
73
5.9%
Q4 - 5:50OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)82
95.7%
71
4.3%
Q4 - 5:50OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)81
95.5%
71
4.5%
Q4 - 5:55OKCMohammed REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)80
94.2%
71
5.8%
Q4 - 5:56MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
93.5%
71
6.5%
Q4 - 6:04MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
88.4%
71
11.6%
Q4 - 6:05OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
89.4%
71
10.6%
Q4 - 6:17MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)80
91.5%
71
8.5%
Q4 - 6:22MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)80
88.6%
71
11.4%
Q4 - 6:24OKCJames BLOCK (1 BLK)80
89.6%
71
10.4%
Q4 - 6:39MIAJames 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)80
91.6%
71
8.4%
Q4 - 7:02OKCMohammed 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)80
91.1%
69
8.9%
Q4 - 7:03OKCMohammed REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)78
88.9%
69
11.1%
Q4 - 7:04OKCMISS Westbrook 13' Jump Shot78
86.6%
69
13.4%
Q4 - 7:26MIABibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 2 AST)78
89.0%
69
11.0%
Q4 - 7:39OKCDurant 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)78
93.3%
66
6.7%
Q4 - 7:42OKCThunder Rebound76
91.5%
66
8.5%
Q4 - 7:43OKCMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
89.7%
66
10.3%
Q4 - 7:56OKCMohammed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)76
91.6%
66
8.4%
Q4 - 7:57MIAMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot76
90.8%
66
9.2%
Q4 - 8:15OKCCook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)76
86.5%
66
13.5%
Q4 - 8:22OKCThunder Rebound73
79.2%
66
20.8%
Q4 - 8:23OKCWade BLOCK (1 BLK)73
76.2%
66
23.8%
Q4 - 8:27MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)73
79.2%
66
20.8%
Q4 - 8:36OKCHarden Foul Turnover (P2.T10)73
74.8%
66
25.2%
Q4 - 8:38OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
79.3%
66
20.7%
Q4 - 8:39MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot73
78.0%
66
22.0%
Q4 - 9:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
74.9%
66
25.1%
Q4 - 9:03MIAMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
75.2%
66
24.8%
Q4 - 9:05MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
72.0%
66
28.0%
Q4 - 9:07MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
75.2%
66
24.8%
Q4 - 9:36OKCCollison 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)73
72.2%
66
27.8%
Q4 - 9:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)71
67.1%
66
32.9%
Q4 - 9:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)71
68.2%
65
31.8%
Q4 - 9:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
72.3%
64
27.7%
Q4 - 9:54OKCMISS Harden 3' Driving Layup71
73.7%
64
26.3%
Q4 - 9:59OKCCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
76.8%
64
23.2%
Q4 - 10:00MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot71
75.5%
64
24.5%
Q4 - 10:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)71
69.8%
64
30.2%
Q4 - 10:17OKCMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
71.3%
64
28.7%
Q4 - 10:22OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
74.4%
64
25.6%
Q4 - 10:23MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot71
73.1%
64
26.9%
Q4 - 10:46OKCHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)71
69.9%
64
30.1%
Q4 - 10:46OKCMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 270
69.2%
64
30.8%
Q4 - 10:59OKCMaynor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
70.0%
64
30.0%
Q4 - 11:00MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot70
68.5%
64
31.5%
Q4 - 11:24OKCHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Maynor 2 AST)70
63.0%
64
37.0%
Q4 - 11:42MIABibby 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)67
52.5%
64
47.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA67
57.9%
62
42.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound67
57.9%
