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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 14, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs38%9580
2Heat62%99110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.8
32.6
31.8
18
49%
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-5
40%
5-14
6-13
36%
51%
2-2
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.6
30.8
30.9
12
52%
6
5
1
1
1
3
1
5
4-6
67%
4-6
4-8
67%
48%
0-3
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.9
30.5
26.8
14
55%
6
1
1
1
0
1
2
4
2-4
50%
6-11
5-10
55%
49%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.7
28.6
28.9
5
36%
5
1
0
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
1-4
25%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.5
28.3
18.3
10
63%
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
48%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.9
29.8
28.7
2
17%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
0-3
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.4
19.3
23.0
8
29%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-6
2-5
0%
48%
2-7
29%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.9
16.4
19.9
4
50%
5
0
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
4-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.9
7.5
20.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.8
7.2
4.2
3
150%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
1-1
100%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22.0
5.1
10.0
2
26%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26.2
3.8
4.4
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 26.2
41.5
35.7
21
50%
6
8
0
1
2
2
0
6
5-5
100%
8-18
7-14
44%
54%
0-1
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.2
39.4
35.7
29
56%
9
4
2
1
2
3
3
6
7-7
100%
11-22
8-15
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27.0
35.7
34.0
30
74%
12
1
2
1
0
2
2
10
10-10
100%
10-16
6-12
63%
51%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.8
30.1
25.0
11
113%
2
5
3
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
49%
2-2
100%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.7
14.8
15.9
2
100%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
59%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.1
20.6
20.3
2
33%
3
6
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-2
0%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.8
20.2
8.1
4
67%
7
1
0
0
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
46%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.6
13.0
13.4
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
50%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.1
12.3
10.0
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.8
9.8
21.6
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-2
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.4
2.7
5.5
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
39%
1-1
100%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.8
7.3
0
0-1
44%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.0
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.8
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.