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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 13, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Bucks22%8456
6Celtics78%9487
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 21.5
27.3
28.7
8
43%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-3
33%
2-5
3-8
40%
39%
1-3
33%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.5
26.9
29.5
7
54%
7
0
1
1
2
1
1
6
1-1
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.3
24.6
27.0
8
67%
8
1
1
0
0
3
3
5
0-0
-
4-6
4-8
67%
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28.5
23.7
27.1
3
25%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
42%
1-3
33%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 31.2
21.0
32.0
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
3-8
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.8
27.0
21.0
7
35%
3
2
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-2
0%
2-6
2-4
33%
43%
1-3
33%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 34.8
20.7
17.7
2
14%
2
1
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-6
17%
44%
0-1
0%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 24.0
17.6
13.6
3
61%
6
1
0
0
0
1
0
6
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.2
17.2
10.7
2
14%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
1-3
17%
45%
0-1
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22.3
16.7
23.7
3
31%
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-4
3-7
25%
44%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 29.6
10.2
5.9
10
63%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
4-7
1-2
57%
36%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 31.3
7.1
11.3
3
32%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.8
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 31.6
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 29.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 35.6
29.9
36.4
17
75%
1
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
3-3
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
52%
2-2
100%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.4
28.1
34.8
14
69%
3
2
0
1
2
4
0
3
6-7
86%
4-7
4-8
57%
52%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.6
27.0
30.8
11
62%
14
1
0
1
0
3
4
10
1-2
50%
5-8
4-9
63%
50%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 34.8
25.3
32.2
8
57%
8
1
0
1
0
4
1
7
0-0
-
4-7
6-12
57%
52%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 25.1
23.2
36.8
2
17%
3
3
3
2
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-6
5-9
17%
52%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.6
24.8
11.6
2
20%
2
6
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
46%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.5
23.1
23.2
11
47%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
4-9
3-6
44%
49%
0-1
0%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 25.2
17.8
9.6
9
61%
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
7
3-3
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 30.9
17.4
6.9
12
72%
7
0
2
0
1
0
2
5
2-3
67%
5-5
1-1
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 27.3
15.7
13.6
1
13%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-3
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.3
7.8
3.5
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 25.6
2.7
0
0-1
49%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 39.0
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 32.4
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.