62
42.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 42' 3PT Jump Shot67
61.5%
62
38.5%
Q3 - 0:03.0OKCDurant 22' Jump Shot (22 PTS)67
56.4%
62
43.6%
Q3 - 0:25.0OKCThunder Rebound65
51.0%
62
49.0%
Q3 - 0:26.0OKCAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)65
47.7%
62
52.3%
Q3 - 0:26.0OKCMohammed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)65
51.0%
62
49.0%
Q3 - 0:27.0OKCMISS Maynor 19' Jump Shot65
47.7%
62
52.3%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAHoward 6' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)65
51.0%
62
49.0%
Q3 - 1:10OKCCollison 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Durant 5 AST)65
55.0%
60
45.0%
Q3 - 1:33MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)63
49.7%
60
50.3%
Q3 - 1:50OKCDurant 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Maynor 1 AST)63
55.1%
58
44.9%
Q3 - 2:07MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)61
48.1%
58
51.9%
Q3 - 2:07MIAHEAT Rebound61
43.6%
58
56.4%
Q3 - 2:08MIAMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot61
46.7%
58
53.3%
Q3 - 2:31MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
43.7%
58
56.3%
Q3 - 2:32OKCAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)61
45.0%
58
55.0%
Q3 - 2:55MIAAnthony 2' Dunk (6 PTS)61
48.3%
58
51.7%
Q3 - 2:57MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)61
53.1%
56
46.9%
Q3 - 2:58MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper61
56.3%
56
43.7%
Q3 - 3:16MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)61
51.3%
56
48.7%
Q3 - 3:17OKCMISS Sefolosha Free Throw 2 of 261
51.9%
56
48.1%
Q3 - 3:17OKCSefolosha Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)61
54.7%
56
45.3%
Q3 - 3:22OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)60
51.5%
56
48.5%
Q3 - 3:23MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot60
50.1%
56
49.9%
Q3 - 3:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)60
46.8%
56
53.2%
Q3 - 3:43OKCMISS Durant 20' Jump Shot60
48.3%
56
51.7%
Q3 - 4:00MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)60
51.6%
56
48.4%
Q3 - 4:07MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
45.7%
56
54.3%
Q3 - 4:08OKCMISS Collison 5' Hook Shot60
47.2%
56
52.8%
Q3 - 4:12OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
50.8%
56
49.2%
Q3 - 4:13OKCMISS Sefolosha 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
47.3%
56
52.7%
Q3 - 4:34MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)60
50.9%
56
49.1%
Q3 - 4:34MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)60
52.1%
55
47.9%
Q3 - 4:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
54.5%
54
45.5%
Q3 - 4:38OKCMISS Sefolosha 4' Jump Shot60
56.0%
54
44.0%
Q3 - 4:39OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
59.5%
54
40.5%
Q3 - 4:40OKCMISS Ibaka 18' Jump Shot60
56.0%
54
44.0%
Q3 - 4:56OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
59.5%
54
40.5%
Q3 - 4:57MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot60
58.0%
54
42.0%
Q3 - 5:09OKCWestbrook Traveling Turnover (P5.T9)60
53.0%
54
47.0%
Q3 - 5:15OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
57.6%
54
42.4%
Q3 - 5:16MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
56.2%
54
43.8%
Q3 - 5:29OKCDurant 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS)60
53.1%
54
46.9%
Q3 - 5:55MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)58
49.4%
54
50.6%
Q3 - 5:55MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)58
50.1%
53
49.9%
Q3 - 6:12OKCWestbrook 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS)58
51.5%
52
48.5%
Q3 - 6:23OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
47.9%
52
52.1%
Q3 - 6:24MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot56
46.5%
52
53.5%
Q3 - 6:35OKCSefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)56
43.5%
52
56.5%
Q3 - 6:35OKCSefolosha Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)55
