FinalWin Prob.pScore
855%99
102
1645%97
87
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
113.39097.2
ATL logo ATL
98.98881.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENATL
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN102
100%
87
0%
Q4 - 0:18.0DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)102
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0ATLMISS Teague 9' Floating Jump Shot102
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0DENFelton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)102
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0ATLPachulia 15' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)102
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:09ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)102
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:10DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:34DENFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)102
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35ATLMISS Teague 24' 3PT Jump Shot102
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:38ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)102
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40ATLMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot102
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46DENSmith 1' Running Dunk (15 PTS) (Felton 6 AST)102
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:49DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)100
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:51ATLMISS Pachulia 1' Driving Dunk100
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:03DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)100
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:03DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)99
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:20ATLPachulia Driving Layup (17 PTS)98
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:32ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)98
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 2:33DENSmith BLOCK (3 BLK)98
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 2:47ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)98
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 2:47ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 298
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 3:04DENFelton 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)98
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 3:16ATLPachulia 1' Putback Layup (15 PTS)96
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 3:17ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)96
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 3:18ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 3:36DENSmith 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)96
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 4:02ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)93
99.6%
80
0.4%
Q4 - 4:17DENSmith 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS)93
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 4:40DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
99.7%
77
0.3%
Q4 - 4:42ATLMISS Johnson 5' Jump Shot91
99.7%
77
0.3%
Q4 - 4:59DENFelton 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)91
99.6%
77
0.4%
Q4 - 5:08DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
98.9%
77
1.1%
Q4 - 5:10ATLMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot89
98.7%
77
1.3%
Q4 - 5:29DENNene 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (18 PTS)89
98.4%
77
1.6%
Q4 - 5:44ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)87
97.9%
77
2.1%
Q4 - 5:44ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)87
98.0%
76
2.0%
Q4 - 6:07DENNene Running Layup (16 PTS) (Felton 5 AST)87
97.7%
75
2.3%
Q4 - 6:12ATLPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)85
97.0%
75
3.0%
Q4 - 6:23DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)85
95.9%
75
4.1%
Q4 - 6:38ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)82
92.9%
75
7.1%
Q4 - 6:51DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)82
94.5%
73
5.5%
Q4 - 7:04DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
89.1%
73
10.9%
Q4 - 7:04ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot79
88.2%
73
11.8%
Q4 - 7:25DENJohnson STEAL (2 STL)79
85.9%
73
14.1%
Q4 - 7:39ATLSmith Layup (10 PTS) (Horford 6 AST)79
89.2%
73
10.8%
Q4 - 7:54DENHarrington Driving Dunk (9 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)79
91.5%
71
8.5%
Q4 - 8:05DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)77
87.6%
71
12.4%
Q4 - 8:07DENMISS Felton 20' Jump Shot77
85.6%
71
14.4%
