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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 15, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Knicks59%106117
22Pacers41%103119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.8
36.1
33.9
29
63%
9
2
0
1
0
4
2
7
6-7
86%
7-15
7-15
47%
47%
3-5
60%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.1
34.1
26.1
10
71%
6
1
1
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.3
33.6
34.0
21
50%
10
1
0
1
2
2
1
9
7-9
78%
7-17
10-18
41%
53%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 34.5
31.4
31.0
14
55%
0
5
2
1
0
3
0
0
4-4
100%
5-7
2-6
71%
44%
0-4
0%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.7
30.3
27.5
17
67%
3
5
2
1
0
2
2
1
4-6
67%
2-5
2-4
40%
56%
3-5
60%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.0
29.3
28.7
17
69%
3
4
2
1
0
1
1
2
3-3
100%
1-5
3-5
20%
49%
4-6
67%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 29.3
24.9
20.4
4
37%
6
0
2
1
2
1
3
3
0-1
0%
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.5
9.3
14.8
3
38%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 28.2
8.0
15.7
2
33%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
56%
0-0
-
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.4
3.0
7.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-1
0%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 35.7
9.2
0
1-1
46%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.4
6.7
0
1-2
46%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.7
Andy Rautins
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.4
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 25.4
36.8
34.1
30
73%
3
0
2
1
0
2
1
2
6-8
75%
12-17
7-15
71%
47%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 27.9
34.7
32.5
26
59%
7
3
1
1
2
1
1
6
4-5
80%
8-15
5-10
53%
48%
2-5
40%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.6
32.5
30.1
24
79%
3
9
0
1
0
4
0
3
5-5
100%
8-12
4-9
67%
49%
1-1
100%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 24.3
30.9
24.9
15
48%
12
5
0
0
3
3
6
6
5-6
83%
5-13
4-9
38%
49%
0-0
-
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.9
27.5
20.9
5
43%
4
3
3
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
55%
0-1
0%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.7
20.5
25.5
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 34.2
16.3
14.3
3
80%
10
0
0
0
0
0
3
7
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.4
15.5
14.6
4
40%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.2
13.3
19.9
7
44%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
50%
1-2
50%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 24.0
12.1
17.6
5
64%
4
3
1
1
1
1
1
3
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
57%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 34.2
10.9
0
0-0
48%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 20.5
6.5
0
1-2
50%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.7
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 28.0
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.