42.6%
52
57.4%
Q3 - 6:55MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)54
40.0%
52
60.0%
Q3 - 7:09OKCWestbrook 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)54
46.0%
49
54.0%
Q3 - 7:16OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)52
42.4%
49
57.6%
Q3 - 7:18MIAMISS James 6' Jump Shot52
41.2%
49
58.8%
Q3 - 7:37OKCWestbrook Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T8)52
38.6%
49
61.4%
Q3 - 7:49MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)52
42.5%
49
57.5%
Q3 - 7:49MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)52
43.1%
48
56.9%
Q3 - 7:58MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
46.2%
47
53.8%
Q3 - 7:59OKCMISS Westbrook 19' Jump Shot52
47.4%
47
52.6%
Q3 - 8:08OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
49.4%
47
50.6%
Q3 - 8:09MIAMISS Bosh 4' Hook Shot52
48.2%
47
51.8%
Q3 - 8:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)52
45.4%
47
54.6%
Q3 - 8:14MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
48.2%
47
51.8%
Q3 - 8:38MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)52
45.4%
47
54.6%
Q3 - 8:39OKCMISS Ibaka Free Throw 1 of 152
45.9%
47
54.1%
Q3 - 8:47OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)50
41.9%
47
58.1%
Q3 - 8:48OKCMISS Westbrook 2' Driving Layup50
39.2%
47
60.8%
Q3 - 8:54OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)50
41.9%
47
58.1%
Q3 - 8:55MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot50
40.7%
47
59.3%
Q3 - 9:17OKCIbaka 3' Putback Dunk (4 PTS)50
37.5%
47
62.5%
Q3 - 9:18OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)48
34.2%
47
65.8%
Q3 - 9:19OKCMISS Westbrook 16' Jump Shot48
31.9%
47
68.1%
Q3 - 9:29MIADampier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)48
34.2%
47
65.8%
Q3 - 9:42MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
30.9%
47
69.1%
Q3 - 9:43OKCMISS Durant 15' Fadeaway Jumper48
31.9%
47
68.1%
Q3 - 10:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)48
34.2%
47
65.8%
Q3 - 10:00MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 248
34.9%
46
65.1%
Q3 - 10:21OKCDurant 12' Jump Shot (16 PTS)48
33.4%
46
66.6%
Q3 - 10:36MIADampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)46
30.5%
46
69.5%
Q3 - 10:36MIAMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 246
31.5%
45
68.5%
Q3 - 10:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)46
30.4%
45
69.6%
Q3 - 10:43OKCMISS Ibaka 14' Jump Shot46
31.3%
45
68.7%
Q3 - 10:54OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
33.6%
45
66.4%
Q3 - 10:55MIAMISS Dampier 9' Hook Shot46
32.6%
45
67.4%
Q3 - 11:13OKCWestbrook Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)46
30.0%
45
70.0%
Q3 - 11:16MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)46
33.1%
45
66.9%
Q3 - 11:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)46
30.0%
45
70.0%
Q3 - 11:40OKCMISS Sefolosha 3' Layup46
30.9%
45
69.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0OKC46
33.2%
45
66.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0OKCThunder Rebound46
33.2%
45
66.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0OKCMISS Maynor 43' 3PT Jump Shot46
30.9%
45
69.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0OKCHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
32.4%
45
67.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 146
32.1%
45
67.9%
Q2 - 0:14.0OKCMaynor 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Durant 4 AST)46
36.1%
43
63.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0OKCThunder Rebound43
29.6%
43
70.4%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup43
28.9%
43
71.1%
Q2 - 0:40.0OKCThunder Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)43
27.4%
43
72.6%
Q2 - 1:07MIAJames 2' Driving Dunk (13 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)43
29.3%
43
70.7%
Q2 - 1:11OKCAnthony STEAL (1 STL)43
32.8%
41
67.2%
Q2 - 1:25MIAJames 3' Reverse Dunk (11 PTS)43