Q4 - 8:14ATLWilkins Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)77
87.7%
71
12.3%
Q4 - 8:38DENSmith 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)77
84.8%
71
15.2%
Q4 - 8:53ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)75
81.1%
71
18.9%
Q4 - 8:53ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)75
82.1%
70
17.9%
Q4 - 9:16DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Felton 4 AST)75
83.4%
69
16.6%
Q4 - 9:27ATLSmith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)72
75.6%
69
24.4%
Q4 - 9:35ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
71.0%
69
29.0%
Q4 - 9:36ATLMISS Smith 23' Jump Shot72
74.3%
69
25.7%
Q4 - 9:50ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
71.0%
69
29.0%
Q4 - 9:52DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
72.5%
69
27.5%
Q4 - 10:07ATLPachulia 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Wilkins 1 AST)72
74.7%
69
25.3%
Q4 - 10:08ATLWilkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)72
78.7%
67
21.3%
Q4 - 10:11ATLMISS Crawford 20' Fadeaway Jumper72
81.2%
67
18.8%
Q4 - 10:22ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)72
78.7%
67
21.3%
Q4 - 10:25DENMISS Andersen 2' Layup72
79.9%
67
20.1%
Q4 - 10:38ATLCrawford 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)72
82.3%
67
17.7%
Q4 - 10:45ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)72
85.4%
65
14.6%
Q4 - 10:47ATLMISS Smith 3' Putback Layup72
87.3%
65
12.7%
Q4 - 10:49ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)72
85.4%
65
14.6%
Q4 - 10:51ATLMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot72
87.3%
65
12.7%
Q4 - 11:23ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
84.3%
65
15.7%
Q4 - 11:24DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 272
84.7%
65
15.3%
Q4 - 11:24DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 272
86.3%
65
13.7%
Q4 - 11:24DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
87.0%
65
13.0%
Q4 - 11:24DENMISS Felton 1' Driving Layup72
85.2%
65
14.8%
Q4 - 11:37ATLCrawford 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)72
87.0%
65
13.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL72
89.3%
63
10.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound72
89.3%
63
10.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Crawford 21' Jump Shot72
89.7%
63
10.3%
Q3 - 0:10.0DENHarrington Putback Layup (7 PTS)72
88.4%
63
11.6%
Q3 - 0:10.0DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
85.9%
63
14.1%
Q3 - 0:12.0DENMISS Chandler 20' Jump Shot70
84.3%
63
15.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0ATLWilliams 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Horford 5 AST)70
86.0%
63
14.0%
Q3 - 0:43.0DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)70
88.5%
61
11.5%
Q3 - 0:43.0DENMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 269
88.1%
61
11.9%
Q3 - 0:46.0DENFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
88.3%
61
11.7%
Q3 - 0:48.0ATLMISS Williams 7' Driving Jump Shot69
87.7%
61
12.3%
Q3 - 0:55.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
86.2%
61
13.8%
Q3 - 0:56.0DENMISS Felton 3' Driving Layup69
86.9%
61
13.1%
Q3 - 1:13ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)69
87.5%
61
12.5%
Q3 - 1:30DENChandler 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Felton 3 AST)69
89.7%
59
10.3%
Q3 - 1:46DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
87.6%
59
12.4%
Q3 - 1:47ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
87.0%
59
13.0%
Q3 - 2:11DENChandler Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P5.T10)67
84.4%
59
15.6%
Q3 - 2:28ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)67
86.7%
59
13.3%
Q3 - 2:56DENMartin 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)67
90.5%
56
9.5%
Q3 - 3:21ATLPachulia 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)65
88.2%
56
11.8%
Q3 - 3:48DENAfflalo 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lawson 10 AST)65
89.9%
54
10.1%
Q3 - 3:54DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
88.2%
54
11.8%
Q3 - 3:55ATLMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot63
87.6%
54
12.4%
Q3 - 4:05ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
85.3%
54
14.7%
Q3 - 4:07DENMISS Afflalo 17' Jump Shot63
86.1%
54
13.9%
Q3 - 4:17DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)63
87.7%
54
12.3%
Q3 - 4:19ATLMISS Horford 11' Turnaround Jump Shot63
87.1%
54
12.9%
Q3 - 4:33ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
85.4%
54
14.6%
Q3 - 4:35DENMISS Martin 6' Turnaround Jump Shot63
86.1%
54
13.9%
Q3 - 4:50ATLCrawford 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)63
87.8%
54
12.2%
Q3 - 5:08DENChandler 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lawson 9 AST)63
88.4%
52
11.6%
