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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 16, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Thunder28%9296
1Heat72%9985
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.5
39.8
31.9
29
64%
7
6
1
1
1
1
1
6
3-4
75%
10-18
5-11
56%
49%
2-3
67%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.3
33.2
28.1
18
46%
1
5
2
1
0
6
0
1
7-8
88%
4-15
6-13
27%
44%
1-1
100%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.5
30.6
26.6
6
32%
12
1
2
0
3
0
6
6
0-1
0%
3-9
4-8
33%
53%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.9
22.9
22.5
8
52%
6
1
0
1
0
0
2
4
3-4
75%
1-4
1-2
25%
49%
1-2
50%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 26.3
18.5
16.4
4
106%
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.6
28.1
26.4
12
45%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-3
67%
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
2-8
25%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.4
26.6
22.1
4
40%
5
4
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
53%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.5
15.5
20.7
6
30%
9
0
0
0
0
0
4
5
0-0
-
3-10
3-7
30%
49%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.8
14.8
18.8
3
38%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.9
10.0
18.4
6
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
37%
2-4
50%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.4
8.1
0
0-1
49%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.2
5.9
0
0-1
40%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 26.8
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.2
40.5
36.5
21
42%
6
2
1
2
1
2
2
4
6-9
67%
6-16
9-16
38%
53%
1-5
20%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 26.2
39.5
37.1
19
43%
8
3
1
1
1
1
0
8
3-3
100%
8-18
8-14
44%
55%
0-3
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27.0
39.1
34.0
21
49%
11
1
0
1
2
3
3
8
9-10
90%
6-15
6-12
40%
52%
0-2
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.8
22.5
26.7
0
0%
2
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.7
13.7
15.3
1
27%
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
60%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.8
26.1
16.8
10
63%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.6
21.9
13.5
6
104%
4
1
1
0
2
0
3
1
2-2
100%
2-2
0-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.1
17.9
20.2
2
33%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
0-2
0%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.8
9.4
13.0
3
52%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.1
8.9
10.8
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.4
0.6
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.8
6.1
0
0-1
45%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.0
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.8
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.