34.9%
41
65.1%
Q2 - 1:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
38.8%
39
61.2%
Q2 - 1:36OKCMISS Durant 20' Jump Shot43
39.5%
39
60.5%
Q2 - 1:53MIABosh 2' Putback Dunk (14 PTS)43
41.1%
39
58.9%
Q2 - 1:54MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
45.2%
37
54.8%
Q2 - 1:55MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup43
46.8%
37
53.2%
Q2 - 1:59MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
45.2%
37
54.8%
Q2 - 2:00OKCMISS Ibaka 17' Jump Shot43
45.9%
37
54.1%
Q2 - 2:23MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)43
47.1%
37
52.9%
Q2 - 2:37MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)43
50.3%
35
49.7%
Q2 - 2:38MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot43
52.5%
35
47.5%
Q2 - 2:59OKCWestbrook Foul Turnover (P2.T4)43
50.3%
35
49.7%
Q2 - 3:07OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)43
52.6%
35
47.4%
Q2 - 3:08OKCMISS Westbrook 22' Jump Shot43
50.1%
35
49.9%
Q2 - 3:36MIAAnthony 3' Tip Shot (2 PTS)43
52.7%
35
47.3%
Q2 - 3:37MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
55.2%
33
44.8%
Q2 - 3:38MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot43
57.7%
33
42.3%
Q2 - 4:02OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
54.0%
33
46.0%
Q2 - 4:02OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
53.5%
33
46.5%
Q2 - 4:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)41
51.3%
33
48.7%
Q2 - 4:37OKCDurant 3' Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Westbrook 5 AST)41
57.1%
30
42.9%
Q2 - 4:50OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
54.4%
30
45.6%
Q2 - 4:51MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 139
54.0%
30
46.0%
Q2 - 5:03MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Ibaka: Tip to Bibby39
56.3%
28
43.7%
Q2 - 5:04OKCMISS Harden 3PT Jump Shot39
57.2%
28
42.8%
Q2 - 5:23MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)39
59.2%
28
40.8%
Q2 - 5:40OKCDurant 3' Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Westbrook 4 AST)39
62.0%
26
38.0%
Q2 - 5:50OKCThunder Rebound37
59.2%
26
40.8%
Q2 - 5:51MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
58.3%
26
41.7%
Q2 - 6:05OKCDurant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Westbrook 3 AST)37
54.8%
26
45.2%
Q2 - 6:18OKCThunder Rebound34
49.7%
26
50.3%
Q2 - 6:19MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
48.7%
26
51.3%
Q2 - 6:36MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
46.4%
26
53.6%
Q2 - 6:37OKCMISS Durant 21' Jump Shot34
47.4%
26
52.6%
Q2 - 7:05MIABosh 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS)34
48.4%
26
51.6%
Q2 - 7:14OKCMiller STEAL (1 STL)34
51.1%
24
48.9%
Q2 - 7:18OKCHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
54.0%
24
46.0%
Q2 - 7:19OKCMISS Harden 3' Reverse Layup34
52.0%
24
48.0%
Q2 - 7:30MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)34
54.1%
24
45.9%
Q2 - 7:43OKCCook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Westbrook 2 AST)34
51.2%
24
48.8%
Q2 - 8:00MIAWade 5' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
45.8%
24
54.2%
Q2 - 8:11OKCWade STEAL (1 STL)31
47.3%
22
52.7%
Q2 - 8:29MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)31
50.1%
22
49.9%
Q2 - 8:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
52.8%
20
47.2%
Q2 - 8:44OKCMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
53.6%
20
46.4%
Q2 - 9:06OKCMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)31
54.2%
20
45.8%
Q2 - 9:07MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
53.4%
20
46.6%
Q2 - 9:19MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
51.6%
20
48.4%
Q2 - 9:20OKCBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)31
52.4%
20
47.6%
Q2 - 9:40OKCThunder Rebound31
54.3%
20
45.7%
Q2 - 9:41MIAMISS Bosh 11' Turnaround Jump Shot31
53.5%
20
46.5%
Q2 - 9:56OKCHarden Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)31