Q3 - 5:35ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)61
86.8%
52
13.2%
Q3 - 5:35ATLHAWKS Rebound61
84.5%
52
15.5%
Q3 - 5:35ATLMISS Crawford 27' 3PT Jump Shot61
86.1%
52
13.9%
Q3 - 6:07DENLawson Foul Turnover (P1.T9)61
83.8%
52
16.2%
Q3 - 6:12DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)61
86.1%
52
13.9%
Q3 - 6:13ATLMISS Hinrich 20' Jump Shot61
85.4%
52
14.6%
Q3 - 6:27DENAfflalo 2' Running Layup (10 PTS) (Lawson 8 AST)61
83.9%
52
16.1%
Q3 - 6:31ATLPachulia Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)59
81.8%
52
18.2%
Q3 - 6:52ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
79.0%
52
21.0%
Q3 - 6:53DENMISS Afflalo 19' Jump Shot59
79.9%
52
20.1%
Q3 - 7:05ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)59
80.7%
52
19.3%
Q3 - 7:18ATLHAWKS Rebound59
85.0%
49
15.0%
Q3 - 7:18DENMISS Nene 2' Driving Reverse Layup59
85.6%
49
14.4%
Q3 - 7:34ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)59
87.0%
49
13.0%
Q3 - 7:54DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)59
85.1%
49
14.9%
Q3 - 7:54DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)58
84.6%
49
15.4%
Q3 - 8:10ATLHinrich 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)57
82.7%
49
17.3%
Q3 - 8:26DENChandler 3' Layup (9 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)57
86.5%
46
13.5%
Q3 - 8:35DENAfflalo Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)55
84.7%
46
15.3%
Q3 - 8:49ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)54
82.7%
46
17.3%
Q3 - 8:58ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
84.6%
44
15.4%
Q3 - 8:59DENMISS Martin 17' Jump Shot54
85.2%
44
14.8%
Q3 - 9:24DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
86.1%
44
13.9%
Q3 - 9:25ATLMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
85.5%
44
14.5%
Q3 - 9:47DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)54
84.2%
44
15.8%
Q3 - 9:55DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
80.0%
44
20.0%
Q3 - 9:56DENMISS Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
78.2%
44
21.8%
Q3 - 10:17DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
79.5%
44
20.5%
Q3 - 10:19ATLMISS Hinrich Free Throw 2 of 251
79.2%
44
20.8%
Q3 - 10:19ATLMISS Hinrich Free Throw 1 of 251
77.4%
44
22.6%
Q3 - 10:26ATLHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
77.0%
44
23.0%
Q3 - 10:27DENMISS Chandler 17' Jump Shot51
77.8%
44
22.2%
Q3 - 10:33DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)51
79.5%
44
20.5%
Q3 - 10:34ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
78.8%
44
21.2%
Q3 - 10:56DENChandler 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)51
77.0%
44
23.0%
Q3 - 11:14ATLHinrich 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)48
71.5%
44
28.5%
Q3 - 11:43DENNene 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)48
74.0%
42
26.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL46
71.5%
42
28.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)46
68.4%
42
31.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
64.9%
42
35.1%
Q2 - 0:04.0DENTeague BLOCK (1 BLK)44
63.3%
42
36.7%
Q2 - 0:22.0ATLWilliams 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)44
64.9%
42
35.1%
Q2 - 0:43.0DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
68.5%
40
31.5%
Q2 - 0:43.0DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)43
67.9%
40
32.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0ATLPachulia Putback Layup (9 PTS)42
65.0%
40
35.0%
Q2 - 0:48.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
68.5%
38
31.5%
Q2 - 0:50.0ATLMISS Teague 10' Floating Jump Shot42
70.1%
38
29.9%
Q2 - 1:14DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)42
68.5%
38
31.5%
Q2 - 1:17DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
61.8%
38
38.2%
Q2 - 1:19ATLMISS Johnson 4' Driving Jump Shot39
61.1%
38
38.9%
Q2 - 1:35DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)39
59.6%
38
40.4%
Q2 - 1:35DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 238
58.7%
38
41.3%
Q2 - 1:47ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)38
58.7%
38
41.3%
Q2 - 1:47ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)38
59.3%
37
40.7%
Q2 - 1:51DENTeague STEAL (2 STL)38
62.7%
36
37.3%
Q2 - 2:20DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
65.1%
36
34.9%
Q2 - 2:21ATLMISS Johnson 29' 3PT Jump Shot38
64.2%
36
35.8%
Q2 - 2:49DENAfflalo 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)38
62.1%
36
37.9%
Q2 - 2:53DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
59.1%
36
40.9%
Q2 - 2:55ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
58.1%
36
41.9%
Q2 - 3:02ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
56.1%
36
43.9%
Q2 - 3:04DENMISS Chandler 1' Running Layup36
57.1%
36
42.9%
Q2 - 3:09DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)36
