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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 14, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Celtics57%9679
19Nets43%9388
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 35.6
34.2
33.3
19
66%
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
6-8
4-7
75%
52%
2-6
33%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 25.1
32.1
31.1
2
10%
4
9
1
2
1
4
1
3
0-0
-
1-9
4-8
11%
52%
0-1
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.4
31.5
31.7
7
31%
7
5
2
1
2
2
1
6
3-3
100%
2-8
4-7
25%
52%
0-2
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 34.8
31.3
29.1
18
64%
8
1
1
1
0
2
0
8
0-0
-
9-14
6-11
64%
52%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.6
19.4
28.7
6
50%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 25.2
32.6
14.5
16
47%
14
0
0
0
0
2
5
9
2-2
100%
7-16
2-5
44%
48%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.5
24.9
23.0
7
29%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-10
3-6
30%
49%
0-1
0%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.6
17.1
17.4
4
50%
4
3
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 30.9
9.5
11.5
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 27.3
7.2
14.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.3
5.8
0
1-2
45%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 25.6
2.8
0
0-1
50%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 32.4
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.6
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 39.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 22.9
40.0
37.5
20
58%
5
0
1
1
3
3
3
2
2-3
67%
9-16
8-17
56%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.5
37.7
31.4
15
57%
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
4-5
80%
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
3-8
38%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.1
37.5
34.3
16
51%
15
1
0
1
1
3
5
10
2-4
50%
7-14
5-10
50%
49%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.7
35.9
35.5
16
59%
6
9
3
1
0
3
2
4
4-6
67%
0-5
4-8
0%
49%
4-6
67%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 27.0
14.0
27.5
3
25%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.5
35.3
22.5
12
51%
6
2
0
0
1
0
2
4
2-2
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
44%
2-5
40%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.3
21.0
26.1
0
0%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
0-3
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 25.1
11.4
6.8
0
0%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 24.9
7.2
16.7
6
80%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-4
25%
1-1
2-4
100%
44%
1-1
100%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
6.4
0
1-1
46%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.1
6.2
0
1-2
43%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.4
3.5
0
1-1
50%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.9
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.4
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.