51.6%
20
48.4%
Q2 - 10:07MIABibby Foul Turnover (P1.T4)28
46.1%
20
53.9%
Q2 - 10:20OKCMohammed 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)28
43.3%
20
56.7%
Q2 - 10:21OKCMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
41.1%
20
58.9%
Q2 - 10:22OKCMISS Mohammed 2' Layup26
39.2%
20
60.8%
Q2 - 10:23OKCMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
41.1%
20
58.9%
Q2 - 10:24OKCMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
39.2%
20
60.8%
Q2 - 10:32OKCMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
41.1%
20
58.9%
Q2 - 10:33MIAMISS James 8' Turnaround Jump Shot26
40.2%
20
59.8%
Q2 - 10:49MIAHEAT Rebound26
38.4%
20
61.6%
Q2 - 10:50OKCMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
39.2%
20
60.8%
Q2 - 11:02OKCCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
40.7%
20
59.3%
Q2 - 11:03MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot26
39.9%
20
60.1%
Q2 - 11:17OKCHarden 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)26
38.1%
20
61.9%
Q2 - 11:33MIAMagloire 3' Layup (3 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)24
36.0%
20
64.0%
Q2 - 11:46MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
38.2%
18
61.8%
Q2 - 11:47OKCMISS Mohammed 15' Jump Shot24
38.9%
18
61.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
40.7%
18
59.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound24
38.2%
18
61.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 12' Jump Shot24
39.9%
18
60.1%
Q1 - 0:18.0OKCMohammed 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)24
37.7%
18
62.3%
Q1 - 0:33.0OKCThunder Rebound22
35.1%
18
64.9%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
34.5%
18
65.5%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
33.3%
18
66.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0OKCMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
33.8%
18
66.2%
Q1 - 1:01MIABibby 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)22
34.5%
18
65.5%
Q1 - 1:19MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
37.3%
16
62.7%
Q1 - 1:20OKCMISS Mohammed 15' Jump Shot22
37.7%
16
62.3%
Q1 - 1:33OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
38.9%
16
61.1%
Q1 - 1:34MIAMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot22
38.4%
16
61.6%
Q1 - 1:49MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
37.3%
16
62.7%
Q1 - 1:50OKCMISS Mohammed 11' Jump Shot22
37.8%
16
62.2%
Q1 - 2:12OKCMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
38.9%
16
61.1%
Q1 - 2:13MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 222
38.6%
16
61.4%
Q1 - 2:13MIAMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
37.6%
16
62.4%
Q1 - 2:13MIAHEAT Rebound22
39.1%
15
60.9%
Q1 - 2:14OKCMISS Collison 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup22
39.7%
15
60.3%
Q1 - 2:36OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
41.1%
15
58.9%
Q1 - 2:37MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot22
40.5%
15
59.5%
Q1 - 3:02OKCDurant 3' Jump Shot (7 PTS)22
38.4%
15
61.6%
Q1 - 3:14OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)20
36.4%
15
63.6%
Q1 - 3:15MIAMISS Wade 7' Floating Jump Shot20
35.7%
15
64.3%
Q1 - 3:35MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
34.2%
15
65.8%
Q1 - 3:36OKCMISS Westbrook 4' Driving Jump Shot20
34.9%
15
65.1%
Q1 - 3:50OKCHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
36.4%
15
63.6%
Q1 - 3:51MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot20
35.7%
15
64.3%
Q1 - 3:55MIAHEAT Rebound20
34.3%
15
65.7%
Q1 - 3:56MIAMISS Magloire 4' Jump Shot20
35.7%
15
64.3%
Q1 - 4:08OKCJames STEAL (1 STL)20
33.4%
15
66.6%
Q1 - 4:23MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
35.6%
15
64.4%
Q1 - 4:23MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
35.9%
14
64.1%
Q1 - 4:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
37.5%
13
62.5%
Q1 - 4:28MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