59.6%
36
40.4%
Q2 - 3:11ATLMISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot36
58.5%
36
41.5%
Q2 - 3:31DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
56.0%
36
44.0%
Q2 - 3:31DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 235
55.4%
36
44.6%
Q2 - 3:34ATLHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)35
56.6%
36
43.4%
Q2 - 3:52DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)35
52.9%
36
47.1%
Q2 - 4:05DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
50.4%
36
49.6%
Q2 - 4:06ATLMISS Teague 18' Jump Shot33
49.4%
36
50.6%
Q2 - 4:17DENFelton 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)33
47.1%
36
52.9%
Q2 - 4:29ATLSmith 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)31
44.4%
36
55.6%
Q2 - 4:37ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
47.1%
34
52.9%
Q2 - 4:38DENMISS Nene 2' Running Layup31
48.1%
34
51.9%
Q2 - 4:49DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
50.4%
34
49.6%
Q2 - 4:50ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot31
49.4%
34
50.6%
Q2 - 5:08DENChandler Traveling Turnover (P4.T7)31
47.8%
34
52.2%
Q2 - 5:12DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
50.7%
34
49.3%
Q2 - 5:13ATLMISS Crawford 3PT Jump Shot31
49.8%
34
50.2%
Q2 - 5:29DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)31
47.7%
34
52.3%
Q2 - 5:29DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)30
47.0%
34
53.0%
Q2 - 5:47DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)29
44.7%
34
55.3%
Q2 - 5:50ATLMISS Crawford 18' Fadeaway Jumper29
43.9%
34
56.1%
Q2 - 6:17DENHarrington 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)29
42.0%
34
58.0%
Q2 - 6:21ATLHinrich Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)27
39.7%
34
60.3%
Q2 - 6:25DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)27
36.6%
34
63.4%
Q2 - 6:37DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
31.9%
34
68.1%
Q2 - 6:38ATLMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
31.0%
34
69.0%
Q2 - 6:50DENChandler Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)24
29.1%
34
70.9%
Q2 - 7:06DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
32.5%
34
67.5%
Q2 - 7:08ATLMISS Williams 8' Turnaround Jump Shot24
31.7%
34
68.3%
Q2 - 7:19DENNene 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)24
30.0%
34
70.0%
Q2 - 7:35ATLCrawford 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)22
27.8%
34
72.2%
Q2 - 7:40ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)22
32.3%
31
67.7%
Q2 - 7:41DENPachulia BLOCK (1 BLK)22
33.1%
31
66.9%
Q2 - 7:52ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)22
35.0%
31
65.0%
Q2 - 7:58ATLHAWKS Rebound22
32.3%
31
67.7%
Q2 - 7:58ATLMISS Hinrich 6' Jump Shot22
34.1%
31
65.9%
Q2 - 8:17DENFelton Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)22
33.3%
31
66.7%
Q2 - 8:36ATLCrawford 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
35.7%
31
64.3%
Q2 - 8:43ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
38.2%
29
61.8%
Q2 - 8:44DENMISS Smith 20' Fadeaway Jumper22
39.0%
29
61.0%
Q2 - 9:13ATLCrawford 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)22
41.2%
29
58.8%
Q2 - 9:21DENHinrich STEAL (1 STL)22
43.7%
27
56.3%
Q2 - 9:39ATLHinrich 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
46.4%
27
53.6%
Q2 - 9:50ATLHAWKS Rebound22
48.9%
25
51.1%
Q2 - 9:51ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot22
50.8%
25
49.2%
Q2 - 10:13DENFelton 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
48.7%
25
51.3%
Q2 - 10:24ATLSmith Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)20
46.4%
25
53.6%
Q2 - 10:28DENCrawford STEAL (1 STL)20
48.7%
23
51.3%
Q2 - 10:43ATLPachulia 3' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)20
51.6%
23
48.4%
Q2 - 10:57ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
53.9%
21
46.1%
Q2 - 10:59DENSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)20
54.7%
21
45.3%
Q2 - 11:18ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)20
56.5%
21
43.5%
Q2 - 11:18ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 220
57.0%
20
43.0%
Q2 - 11:45DENHarrington 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)20
56.3%
20
43.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN17
51.5%
20
48.5%
Q1 - 0:19.0DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
51.2%
20
48.8%
Q1 - 0:22.0ATLMISS Williams 4' Driving Jump Shot17
50.6%
20
49.4%
Q1 - 0:40.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
49.2%
20
50.8%
Q1 - 0:42.0DENMISS Felton 21' Jump Shot17
49.8%
20
50.2%
Q1 - 1:01ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
51.5%
20
48.5%
Q1 - 1:01ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
51.8%
19
48.2%
Q1 - 1:08ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