39.1%
13
60.9%
Q1 - 4:49OKCPerkins 5' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Durant 3 AST)20
37.5%
13
62.5%
Q1 - 5:08MIABosh 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)18
35.1%
13
64.9%
Q1 - 5:31OKCWestbrook 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Ibaka 1 AST)18
36.9%
11
63.1%
Q1 - 5:36MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)16
35.1%
11
64.9%
Q1 - 5:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
33.0%
11
67.0%
Q1 - 5:40MIAMISS Bosh 8' Jump Shot16
34.5%
11
65.5%
Q1 - 6:03OKCSefolosha 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Durant 2 AST)16
32.5%
11
67.5%
Q1 - 6:18OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
29.0%
11
71.0%
Q1 - 6:19MIAMISS James 11' Fadeaway Jumper13
28.5%
11
71.5%
Q1 - 6:47OKCDurant 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)13
27.3%
11
72.7%
Q1 - 6:50OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
24.2%
11
75.8%
Q1 - 6:51OKCDampier BLOCK (2 BLK)10
23.1%
11
76.9%
Q1 - 6:52OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
24.2%
11
75.8%
Q1 - 6:53OKCMISS Westbrook 4' Driving Layup10
23.1%
11
76.9%
Q1 - 7:22MIAJames 3' Layup (7 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)10
23.9%
11
76.1%
Q1 - 7:25MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
25.3%
9
74.7%
Q1 - 7:26OKCDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)10
25.8%
9
74.2%
Q1 - 7:37OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
27.0%
9
73.0%
Q1 - 7:38MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot10
26.5%
9
73.5%
Q1 - 7:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
25.3%
9
74.7%
Q1 - 7:47OKCMISS Ibaka 20' Jump Shot10
25.8%
9
74.2%
Q1 - 8:03MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)10
26.6%
9
73.4%
Q1 - 8:06MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
29.9%
6
70.1%
Q1 - 8:07OKCMISS Westbrook 16' Jump Shot10
30.4%
6
69.6%
Q1 - 8:13OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
31.5%
6
68.5%
Q1 - 8:15MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup10
31.0%
6
69.0%
Q1 - 8:37OKCWestbrook 3' Running Dunk (2 PTS)10
29.9%
6
70.1%
Q1 - 8:42MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
28.2%
6
71.8%
Q1 - 8:56OKCDurant 3' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Westbrook 1 AST)8
26.7%
6
73.3%
Q1 - 9:01MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
25.0%
6
75.0%
Q1 - 9:14OKCPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
23.6%
6
76.4%
Q1 - 9:14OKCPerkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
23.2%
6
76.8%
Q1 - 9:14OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
22.3%
6
77.7%
Q1 - 9:15OKCMISS Durant 20' Jump Shot4
21.4%
6
78.6%
Q1 - 9:31MIABosh 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)4
22.3%
6
77.7%
Q1 - 9:55OKCSefolosha 3' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Durant 1 AST)4
23.6%
4
76.4%
Q1 - 9:59OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.3%
4
77.7%
Q1 - 10:01MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Dunk2
21.9%
4
78.1%
Q1 - 10:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
21.0%
4
79.0%
Q1 - 10:17OKCMISS Westbrook 12' Jump Shot2
21.4%
4
78.6%
Q1 - 10:23OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
22.4%
4
77.6%
Q1 - 10:24MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot2
21.9%
4
78.1%
Q1 - 10:50OKCIbaka 2' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
21.0%
4
79.0%
Q1 - 10:51OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
20.0%
4
80.0%
Q1 - 10:52OKCMISS Durant 20' Jump Shot0
19.1%
4
80.9%
Q1 - 11:14MIAWade 3' Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)0
19.8%
4
80.2%
Q1 - 11:18MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.0%
2
79.0%
Q1 - 11:19OKCMISS Sefolosha 21' Jump Shot0
21.3%
2
78.7%
Q1 - 11:44MIAJames 3' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)0
22.1%