54.5%
18
45.5%
Q1 - 1:09DENMISS Smith 6' Driving Jump Shot17
55.0%
18
45.0%
Q1 - 1:31ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)17
56.2%
18
43.8%
Q1 - 1:57DENChandler 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Felton 2 AST)17
59.1%
16
40.9%
Q1 - 2:21ATLPachulia 15' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)15
56.5%
16
43.5%
Q1 - 2:34ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
59.0%
14
41.0%
Q1 - 2:36DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
59.6%
14
40.4%
Q1 - 2:48ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
61.0%
14
39.0%
Q1 - 2:48ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
61.5%
13
38.5%
Q1 - 3:03DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)15
63.3%
12
36.7%
Q1 - 3:03DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 214
62.5%
12
37.5%
Q1 - 3:17DENNuggets Rebound14
63.4%
12
36.6%
Q1 - 3:17ATLMISS Horford 5' Turnaround Hook Shot14
62.7%
12
37.3%
Q1 - 3:40DENMartin Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)14
61.2%
12
38.8%
Q1 - 3:46DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
59.1%
12
40.9%
Q1 - 3:47ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
58.4%
12
41.6%
Q1 - 4:06ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
56.7%
12
43.3%
Q1 - 4:07DENMISS Felton 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
57.4%
12
42.6%
Q1 - 4:10DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
59.0%
12
41.0%
Q1 - 4:11DENMISS Martin 20' Fadeaway Jumper12
57.4%
12
42.6%
Q1 - 4:29ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)12
59.0%
12
41.0%
Q1 - 4:45ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
63.1%
9
36.9%
Q1 - 4:46DENMISS Nene 19' Jump Shot12
63.8%
9
36.2%
Q1 - 5:06ATLTeague 1' Layup (2 PTS)12
64.8%
9
35.2%
Q1 - 5:10DENTeague STEAL (1 STL)12
66.5%
7
33.5%
Q1 - 5:11DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)12
68.6%
7
31.4%
Q1 - 5:13ATLMISS Teague 12' Jump Shot12
68.0%
7
32.0%
Q1 - 5:40DENAfflalo 1' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)12
66.6%
7
33.4%
Q1 - 5:46DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
64.9%
7
35.1%
Q1 - 5:48ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot10
64.2%
7
35.8%
Q1 - 6:09DENMartin 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)10
62.6%
7
37.4%
Q1 - 6:23ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)8
60.7%
7
39.3%
Q1 - 6:49ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
64.5%
4
35.5%
Q1 - 6:52DENMISS Chandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
65.2%
4
34.8%
Q1 - 7:17ATLSmith 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)8
66.4%
4
33.6%
Q1 - 7:22ATLHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
68.0%
2
32.0%
Q1 - 7:23DENHinrich BLOCK (1 BLK)8
68.6%
2
31.4%
Q1 - 7:36DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
69.9%
2
30.1%
Q1 - 7:38ATLMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot8
69.4%
2
30.6%
Q1 - 7:49ATLHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
68.0%
2
32.0%
Q1 - 7:50DENMISS Lawson 19' Jump Shot8
68.6%
2
31.4%
Q1 - 8:01DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
69.8%
2
30.2%
Q1 - 8:02ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
68.2%
2
31.8%
Q1 - 8:02ATLMISS Smith 1' Putback Layup8
69.3%
2
30.7%
Q1 - 8:04ATLMISS Teague 2' Layup8
69.3%
2
30.7%
Q1 - 8:07ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
68.2%
2
31.8%
Q1 - 8:10DENSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)8
68.7%
2
31.3%
Q1 - 8:12DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
69.8%
2
30.2%
Q1 - 8:14DENMISS Afflalo 21' Jump Shot8
68.7%
2
31.3%
Q1 - 8:24DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
69.8%
2
30.2%
Q1 - 8:25ATLMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
69.3%
2
30.7%
Q1 - 8:38DENMartin 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)8
68.1%
2
31.9%
Q1 - 8:50ATLHinrich 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)6
66.3%
2
33.7%
Q1 - 9:08DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
68.0%
0
32.0%
Q1 - 9:08DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
67.7%
0
32.3%
Q1 - 9:13DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
66.3%
0
33.7%
Q1 - 9:14ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot4
65.8%
0
34.2%
Q1 - 9:34ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
64.6%
0
35.4%
Q1 - 9:35DENMISS Chandler 17' Jump Shot4
65.1%
0
34.9%
Q1 - 9:42DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
66.3%
0
33.7%
Q1 - 9:43ATLMISS Smith 5' Turnaround Hook Shot4
65.8%
0
34.2%
Q1 - 10:06DENNene 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)4
64.1%
0
35.9%
Q1 - 10:18DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
62.7%
0
37.3%
Q1 - 10:20ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot2
62.1%
0
37.9%
Q1 - 10:31DENJohnson STEAL (1 STL)2
60.7%
0
39.3%
Q1 - 10:37DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
62.7%
0
37.3%
Q1 - 10:38ATLMISS Smith 6' Turnaround Hook Shot2
62.1%
0
37.9%
Q1 - 10:58DENChandler 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
60.7%
0
39.3%
Q1 - 11:04DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw Technical0
59.0%
0
41.0%
Q1 - 11:24ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
59.0%
0
41.0%
Q1 - 11:27ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
57.5%
0
42.5%
Q1 - 11:28DENMISS Nene 8' Turnaround Hook Shot0
58.0%
0
42.0%
Q1 - 11:43DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
59.0%
0
41.0%
Q1 - 11:44ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
58.5%
0
41.5%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Nene: Tip to Teague0
57.5%
0
42.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.20 60.0%
ATL
0.93 46.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
23
34
68%
ATL
13
23
57%
Midrange
DEN
9
25
36%
ATL
16
40
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
ATL
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
Free Throws
DEN
17
24
71%
ATL
14
18
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Nene2063%10.0 / 16
A. Afflalo1583%7.5 / 9
J. Smith1575%7.5 / 10
W. Chandler1458%7.0 / 12
K. Martin1267%6.0 / 9
T. Lawson950%4.5 / 9
A. Harrington975%4.5 / 6
R. Felton840%4.0 / 10
C. Andersen0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Z. Pachulia1986%9.5 / 11
J. Smith1334%6.5 / 19
J. Crawford1350%6.5 / 13
J. Johnson1246%6.0 / 13
M. Williams1045%5.0 / 11
K. Hinrich945%4.5 / 10
A. Horford770%3.5 / 5
J. Teague425%2.0 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
78
+7
-12
85
ATL
80
+12
-8
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.20 60.0%
ATL
0.93 46.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.7
105.9
DEN 113.3
ATL 98.9 +14.5
Pace
95.2
89.5
DEN 97.2 +15.3
ATL 81.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
16.4
DEN 14.8 +2.8
ATL 17.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
50.1%
DEN 58.2% +13.7%
ATL 44.5%
TO %
14.5%
14.2%
DEN 12.6%
ATL 10.0% +2.6%
ORB %
23.8%
23.5%
DEN 20.6% +2.4%
ATL 18.2%
FTrt
36.7
26.9
DEN 32.9 +10.9
ATL 22.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
60.7%
DEN 66.7%
ATL 70.6% +3.9%
STL %
7.7%
6.8%
DEN 4.4%
ATL 6.8% +2.4%
BLK %
6.8%
6.6%
DEN 9.5%
ATL 10.2% +0.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.3%
52.8%
DEN 60.0% +13.7%
ATL 46.3%
Rim FG%
58.5%
60.0%
DEN 67.6% +11.1%
ATL 56.5%
Mid FG%
40.0%
42.5%
DEN 36.0%
ATL 40.0% +4.0%
3P %
38.8%
35.2%
DEN 50.0% +23.7%
ATL 26.3%
FT %
76.6%
78.0%
DEN 70.8%
ATL 77.8% +7.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.5%
30.4%
DEN 46.6% +18.5%
ATL 28.0%
Mid Att. %
31.8%
47.4%
DEN 34.2% +14.5%
ATL 48.8%
3P Att. %
25.8%
22.2%
DEN 19.2%
ATL 23.2% +4.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsDENATL
Possessions9088
Possession Minutes22.225.8
Points10287
Rebounds4335
Assists2624
Steals46
Blocks66
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)8 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (0)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (1)27 (1)
Field Goals39-7334-82
At-the-Rim FG23-3413-23
Midrange FG9-2516-40
2-Point FG32-5929-63
3-Point FG7-145-19
Free Throws17-2414-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 250 · 29
36.0
20
63%
7
2
0
4
2
2
1
6
8-9
89%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 33
33.5
12
67%
7
1
0
0
0
5
0
7
2-3
67%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 24
33.5
14
58%
10
2
0
1
5
1
0
10
1-2
50%
5-9
56%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
29.7
15
83%
2
3
0
0
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
2-2
100%
G · 5'11" 195 · 23
25.6
9
50%
4
10
3
0
1
1
2
2
5-6
83%
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 205 · 27
28.7
8
40%
2
6
1
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-9
44%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26
21.2
15
75%
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
3-5
60%
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
13.2
9
75%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
12.1
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
3
2
1
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 220 · 26
5.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 275 · 25
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 22
0.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#34 · C-F · 6'10" 260 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
60%
43
26
4
6
12
0
7
36
17-24
71%
32-59
54%
7-14
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.