2
77.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Dampier vs. Ibaka: Tip to Chalmers0
23.3%
0
76.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
0.95 47.5%
MIA
0.90 45.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
17
36
47%
MIA
17
27
63%
Midrange
OKC
9
32
28%
MIA
10
34
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
9
13.5
20
45%
68%
MIA
3
4.5
17
18%
26%
Free Throws
OKC
17
22
77%
MIA
22
28
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Durant2966%14.5 / 22
R. Westbrook1845%9.0 / 20
J. Harden1246%6.0 / 13
T. Sefolosha850%4.0 / 8
S. Ibaka633%3.0 / 9
N. Mohammed630%3.0 / 10
D. Cook675%3.0 / 4
K. Perkins4100%2.0 / 2
N. Collison440%2.0 / 5
E. Maynor338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2144%10.5 / 24
C. Bosh2148%10.5 / 22
L. James1943%9.5 / 22
M. Bibby1063%5.0 / 8
J. Anthony6100%3.0 / 3
J. Magloire350%1.5 / 3
M. Miller233%1.0 / 3
J. Howard250%1.0 / 2
E. Dampier125%0.5 / 2
M. Chalmers0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

OKC
79
+21
-11
100
MIA
81
+13
-11
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
0.95 47.5%
MIA
0.90 45.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.8
111.4
OKC 106.7
MIA 92.4 +14.3
Pace
93.1
91.3
OKC 87.7
MIA 94.6 +6.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
16.2
OKC 16.4
MIA 15.2 +1.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
52.4%
OKC 44.9% +4.5%
MIA 40.4%
TO %
14.2%
14.4%
OKC 12.5%
MIA 11.7% +0.8%
ORB %
27.4%
25.2%
OKC 35.4% +14.5%
MIA 20.9%
FTrt
36.3
36.3
OKC 25.0
MIA 35.9 +10.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.5%
54.1%
OKC 60.0% +13.3%
MIA 46.7%
STL %
8.4%
7.3%
OKC 7.8% +2.4%
MIA 5.4%
BLK %
8.9%
8.5%
OKC 6.6%
MIA 11.8% +5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
55.7%
OKC 47.5% +2.3%
MIA 45.2%
Rim FG%
61.9%
64.7%
OKC 47.2%
MIA 63.0% +15.8%
Mid FG%
39.2%
42.2%
OKC 28.1%
MIA 29.4% +1.3%
3P %
34.7%
37.0%
OKC 45.0% +27.4%
MIA 17.6%
FT %
82.4%
76.9%
OKC 77.3%
MIA 78.6% +1.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.9%
31.6%
OKC 40.9% +6.3%
MIA 34.6%
Mid Att. %
42.9%
44.9%
OKC 36.4% +7.2%
MIA 43.6%
3P Att. %
21.2%
23.5%
OKC 22.7% +0.9%
MIA 21.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsOKCMIA
Possessions9092
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points9685
Rebounds5140
Assists2114
Steals75
Blocks48
Turnovers (Team)11 (3)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)17 (4)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (5)31 (3)
Field Goals35-8830-78
At-the-Rim FG17-3617-27
Midrange FG9-3210-34
2-Point FG26-6827-61
3-Point FG9-203-17
Free Throws17-2222-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 240 · 22
39.8
29
66%
7
6
1
1
1
4
1
6
3-4
75%
10-18
56%
2-3
67%
G · 6'3" 200 · 22
33.2
18
45%
1
5
2
0
6
3
0
1
7-8
88%
4-15
27%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 235 · 21
30.6
6
33%
12
1
2
3
0
3
6
6
0-1
0%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 220 · 27
22.9
8
50%
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
4
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 270 · 26
18.5
4
100%
5
0
1
0
0
6
2
3
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 220 · 22
28.1
12
46%
3
2
0
0
2
3
1
2
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
2-8
25%
F · 6'10" 255 · 30
26.6
4
40%
5
4
1
0
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 250 · 34
15.5
6
30%
9
0
0
0
0
1
4
5
0-0
-
3-10
30%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 175 · 24
14.8
3
38%
1
2
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 210 · 24
10.0
6
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-4
50%
C · 6'11" 253 · 22
G · 6'4" 200 · 29
#3 · G · 5'9" 180 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#23 · C · 7'0" 275 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
48%
51
21
7
4
11
0
17
34
17-22
77%
26-68
38%
9-20
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.